Medians for second-trimester maternal serum markers: geographical differences and variation caused by median multiples-of-median equations

Preconception anti-annexin A5 antibodies are associated with subsequent live birth in women with recurrent miscarriage: A retrospective study from China

PROBLEM

To evaluate the correlation between the antiannexin A5 antibodies (aAnxA5) multiples of median (MOM) and subsequent pregnancy outcomes in women with recurrent miscarriage (RM).

METHODS

Totally, 310 RM women were included in this study and grouped into tertiles according to their MOM of preconception aAnxA5 circulating levels determined by ELISA. The effect of aAnxA5 on the pregnancy outcomes was performed using multiple logistic regression. The outcomes included early miscarriage (before 10 weeks of gestation), late miscarriage (between 10 and 24 weeks), ongoing pregnancy (beyond 10 weeks), and live birth (after 24 weeks) characterized by pregnancy with fetal heartbeat.

RESULTS

For each unit increase in aAnxA5 MOM, the odds of live birth after 24 weeks and ongoing pregnancy were reduced by 40.2% (OR = .598; 95%CI 0.406-0.882, P = .010) and 38.1% (OR = .619; 95%CI 0.424-0.904, P = .013), respectively, after adjusting for demographic and clinical characteristics. The rise in aAnxA5 MOM was associated with an increased risk of early miscarriage (OR = 1.616; 95%CI 1.106-2.361, P = .013) and miscarriage (early + late miscarriage) (OR = 1.671; 95%CI 1.134-2.464, P = .010). Further subgroup analyses showed a decreased risk of live birth rates after 24 weeks of gestation in the two subgroups: maternal age ≥35 years (OR = .131; 95%CI 0.026-0.652), and previous pregnancy loss ≥ 3 (OR = .381; 95%CI 0.173-0.837).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher preconception aAnxA5 MOM levels in women with RM may be linked with a decreased risk of live birth after 24 weeks and an increased risk of early miscarriage, especially in individuals aged ≥35 years or with previous pregnancy losses ≥3.

Decreased Expression of Placental Proteins in Recurrent Pregnancy Loss: Functional Relevance and Diagnostic Value

Miscarriages affect 50-70% of all conceptions and 15-20% of clinically recognized pregnancies. Recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL, ≥2 miscarriages) affects 1-5% of recognized pregnancies. Nevertheless, our knowledge about the etiologies and pathophysiology of RPL is incomplete, and thus, reliable diagnostic/preventive tools are not yet available. Here, we aimed to define the diagnostic value of three placental proteins for RPL: human chorionic gonadotropin free beta-subunit (free-β-hCG), pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), and placental growth factor (PlGF). Blood samples were collected from women with RPL (n = 14) and controls undergoing elective termination of pregnancy (n = 30) at the time of surgery. Maternal serum protein concentrations were measured by BRAHMS KRYPTOR Analyzer. Daily multiple of median (dMoM) values were calculated for gestational age-specific normalization. To obtain classifiers, logistic regression analysis was performed, and ROC curves were calculated. There were differences in changes of maternal serum protein concentrations with advancing healthy gestation. Between 6 and 13 weeks, women with RPL had lower concentrations and dMoMs of free β-hCG, PAPP-A, and PlGF than controls. PAPP-A dMoM had the best discriminative properties (AUC = 0.880). Between 9 and 13 weeks, discriminative properties of all protein dMoMs were excellent (free β-hCG: AUC = 0.975; PAPP-A: AUC = 0.998; PlGF: AUC = 0.924). In conclusion, free-β-hCG and PAPP-A are valuable biomarkers for RPL, especially between 9 and 13 weeks. Their decreased concentrations indicate the deterioration of placental functions, while lower PlGF levels indicate problems with placental angiogenesis after 9 weeks.

