Comparison of peripheral and central capillary refill time in febrile children presenting to a paediatric emergency department and its utility in identifying children with serious bacterial infection

Lactate as a Screening Tool for Critical Illness in a Pediatric Emergency Department

OBJECTIVES

Lactate has in some pediatric emergency departments (PEDs) gained acceptance as a screening tool for critical illness, with cut-off values of 2.0 to 2.5 mmol/L. We aimed to investigate if lactate could predict the need of acute resuscitation in patients in a PED.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective observational cohort study included patients aged 0 to 17 years admitted to the PED at Copenhagen University Hospital in Denmark from January 1, 2019 to January 1, 2021. Patients were included if they had lactate measured as part of their routine blood sampling because of acute PED evaluation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the ability of lactate to predict the need of acute resuscitation. In patients without need of acute resuscitation, we calculated the lactate upper limit as the 95th percentile, and significant predictors were included in a multiple linear regression model.

RESULTS

A total of 1355 children were included. Fourteen (1%) children with a need of acute resuscitation had a median lactate of 1.7 mmol/L (interquartile range, 1.4-2.3) versus 1.6 mmol/L (interquartile range, 1.3-2.1) in children without need of resuscitation ( P > 0.05). The AUC for lactate to predict acute resuscitation was 0.56 (95% confidence interval, 0.54-0.59). In children without need of acute resuscitation, the 95th percentile of lactate was 3.2 mmol/L, and 392 (29.8%) had lactate greater than 2.0 mmol/L. Increasing age and venous sampling were associated with lower lactate. Lactate was not associated with sex, pediatric early warning score, or duration of hospital admission. The 95th percentile of lactate after inhaled beta-2-agonists was 5.0 mmol/L.

CONCLUSIONS

In children evaluated in a PED, lactate achieved a low AUC, suggesting a poor ability of predicting acute resuscitation. In children without need of acute resuscitation, the 95th percentile for lactate was 3.2 mmol/L, higher than the generally accepted cut-off values. This is important to recognize to avoid concern in otherwise clinically stable children. Our data did not support the use of lactate as a screening tool for early recognition of critical illness in a PED.

Hemodynamics and cutaneous microcirculation during induction of general anesthesia with and without esketamine

OBJECTIVE

Currently, there are limited data on the effect of macrocirculatory hemodynamic changes on human microcirculation, especially during the induction of general anesthesia (GA).

METHODS

We performed a non-randomized observational trial on patients receiving GA for elective surgery. In the control group (CG), for GA induction sufentanil, propofol, and rocuronium was administered. Patients assigned to the esketamine group (EG) received additional esketamine for GA induction. Invasive blood pressure (IBP) and pulse contour cardiac output (CO) measurement were performed continuously. Microcirculation was assessed using cutaneous Laser Doppler Flowmetry (forehead and sternum LDF), peripheral and central Capillary Refill Time (pCRT, cCRT), as well as brachial temperature gradient (Tskin-diff) at baseline, 5, 10 and 15 minutes after induction of GA.

RESULTS

42 patients were included in the analysis (CG n = 22, EG n = 20). pCRT, cCRT, Tskin-diff, forehead and sternum LDF decreased following GA induction in both groups. IBP and CO were significantly more stable in esketamine group. However, the changes in the microcirculatory parameters were not significantly different between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of esketamine for GA induction warranted better hemodynamic stability for the first five minutes, but had no significant effect on any of the cutaneous microcirculatory parameters measured.

Development and validation of machine learning-driven prediction model for serious bacterial infection among febrile children in emergency departments

Serious bacterial infection (SBI) in children, such as bacterial meningitis or sepsis, is an important condition that can lead to fatal outcomes. Therefore, since it is very important to accurately diagnose SBI, SBI prediction tools such as ‘Refined Lab-score’ or ‘clinical prediction rule’ have been developed and used. However, these tools can predict SBI only when there are values of all factors used in the tool, and if even one of them is missing, the tools become useless. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning-driven model to predict SBIs among febrile children, even with missing values. This was a multicenter retrospective observational study including febrile children <6 years of age who visited Emergency departments (EDs) of 3 different tertiary hospitals from 2016 to 2018. The SBI prediction model was trained with a derivation cohort (data from two hospitals) and externally tested with a validation cohort (data from a third hospital). A total of 11,973 and 2,858 patient records were included in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. In the derivation cohort, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the RF model was 0.964 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.943–0.986), and the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) was 0.753 (95% CI, 0.681–0.824). The conventional LR (CLR) model showed corresponding values of 0.902 (95% CI, 0.894–0.910) and 0.573 (95% CI, 0.560–0.586), respectively. In the validation cohort, the AUROC (95% CI) of the RF model was 0.950 (95% CI, 0.945–0.956), the AUPRC was 0.605 (95% CI, 0.593–0.616), and the CLR presented corresponding values of 0.815 (95% CI, 0.789–0.841) and 0.586 (95% CI, 0.553–0.619), respectively. We developed a machine learning-driven prediction model for SBI among febrile children, which works robustly despite missing values. And it showed superior performance compared to CLR in both internal validation and external validation.

Management of Children With Fever at Risk for Pediatric Sepsis: A Prospective Study in Pediatric Emergency Care

Objective: To study warning signs of serious infections in febrile children presenting to PED, ascertain their risk of having sepsis, and evaluate their management. Design: Prospective observational study. Setting: A single pediatric emergency department (PED). Participants: Febrile children, aged 1 month-16 years, with >= 1 warning signs of sepsis. Interventions and Main outcome measures: Clinical characteristics, including different thresholds for tachycardia and tachypnoea, and their association with (1) delivery of pediatric sepsis 6 (PS6) interventions, (2) final diagnosis of invasive bacterial infection (IBI), (3) the risk for pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission, and (4) death. Results: Forty-one percent of 5,156 febrile children had warning signs of sepsis. 1,606 (34%) children had tachypnoea and 1,907 (39%) children had tachycardia when using APLS threshold values. Using the NICE sepsis guidelines thresholds resulted in 1,512 (32%) children having tachypnoea (kappa 0.56) and 2,769 (57%) children having tachycardia (kappa 0.66). Of 1,628 PED visits spanning 1,551 disease episodes, six children (0.4%) had IBI, with one death (0.06%), corresponding with 256 children requiring escalation of care according to sepsis guideline recommendations for each child with IBI. There were five additional PICU admissions (0.4%). 121 (7%) had intravenous antibiotics in PED; 39 children (2%) had an intravenous fluid bolus, inotrope drugs were started in one child. 440 children (27%) were reviewed by a senior clinician. In 4/11 children with IBI or PICU admission or death, PS6 interventions were delivered within 60 min after arriving. 1,062 (65%) visits had no PS6 interventions. Diagnostic performance of vital signs or sepsis criteria for predicting serious illness yielded a large proportion of false positives. Lactataemia was not associated with giving iv fluid boluses (p = 0.19) or presence of serious bacterial infections (p = 0.128). Conclusion: Many febrile children (41%) present with warning signs for sepsis, with only few of them undergoing investigations or treatment for true sepsis. Children with positive isolates in blood or CSF culture presented in a heterogeneous manner, with varying levels of urgency and severity of illness. Delivery of sepsis care can be improved in only a minority of children with IBI or admitted to PICU.