Spatial Epidemiology and Risk Factor Analysis of White Spot Disease in the Shrimp Farming Industry of Sinaloa, Mexico, from 2005 to 2011

One hundred years of African swine fever in Africa: where have we been, where are we now, where are we going?

One hundred years have passed since the first paper on African swine fever (ASF) was published by Montgomery in 1921. With no vaccine, ineffectiveness of prevention and control measures, and lack of common interest in eradicating the disease, ASF has proven to be one of the most devastating diseases because of its significant sanitary and socioeconomic consequences. The rapid spread of the disease on the European and Asian continents and its recent appearance in the Caribbean puts all countries at great risk because of global trade. The incidence of ASF has also increased on the African continent over the last few decades, extending its distribution far beyond the area in which the ancient sylvatic cycle is present with its complex epidemiological transmission pathways involving virus reservoirs in ticks and wild African Suidae. Both in that area and elsewhere, efficient transmission by infected domestic pigs and virus resistance in infected animal products and fomites mean that human driven factors along the pig value chain are the dominant impediments for its prevention, control, and eradication. Control efforts in Africa are furthermore hampered by the lack of information about the size and location of the fast-growing pig population, particularly in the dynamic smallholder sector that constitutes up to 90% of pig production in the region. A vaccine that will be both affordable and effective against multiple genotypes of the virus is not a short-term reality. Therefore, a strategy for management of ASF in sub-Saharan Africa is needed to provide a roadmap for the way forward for the continent. This review explores the progression of ASF and our knowledge of it through research over a century in Africa, our current understanding of ASF, and what must be done going forwards to improve the African situation and contribute to global prevention and control. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Spatial and temporal patterns of white spot disease in Rayong Province, Thailand, from october 2015 to september 2018

This study aimed to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of white spot disease (WSD) in shrimp farms in Rayong Province, Thailand, between October 2015 and September 2018. The longitudinal data of all active shrimp farms were collected and categorized into two groups: cases and non-cases. A space-time permutation scan, epidemic curve, and time-series analysis were used to evaluate the spatiotemporal patterns. We assessed a total of 1126 ponds across 176 farms in two districts (Klaeng and Mueang Rayong) and identified three significant (P < 0.05) clusters of WSD cases. The biggest cluster encompassed 21 geographical coordinates. This cluster had a radius of 1.14 km and occurred between January 31, 2017, and February 28, 2017. The epidemic curve showed that the biggest outbreak peaked from December 2017 to February 2018. In the time-series analysis, the highest probability of actual WSD cases was at the beginning of each calendar year, consistent with the prominent high probability recorded in WSD forecasts. Our analysis presents the interaction between hotspot areas and time period. These results should help the relevant authorities implement appropriate surveillance programs and control measures to limit the occurrence and transmission of WSD.