Indigenization of the median of markers for Down syndrome screening based on statistical analysis of medical big data

OBJECTIVE

To indigenize the median of Down syndrome (DS) screening markers for first and second trimester, and compare the impact of the indigenized and built-in median data on the efficiency of DS screening.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data derived from first and Second-trimester screening (FTS and STS) for DS, composed of selected pregnancies deemed to be normal, were examined in a retrospective study. Indigenization regression analysis was calculated by using five models to fit statistical the raw data. Multiple of median (MoM) values estimated by using indigenized medians were compared with those calculated by using built-in.

RESULTS

This study established a regression equation which is more suitable for the median of each screening marker in the local pregnant women. The changes of median MoM of screening markers were statistically significant after indigenization. For FTS, the detection rate was 100% when the false positive rate was 5%, and the cut-off value was 1/262. On the other hand, for STS, the detection rate of the model with indigenized parameters was 77.42%, which is 16.13% higher than that of built-in parameters.

CONCLUSION

For the individual specific risk of pregnancy, when the indigenized parameters was used to calculate, is more accurately and screening effectiveness has been improved. This is a great reference significance for the current prenatal screening whether indigenized data should be used.

Risk of Severe Maternal Morbidity or Death in Relation to Prenatal Biochemical Screening: Population-Based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine whether prenatal biochemical screening analytes are associated with an increased risk of severe maternal morbidity (SMM) or maternal mortality.

STUDY DESIGN

This population-based cohort study includes all women in Ontario, Canada, who underwent prenatal screening from 2001 to 2011. Increasing fifth percentiles of the multiple of the median (MoM) for alphafetoprotein (AFP), total human chorionic gonadotropin, unconjugated estriol (uE3), dimeric inhibin-A (DIA), and pregnancy-associated plasma protein A were evaluated. An abnormally high concentration (>95th percentile MoM) for each analyte, individually and combined, was also evaluated. The main outcome assessed was the adjusted relative risk (aRR) of SMM or maternal mortality from 20 weeks' gestation up to 26 weeks thereafter.

RESULTS

Among 748,972 pregnancies, 11,177 resulted in SMM or maternal mortality (1.5%). Except for uE3, the aRR of SMM or maternal mortality increased in association with increasing fifth percentiles of the MoM for all analytes. AFP (aRR: 2.10; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.97-2.25) and DIA (aRR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.98-2.74) > 95th versus ≤ 5th percentile of the MoM were especially associated with SMM or death.

CONCLUSION

Women with abnormally high concentrations of certain prenatal biochemical analytes may be at a higher risk of SMM or death in pregnancy or postpartum.

A toolkit for the application of placental-fetal molecular biomarkers in epidemiologic studies of the fetal origins of chronic disease

Purpose of review

In this review, we provide essential background knowledge and an analytical framework for the application of placental-fetal molecular biomarkers in fetal origins chronic disease epidemiology. The widely available and highly quantitative placental hormone human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) is used as an example. hCG is currently used for diagnosing fetal genetic disorders; yet it can and should be expanded to understanding the fetal origins of chronic diseases. We provide justification and methods to do this.

Recent findings

Ten papers published in the last 5 years were identified with supportive findings relevant to the application of biomarkers of hCG in epidemiologic studies on the developmental origins of health and disease (DOHaD).

Summary

There is increasing and consistent evidence that placental-fetal biomarkers may be highly informative in observational studies, as exemplified by hCG, with the correct approaches for measurement and data analysis.

Risk stratification for early-onset fetal growth restriction in women with abnormal serum biomarkers: a retrospective cohort study

Abnormal maternal serum biomarkers (AMSB), identified through the aneuploidy screening programme, are frequent incidental findings in pregnancy. They are associated with fetal growth restriction (FGR), but previous studies have not examined whether this association is with early-onset (< 34 weeks) or late-onset (> 34 weeks) FGR; as a result there is no consensus on management. The aims of this study were to determine the prevalence and phenotype of FGR in women with AMSB and test the predictive value of placental sonographic screening to predict early-onset FGR. 1196 pregnant women with AMSB underwent a 21-24 week "placental screen" comprising fetal and placental size, and uterine artery Doppler. Multivariable regression was used to calculate a predictive model for early-onset FGR (birthweight centile < 3rd/< 10th with absent umbilical end-diastolic flow, < 34 weeks). FGR prevalence was high (10.3%), however early-onset FGR was uncommon (2.3%). Placental screening effectively identified early-onset (area under the curve (AUC) 0.93, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.87-1.00), but not late-onset FGR (AUC 0.70, 95% CI 0.64-0.75). Internal validation demonstrated robust performance for detection/exclusion of early-onset FGR. In this cohort, utilisation of our proposed algorithm with targeted fetal growth and Doppler surveillance, compared with universal comprehensive surveillance would have avoided 1044 scans, potentiating significant cost-saving for maternity services.

