Clinical and prognostic value of stress echocardiography appropriateness criteria for evaluation of coronary artery disease in a tertiary referral centre

Long-term outcomes after stress echocardiography in real-world practice: a 5-year follow-up of the UK EVAREST study

AIMS

Stress echocardiography is widely used to assess patients with chest pain. The clinical value of a positive or negative test result to inform on likely longer-term outcomes when applied in real-world practice across a healthcare system has not been previously reported.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Five thousand five hundred and three patients recruited across 32 UK NHS hospitals between 2018 and 2022, participating in the EVAREST/BSE-NSTEP prospective cohort study, with data on medical outcomes up to 2023 available from NHS England were included in the analysis. Stress echocardiography results were related to outcomes, including death, procedures, hospital admissions, and relevant cardiovascular diagnoses, based on Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard ratios (HRs). Median follow-up was 829 days (interquartile range 224-1434). A positive stress echocardiogram was associated with a greater risk of myocardial infarction [HR 2.71, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.73-4.24, P < 0.001] and a composite endpoint of cardiac-related mortality and myocardial infarction (HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.41-2.93, P < 0.001). Hazard ratios increased with ischaemic burden. A negative stress echocardiogram identified an event-free 'warranty period' of at least 5 years in patients with no prior history of coronary artery disease and 4 years for those with disease.

CONCLUSION

In real-world practice, the degree of myocardial ischaemia recorded by clinicians at stress echocardiography correctly categorizes risk of future events over the next 5 years. Reporting a stress echocardiogram as negative correctly identifies patients with no greater than a background risk of cardiovascular events over a similar time period.

Appropriate use criteria implementation with modified Haller index for predicting stress echocardiographic results and outcome in a population of patients with suspected coronary artery disease

The hypothesis that modified Haller index (MHI) integration with the existing appropriate use criteria (AUC) categories may predict exercise stress echocardiography (ESE) results and outcome of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) has never been previously investigated. We retrospectively analyzed 1230 consecutive patients (64.8 ± 13.1 years, 58.9% men) who underwent ESE for suspected CAD between February 2011 and September 2019 at our institution. MHI (chest transverse diameter over the distance between sternum and spine) was assessed in all patients. A true positive (TP) ESE was a positive ESE with obstructive CAD according to subsequent coronary angiography. During follow-up time, we evaluated the occurrence of any of the following: (1) cardiovascular (CV) hospitalizations; (2) Cardiac death or sudden death. Overall, 734 (59.7%), 357 (29.0%) and 139 (11.3%) indications for ESE were classified as appropriate (Group 1), rarely appropriate (Group 2) and which may be appropriate (Group 3), respectively. A funnel chest (defined by an MHI > 2.5) was detected in 30.3%, 82.1% and 49.6% of Groups 1, 2 and 3 subjects, respectively (p < 0.0001). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, male sex (OR 1.41, 95%CI 1.02-2.03, p = 0.01) and type-2 diabetes (OR 3.63, 95%CI 2.49-5.55, p = 0.001) were directly correlated to a TP ESE, while "rarely appropriate" indication for ESE with MHI > 2.5 (OR 0.16, 95%CI 0.11-0.22, p < 0.0001) showed a significant inverse correlation with the outcome. During a mean follow-up of 2.5 ± 1.9 years, 299 CV events occurred: 76.4%, 3.5% and 20.1% in Groups 1, 2 and 3, respectively. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, smoking (HR 1.33, 95%CI 1.19-1.48), type 2 diabetes (HR 2.28, 95%CI 1.74-2.97), dyslipidemia (HR 3.51, 95%CI 2.33-5.15), beta-blockers (HR 0.55, 95%CI 0.41-0.75), statins (HR 0.60, 95%CI 0.45-0.80), peak exercise average E/e' ratio (HR 1.08, 95%CI 1.06-1.09), positive ESE (HR 3.12, 95%CI 2.43-4.01) and finally "rarely appropriate" indication for ESE with MHI > 2.5 (HR 0.15, 95%CI 0.08-0.23) were independently associated with CV events. The implementation of AUC categories with MHI assessment may select a group of patients with extremely low probability of both TP ESE and adverse CV events over a medium-term follow-up. A simple noninvasive chest shape assessment could reduce unnecessary exams.

