Epidemiology of new-onset atrial fibrillation following coronary artery bypass graft surgery

Validity of a smartwatch for detecting atrial fibrillation in patients after heart valve surgery: a prospective observational study

OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common early arrhythmia after heart valve surgery that limits physical activity. We aimed to evaluate the criterion validity of the Apple Watch Series 5 single-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) for detecting AF in patients after heart valve surgery.

DESIGN

We enrolled 105 patients from the University Hospital of North Norway, of whom 93 completed the study. All patients underwent single-lead ECG using the smartwatch three times or more daily on the second to third or third to fourth postoperative day. These results were compared with continuous 2-4 days ECG telemetry monitoring and a 12-lead ECG on the third postoperative day.

RESULTS

On comparing the Apple Watch ECGs with the ECG monitoring, the sensitivity and specificity to detect AF were 91% (75, 100) and 96% (91, 99), respectively. The accuracy was 95% (91, 99). On comparing Apple Watch ECG with a 12-lead ECG, the sensitivity was 71% (62, 100) and the specificity was 92% (92, 100).

CONCLUSION

The Apple smartwatch single-lead ECG has high sensitivity and specificity, and might be a useful tool for detecting AF in patients after heart valve surgery.

Prevention of Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery: A Review of Literature and Comparison of Different Treatment Modalities

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia to occur after cardiac surgery, with an incidence of 10% to 50%. It is associated with postoperative complications including increased risk of stroke, prolonged hospital stays and increased costs. Despite new insights into the mechanisms of atrial fibrillation, no specific etiologic factor has been identified as the sole perpetrator of the arrhythmia. Current evidence suggests that the pathophysiology of atrial fibrillation in general, as well as after cardiac surgery, is multifactorial. Studies have also shown that new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation following cardiac surgery is associated with a higher risk of short-term and long-term mortality. Furthermore, it has been demonstrated that prophylactic medical therapy decreases the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery. Of note, the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation has not changed during the last decades despite the numerous preventive strategies and operative techniques proposed, although the perioperative and postoperative care of cardiac patients as such has improved.

Impact of Oral Anticoagulation on Clinical Outcomes in Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

The impact of postoperative oral anticoagulation (OAC) with warfarin on postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) was the focus of this examination of patients from the randomized endo-vein graft prospective (REGROUP) Trial.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

REGROUP was a prospective randomized Veterans Affairs cooperative study comparing endoscopic versus open vein harvest in elective CABG patients (March 2014-April 2017) at 16 Veterans Affairs facilities. This study compared new-onset POAF patients who were treated with warfarin versus no-warfarin. Outcomes included stroke during active follow-up and a major adverse cardiac event composite of mortality, acute myocardial infarction, and repeat revascularization during active and passive follow-up.

RESULTS

Of the 316/1103 (28.6%) of REGROUP patients who developed new-onset POAF, 45 patients were excluded - mainly for preoperative warfarin use. Of the remaining 269 patients, 85 received OAC with warfarin (OAC group); 184 did not (no-OAC group). Stroke rates during active follow-up (32 [IQR 24-38] mo) were 3.5% OAC group versus 5.4% no-OAC group (P = 0.76); major adverse cardiac eventrates were 20% OAC versus 11.4% no-OAC (P = 0.06). On longer follow-up of (median 4.61 [IQR 3.9-5.1] y), discharge OAC use was associated with all-cause mortality after adjusting for Society of Thoracic Surgeons mortality risk (20.0% versus 11.4% no-OAC use; HR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.05-3.81, P = 0.035).

CONCLUSIONS

REGROUP patients with POAF treated with OAC had similar stroke and higher mortality rates versus no-OAC patients. Further investigation of the risk-benefit ratio of OAC in post-CABG patients and which POAF patient subgroups might derive the most benefit with anticoagulation appears warranted.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Systemic immune-inflammation index for predicting postoperative atrial fibrillation following cardiac surgery: a meta-analysis

Background

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a frequent complication that may increase morbidity and mortality risk following cardiac surgery. The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) is an emerging biomarker that provides an integrated measure of inflammation by incorporating neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts. Recent studies have reported associations between elevated SII and increased POAF risk; however, significant heterogeneity exists regarding its predictive efficacy. This meta-analysis aimed to assess SII's diagnostic efficacy for predicting POAF risk.

Methods

To synthesize existing evidence on the ability of perioperative SII for predicting POAF in patients undergoing cardiac surgery, a systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted. In August 2023, a comprehensive literature search was performed to identify relevant studies reporting SII cutoff values with corresponding sensitivity and specificity. The primary aim was to evaluate SII's diagnostic utility for predicting POAF, whereas secondary outcomes included the pooled incidence of POAF and the relationship between the SII and POAF.

Results

Eight studies published between 2021 and 2023 with 3,245 patients were included. Six studies involved coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery; one encompassed various cardiac procedures, and another focused solely on mitral valve surgery. The pooled incidence of POAF was 23.6% [95% confidence interval (CI), 18.7%-29.2%]. Elevated SII significantly increased the odds of POAF by 3.24-fold (odds ratio, 3.24; 95% CI, 1.6-6.55; p = 0.001). SII's pooled sensitivity and specificity for predicting POAF were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.68-0.89) and 0.53 (95% CI, 0.23-0.8), respectively. The SII had moderate predictive accuracy based on a hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) area under the curve of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.74-0.81). Subgroup analyses, whether focusing on CABG alone or CABG with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), both indicated an area under the HSROC curve of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.74-0.81).

Conclusion

Elevated SII is significantly correlated with an increased POAF risk following cardiac surgery, highlighting its utility as a predictive biomarker. Considering its moderate diagnostic accuracy, further research is essential for clarifying SII's clinical effectiveness, either as an independent predictor or combined with other risk factors, for stratifying patients at high POAF risk.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier [CRD42023456128].

The aortic knob index as a novel predictor of new-onset atrial fibrillation after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting

PURPOSE

To validate the predictive value of the aortic knob index for identifying new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCAB).

METHODS

Among 156 patients who underwent isolated OPCAB, 138 consecutive patients without a history of atrial fibrillation were enrolled in this retrospective observational cohort study. The patients were divided into two groups based on the development of POAF. We compared the baseline clinical characteristics; preoperative radiographic characteristics of the aorta, including aortic knob measurements; and perioperative data, between the groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the predictors of new-onset POAF.

RESULTS

New-onset POAF developed in 35 (25.4%) patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the aortic knob index was an independent predictor of POAF and yielded that the risk of POAF increased by 1.85 times when the aortic knob index increased by 0.1 (odds ratio, 1.853; confidence interval, 1.326-2.588; P < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed that an aortic knob index of 1.364 constituted a cutoff value for new-onset POAF with 80.0% sensitivity and 65.0% specificity.

CONCLUSIONS

The aortic knob index on preoperative chest radiography was a significant and independent predictor of new-onset POAF following OPCAB.

Association Between Serum Levels of Nicotinamide-Adenine Dinucleotide Phosphate Oxidase 2 and the Development of Atrial Fibrillation After Isolated Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting: A Prospective Pilot Study

INTRODUCTION

To investigate the levels of nicotinamide-adenine dinucleotide phosphate oxidase 2 (NOX2) in serum and pericardial drainage samples in the early stage after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and determine whether NOX2 is predictive of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This prospective pilot study involved 152 adults without history of atrial fibrillation who underwent first-time elective isolated CABG. Serum and pericardial fluid samples were simultaneously obtained from patients at baseline and 4, 12, and 24 h post operation. NOX2 levels were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. The heart rhythm of patients was continuously monitored through a Holter monitor until discharge. Logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed, as appropriate.

RESULTS

Fifty-one patients (33.6%) experienced in-hospital POAF. NOX2 concentration in serum and pericardial drainage samples was increased after surgery, reached its peak at 12 h, and gradually declined thereafter toward the baseline levels by 24 h. At 12 h, patients with POAF had higher levels of serum NOX2 than those without (3.96 ± 0.35 vs. 3.70 ± 0.75 μg/mL, respectively, p = 0.004). There were no discernible differences in pericardial NOX2 between the 2 groups. Multivariate analysis revealed that serum NOX2 at 12 h post operation was the strongest independent predictor of POAF (odds ratio: 2.179, 95% confidence interval: 1.084-4.377). The area under the ROC curve of the POAF predictive model was 0.732 (95% confidence interval: 0.654-0.801).

