Socioeconomic position and risk of atrial fibrillation: a nationwide Danish cohort study

Social determinants of health and clinical outcomes among patients with atrial fibrillation: evidence from a global federated health research network

BACKGROUND

Few studies have investigated the role of social determinants of health (SDoH) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

AIM

To investigate the relationship between SDoH and adverse events in a large multinational AF cohort.

DESIGN

Retrospective study utilizing a global federated health research network (TriNetX).

METHODS

Patients with AF were categorized as socially deprived defined according to ICD codes based on three SDoHs: (i) extreme poverty; (ii) unemployment; and/or (iii) problems related with living alone. The outcomes were the 5-year risk of a composite outcomes of all-cause death, hospitalization, ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, heart failure (HF) or severe ventricular arrhythmias. Cox regression was used to compute hazard rate ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) following 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

The study included 24 631 socially deprived (68.8 ± 16.0 years; females 51.8%) and 2 462 092 non-deprived AF patients (75.5 ± 13.1 years; females 43.8%). Before PSM, socially deprived patients had a higher risk of the composite outcome (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.87-1.93), all-cause death (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.28-1.39), hospitalization (HR 2.01, 95% CI 1.98-2.04), IHD (HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.64-1.70), stroke (HR 2.60, 95% CI 2.51-2.64), HF (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.86-1.96) and severe ventricular arrhythmias (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.76-1.90) compared to non-deprived AF patients. The PSM-based hazard ratios for the primary composite outcome were 1.54 (95% CI 1.49-1.60) for the unemployed AF patients; 1.39 (95% CI 1.31-1.47) for patients with extreme poverty or with low income; and 1.42 (95% CI 1.37-1.47) for those with problems related with living alone.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF, social deprivation is associated with an increased risk of death and adverse cardiac events. The presence of possible unmeasured bias associated with the retrospective design requires confirmation in future prospective studies.

Are Socioeconomic Factors Associated With Atrial Fibrillation Sex-Dependent? A Narrative Review

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, poses a significant public health and economic burden. Although socioeconomic factors such as income and education have been implicated in AF incidence and outcomes, the potential sex-specific associations remained underexplored. This narrative review aimed to fill this gap by synthesizing existing literature on the sex-specific impact of socioeconomic factors on AF incidence, treatment, and outcome. Among these socioeconomic factors, we identified income and education as the most frequently cited determinants. Nevertheless, the magnitude and direction of these sex differences remained inconsistent across studies. The review uncovered that many studies did not include sex in the analysis when assessing the impact of socioeconomic factors on AF. We highlighted that there is a paucity of studies employing sex-stratified reporting and sex interaction analyses, thereby hindering a deeper understanding of these relationships.

2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation" provides recommendations to guide clinicians in the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 12, 2022, to November 3, 2022, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline. Additional relevant studies, published through November 2022, during the guideline writing process, were also considered by the writing committee and added to the evidence tables, where appropriate.

STRUCTURE

Atrial fibrillation is the most sustained common arrhythmia, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing in the United States and globally. Recommendations from the "2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" and the "2019 AHA/ACC/HRS Focused Update of the 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" have been updated with new evidence to guide clinicians. In addition, new recommendations addressing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk assessment, anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion, atrial fibrillation catheter or surgical ablation, and risk factor modification and atrial fibrillation prevention have been developed.

2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" provides recommendations to guide clinicians in the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 12, 2022, to November 3, 2022, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline. Additional relevant studies, published through November 2022, during the guideline writing process, were also considered by the writing committee and added to the evidence tables, where appropriate.

STRUCTURE

Atrial fibrillation is the most sustained common arrhythmia, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing in the United States and globally. Recommendations from the "2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" and the "2019 AHA/ACC/HRS Focused Update of the 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" have been updated with new evidence to guide clinicians. In addition, new recommendations addressing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk assessment, anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion, atrial fibrillation catheter or surgical ablation, and risk factor modification and atrial fibrillation prevention have been developed.

Ten-year trends in incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation and flutter in Denmark according to demographics, ethnicity, educational level, and area of residence (2009-2018)

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and a major global health burden. Updated trends in the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF) are needed.

METHODS

Using the Danish Heart Statistics, we investigated nationwide trends 2009-2018 in incidence rate and prevalence of AF according to age as well as age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and prevalence (ASP) of AF according to sex, ethnicity, educational level, and area of residence. Comparing year 2018 to 2009, we calculated stratum-specific ASIR ratios (ASIRR) and changes in ASP.