Echocardiography, an Indispensable Tool for the Management of Diabetics, with or without Coronary Artery Disease, in Clinical Practice

Diabetes mellitus is a major factor contributing to the development of cardiovascular disease. As morbidity and mortality rates rise dramatically, when target organ damage develops pre-symptomatic assessment is critical for the management of diabetic patients. Echocardiography is a noninvasive and reproducible method that may aid in risk stratification and in evaluation of treatment effects. The aim of this review is to analyze the echocardiographic techniques which can detect early alteration in cardiac function in patients with diabetes.

Appropriate use of echocardiography and relation to clinical decision making in both inpatients and outpatients in a developing country

BACKGROUND

Use of echocardiography (echo) has exponentially increased in recent decades. Concerned about this scientific society developed appropriate use criteria (AUC). Clinical management still suffers geographical variations, and no objective data are available about echo AUC in developing countries. We aimed to evaluate (1) the appropriateness of referrals and (2) their relation to changes in clinical decision management.

METHODS

Prospective analysis of referrals from January to December 2014. Appropriateness and endpoints analyzed in different time points from medical archives.

ENDPOINTS

(1) change in the diagnosis, (2) indication for another method to complete the diagnosis, (3) change in clinical treatment, (4) indication for a treatment intervention, or (5) no change in management. Descriptive statistical analysis, Fisher's or chi-square tests, and Cox regression used as appropriate (significance if P < .05).

RESULTS

One thousand one hundred referrals were analyzed (55.5 ± 16.1 years, 44.6% male). 80.5% of referrals were appropriate (A), 11.2% "Rarely Appropriate" (RA), and 8.3% "May Be Appropriate" (MBA). Proportion of (A) did not differ between modalities (TTE-80.5% vs TEE-87.7% vs STR-81.2%, P = .67). (A) referrals were more related to clinical decision than (RA)+(MBA) (38.9% [A] vs 15% [RA]+[MBA], P < .001). The most frequent clinical indications of (RA) and (MBA) TTE were reevaluation of ventricular function without clinical change (AUC 10 and 11) and search of infectious endocarditis when low clinical probability (53).

CONCLUSIONS

In a developing country, appropriateness of echo was similar to the United States and Europe. However, a significant proportion of referrals were still (RA) or (MBA), with no effect in clinical management. Controlling referrals 10, 11, and 53 can optimize echo use in developing countries.

The safety, efficacy and cost-effectiveness of stress echocardiography in patients with high pretest probability of coronary artery disease

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we assess the clinical and cost-effectiveness of stress echocardiography (SE), as well as the place of SE in patients with high pretest probability (PTP) of coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

We investigated 257 patients with no history of CAD, who underwent SE, and they had a PTP risk score >61% (high PTP). According to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guidance (NICE CG95, 2010), these patients should be investigated directly with an invasive coronary angiogram (ICA). We investigated those patients with SE initially and then with ICA when appropriate. Follow-up data with regard to Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE, defined as cardiovascular mortality, cerebrovascular accident (CVA), myocardial infarction (MI) and late revascularisation for acute coronary syndrome/unstable angina) were recorded for a period of 12 months following the SE. The tariff for SE and ICA is £300 and £1400, respectively.

RESULTS

106 patients had a positive SE (41.2%) and 61 of them (57.5%) had further investigation with ICA. 15 (24.6%) of these patients were revascularised. The average cost per patient for investigations was £654.09. If NICE guidance had been followed, the cost would have been significantly higher at £1400 (p<0.001). Overall, 5 MACCE (2.0%) were recorded; 4 (3.8%) in the group of positive SE (2 CVAs and 2 MIs) and 1 (0.7%) in the group of negative SE (1 CVA). There was no MI and no need for revascularisation in the negative SE group.