CONCLUSION

Serum NOX2 may be useful in the identification of POAF. Larger studies are warranted to substantiate these findings.

Impact of perfusion method on perioperative red blood cell transfusions and new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation in mitral valve surgery patients

INTRODUCTION

Red blood cell (RBC) transfusions are common in cardiac surgery and reportedly associated with increased mortality and morbidity, including increased risk of postoperative new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF). The aim of this study was to compare minimal invasive extracorporeal circulation (MiECC) and conventional extracorporeal circulation (CECC) in terms of RBC transfusions and the incidence of NOAF in mitral valve surgery.

METHODS

The study population consisted of 89 MiECC and 169 CECC patients undergoing mitral valve surgery as an isolated procedure (80.6% of the patients) or in combination with coronary artery bypass grafting (19.4% of patients). 79.4% of the patients were male and the mean age was 62.1 years.

RESULTS

30.0% of patients aged < 65 years and 48.1% of patients aged ≥ 65 years needed RBC transfusion. The overall need for RBC transfusions did not differ between the treatment groups. Among patients < 65 years of age transfusions of ≥ 3 units were less frequent in MiECC than in CECC patients (OR 0.31, 95% CI 0.10-0.98, p = 0.045). The overall incidence of NOAF was 41.8% with no significant difference between MiECC and CECC groups. Red blood cell transfusions were associated with an increased risk of NOAF in an unadjusted analysis but not after adjustment for age and sex (OR 1.25, 95% CI 0.64-2.43, p = 0.515).

CONCLUSIONS

In mitral valve surgery MiECC compared to CECC was associated with less need of RBC units and platelets, particularly in patients aged < 65 years. Use of RBC transfusions was associated with increased risk of NOAF significantly only in unadjusted analysis.

Could We Predict POAF With a Simple Ambulatory Oscillometry Evaluating Aortic Stiffness?

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between aortic stiffness and postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).

METHODS

This study included 110 patients undergoing elective isolated CABG. Aortic stiffness was measured using a noninvasive oscillometric sphygmomanometer before surgery. Characteristics of patients with and without POAF were compared.

RESULTS

POAF developed in 32 (29.1%) patients. Patients with POAF were older (63.7±8.6 vs. 58.3±8.4; P=0.014). Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was more common in patients with POAF (11.5% vs. 37.5%; P=0.024), whereas the frequency of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking, and previous coronary artery disease did not differ. C-reactive protein and cholesterol levels were similar between patients with and without POAF. Left atrial diameter was greater in patients with POAF (35.9±1.6 vs. 36.7±1.7; P<0.039). Peripheral (p) and central (c) systolic and diastolic blood pressures were also similar between the groups, whereas both p and c pulse pressures (PP) were greater in patients with POAF (pPP: 44.3±11.9 vs. 50.3±11.6; P=0.018, cPP: 31.4±8.1 vs. 36.2±8.9; P=0.008). Pulse wave velocity (PWV) was significantly higher in POAF (8.6+1.3 vs. 9.4+1.3; P=0.006). PWV, pPR and COPD were independent predictors of POAF in multivariate regression analysis. In receiver operating characteristic analysis, PWV and pPP have similar accuracy for predicting POAF (PWV, area under the curve [AUC]: 0.661, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.547-0.775], P=0.009) (pPP, AUC: 0.656, 95% CI [0.542-0.769], P=0.012).

CONCLUSION

COPD, PWV, and PP are predictors of POAF. PP and PWV, easily measured in office conditions, might be useful for detecting patients with a higher risk of POAF.

Cardiopulmonary bypass management and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery

OBJECTIVES

Cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) management may potentially play a role in the development of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) after cardiac surgery. The aim of this study was to explore this potential association.

METHODS

Patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting and/or valvular surgery during 2016-2020 were included in an observational single-centre study. Data collected from the Swedish Web System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies registry and a local CPB database were merged. Associations between individual CPB variables (CPB and aortic clamp times, arterial and central venous pressure, mixed venous oxygen saturation, blood flow index, bladder temperature and haematocrit) and new-onset AF were analysed using multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for patient characteristics, comorbidities and surgical procedure.

RESULTS

Out of 1999 patients, 758 (37.9%) developed new-onset AF. Patients with new-onset postoperative AF were older, had a higher incidence of previous stroke, worse renal function and higher EuroSCORE II and CHA2DS2-VASc scores and more often underwent valve surgery. Longer CPB time [adjusted odds ratio 1.05 per 10 min (95% confidence interval 1.01-1.08); P = 0.008] and higher flow index [adjusted odds ratio 1.21 per 0.2 l/m2 (95% confidence interval 1.02-1.42); P = 0.026] were associated with an increased risk for new-onset AF, while the other variables were not. A sensitivity analysis only including patients with isolated coronary artery bypass grafting supported the primary analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

CPB management following current guideline recommendations appears to have minor or no influence on the risk of developing new-onset AF after cardiac surgery.

Long-Term Effects of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation following Mitral Valve Surgery

BACKGROUND

New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF) is one of the most frequent yet serious complications following cardiac surgery. Long-term consequences have not been thoroughly investigated, and studies have included different cardiac operations. The objectives were to report the incidence and short- and long-term outcomes in patients with PoAF after mitral valve surgery.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of 1401 patients who underwent mitral valve surgery from 2009 to 2020. Patients were grouped according to the occurrence of PoAF (n = 236) and the nonoccurrence of PoAF (n = 1165). Long-term outcomes included mortality, heart failure rehospitalization, stroke, and mitral valve reinterventions.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of PoAF was 16.8%. PoAF was associated with higher rates of operative mortality (8.9% vs. 3.3%, p < 0.001), stroke (6.9% vs. 1.5%, p < 0.001), and dialysis (13.6% vs. 3.5%, p < 0.001). ICU and hospital stays were significantly longer in patients with PoAF (p < 0.001 for both). PoAF was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality [HR: 1.613 (95% CI: 1.048-2.483); p = 0.03], heart failure rehospitalization [HR: 2.156 (95% CI: 1.276-3.642); p = 0.004], and stroke [HR: 2.722 (95% CI: 1.321-5.607); p = 0.007]. However, PoAF was not associated with increased mitral valve reinterventions [HR: 0.938 (95% CI: 0.422-2.087); p = 0.875].

CONCLUSIONS

Atrial fibrillation after mitral valve surgery is a common complication, with an increased risk of operative mortality. PoAF was associated with lower long-term survival, increased heart failure rehospitalization, and stroke risk. Future studies are needed to evaluate strategies that can be implemented to improve the outcomes of these patients.

Feasibility of Postoperative Day One or Day Two Discharge After Robotic Cardiac Surgery

INTRODUCTION

The robotic platform reduces the invasiveness of cardiac surgical procedures, thus facilitating earlier discharge in select patients. We sought to evaluate the characteristics, perioperative management, and early outcomes of patients who underwent postoperative day 1 or 2 (POD1-2) discharge after robotic cardiac surgery at our institution.

METHODS

Retrospective review of 169 patients who underwent robotic cardiac surgery at our facility between 2019 and 2021 identified 57 patients discharged early on POD1 (n = 19) or POD2 (n = 38) and 112 patients who underwent standard discharge (POD3 or later). Relevant data were extracted and compared.

RESULTS

In the early discharge group, median patient age was 62 [IQR: 55, 66] (IQR = interquartile range) years, and 70.2% (40/57) were male. Median Society of Thoracic Surgeons predictive risk of mortality score was 0.36 [IQR: 0.25, 0.56] %. The most common procedures performed were mitral valve repair [66.6%, (38/57)], atrial mass resection [10.5% (6/57)], and coronary artery bypass grafting [10.5% (6/57)]. The only significant differences between the POD1 and POD2 groups were shorter operative time, higher rate of in-operating room extubation, and shorter ICU length of stay in the POD1 group. Lower in-hospital morbidity and comparable 30-day mortality and readmission rates were observed between the early and standard discharge groups.

CONCLUSIONS

POD1-2 discharge after various robotic cardiac operations afforded lower morbidity and similar 30-day readmission and mortality rates compared to discharge on POD3 or later. Our findings support the feasibility of POD1-2 discharge after robotic cardiac surgery for patients with low preoperative risk, an uncomplicated postoperative course, and appropriate postoperative management protocols.

Association of Dexmedetomidine With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Critical Illness

Importance

Dexmedetomidine is a widely used sedative in the intensive care unit (ICU) and has unique properties that may be associated with reduced occurrence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF).

