Rationale and design of the NEO-NORMAL-AF study examination of the usefulness of implantable loop recorder for arrhythmia detection including atrial fibrillation in heart failure with non-reduced ejection fraction cases: a pilot study

Single-arm clinical trials: design, ethics, principles

Although randomised controlled trials are considered the gold standard in clinical research, they are not always feasible due to limitations in the study population, challenges in obtaining evidence, high costs and ethical considerations. As a result, single-arm trial designs have emerged as one of the methods to address these issues. Single-arm trials are commonly applied to study advanced-stage cancer, rare diseases, emerging infectious diseases, new treatment methods and medical devices. Single-arm trials have certain ethical advantages over randomised controlled trials, such as providing equitable treatment, respecting patient preferences, addressing rare diseases and timely management of adverse events. While single-arm trials do not adhere to the principles of randomisation and blinding in terms of scientific rigour, they still incorporate principles of control, balance and replication, making the design scientifically reasonable. Compared with randomised controlled trials, single-arm trials require fewer sample sizes and have shorter trial durations, which can help save costs. Compared with cohort studies, single-arm trials involve intervention measures and reduce external interference, resulting in higher levels of evidence. However, single-arm trials also have limitations. Without a parallel control group, there may be biases in interpreting the results. In addition, single-arm trials cannot meet the requirements of randomisation and blinding, thereby limiting their evidence capacity compared with randomised controlled trials. Therefore, researchers consider using single-arm trials as a trial design method only when randomised controlled trials are not feasible.

Electrocardiogram prediction of atrial fibrillation risk after stroke: A protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common clinical arrhythmias. This study aims to predict the risk of post-stroke AF through electrocardiographic changes in sinus rhythm.

METHODS

We searched the MEDLINE (PubMed) and EMBASE databases to identify relevant research articles published until August 2023. Prioritized items from systematic reviews and meta-analyses were screened, and data related to AF detection rate were extracted. A meta-analysis using a random-effects model was conducted for data synthesis and analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 32 studies involving electrocardiograms (ECG) were included, with a total analysis population of 330,284 individuals. Among them, 16,662 individuals (ECG abnormal group) developed AF, while 313,622 individuals (ECG normal group) did not. ECG patterns included terminal P-wave terminal force V1, interatrial block (IAB), advanced interatrial block, abnormal P-wave axis, pulse rate prolongation, and atrial premature complexes. Overall, 15,762 patients experienced AF during the study period (4.77%). In the ECG abnormal group, the proportion was 14.21% (2367/16,662), while in the control group (ECG normal group), the proportion was 4.27% (13,395/313,622). The pooled risk ratio for developing AF was 2.45 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.02-2.98, P < .001), with heterogeneity (I2) of 95%. The risk ratio values of alAB, P-wave terminal force V1, interatrial block, abnormal P-wave axis, pulse rate prolongation and atrial premature complexes were 4.12 (95% CI, 2.99-5.66), 1.47 (95% CI, 1.19-1.82), 2.54 (95% CI, 1.83-3.52), 1.70 (95% CI, 0.98-2.97), 2.65 (95% CI, 1.88-3.72), 3.79 (95% CI, 2.12-6.76), respectively.

CONCLUSION

There is a significant correlation between ECG patterns and the occurrence of AF. The alAB exhibited the highest level of predictability for the occurrence of AF. These indicators support their use as screening tools to identify high-risk individuals who may benefit from further examinations or empirical anticoagulation therapy following stroke.