Prioritising outcomes for evaluating eosinophil-guided corticosteroid therapy among patients with acute COPD exacerbations requiring hospitalisation: a Delphi consensus study

Comprehensive Nomograms Using Routine Biomarkers Beyond Eosinophil Levels: Enhancing Predictability of Corticosteroid Treatment Outcomes in AECOPD

Purpose

Patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) exhibit heterogeneous responses to corticosteroid treatment. We aimed to determine whether combining eosinophil levels with other routine clinical indicators can enhance the predictability of corticosteroid treatment outcomes and to come up with a scoring system.

Patients and Methods

Consecutive patients admitted with AECOPD receiving corticosteroid treatment between July 2013 and March 2022 at Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Data on patients' demographics, smoking status, hospitalization for AECOPD in the previous year, comorbidities, blood laboratory tests, in-hospital treatment and clinical outcomes were collected. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and backward logistic regression were used for predictor selection, and predictive nomograms were developed. The discrimination and calibration of the nomograms were assessed using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and calibration plots. Internal validation was performed using the 500-bootstrap method, and clinical utility was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Among the 3254 patients included, 804 (24.7%) had treatment failure. A nomogram of eosinophils, platelets, C-reactive protein (CRP), low density lipoprotein cholesterol, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), hospitalization for AECOPD in the previous year, ischemic heart diseases and chronic hepatic disease was developed to predict treatment failure for patients with a smoking history. For patients without a smoking history, a nomogram of CRP, PNI, ischemic heart diseases and chronic hepatic disease was developed. Although the AUCs of these two nomograms were only 0.644 and 0.647 respectively, they were significantly superior to predictions based solely on blood eosinophil levels.

Conclusion

We developed easy-to-use comprehensive nomograms utilizing readily available clinical biomarkers related to inflammation, nutrition and immunity, offering modestly enhanced predictive value for treatment outcomes in corticosteroid-treated patients with AECOPD. Further investigations into novel biomarkers and additional patient data are imperative to optimize the predictive performance.

The Prognostic Value of Blood Eosinophil Level in AECOPD is Influenced by Corticosteroid Treatment During Hospitalization

PURPOSE

Blood eosinophil is a promising biomarker for phenotyping patients with acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of eosinophil on short- and long-term outcomes stratified by corticosteroid treatment among AECOPD inpatients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we included patients hospitalized for AECOPD from July 2013 to June 2021 in Beijing, China. Clinical data were collected from electronic medical records. The blood eosinophil count was measured within 24h after admission. Eosinophilic AECOPD was defined as having an eosinophil percentage ≥ 2%. The study outcomes were length of stay (LOS), treatment failure, and AECOPD readmission risk within 3 years of discharge. Multivariable models were used to analyze the associations between blood eosinophil count and outcomes stratified by corticosteroid treatment during hospitalization.

RESULTS

A total of 2406 AECOPD patients were included. The median LOS of AECOPD patients was 10 (interquartile range: 8-14) days. The eosinophil percentage was negatively associated with LOS (P-trend=0.014). Compared with the non-eosinophilic AECOPD group, the eosinophilic group had a 58% lower risk of treatment failure (OR=0.42, 95% CI: 0.20-0.89) in patients treated with systemic corticosteroids, but no association was observed in those treated with inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) only (OR=0.95, 95% CI: 0.60-1.52). The eosinophilic group had an increased risk of 90-day re-admission in patients treated with ICS only (HR=1.51, 95% CI: 1.00-2.29), but not in patients treated with systemic corticosteroids during hospitalization (HR=0.67, 95% CI: 0.39-1.15). No statistically significant results were found for 180-day, 1-year, or 3-year readmission risk.

CONCLUSION

Elevated blood eosinophils in AECOPD were associated with shorter length of stay and improved response to treatment with systemic corticosteroids, but not inhaled corticosteroids. Our study suggested that a therapeutic approach of using systemic corticosteroid may benefit patients present with eosinophilic AECOPD.

Multicentre double-blind randomised controlled trial of systematic corticosteroid therapy in patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease admitted to hospital with higher eosinophil levels: the ECHO protocol

INTRODUCTION

Corticosteroid is one of the most commonly used medications in patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). The increasing understanding of these side-effects of systematic corticosteroids and their better response to treatment among patients with COPD with higher blood eosinophil counts has led to an interest in a more targeted approach to systematic corticosteroid treatment. However, there is a lack of evidence from high-quality randomised controlled trial (RCT) studies about whether initial systematic corticosteroids should be given to patients with AECOPD with elevated eosinophilia. The aim of the present research was to test this hypothesis.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a multicentre, double-blind, superiority RCT in the respiratory departments of 12 general hospitals in China. It is anticipated that 456 patients with AECOPD with a blood eosinophil count >2% or >300 cells/µL at admission will be recruited. Eligible patients will be randomised (1:1) to the intervention group receiving 40 mg oral prednisone daily or identical-appearing placebo (control group) for five consecutive days. Follow-up visits are performed during hospitalisation, followed by clinic interviews on days 30, 60 and 90 after discharge. The primary outcome is treatment failure rates comprising requiring or receiving invasive or non-invasive mechanical ventilation, requiring or transferring to intensive care unit during the index hospitalisation, length of index hospitalisation longer than 14 days, death during the index hospitalisation or within 30 days after discharge and readmission with acute exacerbations of COPD within 30 days after discharge. The results of this trial will provide insight into the value of using blood eosinophil counts as a biomarker of eosinophilic exacerbation and initiating systematic corticosteroid treatment for patients with AECOPD with higher eosinophil levels.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study was approved by Beijing Chaoyang Hospital Institutional Review Board (approval number: 2020-KE-544) and the main results and secondary results will be published in peer-reviewed journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05059873.

[COPD and eosinophils]

COPD is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. As research progresses, new patient phenotypes are being defined, providing hope for more personalized management of the disease. A significant proportion of patients present with an increased level of blood eosinophils, which may reflect bronchial eosinophilic inflammation. The aims of this article are to characterize the role of eosinophils in COPD in terms of pathophysiology, associated respiratory symptoms, impact on treatment and, finally, to consider different future treatment options.

ERS statement: a core outcome set for clinical trials evaluating the management of COPD exacerbations

Clinical trials evaluating the management of acute exacerbations of COPD assess heterogeneous outcomes, often omitting those that are clinically relevant or more important to patients. We have developed a core outcome set, a consensus-based minimum set of important outcomes that we recommend are evaluated in all future clinical trials on exacerbations management, to improve their quality and comparability. COPD exacerbations outcomes were identified through methodological systematic reviews and qualitative interviews with 86 patients from 11 countries globally. The most critical outcomes were prioritised for inclusion in the core outcome set through a two-round Delphi survey completed by 1063 participants (256 patients, 488 health professionals and 319 clinical academics) from 88 countries in five continents. Two global, multi-stakeholder, virtual consensus meetings were conducted to 1) finalise the core outcome set and 2) prioritise a single measurement instrument to be used for evaluating each of the prioritised outcomes. Consensus was informed by rigorous methodological systematic reviews. The views of patients with COPD were accounted for at all stages of the project. Survival, treatment success, breathlessness, quality of life, activities of daily living, the need for a higher level of care, arterial blood gases, disease progression, future exacerbations and hospital admissions, treatment safety and adherence were all included in the core outcome set. Focused methodological research was recommended to further validate and optimise some of the selected measurement instruments. The panel did not consider the prioritised set of outcomes and associated measurement instruments to be burdensome for patients and health professionals to use.