Objective

To investigate whether the use of dexmedetomidine is associated with the incidence of NOAF in patients with critical illness.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This propensity score-matched cohort study was conducted using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database, which includes records of patients admitted to the ICU at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston dating 2008 through 2019. Included patients were those aged 18 years or older and hospitalized in the ICU. Data were analyzed from March through May 2022.

Exposure

Patients were divided into 2 groups according to dexmedetomidine exposure: those who received dexmedetomidine within 48 hours after ICU admission (dexmedetomidine group) and those who never received dexmedetomidine (no dexmedetomidine group).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was the occurrence of NOAF within 7 days of ICU admission, as defined by the nurse-recorded rhythm status. Secondary outcomes were ICU length of stay, hospital length of stay, and in-hospital mortality.

Results

This study included 22 237 patients before matching (mean [SD] age, 65.9 [16.7] years; 12 350 male patients [55.5%]). After 1:3 propensity score matching, the cohort included 8015 patients (mean [SD] age, 61.0 [17.1] years; 5240 males [65.4%]), among whom 2106 and 5909 patients were in the dexmedetomidine and no dexmedetomidine groups, respectively. Use of dexmedetomidine was associated with a decreased risk of NOAF (371 patients [17.6%] vs 1323 patients [22.4%]; hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.71-0.90). Although patients in the dexmedetomidine group had longer median (IQR) length of stays in the ICU (4.0 [2.7-6.9] days vs 3.5 [2.5-5.9] days; P < .001) and hospital (10.0 [6.6-16.3] days vs 8.8 [5.9-14.0] days; P < .001), dexmedetomidine was associated with decreased risk of in-hospital mortality (132 deaths [6.3%] vs 758 deaths [12.8%]; hazard ratio, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.36-0.52).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study found that dexmedetomidine was associated with decreased risk of NOAF in patients with critical illness, suggesting that it may be necessary and warranted to evaluate this association in future clinical trials.

Prevalence of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation and Impact to Nursing Practice—A Cross Sectional Study

Background: Atrial fibrillation is the most common clinically significant cardiac arrhythmia, and it might lead to heart failure, which prolongs the duration of hospitalization and consequently increases the cost of treatment. Thus, diagnosing and treating atrial fibrillation should be the first line of defense against further complications. This study aimed to determine the incidence rate of postoperative atrial fibrillation and correlation with cardiac surgery on heart valves. A specific aim was to determine the relationship between the prevalence of atrial fibrillation and socio-demographic features. Methods: The study has a prospective cross-sectional design. The questionnaire was anonymous, requesting socio-demographic information as inclusion criteria, and the data were analyzed using descriptive statistics methods. Results: The sample was 201 patients. χ2 test and t-test were performed where we found that the frequency of atrial fibrillation was higher in the groups that have had valve surgery compared to other cardiac surgeries (χ2 = 7.695, ss = 2, p = 0.021). Atrial fibrillation increased with the age of the patients, but the prevalence of atrial fibrillation was not correlated with body weight. Conclusion: The results of this this study show that atrial fibrillation was higher in the participants who had valve surgery compared to other cardiac surgeries. There was also an increase in atrial fibrillation in the older participants. The results of this study can help to improve nursing practice and the quality of care for cardiac surgery patients with regard to daily activities, or planning nursing care due to the patient’s condition.

A prediction model for new-onset atrial fibrillation following coronary artery bypass graft surgery: A multicenter retrospective study

Objective

Developing and assessing a risk prediction model of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), and aims to provide a reference for the prediction and prevention.

Design

A retrospective case-control study.

Setting

Three major urban teaching and university hospitals and tertiary referral centers.

Participants

consecutive patients undergoing CABG.

Interventions

The study was retrospective and no interventions were administered to patients.

Measurements and main results

In the study, the overall new-onset POAF prevalence was approximately 28%. A prediction model for POAF with nine significant indicators was developed, and identified new predictors of POAF: left ventricular end diastolic diameter (LVEDD), intraoperative defibrillation, and intraoperative temporary pacing lead implantation. The model had good discrimination in both the derivation and validation cohorts, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of 0.621 (95% CI = 0.602-0.640) and 0.616 (95% CI = 0.579-0.651), respectively, and showed good calibration. Compared with CHA₂DS₂-VASc, HATCH score, and the prediction model of POAF after CABG developed based on a small sample of clinical data from a single center in China, the model in this study had better discrimination.

Conclusion

We have developed and validated a new prediction model of POAF after CABG using multicenter data that can be used in the clinic for early identification of high-risk patients of POAF, and to help effectively prevent POAF in postoperative patients.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Machine Learning to Identify Patients at Risk of Developing New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation after Coronary Artery Bypass

BACKGROUND

This study aims to get an effective machine learning (ML) prediction model of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and to highlight the most relevant clinical factors.

METHODS

Four ML algorithms were employed to analyze 394 patients undergoing CABG, and their performances were compared: Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline, Neural Network, Random Forest, and Support Vector Machine. Each algorithm was applied to the training data set to choose the most important features and to build a predictive model. The better performance for each model was obtained by a hyperparameters search, and the Receiver Operating Characteristic Area Under the Curve metric was selected to choose the best model. The best instances of each model were fed with the test data set, and some metrics were generated to assess the performance of the models on the unseen data set. A traditional logistic regression was also performed to be compared with the machine learning models.

RESULTS

Random Forest model showed the best performance, and the top five predictive features included age, preoperative creatinine values, time of aortic cross-clamping, body surface area, and Logistic Euro-Score.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of ML for clinical predictions requires an accurate evaluation of the models and their hyperparameters. Random Forest outperformed all other models in the clinical prediction of POAF following CABG.

Gut Microbiota in Patients with Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Undergoing Off-Pump Coronary Bypass Graft Surgery

BACKGROUND

Post-operative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is one of the most common complications of cardiac surgery. However, the underlying mechanism is not well understood. Alterations in the gut microbiota are associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of this study was to explore the relationship between gut microbiota and POAF.

METHODS

Fecal samples were collected before surgery from 45 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting with POAF and 90 matched patients without POAF (1:2). 16S rRNA sequencing was used to detect the microbiome profiles of 45 POAF patients and 89 matched patients (one sample in the no-POAF group was deleted owing to low quality after sequencing). Plasma 25-hydroxy vitamin D level was measured by ELISA.

RESULTS

Compared to the patients without POAF, gut microbiota composition was remarkably changed in the patients with POAF, with an increase in Lachnospira, Acinetobacter, Veillonella and Aeromonas, and a decrease in Escherichia-Shigella, Klebsiella, Streptococcus, Brevundimonas and Citrobacter. Furthermore, plasma 25-hydroxy vitamin D levels were decreased in POAF patients and negatively correlated with an abundance of Lachnospira.

CONCLUSIONS

The gut microbiota composition between patients with and without POAF is significantly different, implying that gut microbiota may play a role in the pathogenesis of POAF. Further studies are needed to fully clarify the role of gut microbiota in the initiation of AF.

Demographic and clinical predictors of post-operative atrial fibrillation in cardio-surgical patients

AIMS

Post-operative atrial fibrillation is defined as an episode of atrial fibrillation that occurs 1-5 days after a surgical procedure in patients without a previous history of atrial fibrillation. Multiple factors such as demographics, cardiac surgical, endogenous, or mental health may relate to post-operative atrial fibrillation.The aim of this study was to identify multivariable high-risk factors for post-operative atrial fibrillation and to propose a risk-assessment tool.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A cross-sectional observational study was conducted in a University Hospital of Greece. Predictor variables examined demographic and clinical variables, anxiety, depression, health-related quality of life, frailty, perioperative mortality (European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II), and 10-year survival/mortality risk (Charlson Comorbidity Index score). The outcome variable was post-operative atrial fibrillation. Multivariable analysis was assessed to identify predictors of post-operative atrial fibrillation.Ninety-one patients were included in our sample. Post-operative atrial fibrillation was diagnosed in 44 (48.4%). Factors associated with post-operative atrial fibrillation are the following: age group of 66-75 years [OR 5.78, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.37-24.34], Charlson Comorbidity Index score (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07-1.89), and hours of mechanical ventilation (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.00-1.06). The Charlson Comorbidity Index score was identified as an independent predictor of post-operative atrial fibrillation (exp: 1.412, 95% CI: 1.017-1.961).