RESULTS

During 2009-2015 the ASIR for AF increased for both men and women, followed by a decline from 2015-2018. Overall, this resulted in a 9% increase among men (ASIRR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06-1.12), but no change among women (ASIRR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.97-1.04). The ASP increased by 29% among men and 26% among women. An increase in ASIR was observed in all ethnic groups except men of Far Eastern ethnicity. Lower educational level was associated with greater increases in both ASIR and ASP. ASIR and ASP differed slightly between the Danish regions but increased in all of them.

CONCLUSIONS

During 2009-2018 the incidence and prevalence of AF in Denmark increased although the increase in incidence was transient among women. Factors associated with higher incidence were male sex, higher age, Danish and Western ethnicity as well as Middle Eastern/North African ethnicity among women, and lower educational level. Within Denmark, we observed only minor regional differences in AF incidence and prevalence.

Hypothetical interventions and risk of atrial fibrillation by sex and education: application of the parametric g-formula in the Tromsø Study

AIMS

To use the parametric g-formula to estimate the long-term risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) by sex and education under hypothetical interventions on six modifiable risk factors.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We estimated the risk reduction under hypothetical risk reduction strategies for smoking, physical activity, alcohol intake, body mass index, systolic, and diastolic blood pressure in 14 923 women and men (baseline mean age 45.8 years in women and 47.8 years in men) from the population-based Tromsø Study with a maximum of 22 years of follow-up (1994-2016). The estimated risk of AF under no intervention was 6.15% in women and 13.0% in men. This cumulative risk was reduced by 41% (95% confidence interval 17%, 61%) in women and 14% (-7%, 30%) in men under joint interventions on all risk factors. The most effective intervention was lowering body mass index to ≤ 25 kg/m2, leading to a 16% (4%, 25%) lower risk in women and a 14% (6%, 23%) lower risk in men. We found significant sex-differences in the relative risk reduction by sufficient physical activity, leading to a 7% (-4%, 18%) lower risk in women and an 8% (-2%, -13%) increased risk in men. We found no association between the level of education and differences in risk reduction by any of the interventions.

CONCLUSION

The population burden of AF could be reduced by modifying lifestyle risk factors. Namely, these modifications could have prevented 41% of AF cases in women and 14% of AF cases in men in the municipality of Tromsø, Norway during a maximum 22-year follow-up period.

Social determinants of health and recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation: a Danish nationwide cohort study

AIMS

To examine the associations between three social determinants of health (SDOH) and recurrence of AF after ablation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We selected patients who underwent a first ablation after an incident hospital diagnosis of AF between 2005 and 2018 from the entire Danish population. Educational attainment, family income, and whether the patient was living alone were assessed at the time of ablation. We used cause-specific proportional hazard models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) adjusted for age and sex. In secondary analyses, we adjusted for comorbidities, antiarrhythmic medication, and prior electrical cardioversion.We selected 9728 patients (mean age 61 years, 70% men), and 5881 patients had AF recurrence over an average of 1.37 years after ablation (recurrence rate 325.7 (95% CI 317.6-334.2) per 1000 person-years). Lower education (HR 1.09 [1.02-1.17] and 1.07 [1.01-1.14] for lower and medium vs. higher), lower income [HR 1.14 (1.06-1.22) and 1.09 (1.03-1.17) for lower and medium vs. higher], and living alone [HR 1.07 (1.00-1.13)] were associated with increased rates of recurrence of AF. We found no evidence of interaction between sex or prior HF with SDOH. The association between family income and AF recurrence was stronger among patients < 65 years compared with those aged ≥ 65 years. The associations between SDOH and AF recurrence did not persist in the multivariable model.

CONCLUSION

AF was more likely to recur among patients with lower educational attainment, lower family income, or those living alone. Multidisciplinary efforts are needed to reduce socioeconomic inequity in the effect of ablation.