CONCLUSION

Our approach to investigate patients who present with de novo chest pain and high PTP, with SE initially and subsequently with ICA when appropriate, reduces the cost significantly (£745.91 per patient) with a very low rate of MACCE. However, this study is underpowered to assess safety of SE.

The clinical efficacy and long-term prognostic value of stress echocardiography in octogenarians

INTRODUCTION

Although stress echocardiography (SE) is invaluable in younger populations, its prognostic value may be attenuated in the elderly due to shorter life expectancy and the frequent presence of severe comorbidities. This study sought to evaluate the clinical effectiveness of SE in octogenarians, particularly its prognostic value over clinical variables, in predicting hard events.

METHODS

A total of 374 consecutive octogenarians who underwent SE for evaluation of coronary artery disease (CAD) were assessed for feasibility, diagnostic accuracy and safety of the test, and followed up for hard outcomes (all-cause mortality, cardiovascular (CV) deaths and non-fatal myocardial infarction (NFMI)). Cox regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of outcome.

RESULTS

Of the 374 tests, 360 (96.3%) were diagnostic. Of the 50 patients with inducible ischaemia, 33 patients (66%) proceeded to angiography of which 27 (82%) patients had significant CAD. During long-term follow-up of 4.0±2.0 years, there were 127 deaths and 36 NFMIs. The annualised mortality, NFMI and combined mortality /NFMI rates were 8.1%, 1.8% and 9.4% for patients with a normal SE and 12.1%, 5.5% and 14.1% for those with an abnormal SE, respectively. Predictors of NFMI on multivariate analysis were prior CAD (HR 2.89, CI 1.03 to 8.15, p=0.045), peripheral vascular disease (HR 3.33, CI 1.18 to 9.45, p=0.02), and inducible ischaemia (HR 3.97, CI 1.49 to 10.55, p=0.006). In patients without prior history of CAD, inducible ischaemia was the only independent predictor of NFMI (HR 8.72, CI 1.46 to 52.2, p=0.018). The larger the extent of ischaemia, the greater the incidence of NFMI. The independent predictors of CV events (NFMI or CV mortality) were PAD (HR 2.81, CI 1.21 to 6.52, p=0.016) and peak wall motion score index (HR 5.71, CI 1.67 to 19.6, p=0.006). Although inducible ischaemia predicted all-cause mortality on unadjusted analysis, it did not on multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

In octogenarians, SE demonstrated excellent feasibility, safety and diagnostic accuracy. SE parameters were independent predictors of NFMI and CV events, and the presence of inducible ischaemia was associated with a 50% increase in all-cause mortality.

The declining frequency of inducible myocardial ischemia during stress echocardiography over 27 consecutive years (1983-2009)

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have suggested a decline in positivity of stress cardiac imaging, suggesting the need for developing better strategies for test selection to achieve acceptable cost-effectiveness balance. The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the rate of positivity of stress echocardiography (SE) over 27 consecutive years.

METHODS

We assessed the rate of SE positivity in 2007 patients without previous myocardial infarction or coronary revascularization who performed SE in a tertiary care referral center from 1983 to 2009. SE was performed with dipyridamole (1427), dobutamine (136) or exercise (444).

RESULTS

There was a progressive decline over time in the rate of SE positivity from 42% (1983-1991) to 22% (2001-2009), with a relative increase of patients with low pre-test probability of disease (from 5% to 27%). The percentage of patients studied with SE under anti-ischemic therapy increased markedly (from 8% in the first to 61% in the last nine years).

CONCLUSION

Over 27 consecutive years, we observed a steady decline in SE positivity rate (with >5-fold increase of low probability patients), with almost 8-fold increase in anti-ischemic therapy at testing. We probably need refined criteria of referral for testing and/or better ways to titrate the negative response beyond wall motion abnormalities during SE.