CONCLUSION

Patients with post-operative atrial fibrillation had a higher Charlson Comorbidity Index score. The Charlson Comorbidity Index was identified as an independent clinical predictor of post-operative atrial fibrillation. The risk-assessment tool proposed includes age, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, and hours of mechanical ventilation. Future studies are needed to establish such an assessment.

Association of LDL to HDL ratio with new-onset atrial fibrillation after on-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to analyze the association between preoperative LDL/HDL ratio and new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) after on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (on-pump CABG), evaluate the clinic value of preoperative LDL/HDL ratio to identify postoperative rhythm.

METHODS

A retrospective study of consecutive patients (n = 2052) who underwent on-pump CABG at TEDA International Cardiovascular Hospital (Tianjin, China), from June 1, 2020, to December 30, 2021, was conducted. The association between preoperative LDL/HDL and new-onset POAF was analyzed by Lowess curve and univariate logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the identification capacity of preoperative LDL/HDL level for new-onset POAF.

RESULTS

In studied populations, the incidence of new-onset POAF was about 29.24%. The lowess curve showed that the association between preoperative LDL/HDL ratio and POAF after on-pump CABG was similar to a linear relationship. With the increasement of preoperative LDL/HDL ratio, the incidence of POAF increased simultaneously. ROC analysis showed that preoperative LDL/HDL ratio could identify postoperative arrhythmia after on-pump CABG (AUC = 0.569,95% CI = 0.529-0.608, P = 0.006) among female patients, the best preoperative LDL/HDL ratio cutoff of 2.11, which was considered a predictive factor of incident POAF, showed a sensitivity of 83.60% (95% CI = 0.775-0.886) and a specificity of 30.02% (95% CI = 0.257-0.346).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative LDL/HDL ratio is associated with new-onset POAF, but there is a difference in different sex. Preoperative LDL/HDL level can help to identify postoperative rhythm in females.

Association of liver dysfunction with outcomes after cardiac surgery-a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to perform a meta-analysis of studies reporting outcomes in patients with liver dysfunction addressed by the model of end-stage liver disease and Child-Turcotte-Pugh scores undergoing cardiac surgery.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted to identify contemporary studies reporting short- and long-term outcomes in patients with liver dysfunction compared to patients with no or mild liver dysfunction undergoing cardiac surgery (stratified in high and low score group based on the study cut-offs). Primary outcome was perioperative mortality. Secondary outcomes were perioperative neurological events, prolonged ventilation, sepsis, bleeding and/or need for transfusion, acute kidney injury and long-term mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 33 studies with 48 891 patients were included. Compared with the low score group, being in the high score group was associated with significantly higher risk of perioperative mortality [odds ratio (OR) 3.72, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.75-5.03, P < 0.001]. High score group was also associated with a significantly higher rate of perioperative neurological events (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.30-1.71, P < 0.001), prolonged ventilation (OR 2.45, 95% CI 1.94-3.09, P < 0.001), sepsis (OR 3.88, 95% CI 2.07-7.26, P < 0.001), bleeding and/or need for transfusion (OR 1.95, 95% CI 1.43-2.64, P < 0.001), acute kidney injury (OR 3.84, 95% CI 2.12-6.98, P < 0.001) and long-term mortality (incidence risk ratio 1.29, 95% CI 1.14-1.46, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The analysis suggests that liver dysfunction in patients undergoing cardiac surgery is independently associated with higher risk of short and long-term mortality and also with an increased occurrence of various perioperative adverse events.

Outcome of New-Onset Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery in Adults With Congenital Heart Disease

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is one of the most common complications after cardiac surgery. POAF is associated with a longer hospital stay, higher healthcare resource utilization, and higher risk of morbidity and mortality. As a result, the American and European guidelines recommend the use of beta-blockers and amiodarone for the prevention of POAF, and in turn, avoid the complications associated with POAF.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine the incidence, risk factors, and prognostic implications of new-onset POAF after cardiac surgery in adults with congenital heart disease (CHD).

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted among adults with CHD who underwent cardiac surgery (2003-2019). POAF and late-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) were defined as AF occurring within and after 30 days postoperatively, respectively.

RESULTS

Of 1,598 patients (mean age 39 ± 13 years, 51% men), 335 (21%) developed POAF. Risk factors associated with POAF were older age, hypertension, left atrial (LA) reservoir strain and right atrial (RA) dysfunction, and nonsystemic atrioventricular valve regurgitation. Of 1,291 patients (81%) with follow-up ≥12 months, the annual incidence of late-onset AF was 1.5% and was higher in patients with POAF compared with those without POAF (5.9% vs 0.4%; P < 0.001). Risk factors associated with late-onset AF were POAF, older age, severe CHD, and LA and RA dysfunction. Of the 1,291 patients, 63 (5%) died during follow-up, and the risk factors associated with all-cause mortality were older age, severe CHD, hypertension, left ventricular systolic dysfunction, and LA and RA dysfunction. POAF was not associated with all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

POAF was common in adults with CHD and was associated with late-onset AF but not all-cause mortality. Atrial dysfunction was independently associated with POAF, late-onset AF, and all-cause mortality. These risk factors can be used to identify patients at risk for POAF and provide a foundation for prospective studies assessing the efficacy of prophylactic therapies in this population.

A novel predictive model for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients after isolated cardiac valve surgery

Background

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a severe complication after cardiac surgery and is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and mortality. The main aim of this study was to identify the independent predictors associated with POAF after isolated valve operation and to develop a risk prediction model.

Methods

This retrospective observational study involved patients without previous AF who underwent isolated valve surgery from November 2018 to October 2021. Patients were stratified into two groups according to the development of new-onset POAF. Baseline characteristics and perioperative data were collected from the two groups of patients. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to identify independent risk factors for the occurrence of POAF, and the results of the multivariate analysis were used to create a predictive nomogram.

Results

A total of 422 patients were included in the study, of which 163 (38.6%) developed POAF. The Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that cardiac function (odds ratio [OR] = 2.881, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.595–5.206; P &lt; 0.001), Left atrial diameter index (OR = 1.071, 95%CI = 1.028–1.117; P = 0.001), Operative time (OR = 1.532, 95%CI = 1.095–2.141; P = 0.013), Neutrophil count (OR = 1.042, 95%CI = 1.006–1.08; P = 0.021) and the magnitude of fever (OR = 3.414, 95%CI = 2.454–4.751; P &lt; 0.001) were independent predictors of POAF. The above Variables were incorporated, and a nomogram was successfully constructed with a C-index of 0.810. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.817.

Conclusion

Cardiac function, left atrial diameter index, operative time, neutrophil count, and fever were independent predictors of POAF in patients with isolated valve surgery. Establishing a nomogram model based on the above predictors helps predict the risk of POAF and may have potential clinical utility in preventive interventions.

Intravenous landiolol for the prevention of atrial fibrillation after aortic root, ascending aorta, and aortic arch surgery: A propensity score-matched analysis

Objective

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery is associated with increased mortality. The efficacy of landiolol hydrochloride for POAF prevention after coronary artery bypass grafting procedure and valve surgery has been reported. However, little evidence is available on its role in POAF prevention after aortic root, ascending aorta, and aortic arch surgery. This study aimed to determine the association between intravenous landiolol and the incidence of POAF after these aortic surgeries.

Methods

We included 358 consecutive adult patients without preoperative atrial fibrillation who underwent aortic root, ascending aorta, and aortic arch surgery between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2018, at our institution. The therapeutic influence of landiolol in preventing POAF was estimated by propensity score-matched analysis (n = 222). The primary end point was the incidence of POAF within 72 hours after surgery. The secondary end points included adverse clinical events such as 30-day mortality and symptomatic cerebral infarction.

Results

The median age of the cohort was 72 years, 68.5% were men, and 46.4% received postoperative oral or transdermal β-blockers. After minimizing differences in patient background by propensity score matching, the incidence of POAF in the landiolol group was significantly lower than that in the reference group (18.9% vs 38.7%; P = .002). Landiolol use was associated with reduced incidence of POAF (odds ratio, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.21 to −0.72; P = .003). There were no significant differences in secondary end points.

Conclusions

Intravenous landiolol was associated with a lower incidence of POAF after aortic root, ascending aorta, and aortic arch surgery.

Nomogram predicts atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting

Objective

Using the nomogram to intuitively predict atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting. Identify high-risk patients with atrial fibrillation and provide preoperative protective therapy.