Optimization of regional median equations of prenatal screening markers for trisomy 21 in a Chinese population

To establish gestational age-specific and body weight-specific mid-trimester normal median equations for the prenatal serum markers α-fetoprotein (AFP), free β subunit human chorionic gonadotropin (fβHCG), and unconjugated oestriol (uE3) for a Chinese population; to compare and replace the median equations built in LifeCycle software; to evaluate the effect of equations used for gestation correction on estimating risk in Down's syndrome, Edward's syndrome, and neural tube defect (NTD).A total of 353,065 cases of prenatal screening data of pregnant women were screened by 13 prenatal screening institutions in China. The local median equations of each institution and the large data were fitted by the least square regression, and then the difference was compared between large data equations and local median equations. The applicability of the localized median equations was evaluated by the determination coefficient. Based on the established median equations, multiples of median (MoM) of each values were calculated and compared with the latest Down's syndrome quality assurance support service (DQASS).There is no significant difference between the local median equations of each institution and the large sample median equations, which are various from LifeCycle built-in median equations. Besides, the determination coefficient of localized median equations are >0.99. 97.0% MoM medians obtained by using local median equations are consistent with latest standard of DQASS.The median established by large sample data represents the median level of a Chinese population, and can be used to replace the software built-in median equations to achieve better screening results.

Prenatal biochemical screening and long term risk of maternal cardiovascular disease: population based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether abnormal prenatal biochemical screening results are associated with an increased risk of premature cardiovascular disease after pregnancy.

DESIGN

Population based cohort study.

SETTING

The entire province of Ontario, Canada, where healthcare is universally available.

PARTICIPANTS

Women aged 12-55 years, without pre-existing cardiovascular disease, who underwent prenatal screening between 1993 and 2011. One pregnancy per woman was randomly selected.

EXPOSURES

Low (≤5th centile multiple of the median) serum total chorionic gonadotropin, unconjugated estriol, and pregnancy associated plasma protein A and high (≥95th centile multiple of the median) alphafetoprotein and dimeric inhibin-A.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Composite of hospital admission or revascularisation for coronary artery, cerebrovascular, or peripheral arterial disease or hospital admission for heart failure or dysrhythmia at least 365 days after pregnancy.

RESULTS

Among 855 536 pregnancies, and after a median of 11.4 (interquartile range 6.8-17.5) years of follow-up, 6209 women developed the main cardiovascular disease outcome. Abnormal results for each of the five prenatal biochemical screening analytes, especially dimeric inhibin-A, were associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease. Women with an abnormally high dimeric inhibin-A (≥95th centile) had the highest rate of cardiovascular disease (30 events or 8.3 per 10 000 person years versus 251 events or 3.8 per 10 000 person years for those <95th centile; multivariable adjusted hazard ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval 1.4 to 3.0). Compared with women without any abnormal biochemical measure, the hazard ratio for the cardiovascular disease composite outcome was 1.2-1.3 times higher with one abnormal analyte and 1.5-2.0 times higher with two or more abnormal analytes.

CONCLUSIONS

Women with abnormal prenatal biochemical screening results, especially for dimeric inhibin-A, may be at higher risk of cardiovascular disease. If these findings are replicated elsewhere, a massive amount of data exists that could aid in identifying women at higher risk of premature cardiovascular disease and that could be conveyed to them or their healthcare providers.