Appropriate Use of Cardiac Stress Testing with Imaging: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Appropriate use criteria (AUC) for cardiac stress tests address concerns about utilization growth and patient safety. We systematically reviewed studies of appropriateness, including within physician specialties; evaluated trends over time and in response to AUC updates; and characterized leading indications for inappropriate/rarely appropriate testing.

METHODS

We searched PubMed (2005-2015) for English-language articles reporting stress echocardiography or myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) appropriateness. Data were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis and meta-regression.

RESULTS

Thirty-four publications of 41,578 patients were included, primarily from academic centers. Stress echocardiography appropriate testing rates were 53.0% (95% CI, 45.3%-60.7%) and 50.9% (42.6%-59.2%) and inappropriate/rarely appropriate rates were 19.1% (11.4%-26.8%) and 28.4% (23.9%-32.8%) using 2008 and 2011 AUC, respectively. Stress MPI appropriate testing rates were 71.1% (64.5%-77.7%) and 72.0% (67.6%-76.3%) and inappropriate/rarely appropriate rates were 10.7% (7.2%-14.2%) and 15.7% (12.4%-19.1%) using 2005 and 2009 AUC, respectively. There was no significant temporal trend toward rising rates of appropriateness for stress echocardiography or MPI. Unclassified stress echocardiograms fell by 79% (p = 0.04) with updated AUC. There were no differences between cardiac specialists and internists.

CONCLUSIONS

Rates of appropriate use tend to be lower for stress echocardiography compared to MPI, and updated AUC reduced unclassified stress echocardiograms. There is no conclusive evidence that AUC improved appropriate use over time. Further research is needed to determine if integration of appropriateness guidelines in academic and community settings is an effective approach to optimizing inappropriate/rarely appropriate use of stress testing and its associated costs and patient harms.

Downstream clinical consequences of stress cardiovascular magnetic resonance based on appropriate use criteria

BACKGROUND

Appropriate use criteria (AUC) have been developed by professional organizations as a response to the rising costs of imaging, with the goal of optimizing test-patient selection. Consequently, the AUC are now increasingly used by third-party-payers to assess reimbursement. However, these criteria were created by expert consensus and have not been systematically assessed for CMR. The aim of this study was to determine the rates of abnormal stress-CMR and subsequent downstream utilization of angiography and revascularization procedures based on the most recent AUC.

METHODS

300 consecutive patients referred for CMR-stress testing were prospectively enrolled. Two cardiologists reviewed all clinical information before the CMR-stress test and classified the test as "appropriate', "maybe appropriate" or "rarely appropriate" according to the 2013 AUC. Patients were followed for 2 months for the primary outcomes of coronary angiography and/or revascularization.

RESULTS

49.7% of stress CMRs were appropriate, 36.7% maybe appropriate, and 13.6% rarely appropriate. Ischemia was significantly more likely to be seen in the appropriate (18.8%) or maybe appropriate groups (21.8%) than the rarely appropriate group (4.8%) (p = 0.030 and p = 0.014 respectively). Referral for cardiac catheterization was not significantly different in the appropriate (10.1%) and maybe appropriate groups (10.0%) compared to the rarely appropriate group (2.4%) (p = 0.119 and p = 0.127 respectively). No patients undergoing catheterization in the rarely appropriate group went on to require revascularization, in contrast to 53.3% of the appropriate vs 36.4% of the maybe appropriate patients (p = 0.391). Presence of ischemia led to referral for cardiac catheterization in 50.0% of the appropriate group vs 33.3% of the maybe appropriate group (p = 0.225); in contrast to none of the rarely appropriate group.

CONCLUSIONS

The great majority of tests were classified as appropriate or maybe appropriate. Downstream cardiac catheterization rates were similar in all 3 groups. However, rarely appropriate studies never required revascularization, suggesting suboptimal resource utilization. Studies classified as maybe appropriate had similar rates of abnormal findings and led to similar rates of downstream catheterization and revascularization as those that were deemed appropriate. This suggests that consideration could be given to upgrading some of the common maybe appropriate indications to the appropriate category.