Long-term tumour dormancy in a BRCA1 heterozygote

Incidence of peritoneal cancer after oophorectomy among BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers

BACKGROUND

To estimate the incidence of primary peritoneal cancer after preventive bilateral oophorectomy in women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation.

METHODS

A total of 6310 women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation who underwent a preventive bilateral oophorectomy were followed for a mean of 7.8 years from oophorectomy. The 20-year cumulative incidence of peritoneal cancer post-oophorectomy was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. A left-truncated Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associated with the age at oophorectomy, year of oophorectomy, and family history of ovarian cancer as well as hormonal and reproductive risk factors.

RESULTS

Fifty-five women developed primary peritoneal cancer (n = 45 in BRCA1, 8 in BRCA2, and 2 in women with a mutation in both genes). Their mean age at oophorectomy was 48.9 years. The annual risk of peritoneal cancer was 0.14% for women with a BRCA1 mutation and 0.06% for women with a BRCA2 mutation. The 20-year cumulative risk of peritoneal cancer from the date of oophorectomy was 2.7% for BRCA1 carriers and 0.9% for BRCA2 mutation carriers. There were no peritoneal cancers in BRCA1 carriers who had the operation before age 35 or in BRCA2 carriers who had the operation before age 45.

CONCLUSIONS

For BRCA1 mutation carriers, the annual risk of peritoneal cancer for 20 years post-oophorectomy is 0.14% per year. The risk is lower for BRCA2 carriers (0.06% per year).

Molecular catastrophe, the peritoneal cavity and ovarian cancer prevention

The current theory of carcinogenesis for the deadliest of "ovarian" cancers - high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC) - holds that the malignancy develops first in the fallopian tube and spreads to the ovaries, peritoneum and/or regional lymph nodes. This is based primarily on the observation of early forms of serous neoplasia (serous tubular intraepithelial lesions (STILs), and serous tubular intraepithelial carcinomas (STICS)) in the fimbria of women undergoing risk reduction surgery. However, these lesions are uncommon in the general population, confer a low risk (5%) of HGSC following their removal in at-risk women with germ-line BRCA1/2 mutations and require 4 or more years to recur as intraperitoneal HGSC. These features suggest that isolated STILs and STICs behave as precursors with uncertain cancer risk rather than carcinomas. Their evolution to HGSC after escape from the tube could proceed step-wise with multiple biologic events; however, it is unclear whether immediately adjacent HGSCs in the setting of advanced disease evolved in the same fashion. The latter scenario could also be explained by a "catastrophic" model in which STICs suddenly develop with invasive and metastatic potential, overwhelming or obscuring the site of origin. Moreover, a similar model might explain the sudden emergence of HGSC in the peritoneal cavity following escape of precursor cells years before. Long term follow-up data from opportunistic or prophylactic salpingectomy should shed light on where malignant transformation occurs, as well as the time-line from precursor to metastatic HGSC. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.