Triple test screening for Down syndrome: an Egyptian-tailored study

BACKGROUND

The incidence of Down syndrome (DS) in Egypt varies between 1:555 and 1:770 and its screening by triple test is becoming increasingly popular nowadays. Results, however, seem inaccurate due to the lack of Egyptian-specific information needed for risk calculation and a clear policy for programme implementation. Our study aimed at calculation and validation of the triple marker medians used in screening Egyptian females as well as to recommend programme conventions to unify screening in this country.

METHODS

The study was conducted on 668 Egyptian women, in weeks 15-20 of pregnancy as proven by sonar. Chorionic gonadotropin (CG), α-fetoprotein (AFP) and unconjugated oestriol (uE3) were measured on Siemens Immulite analyzer. Medians of the three parameters were calculated, regressed against gestational age (GA) and weighted by the number of participants/week. Equations were derived to adjust each parameter to the maternal weight and were centered on the median Egyptian weight. Prisca software was fed with the above data, multiples-of-median (MoM) and DS risks were calculated and the screening performance was evaluated at a mid-trimester risk cutoff of 1:270.

RESULTS

Log-linear [AFP/uE3 = 10(A+B*GA)] and exponential equations [CG = A*e (B*GA)] were derived and the regressed medians were found to follow similar patterns to other Asian and Western medians. Oestriol was always lowest (even halved) while CG and AFP were intermediate. A linear reciprocal model best fitted weight distribution among Egyptians and successfully adjusted each parameter to a weight of 78.2 kg. Epidemiological monitoring of these recommendations revealed satisfactory performance in terms of 6.7% initial positive rate and 1.00 grand MoM.

CONCLUSIONS

Adoption of the above recommendations is hoped to pave the way to a successful DS screening programme tailored to Egyptian peculiarities.

Retrospective study evaluating the performance of a first-trimester combined screening for trisomy 21 in an Italian unselected population

OBJECTIVES

to assess the performance of a combined first-trimester screening for trisomy 21 in an unselected Italian population referred to a specialized private center for prenatal medicine.

METHODS

a retrospective validation of first-trimester screening algorithms [risk calculation based on maternal age and nuchal translucency (NT) alone, maternal age and serum parameters (free β-hCG and PAPP-A) alone and a combination of both] for fetal aneuploidies evaluated in an unselected Italian population at Artemisia Fetal-Maternal Medical Centre in Rome. All measurements were performed between 11(+0) and 13(+6) weeks of gestation, between April 2007 and December 2008.

RESULTS

of 3,610 single fetuses included in the study, we had a complete follow-up on 2,984. Fourteen of 17 cases of trisomy 21 were detected when a cut-off of 1:300 was applied [detection rate (DR) 82.4%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 64.2-100; false-positive rate (FPR) 4.7%, 95% CI 3.9-5.4; false-negative rate (FNR) 17.6%, 95% CI 0-35.8%].

CONCLUSION

in our study population the detection rate for trisomy 21, using the combined risk calculation based on maternal age, fetal NT, maternal PAPP-A and free β-hCG levels, was superior to the application of either parameter alone. The algorithm has been validated for first trimester screening in the Italian population.

Maternal serum median levels of alpha-foetoprotein, human chorionic gonadotropin & unconjugated estriol in second trimester in pregnant women from north-west India

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES

Triple test as prenatal screening procedure does not form a part of routine health care of pregnant women in India. Hence, median values of triple test biomarkers are lacking for Indian population. This study was undertaken to establish population-specific medians for biomarkers viz. alpha-foetoprotien (AFP), human chorionic gonadotropin (hCGβ), and unconjugated estriol (uE3) for detection of Down's syndrome, Edward's syndrome and neural tube defects (NTDs) in pregnant women in north-west India.

METHODS

Serum biomarker values were derived from 5420 pregnant women between 15-20 wk of gestation who were enrolled for triple test investigations at Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Government Medical College and Hospital, Chandigarh, India, between January, 2007 to December, 2009. Median values were calculated for rounded weeks using database comprising pregnancies with normal outcomes only. Simple statistical analysis and log-linear regression were used for median estimation of the biomarker values.