Methods

A total of 397 patients that underwent coronary artery bypass grafting were consecutively enrolled. Independent predictors of patients were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression. Two nomograms were constructed to predict postoperative atrial fibrillation.

Results

The incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation in this study was 29% (115/397). Multivariate Logistic showed that Age, Operative Time > 4 h, Left Atrial Diameter > 40 mm, Mean Arterial Pressure, Body Mass Index > 23 kg/m², Insulins, and Statins were independently associated with atrial fibrillation after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting. The nomogram of postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients was constructed using total predictor variables (AUC = 0.727, 95% CI 0.673–0.781). The model was internally validated (AUC = 0.701) by K-fold Cross-validation resampling (K = 5, Times = 400). To make an early intervention, the intraoperative information of the patients was excluded. Only 6 variables before surgery were used to establish the brief nomogram to predict postoperative atrial fibrillation (AUC = 0.707, 95% CI 0.651–0.764). The brief model was internally validated (AUC = 0.683) by resampling with K-fold Cross-validation resampling.

Conclusions

These two nomograms could be used to predict patients at high risk for atrial fibrillation after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting.

Stroke Risk Stratification in Patients With Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

Background

The CHA₂DS₂‐VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, previous stroke or TIA [transient ischemic attack], vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, sex category female; 2 indicates 2 points, otherwise 1 point) scoring system is recommended to guide decisions on oral anticoagulation therapy for stroke prevention in patients with nonsurgery atrial fibrillation. A score ≥1 in men and ≥2 in women, corresponding to an annual stroke risk exceeding 1%, warrants long‐term oral anticoagulation provided the bleeding risk is acceptable. However, in patients with new‐onset postoperative atrial fibrillation, the optimal risk stratification method is unknown. The aim of this study was therefore to evaluate the CHA₂DS₂‐VASc scoring system for estimating the 1‐year ischemic stroke risk in patients with new‐onset postoperative atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting.

Methods and Results

All patients with new‐onset postoperative atrial fibrillation and without oral anticoagulation after first‐time isolated coronary artery bypass grafting performed in Sweden during 2007 to 2017 were eligible for this registry‐based observational cohort study. The 1‐year ischemic stroke rate at each step of the CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score was estimated using a Kaplan‐Meier estimator. Of the 6368 patients included (mean age, 69.9 years; 81% men), >97% were treated with antiplatelet drugs. There were 147 ischemic strokes during the first year of follow‐up. The ischemic stroke rate at 1 year was 0.3%, 0.7%, and 1.5% in patients with CHA₂DS₂‐VASc scores of 1, 2, and 3, respectively, and ≥2.3% in patients with a score ≥4. A sensitivity analysis, with the inclusion of patients on anticoagulants, was performed and supported the primary results.

Conclusions

Patients with new‐onset atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting and a CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score <3 have such a low 1‐year risk for ischemic stroke that oral anticoagulation therapy should probably be avoided.

Non-invasive evaluation of new-onset atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: a protocol for the BigMap study

Aims

New‐onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is the most common complication after cardiac surgery, occurring in 25–50% of patients. It is associated with post‐operative stroke, increased mortality, prolonged hospital length of stay, and higher treatment costs. Previous small observational studies have identified the left atrium as a source of the electrical rotors and foci maintaining NOAF, but confirmation by a large prospective clinical study is still missing. The aim of the proposed study is to investigate whether the source of NOAF lies in the left atrium. The correct identification of NOAF‐maintaining structures in cardiac surgical patients might offer potential therapeutic targets for prophylactic perioperative ablation strategies.

Methods and results

This is a prospective single‐centre observational study of patients developing NOAF after cardiac surgery. The primary outcome is the description of NOAF‐maintaining structures within the atria. Key secondary outcomes include overall mortality, intensive care unit length of stay, hospital–ventilator‐free days, and proportion of persistent NOAF. In NOAF patients, the non‐invasive electrophysiological mapping will be conducted using a 252‐electrode electrocardiogram vest. After mapping, a low‐dose computed tomography scan of the chest will be performed to integrate the electrophysiological mapping results into a 3D picture of the heart. The study will include approximately 570 patients, of whom 30% (n = 170) are expected to develop NOAF. Sample size calculation revealed that 157 NOAF patients are necessary to assess the primary outcome. Patients will be tracked for a total of 5 years.

Conclusions

This is the largest prospective study to date describing the electrophysiological mechanisms of NOAF using non‐invasive mapping.

Role of fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF-23) in the prediction of postoperative atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass surgery

Introduction

Fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF-23) is a bone-derived hormone which had shown a significant association with the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with chronic kidney disease. We hypothesized that FGF-23 could be a very useful predictive biomarker for atrial remodeling and in turn for postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). We also looked at the correlation of cardiac remodeling in right atrial biopsy and its correlation with POAF and with the FGF-23 level.

Methods

This study was a single-center cross-sectional observational study. All the patients who were planned for CABG with no prior history of AF were included in the study. All the patients were tested for preoperative serum FGF-23 level. During CABG, biopsy specimen of the right atrial appendage was sent for histopathology evaluation. All patients were monitored for POAF until discharge from the hospital.

Results

This study involved 60 patients who underwent elective CABG. Multivariate analysis revealed a significant association between preoperative FGF-23 levels with the occurrence of POAF (p < 0.001). The area under the curve of FGF-23 was 0.894 with a sensitivity of 92.3% and specificity of 87.23%. The cut-off value for serum FGF-23 levels was found to be 6.50 ng/ml. Analysis of biopsy specimens revealed that the presence of hypertrophic myocytes had a significant association with the occurrence of POAF/POAE and with FGF-23.

Conclusion

Preoperative FGF-23 levels can predict the incidence of POAF in post-CABG patients. Histopathologically, the presence of hypertrophic myocytes correlated well with the occurrence of POAF.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2022 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2022 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population and an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, adverse pregnancy outcomes, vascular contributions to brain health, and the global burden of cardiovascular disease and healthy life expectancy.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Predicting New-Onset Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Following Isolated Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting: Development and Validation of a Novel Nomogram

Objective

To select variables associated with new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) following isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and develop a nomogram for risk prediction in a Chinese population.

Methods

The study retrospectively enrolled 4854 consecutive patients undergoing isolated CABG from February 2018 to September 2019, they were divided into derivation cohort and validation cohort with a 3:1 ratio according to the order of operation date. In the derivation cohort, significant variables were selected by use of the multivariate logistic backward stepwise regression analysis and a nomogram model was built on the strength of the results. The model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration. Besides, we compared the discriminative ability for POAF of the nomogram with established prediction models (CHA2DS2-VASc and HATCH scores) in the two cohorts.

Results

POAF occurred in 1025 (28.2%) out of 3641 patients in the derivation cohort, and in 337 (27.8%) out of 1213 patients in the validation cohort. A nomogram, composed of eight prognostic variables, namely age, sex, heart rate, hypertension, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <50%, left atrial diameter (LAD) > 40mm, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) level, and on-pump surgery, was constructed from the derivation cohort. The nomogram had substantial discriminative ability in derivation and validation cohorts with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of 0.661 (95% confidence interval, 0.642–0.681) and 0.665 (95% confidence interval, 0.631–0.699), respectively, and showed well-fitted calibration curves. Compared with CHA2DS2-VASc, HATCH and POAF scores, respectively, the nomogram had superior discrimination performance.

Conclusion

We constructed a novel nomogram with improved accuracy for predicting the risk of POAF following isolated CABG, which might help clinicians predict individual probability of POAF and achieve effective prophylaxis.

Incidence of New Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiovascular Surgery in Vietnam: Results From A Novel Screening Strategy

Objective

To examine the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) newly developed after cardiovascular surgery in Vietnam, its associated risk factors, and postoperative complications. We also sought to evaluate the feasibility of a novel screening strategy for post-operative AF (POAF) using the combination of two portable devices.

Methods

Single-centre, prospective cohort study at the Cardiovascular Centre, E Hospital, Hanoi, Vietnam. All patients aged≥18 years, undergoing cardiovascular surgery and in sinus rhythm preoperatively were eligible. The primary outcome was occurrence of new-onset POAF detected by hand-held single-lead electrocardiography (ECG) or a sphygmomanometer with AF-detection algorithm. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify risk factors of developing post-operative AF. Feasibility was evaluated by compliance to the protocol and semi-structured interviews.

