Individualized and Generalized Learner Models for Predicting Missed Hepatic Metastases

Radiomics and machine learning analysis by computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging in colorectal liver metastases prognostic assessment

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was the evaluation radiomics analysis efficacy performed using computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging in the prediction of colorectal liver metastases patterns linked to patient prognosis: tumor growth front; grade; tumor budding; mucinous type. Moreover, the prediction of liver recurrence was also evaluated.

METHODS

The retrospective study included an internal and validation dataset; the first was composed by 119 liver metastases from 49 patients while the second consisted to 28 patients with single lesion. Radiomic features were extracted using PyRadiomics. Univariate and multivariate approaches including machine learning algorithms were employed.

RESULTS

The best predictor to identify tumor growth was the Wavelet_HLH_glcm_MaximumProbability with an accuracy of 84% and to detect recurrence the best predictor was wavelet_HLH_ngtdm_Complexity with an accuracy of 90%, both extracted by T1-weigthed arterial phase sequence. The best predictor to detect tumor budding was the wavelet_LLH_glcm_Imc1 with an accuracy of 88% and to identify mucinous type was wavelet_LLH_glcm_JointEntropy with an accuracy of 92%, both calculated on T2-weigthed sequence. An increase statistically significant of accuracy (90%) was obtained using a linear weighted combination of 15 predictors extracted by T2-weigthed images to detect tumor front growth. An increase statistically significant of accuracy at 93% was obtained using a linear weighted combination of 11 predictors by the T1-weigthed arterial phase sequence to classify tumor budding. An increase statistically significant of accuracy at 97% was obtained using a linear weighted combination of 16 predictors extracted on CT to detect recurrence. An increase statistically significant of accuracy was obtained in the tumor budding identification considering a K-nearest neighbors and the 11 significant features extracted T1-weigthed arterial phase sequence.

CONCLUSIONS

The results confirmed the Radiomics capacity to recognize clinical and histopathological prognostic features that should influence the choice of treatments in colorectal liver metastases patients to obtain a more personalized therapy.

Colorectal liver metastases patients prognostic assessment: prospects and limits of radiomics and radiogenomics

In this narrative review, we reported un up-to-date on the role of radiomics to assess prognostic features, which can impact on the liver metastases patient treatment choice. In the liver metastases patients, the possibility to assess mutational status (RAS or MSI), the tumor growth pattern and the histological subtype (NOS or mucinous) allows a better treatment selection to avoid unnecessary therapies. However, today, the detection of these features require an invasive approach. Recently, radiomics analysis application has improved rapidly, with a consequent growing interest in the oncological field. Radiomics analysis allows the textural characteristics assessment, which are correlated to biological data. This approach is captivating since it should allow to extract biological data from the radiological images, without invasive approach, so that to reduce costs and time, avoiding any risk for the patients. Several studies showed the ability of Radiomics to identify mutational status, tumor growth pattern and histological type in colorectal liver metastases. Although, radiomics analysis in a non-invasive and repeatable way, however features as the poor standardization and generalization of clinical studies results limit the translation of this analysis into clinical practice. Clear limits are data-quality control, reproducibility, repeatability, generalizability of results, and issues related to model overfitting.

Individualized and generalized models for predicting observer performance on liver metastasis detection using CT

Purpose: Radiologists exhibit wide inter-reader variability in diagnostic performance. This work aimed to compare different feature sets to predict if a radiologist could detect a specific liver metastasis in contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) images and to evaluate possible improvements in individualizing models to specific radiologists. Approach: Abdominal CT images from 102 patients, including 124 liver metastases in 51 patients were reconstructed at five different kernels/doses using projection domain noise insertion to yield 510 image sets. Ten abdominal radiologists marked suspected metastases in all image sets. Potentially salient features predicting metastasis detection were identified in three ways: (i) logistic regression based on human annotations (semantic), (ii) random forests based on radiologic features (radiomic), and (iii) inductive derivation using convolutional neural networks (CNN). For all three approaches, generalized models were trained using metastases that were detected by at least two radiologists. Conversely, individualized models were trained using each radiologist's markings to predict reader-specific metastases detection. Results: In fivefold cross-validation, both individualized and generalized CNN models achieved higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) than semantic and radiomic models in predicting reader-specific metastases detection ability ( p < 0.001 ). The individualized CNN with an AUC of mean (SD) 0.85(0.04) outperformed the generalized one [ AUC = 0.78 ( 0.06 ) , p = 0.004 ]. The individualized semantic [ AUC = 0.70 ( 0.05 ) ] and radiomic models [ AUC = 0.68 ( 0.06 ) ] outperformed the respective generalized versions [semantic AUC = 0.66 ( 0.03 ) , p = 0.009 ; radiomic AUC = 0.64 ( 0.06 ) , p = 0.03 ]. Conclusions: Individualized models slightly outperformed generalized models for all three feature sets. Inductive CNNs were better at predicting metastases detection than semantic or radiomic features. Generalized models have implementation advantages when individualized data are unavailable.