RESULTS

The levels of the three biomarkers were found to be ranging from 1.38 to 187.00 IU/ml for AFP, 1.06 to 315 ng/ml for hCGβ, and 0.25 to 28.5 nmol/l for uE3. The age of women ranged from 18 to 47 yr and mean weight was 57.9 ± 9.8 kg. Data revealed that AFP, hCGβ and uE3 medians in our study population were not significantly different from those reported from other countries or when compared ethnically.

INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSION

The population-specific median values for the three biomarkers (AFP, hCGβ, uE3) may be used as reference values during prenatal screening in Indian pregnant women.

Comparison of two different sites of measurement for transabdominal uterine artery Doppler velocimetry at 11-13 weeks

OBJECTIVES

To compare the feasibility of two transabdominal approaches for performing first-trimester uterine artery (UtA) Doppler and to evaluate the correlation with pulsatility index (PI) in the second trimester.

METHODS

This was a prospective longitudinal Doppler study of the uterine arteries at 11-13 and 21-22 weeks' gestation. Transabdominal ultrasound and color Doppler were used to measure the UtA-PI of the ascending branch of the uterine artery at the level of the internal cervical os (Site A) and at the level of the apparent crossover with the external iliac artery (Site B) at 11-13 weeks, and at Site B only at 21-22 weeks. In all cases the measured left and right PI were converted to a multiple of the median (MoM) for gestational age, and the intercorrelation between the measurements at different sites and gestational ages was calculated using non-parametric analysis (Spearman's rank correlation).

RESULTS

Satisfactory measurements were obtained at 11-13 weeks from both uterine arteries in all 81 women at Site A and in 50 (62%; 95% CI, 50-72%) at Site B (P < 0.01). Measurements were obtained at Site B at 21-22 weeks in all cases. In the 50 cases with measurements from both sites at 11-13 weeks, the correlation of PI-MoMs between Sites A and B at 11-13 weeks was only moderate (ρ = 0.61). The correlation between first-trimester UtA-PI MoMs at Site A and second-trimester UtA-PI MoMs was stronger than that between first-trimester UtA-PI MoMs at Site B and second-trimester UtA-PI MoMs (ρ = 0.73 vs ρ = 0.47, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Evaluation of UtA-PI at 11-13 weeks can be achieved at the level of the internal cervical os in a greater proportion of women than at the level of the apparent crossover with the external iliac vessels, and the measurements obtained correlate better with second-trimester UtA-PI.

Performance characteristics of the UniCel DxI 800 immunoassay for the maternal serum quadruple test, including median values for each week of gestation, in Korean women

BACKGROUND

Maternal serum prenatal quadruple screening includes testing for alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), unconjugated estriol (uE3), and dimeric inhibin A (DIA). We evaluated quadruple screening using an automated platform and looked for any ethnic differences in the median values of each marker.

METHODS

We measured the concentrations of each quadruple test analyte using the UniCel DxI 800 system (Beckman Coulter, USA) in 788 Korean mid-trimester maternal serum samples and calculated their median values using Benetech software (Benetech, Canada). We also compared the results with those obtained using the Immulite 2000 assay (Siemens Healthcare Diagnostics, USA) or ELISA (DSL, USA) in 442 samples.

RESULTS

We obtained mid-trimester median values for each marker. The following are the comparative results for each test using the Immulite 2000 assay or ELISA (x) and the UniCel DxI 800 immunoassay (y): AFP, y=1.10x+0.01, r=0.925; uE3, y=0.28x+0.24, r=0.885; hCG, y=1.22x-3047.8, r=0.944; and DIA, y=0.86x+15.31, r=0.833. Assay results for each of the four markers showed good correlations. However, significant biases necessitated new median calculations of prenatal risk estimates in all four tests.