Results

112 patients were enrolled between 2018-2019: mean age 52.9±12.2 years; 50.9% female;92.0% (n=103) valve surgery; 9.8% (n=11)coronary surgery. New-onset POAF developed in 49patients (43.8%) with median time to onset 1.27days (IQR 0.96 -2.00 days). Age≥65 years was the only significant risk factor for the development of POAF(OR 3.78, 95% CI 1.16-12.34).The median thromboembolism risk scores (CHA2DS2-VASc score) were comparable among patients with and without POAF (1.0 vs. 1.0, p=0.104). The occurrence of POAF was associated with higher rates of postoperative complications (24.5% vs. 3.2%, p<0.001). Both doctors and nurses found this screening strategy feasible to be implemented long-term with the main difficulties being the instructions on both devices were in English, and an increase in workload.

Conclusions

In this single-centre study, new-onset POAF occurred in 43.8% of patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery. This novel POAF screening strategy was feasible in a low resource setting, and its implementation could be improved by providing continuous training and translation to local language.

Predictive Value of Systemic Immune Inflammation Index for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Undergoing Isolated Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

Objective:

Inflammation plays an important role in the initiation of postoperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF) in individuals undergoing cardiac surgery, Thus, this study aimed to investigate the predictive value of the systemic immune inflammation index (SII) to develop PoAF in such patients.

Methods:

In total, 391 consecutive patients undergoing an isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) were retrospectively analyzed. PoAF was defined according to the current guideline. The SII is determined using the following equation: neutrophil (N) × platelet (P) ÷ lymphocyte (L).

Results:

The incidence of PoAF in the present study was 24% (n=97 cases). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the SII was an independent predictor of PoAF (Odds ratio: 1.002 95% confidence interval: (1.001-1.002), p<0.01). The optimal value of the SII in detecting PoAF was established by a receiver operating characteristic curve assessment, and it was >807.8 with 60.8% sensitivity and 80.9% specificity [area under the curve (AUC): 0.7107]. The AUC value of SII in detecting PoAF was much greater than the AUC values of both the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (AUC: 0.6740 and AUC: 0.6426, respectively).

Conclusions:

This study revealed that SII was an independent predictor of PoAF in patients who were operated on for isolated CABG. Additionally, SII had a better discriminative ability for PoAF compared to either NLR or PLR among these cases.

Assessment of Platelet Reactivity and Inflammatory Markers in Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Patients Treated with Acetylsalicylic Acid with Flavonoid Supplementation

The recommended pharmacological therapy for patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) treated by coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is acetylsalicylic acid (ASA). To improve the antiplatelet effect, supplementation with flavonoids is also recommended. The aim of this study was to estimate anti-aggregation properties of diosmin, in combination with ASA, pre- and postoperatively and assess the relationship of this therapy with inflammatory processes in CAD patients undergoing CABG. The study patients (n = 26) took diosmin (1000 mg/day); the control patients (n = 27) took a placebo. The therapeutic period for taking diosmin was from at least 30 days before to 30 days after CABG. All patients also took 75 mg/day ASA. Platelet aggregation and IL-6, CRP, and fibrinogen concentrations were determined before and 30 days after surgery. Results showed that diosmin did not enhance the anti-aggregation effect of ASA at any assessment time. However, there was a stronger anti-aggregation effect 30 days after surgery that was diosmin independent and was associated with acute-phase markers in the postoperative period. Increased levels of inflammatory markers in the late phase of the postoperative period may provide an unfavorable prognostic factor in long-term follow-up, which should prompt the use of stronger antiplatelet therapy in patients after CABG.

A Prediction Rule Including Interleukin-6 in Pericardial Drainage Improves Prediction of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

OBJECTIVE

To test the hypothesis that a prediction rule including levels of interleukin-6 in pericardial drainage (pdIL-6) would improve the discrimination in classifying patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) into different postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) risk levels.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

A university-affiliated tertiary hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients undergoing CABG.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We prospectively recruited patients who underwent CABG into derivation and validation cohorts. The independent predictors were identified in the derivation cohort using multiple logistic regression and tested in the validation cohort. The performance of the predictive model was tested using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in both cohorts. A prediction rule was created by assigning points to each predictor. Patients were classified in various risk levels according to their total risk scores. We enrolled 302 and 207 patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified six predictors: age ≥61 y, left atrial diameter ≥49 mm, right atrial diameter ≥45 mm, number of grafts ≥3, and serum uric acid ≥226 µmol/L and pdIL-6 levels ≥166 ng/mL at postoperative 12 h. The AUC of the model was 0.78 and 0.77 for the derivation and validation cohort, respectively, which was greatly increased by adding pdIL-6. Patients were stratified into low-risk, moderate-risk and high-risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

A POAF prediction rule including pdIL-6 had good performance for stratifying CABG patients into various risk groups for POAF. The inclusion of pdIL-6 resulted in clinically meaningful improvement in risk prediction.

New-onset atrial fibrillation in critically ill acute kidney injury patients on renal replacement therapy

Aims

The effect of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) on mortality in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) treated in the intensive care unit (ICU) requiring continuous veno-venous haemodialysis (CVVHD) or intermittent haemodialysis (IHD) is unknown. Thus, we examined the incidence of NOAF in critically ill AKI patients undergoing CVVHD or IHD and the association between the timing of NOAF incidence in relation to renal replacement therapy (RRT) initiation and 1-year mortality.

Methods and results

Out of the 733 consecutively recruited ICU patients requiring RRT within the study period of 2010–2019, 516 patients without prior atrial fibrillation history were included in this retrospective study. Clinical comorbidities, medications and biochemistry as well as outcome data for 1-year all-cause mortality were recorded. Episodes of NOAF were collected from the pooled rhythm data covering the entire ICU stay of every patient. The median age was 64 (inter-quartile range 19) years, 165 (32%) were female, and 356 and 160 patients received CVVHD and IHD, respectively. NOAF was observed in 190 (37%) patients during ICU care and 217 (42%) patients died within the 1-year follow-up. Incident NOAF was independently associated with 1-year mortality in the multivariable logistic regression analysis after adjusting for dialysis modality, need for mechanical ventilation or vasopressor support and Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation II score. However, NOAF diagnosed after RRT initiation was not associated with mortality.

Conclusion

NOAF emerging before RRT initiation is associated with increased mortality in critically ill AKI patients requiring RRT. However, NOAF during RRT does not seem to be associated with mortality.

The Effects of Melatonin on the Oxidative Stress and Duration of Atrial Fibrillation after Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery: A Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is a common complication following Coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) Surgery, which may be due to oxidative stress, necrosis and inflammation during CABG and can lead to increases the length of hospital stay and the risk of morbidity and mortality. Melatonin is a hormone with anti-oxidant and anti-inflammatory properties in the cardiovascular system. This study assessed the efficacy of sublingual consumption of melatonin in reducing necrosis and inflammation, in patients undergoing CABG with respect to C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), Creatine Kinase-Muscle-Brain subunits (CK-MB) and cardiac Troponin T (cTnT) levels.

METHODS

One hundred and two patients were enrolled and twenty-six patients were excluded during the study process and finally seventy-six patients undergoing CABG surgery randomly assigned to melatonin group (n = 38, 12 mg sublingual melatonin the evening before and 1 hour before surgery, or the control group which did not receive Melatonin, n = 38). Three patients in the melatonin group and three patients in the control group were excluded from the study because of discontinued intervention and lost to follow up. The samples were collected before and 24 hours after surgery. hs-CRP, CK-MB, and cTnT levels were measured in all patients with the Elisa method.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in influencing variables among the groups at the baseline. The incidence of AF following CABG surgery was not statistically significant between the two groups, (p-value = 0.71). However, the duration of AF (p-value = 0.01), the levels of hs-CRP (p-value = 0.001) and CK-MB (p-value = 0.004) measured, 24 hours after surgery were significantly lower in the melatonin group. cTnT levels measured 24 hours post-CABG did not show any significant difference in both groups (p-value = 0.52).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that the administration of melatonin may help modulate oxidative stress, based on the reduction of the levels of hs-CRP, CK-MB, and the duration of AF following CABG surgery.

Calcium-Induced Autonomic Denervation in Patients With Post-Operative Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Post-operative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is associated with worse long-term cardiovascular outcomes.

OBJECTIVES

This study hypothesized that injecting calcium chloride (CaCl₂) into the major atrial ganglionated plexi (GPs) during isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) can reduce the incidence of POAF by calcium-induced autonomic neurotoxicity.