Using a Clinical Decision Support System to Improve Anticoagulation in Patients with Nonvalve Atrial Fibrillation in China's Primary Care Settings: A Feasibility Study

BACKGROUND

To primarily investigate the effect of using a clinical decision support system (CDSS) in community health centers in Shanghai, China, on the proportion of patients prescribed guideline-directed antithrombotic therapy. This study also gauged the general practitioner (GP)'s acceptance of the CDSS who worked in the atrial fibrillation (AF) special consulting room of the CDSS group.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study that included a semistructured interview and a feasibility study for a cluster-randomized controlled trial. Eligible patients who sought medical care in the AF special consulting rooms in two community health centers in Shanghai, China, between April 1, 2020, and October 1, 2020, were enrolled, and their medical records from the enrollment date, up to October 1, 2021, were extracted. Based on whether the GPs in the AF special consulting rooms of the two sites used the CDSS or not, we classified the two sites as a software group and a control group. The CDSS could automatically assess the risks of stroke and bleeding and provide suggestions on treatment, follow-up, adjustment of anticoagulants or dosage, and other items. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients prescribed guideline-directed antithrombotic therapy. We also conducted a semistructured interview with the GP in the AF special consulting rooms of the software group regarding the acceptance of the CDSS and suggestions on the optimization of the CDSS and the study protocol of the cluster-randomized controlled trial in the future.

RESULTS

Eighty-four patients completed the follow-up. The mean age of these subjects was 75.71 years, the median time of clinical visits was six times per person, and the follow-up duration was 15 months. The basic demographics were similar between the two groups, except for age (t = 2.109, p = 0.038) and the HAS-BLED score (χ ² = 4.363, p = 0.037). The primary outcome in the software group was 8.071 times higher than that in the control group (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 8.071, 95% confidence interval (2.570-25.344), p < 0.001). The frequency of consultation between groups was not significantly different (p = 0.981). It seemed that the incidence of adverse clinical events in the software group was lower than that in the control group. The main reason for dropouts in both groups was "following up in other hospitals." The GP in the AF special consulting rooms of the software group accepted the CDSS well.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings indicated that it was feasible to further promote the CDSS in the study among community health centers in China. The use of the CDSS might improve the proportion of patients prescribed guideline-directed antithrombotic therapy. The GP in the AF special consulting room of the software group showed a positive attitude toward the CDSS.

The impact of socioeconomic deprivation on the risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with diabetes mellitus: A nationwide population-based study

Objective

To evaluate the relationship between socioeconomic status and the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM).

Research design and methods

From the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database, we identified 2,429,610 diabetic patients who underwent national health check-ups between 2009 and 2012. Tracing back the subjects for 5 years from the date of health check-up, we determined the subjects’ income and whether they received medical aid (MA) during the past 5 years. Subjects were divided into six groups according to the number of years of receiving (MA groups 0 through 5) and into four groups according to socioeconomic status change during the past 5 years. We estimated the risk of AF for each group using the Cox proportional-hazards model.

Results

During a median follow-up of 7.2 ± 1.7 years, 80,257 were newly identified as AF. The MA groups showed a higher risk of AF than the non-MA group with the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32 (1.2–1.44), 1.33 (1.22–1.45), 1.23 (1.13–1.34), 1.28 (1.16–1.4), and 1.50 (1.39–1.63) for MA groups 1 through 5, respectively. Dividing subjects according to socioeconomic condition change, those who experienced worsening socioeconomic status (non-MA to MA) showed higher risk compared to the persistent non-MA group (HR 1.54; 95% CI 1.38–1.73).

Conclusion

Low socioeconomic status was associated with the risk of AF in patients with diabetes. More attention should be directed at alleviating health inequalities, targeting individuals with socioeconomic deprivation to provide timely management for AF.

Association Between Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation and Work Disability (from a Nationwide Danish Cohort Study)

It is previously shown that cardiovascular conditions have a negative effect on the ability to work. However, it is unknown if incident atrial fibrillation (AF) influences the ability to work. We examined the association between AF and the risk of work disability and the influence of socioeconomic factors. All Danish residents with a hospital diagnosis of AF and aged ≥30 and ≤63 years in the period January 1, 2000, to September 31, 2014, were included and matched 1:10 with an AF-free gender and age-matched random person from the general population. Permanent social security benefit was used as a marker of work disability. Risk difference (RD) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of work disability were calculated over 15 months. The analyses were furthermore stratified in low, medium, and high levels of socioeconomic factors. In total, 28,059 patients with AF and 312,667 matched reference persons were included. The risk of receiving permanent social security benefits within 15 months was 4.5% (4.3% to 4.8%) for the AF cohort and 1.3% (95% CI 1.3% to 1.4%) for the matched reference cohort. Adjusted RD (95% CI) was 2.3% (2.0% to 2.5%). Stratified on income, RDs were higher in low-income groups (adjusted RD 3.7% [95% CI 3.1% to 4.3%]) versus high-income groups (RD 1.3% [1.0% to 1.5%]). In conclusion, the risk of work disability within 15 months after incident AF was more than 3 times as high in patients with AF compared with the general population, especially when comparing individuals in lower socioeconomic strata.