CONCLUSIONS

We established gestational age-specific second-trimester median values for four markers in Korean samples using the UniCel DxI 800 immunoassay system. Despite significant bias, there were good correlations between the results obtained using the UniCel DxI 800 immunoassay and those obtained using the Immulite 2000 assay.

Down's syndrome screening: population statistic dependency of screening performance

BACKGROUND

The choice of parameter sets used to calculate Down's syndrome risks is important. This study details analysis of samples from affected and unaffected pregnancies and evaluates whether published population data is optimal. Screening efficiency realized with measurement procedure-specific population parameters is compared with selected population sets available in the literature.

METHODS

In a retrospective experiment, double and triple testing was performed on maternal serum samples from 286 randomly chosen unaffected singleton pregnancies and 95 Down's syndrome affected pregnancy samples. Using a risk cut-off of 1 in 250, detection rates and false positive rates were estimated for different population settings to select a model giving the best overall efficacy. Receiver operation characteristics curve analysis was performed and detection rates realized with the different population settings was estimated at a 5% fixed false positive rate.

RESULTS

Geometric mean weight corrected multiples of the median values were 1.01 for alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), 1.02 for human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) and 1.01 for unconjugated estriol (uE3) in unaffected pregnancies and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.71-0.83) for AFP, 2.42 (95% CI: 2.17-2.71) for hCG and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.73-0.83) for uE3 in affected pregnancies. Differences in double and triple risks obtained with the different models were significantly different from each other (p < 0.001). At a cut-off of 1 in 250, the maximum triple test detection rate was 75.8% for a false positive rate of 4.9% and was obtained with the measurement procedure-specific setting. At a fixed false positive rate of 5%, the maximum detection rate for the triple test was 77.9% (95% CI: 62.2%-85.8%). The maximum double test detection rate at 5% false positive rate was 69.6% (95% CI: 59.5%-78.5%). Except for two models, the area under the curve for the triple test was higher than that of the double test.

CONCLUSIONS

The Access triple test meets the typical performance characteristics for this test combination. The assay-specific settings yielded the overall best efficacy for the criteria studied. Therefore, the availability of measurement procedure-specific mid-trimester reference values for unaffected and affected pregnancies in prenatal screening programs is essential. Such reference values are established for the Beckman Coulter Access triple test: maternal serum AFP, uE3 and hCG.

Evaluation of Down's syndrome screening population data sets by simulation: analyser-specific parameters may be superior to meta-analysis-derived parameters

OBJECTIVE

Choice of parameter sets used to calculate Down's syndrome risks is complicated. Published population statistics were compared with assay-specific parameters to optimise screening efficiency.

DESIGN

Weight-corrected Gaussian population statistics for alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG) and unconjugated oestriol (uE(3)), expressed as log(10) multiples of median (MoM) were established for a Belgian cohort of 748 unaffected pregnancies. Using Cuckle's method and Access-specific data, Down's syndrome parameters were tailored to the Belgian cohort. Correlated marker triplets for affected and unaffected pregnancies were modelled and combined with maternal age to calculate term risks for Trisomy 21. Receiver-Operator-Curve (ROC) analysis was performed to identify the optimally-performing population set.

RESULTS

Log-normal distributions for the Access markers had geometric mean MoM values close to zero and standard deviation values equal to 0.1460 (AFP), 0.2185 (HCG) and 0.1317 (uE(3)). Correlation between AFP and other markers was significant (p < 0.001). Correlation between HCG and uE(3) was not significant (p = 0.4818). The median ratio between the lowest and highest risk outcomes for the test MoM set was 4.3. Areas under ROC curves differed significantly (p < 0.001) between the models and the analyser-assay specific parameters resulted in the largest area. At a 1 in 250 threshold, sensitivity and specificity were 69% and 96%. At false-positive rates (1-specificity) = 5%, sensitivity was 72.5%.

CONCLUSION

Population parameters significantly affect risk outcome and hence screening performance. Highest efficiency may be obtained with parameters tailored to an assay-specific population model. Consequently models from literature, without knowledge of the assay/analyser combination may lead to suboptimal performance.