METHODS

This proof-of-concept study randomized 200 patients undergoing isolated, off-pump CABG to CaCl₂ (n = 100) or sodium chloride (sham, n = 100) injection. Two milliliters of CaCl₂ (5%) or sodium chloride (0.9%) was injected into the 4 major atrial GPs during CABG. All patients received 7-day continuous telemetry and Holter monitoring. The primary outcome was incidence of POAF (≥30 s) in 7 days. Secondary outcomes included length of hospitalization, POAF burden, average ventricular rate during AF, plasma level of inflammatory markers, and actionable antiarrhythmic therapy to treat POAF.

RESULTS

The POAF incidence was reduced from 36% to 15% (hazard ratio: 0.366; 95% confidence interval: 0.211 to 0.635; p = 0.001). Length of hospitalization did not differ between the 2 groups. POAF burden (first 7 post-operative days), the use of amiodarone or esmolol, and the incidence of atrial couplets and nonsustained atrial tachyarrhythmias were significantly reduced in the CaCl₂ group. Heart rate variability data showed a decrease in both high-frequency and low-frequency power in the CaCl₂ group with a preserved low-frequency/high-frequency ratio, suggesting that the sympathetic/parasympathetic balance was not perturbed by CaCl₂ injection.

CONCLUSIONS

Injection of CaCl₂ into the 4 major atrial GPs reduced the POAF hazard by 63%. Inhibition of GP function by Ca-mediated neurotoxicity may underlie the therapeutic effect. (Calcium Autonomic Denervation Prevents Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation; ChiCTR1800019276).

Neurological Complications of Cardiac Procedures

Neurological complications after cardiac surgery and percutaneous cardiac interventions are not uncommon. These include periprocedural stroke, postoperative cognitive dysfunction after cardiac surgery, contrast-induced encephalopathy after percutaneous interventions, and seizures. In this article, we review the incidence, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and management of these complications. Improved understanding of these complications could lead to their prevention, faster detection, and facilitation of diagnostic workup and appropriate treatment.

Effect of Low-dose ColchiciNe on the InciDence of Atrial Fibrillation in Open Heart Surgery Patients: END-AF Low Dose Trial

Background

Studies using 1 mg of colchicine to prevent postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) reported conflicting results. Moreover, colchicine was associated with significant gastrointestinal (GI) side effects. This study examined whether low-dose colchicine effectively prevents POAF and whether low-dose therapy is associated with lower rates of colchicine-induced GI side effects.

Methods

In this prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study, consecutive adult patients admitted for elective cardiac surgeries randomly received a 1-mg dose of colchicine (n = 81) or placebo (n = 71) orally 12 to 24 hours before surgery followed by a daily dose of 0.5 mg until hospital discharge. The primary efficacy endpoint was the development of at least one episode of POAF of ≥5 minutes. The primary safety endpoint was the development of adverse events, especially diarrhea.

Results

The in-hospital mortality rate was 3.9%. POAF occurred in 13 patients (16.1%) in the colchicine group and 13 patients (18.3%) in the placebo group (odds ratio 0.85 [95% Confidence Interval = 0.37−1.99]). Diarrhea occurred in two patients in each group and necessitated treatment discontinuation in one patient in each group.

Conclusion

Low-dose colchicine did not prevent POAF in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. These results should be interpreted cautiously because of the small sample size and early study termination.

ClinicalTrials.gov Unique Identifier number: NCT03015831

Long Term Outcome of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery-A Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Analysis

Background: Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) results in a longer hospital stay and excess mortality. However, whether POAF would increase stroke rate has been debated for years. When and how long should anticoagulation be used to prevent stroke are unknown. In the study, we planned to investigate the clinical demographics and long-term outcomes of POAF after cardiac surgery in a single-center cohort.

Methods: The cohort study used a database from National Taiwan University Hospital, a single tertiary medical center in Taiwan, between 2007 and 2017, to identify patients with prior normal sinus rhythm developing POAF after cardiac surgery. Patients without POAF after cardiac surgery were used as controls. Propensity score matching with 1:1 ratio and Cox regression models were employed to estimate the risk of transient ischemic accident (TIA) or ischemic stroke.

Results: From 2007 to 2017, a total of 8,374 patients received open-heart surgery, in which 1,585 patients with a history of AF were excluded. The overall incidence of TIA/ischemic stroke was 3.9% in a median 9.2-years of follow-up. After propensity matching, 1,965 matched paired subjects were included for analysis. Postoperative atrial fibrillation was associated with an increased risk of future AF [Hazard ratio (HR) 1.40, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) = 1.09–1.79, p = 0.008] and heart failure (HF) hospitalization (HR 1.58, 95%CI 1.23–2.04, p < 0.001); however, POAF did not significantly correlate with the risk of TIA/ischemic stroke (HR 1.17, 95%CI 0.85–1.60, p = 0.043). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that POAF was a significant predictor for future AF, HF hospitalization, and overall mortality, but not for TIA/ischemic stroke.

Conclusion: In the Asian population, POAF after cardiac surgery increased the risk of future AF, HF, and overall mortality, but was not associated with future TIA/ischemic stroke.

The preoperative glomerular filtration rate predicts new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy who undergo isolated septal myectomy

Background

Few studies have focused on new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy who have undergone septal myectomy. Therefore, we investigated the incidence and prognosis effects of postoperative atrial fibrillation following septal myectomy in patients with hypertensive obstructive cardiomyopathy. Additionally, we investigated the relationship of estimated glomerular filtration rate and postoperative atrial fibrillation.

Methods

Data from 300 patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy who underwent isolated surgical septal myectomy were collected from January 2012 to March 2018.

Results

The overall incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation during hospitalization was 22.67% (68 of 300 patients). Patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation were older (P<0.001), had lower preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (P<0.001), and a larger preoperative left atrial diameter (P=0.038) compared to patients without. The preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate predicted postoperative atrial fibrillation with sensitivity and specificity of 0.824 and 0.578 (P<0.001), respectively. Multivariate regression analyses showed that age [odds ratio (OR) =1.090, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.034-1.110], an New York Heart Association functional class ≥ III (OR =2.985, 95% CI: 1.349-6.604), hypertension (OR =2.212, 95% CI: 1.062-4.608), a history of syncope (OR =3.890, 95% CI: 1.741-8.692), and the preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (OR =0.981, 95% CI: 0.965-0.996) were independent risk factors associated in the development of postoperative atrial fibrillation. Survival analysis showed that the incidence of long-term cardiovascular events was higher in the patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation than that in the patients without the condition (P<0.001).

Conclusions

The preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate was a moderate predictor of postoperative atrial fibrillation after septal myectomy. Postoperative atrial fibrillation affected the early recovery and the long-term prognoses of patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy who underwent septal myectomy.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2021 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2021 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, adverse pregnancy outcomes, vascular contributions to brain health, the global burden of cardiovascular disease, and further evidence-based approaches to changing behaviors related to cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

Each of the 27 chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policy makers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Frontal plane QRS-T angle may be a predictor for post-coronary artery bypass graft surgery atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common arrhythmia following coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) and is associated with prolonged hospitalization, stroke, and mortality. The frontal plane QRS-T [f(QRS-T)] angle, which is defined as the angle between the directions of ventricular depolarization (QRS-axis) and repolarization (T-axis), is a novel marker of ventricular repolarization heterogeneity. The f(QRS-T) angle is associated with adverse cardiac outcomes. In light of these findings, in this study, we aimed to investigate the potential relationship between the f(QRS-T) angle and POAF.

METHODS

180 patients who underwent CABG between August 2017 and September 2018 were included in the study retrospectively. Two groups were established as patients who preserved postoperative sinus rhythm (n=130) and those who developed POAF (n=50). The f(QRS-T) angle and all other data were compared between groups.

RESULTS

The fF(QRS-T) angle (p<0.001), SYNTAX score (p=0.039), serum high-sensitivity CRP levels (p=0.026), mean age (p<0.001), electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy rate (LVH) (p=0.019), and hypertension rate (p=0.007) were higher, and the mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (p<0.001) was lower in the POAF group. Multivariable logistic regression analyses demonstrated that lower LVEF (p=0.004), LVH (p=0.041), and higher age (p=0.008) and f(QRS-T) angle (p<0.001) were independently associated with POAF.