Long-term mortality of patients ablated for atrial fibrillation: a retrospective, population-based epidemiological study in Apulia, Italy

OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Data on long-term risk and mortality after catheter ablation for AF are lacking. The aim of this study was to evaluate all-cause mortality and the long-term risk of death in patients who underwent catheter ablation for AF compared with the general population.

DESIGN

Retrospective, population-based epidemiological study.

SETTING

We analysed data from patients residing in Apulia region who underwent AF ablation between January 2009 and June 2019.

PARTICIPANTS

1260 patients (914 male, mean age 60±11 years).

OUTCOMES

Vital status and dates of death to 31 December 2019 were obtained by using regional Health Information System. The expected number of deaths was derived using mortality rates from the general regional population by considering age-specific and gender-specific death probability provided for each calendar year by the Italian National Institute of Statistics. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated by dividing the observed number of deaths among patients by the expected number of deaths estimated from the general population.

RESULTS

During follow-up (6449 person-years), 95 deaths were observed (1.47 deaths per 100 person-years). Although overall long-term mortality after AF ablation was not different to that of the general population (SMR 1.05 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.28; p=0.658)), the number of observed events was significantly increased in patients with heart failure (HF) at baseline or who developed HF during follow-up (SMR 2.40 (1.69 to 3.41; p<0.001) and 1.75 (1.17 to 2.64; p=0.007), respectively) and reduced in those without (SMR 0.63 (0.47 to 0.86; p=0.003)).

CONCLUSION

Long-term mortality of patients undergoing AF ablation is similar to that of the general population. Patients with HF had an increased risk while those without seem to have a better risk profile.

The association of education and household income with the lifetime risk of incident atrial fibrillation: The Framingham Heart study

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Incidence and Complications of Atrial Fibrillation in a Low Socioeconomic and High Disability United States (US) Population: A Combined Statistical and Machine Learning Approach

BACKGROUND

Poor socioeconomic status coupled with individual disability is significantly associated with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and AF-related adverse outcomes, with the information currently lacking for US cohorts. We examined AF incidence/complications and the dynamic nature of associated risk factors in a large socially disadvantaged US population.

METHODS

A large population representing a combined poor socioeconomic status/disability (Medicaid program) was examined from diverse geographical regions across the US continent. The target population was extracted from administrative databases with patients possessing medical/pharmacy benefits. This retrospective cohort study was conducted from Jan 1, 2016, to Sep 30, 2021, and was limited to 18- to 80-year age group drawn from the Medicaid program. Descriptive and inferential statistics (parametric: logistic regression and neural network) were applied to all computations using a combined statistical and machine learning (ML) approach.

RESULTS

A total of 617413 individuals participated in the study, with mean age of 41.7 years (standard deviation "SD" 15.2) and 65.6% female patients. Seven distinct groups were identified with different combinations of low socioeconomic status and disability constraints. The overall crude AF incidence rate was 0.49 cases/100 person-years (95% confidence limit "CI" 0.40-0.58), with the lowest rate for the younger group (temporary assistance for needy family "TANF") (0.20, 95%CI 0.18-0.21), the highest rates for the older groups (age, blindness, or disability "ABD" duals-1.51, 95% CI 1.31-1.58; long-term services and support "LTSS" duals-1.45, 95% CI 1.31-1.58), and the remaining four other groups in between the lower and upper rates. Based on independent effects after accounting for confounders in main effect modeling, the point estimates of odds ratios for AF status with various clinical outcomes were as follows: stroke (2.69, 95% CI 2.53-2.85); heart failure (6.18, 95% CI 5.86-6.52); myocardial infarction (3.71, 95% CI 3.49-3.94); major bleeding (2.26, 95% CI 2.14-2.38); and cognitive impairment (1.74, 95% CI 1.59-1.91). A logistic regression-based ML model produced excellent discriminant validity for high-risk AF outcomes (c "concordance" index based on training data 0.91, 95%CI 0.891-0.929), together with similar measures for external validity, calibration, and clinical utility. The performance measures for the ML models predicting associated complications with high-risk AF cases were good to excellent.

CONCLUSIONS

A combination of low socioeconomic status and disability contributes to AF incidence and complications, elevating risks to higher levels relative to the general population. ML algorithms can be used to identify AF patients at high risk of clinical events. While further research is definitely in need on this socially important issue, the reported investigation is unique in which it integrates the general case about the subject due to the different ethnic groups around the world under a unified culture stemming from residing in the US.

Social determinants of atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation affects almost 60 million adults worldwide. Atrial fibrillation is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular morbidity and death as well as with social, psychological and economic burdens on patients and their families. Social determinants - such as race and ethnicity, financial resources, social support, access to health care, rurality and residential environment, local language proficiency and health literacy - have prominent roles in the evaluation, treatment and management of atrial fibrillation. Addressing the social determinants of health provides a crucial opportunity to reduce the substantial clinical and non-clinical complications associated with atrial fibrillation. In this Review, we summarize the contributions of social determinants to the patient experience and outcomes associated with this common condition. We emphasize the relevance of social determinants and their important intersection with atrial fibrillation treatment and outcomes. In closing, we identify gaps in the literature and propose future directions for the investigation of social determinants and atrial fibrillation.

Socioeconomic inequality in oral anticoagulation therapy initiation in patients with atrial fibrillation with high risk of stroke: a register-based observational study

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to examine the association between socioeconomic factors (SEFs) and oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy and whether it was influenced by changing guidelines. We hypothesised that inequities in initiation of OAC reduced over time as more detailed and explicit clinical guidelines were issued.

DESIGN

Register-based observational study.

SETTINGS

All Danish patients with an incident hospital diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (AF), aged ≥30 years old and with high risk of stroke from 1 May 1999 to 2 October 2015 were included. Absolute risk differences (RD) (95% CI) were used to measure the association.

PARTICIPANTS

154 448 patients (mean age 78.2 years, men 47.3%).

EXPOSURE

Education, family income and cohabiting status were the SEFs used as exposure.

OUTCOME

A prescription of OAC within -30 to +90 days of baseline (incident AF).

RESULTS

During 2002-2007, the crude RD of initiation of OAC for men with high education was 14.9% (12.8 to 16.9). Inequality reduced when new guidelines were published, and in 2013-2016 the crude RD was 5.6% (3.5 to 7.7). After adjusting for age, the RD substantially reduced. The same pattern was seen for cohabiting status, while inequality was smaller and more constant for income.

CONCLUSION

Patients with low income, low education and living alone were associated with lower chance of being initiated with OAC. For education and cohabiting status, the crude difference reduced around 2011, when more detailed clinical guidelines were implemented in Denmark. Our results indicate that new guidelines might reduce inequality in OAC initiation and that new, high-cost drugs increase inequality.

Geographical variation and clustering are found in atrial fibrillation beyond socioeconomic differences: a Danish cohort study, 1987-2015

BACKGROUND

The prevalence and incidence rate of atrial fibrillation (AF) increase worldwide and AF is a risk factor for more adverse cardiovascular diseases including stroke. Approximately 44% of AF cases cannot be explained by common individual risk factors and risk might therefore also be related to the environment. By studying geographical variation and clustering in risk of incident AF adjusted for socioeconomic position at an individual level, potential neighbourhood risk factors could be revealed.

METHODS

Initially, yearly AF incidence rates 1987-2015 were estimated overall and stratified by income in a register-based cohort study. To examine geographical variation and clustering in AF, we used both spatial scan statistics and a hierarchical Bayesian Poisson regression analysis of AF incidence rates with random effect of municipalities (n = 98) in Denmark in 2011-2015.

RESULTS

The 1987-2015 cohort included 5,453,639 individuals whereof 369,800 were diagnosed with an incident AF. AF incidence rate increased from 174 to 576 per 100,000 person-years from 1987 to 2015. Inequality in AF incidence rate ratio between highest and lowest income groups increased from 23% in 1987 to 38% in 2015. We found clustering and geographical variation in AF incidence rates, with incidence rates at municipality level being up to 34% higher than the country mean after adjusting for socioeconomic position.

CONCLUSIONS

Geographical variations and clustering in AF incidence rates exist. Compared to previous studies from Alberta, Canada and the United States, we show that geographical variations exist in a country with free access to healthcare and even when accounting for socioeconomic differences at an individual level. An increasing social inequality in AF was seen from 1987 to 2015. Therefore, when planning prevention strategies, attention to individuals with low income should be given. Further studies focusing on identification of neighbourhood risk factors for AF are needed.