CONCLUSIONS

High f(QRS-T) angle level is closely associated with the development of POAF. The f(QRS-T) angle can be a potential indicator of POAF.

Determination of Cerebrovascular Accident Predictors in Patients with New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is associated with an increased risk of short and long-term stroke. Our aim is to identify the independent predictors of cerebrovascular accident (CVA) development in the patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery and developed POAF which lasted within 48 h.

METHOD

301 consecutive patients who underwent isolated CABG surgery in our institution between January 2015 and September 2019 and developed POAF which lasted within 48 h, were retrospectively analyzed. Oral anticoagulant (OAC) treatment was not started in any of these patients, and those who received OAC during follow-ups, were excluded from the study. The predictors of CVA development after mean 32.1± 17.9 months follow-up, were determined by using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

20 (6.6%) patients developed CVA, in which 6 (2.0%) of them were in-hospital events. As a result of the multivariate analysis, being over 70 year-old, history of CVA, hypertension (HT), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 45% were determined as the independent predictors of CVA development over time. Having at least two of these factors could predict CVA development with sensitivity of 95.0% and specificity of 82.2%. This predictive value was better than the value obtained with CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.

CONCLUSION

The risk factors which we have obtained, might be used to evaluate the risk of CVA development over time in the patients who underwent isolated CABG surgery and developed POAF which lasted within 48 h.

New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting and Long-Term Outcome: A Population-Based Nationwide Study From the SWEDEHEART Registry

Background

The long‐term impact of new‐onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after coronary artery bypass grafting and the benefit of early‐initiated oral anticoagulation (OAC) in patients with POAF are uncertain.

Methods and Results

All patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting without preoperative atrial fibrillation in Sweden from 2007 to 2015 were included in a population‐based study using data from 4 national registries: SWEDEHEART (Swedish Web System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence‐based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies), National Patient Registry, Dispensed Drug Registry, and Cause of Death Registry. POAF was defined as any new‐onset atrial fibrillation during the first 30 postoperative days. Cox regression models (adjusted for age, sex, comorbidity, and medication) were used to assess long‐term outcome in patients with and without POAF, and potential associations between early‐initiated OAC and outcome. In a cohort of 24 523 patients with coronary artery bypass grafting, POAF occurred in 7368 patients (30.0%), and 1770 (24.0%) of them were prescribed OAC within 30 days after surgery. During follow‐up (median 4.5 years, range 0‒9 years), POAF was associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.18 [95% CI, 1.05‒1.32]), any thromboembolism (ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or peripheral arterial embolism) (aHR 1.16, 1.05‒1.28), heart failure hospitalization (aHR 1.35, 1.21‒1.51), and recurrent atrial fibrillation (aHR 4.16, 3.76‒4.60), but not with all‐cause mortality (aHR 1.08, 0.98‒1.18). Early initiation of OAC was not associated with reduced risk of ischemic stroke or any thromboembolism but with increased risk for major bleeding (aHR 1.40, 1.08‒1.82).

Conclusions

POAF after coronary artery bypass grafting is associated with negative prognostic impact. The role of early OAC therapy remains unclear. Studies aiming at reducing the occurrence of POAF and its consequences are warranted.

[Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery: Risk Factors, Prevention and Treatment]

This review focuses on the issue of atrial fibrillation (AF) following coronary bypass surgery in patients with ischemic heart disease. Risk factors of this complication are discussed in detail. The authors addressed the effect of diabetes mellitus on development of postoperative AF. Data on current methods for prevention and treatment of AF are provided.

Considerations for Reduction of Risk of Perioperative Stroke in Adult Patients Undergoing Cardiac and Thoracic Aortic Operations: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Perioperative stroke is one of the most severe and feared complications of cardiac surgery. Based on the timing of onset and detection, perioperative stroke can be classified as intraoperative or postoperative. The pathogenesis of perioperative stroke is multifactorial, which makes prediction and prevention challenging. However, information on its incidence, mechanisms, diagnosis, and treatment can be helpful in minimizing the perioperative neurological risk for individual patients. We herein provide suggestions on preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative strategies aimed at reducing the risk of perioperative stroke and at improving the outcomes of patients who experience a perioperative stroke.

Atrial Myocyte NLRP3/CaMKII Nexus Forms a Substrate for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation

RATIONALE

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common and troublesome complication of cardiac surgery. POAF is generally believed to occur when postoperative triggers act on a preexisting vulnerable substrate, but the underlying cellular and molecular mechanisms are largely unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To identify cellular POAF mechanisms in right atrial samples from patients without a history of atrial fibrillation undergoing open-heart surgery.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Multicellular action potentials, membrane ion-currents (perforated patch-clamp), or simultaneous membrane-current (ruptured patch-clamp) and [Ca²⁺]_i-recordings in atrial cardiomyocytes, along with protein-expression levels in tissue homogenates or cardiomyocytes, were assessed in 265 atrial samples from patients without or with POAF. No indices of electrical, profibrotic, or connexin remodeling were noted in POAF, but Ca²⁺-transient amplitude was smaller, although spontaneous sarcoplasmic reticulum (SR) Ca²⁺-release events and L-type Ca²⁺-current alternans occurred more frequently. CaMKII (Ca²⁺/calmodulin-dependent protein kinase-II) protein-expression, CaMKII-dependent phosphorylation of the cardiac RyR2 (ryanodine-receptor channel type-2), and RyR2 single-channel open-probability were significantly increased in POAF. SR Ca²⁺-content was unchanged in POAF despite greater SR Ca²⁺-leak, with a trend towards increased SR Ca²⁺-ATPase activity. Patients with POAF also showed stronger expression of activated components of the NLRP3 (NACHT, LRR, and PYD domains-containing protein-3)-inflammasome system in atrial whole-tissue homogenates and cardiomyocytes. Acute application of interleukin-1β caused NLRP3-signaling activation and CaMKII-dependent RyR2/phospholamban hyperphosphorylation in an immortalized mouse atrial cardiomyocyte cell-line (HL-1-cardiomyocytes) and enhanced spontaneous SR Ca²⁺-release events in both POAF cardiomyocytes and HL-1-cardiomyocytes. Computational modeling showed that RyR2 dysfunction and increased SR Ca²⁺-uptake are sufficient to reproduce the Ca²⁺-handling phenotype and indicated an increased risk of proarrhythmic delayed afterdepolarizations in POAF subjects in response to interleukin-1β.

CONCLUSIONS

Preexisting Ca²⁺-handling abnormalities and activation of NLRP3-inflammasome/CaMKII signaling are evident in atrial cardiomyocytes from patients who subsequently develop POAF. These molecular substrates sensitize cardiomyocytes to spontaneous Ca²⁺-releases and arrhythmogenic afterdepolarizations, particularly upon exposure to inflammatory mediators. Our data reveal a potential cellular and molecular substrate for this important clinical problem.

New-onset atrial fibrillation and outcomes following isolated coronary artery bypass surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Prior meta‐analyses have shown that new‐onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) occurs in up to 40% of patients following cardiac surgery and is associated with substantial major adverse cardiovascular events. The stroke and mortality implications of NOAF in isolated CABG without concomitant valve surgery is not known. We thought that NOAF would be associated with increased risk of stroke and mortality, even in patients undergoing isolated CABG. A blinded review of studies from MEDLINE, CENTRAL, and Web of Science was done by two independent investigators. Stroke, 30‐day/hospital mortality, long‐term cardiovascular mortality, and long‐term (>1 year) all‐cause mortality were analyzed. We used Review Manager Version 5.3 to perform pooled analysis of outcomes. Of 4461 studies identified, 19 studies (n = 129 628) met inclusion criteria. NOAF incidence ranged from 15% to 36%. NOAF was associated with increased risk of stroke (unadjusted OR 2.15 [1.82, 2.53] [P < .00001]; adjusted OR 1.88 [1.02, 3.46] [P = .04]). NOAF was associated with increased 30‐day/hospital mortality (OR 2.35 [1.67, 3.32] [P < .00001]) and long‐term cardiovascular mortality (OR 2.04 [1.35, 3.09] [P = .0007]) NOAF was associated with increased long‐term all‐cause mortality (unadjusted OR 1.79 [1.63, 1.96] [P < .00001]; adjusted OR 1.58 [1.24, 2.00] [P = .0002]). We found that the incidence of NOAF following isolated CABG is high and is associated with increased stroke rate and mortality. Early recognition and management of NOAF could improve outcomes.