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Alhawiti NM, Elsokkary EM, Aldali JA, Alotaibi BA. Investigating the impact of glycated hemoglobin levels on stroke severity in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Sci Rep 2025; 15:12114. [PMID: 40204797 PMCID: PMC11982240 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-95305-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2024] [Accepted: 03/20/2025] [Indexed: 04/11/2025] Open
Abstract
Stroke is a sudden neurological decline caused by cerebrovascular diseases or impaired blood circulation. Research investigating the connection between glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels and stroke severity is limited. This study examined the connection between HbA1c levels and stroke severity in patients with acute ischemic stroke. A retrospective cross-sectional analysis of the medical records of 1103 patients with acute ischemic stroke from January 2020 to January 2024 was conducted. Patients were divided into seven groups on the basis of their HbA1c levels. Stroke severity within these groups was assessed via the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), with the aim of identifying correlations between stroke severity and glycemic status. This study examined the impact of various HbA1c levels on a range of demographic and clinical characteristics in stroke patients. The patients were grouped into seven categories on the basis of their HbA1c levels, and characteristics such as age; body mass index (BMI); LDL, HDL, and creatinine levels; and NIHSS scores at hospital admission were compared across these groups. Significant differences were observed in age, LDL levels (F = 3.999, P < 0.001), and creatinine levels (F = 1.303, P = 0.253) among the HbA1c categories. However, there were no significant differences in BMI, HDL levels, or length of hospital stay. A positive correlation was found between HbA1c levels and NIHSS scores, indicating that higher HbA1c levels are associated with greater stroke severity. This study revealed that the risk of severe stroke increases significantly when HbA1c levels exceed 6.5%. In contrast, maintaining HbA1c levels below 6.5% is linked to a reduced risk of severe stroke and lower mortality. Additionally, older adults are at greater risk and tend to experience more severe strokes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Naif M Alhawiti
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Sciences, College of Applied Medical Sciences, King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
| | - Emadeldin M Elsokkary
- Department of Psychology, College of Social Sciences, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh, 13317, Saudi Arabia
| | - Jehad A Aldali
- Department of Pathology, College of Medicine, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh, 13317, Saudi Arabia
| | - Badi A Alotaibi
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Sciences, College of Applied Medical Sciences, King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
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ZHENG W, XIN QJ, WANG XN, LI S, WANG X, NIE SP. Association between glycated hemoglobin and cognitive impairment in older adults with coronary heart disease: a multicenter prospective cohort Study. J Geriatr Cardiol 2025; 22:381-388. [PMID: 40351399 PMCID: PMC12059568 DOI: 10.26599/1671-5411.2025.03.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/14/2025] Open
Abstract
Background The relationship between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and cognitive impairment in older adults with coronary heart disease (CHD) remains unclear. Methods The present study used a prospective cohort study design and included 3244 participants aged ≥ 65 years in Beijing, China. The Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) were used to assess cognitive function. Serum HbA1c was detected at admission. All patients were divided into high HbA1c group (≥ 6.5 mmol/L) and low HbA1c group (< 6.5 mmol/L) based on their HbA1c levels. Logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the association between HbA1c and cognitive impairment. Results In this study of 3244 participants, 1201 (37.0%) patients were in high HbA1c group and 2045 (63.0%) patients were in a state of cognitive impairment. Logistic regression analyses demonstrated that HbA1c was an independent risk factor for cognitive impairment regardless of whether the HbA1c was a continuous or categorical variable (OR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.15-1.40, P < 0.001; OR = 1.79, 95% CI: 1.41-2.26, P ≤ 0.001, respectively). The restricted cubic spline curve exhibited that the relationship between the HbA1c and cognitive impairment was linear (p for non-linear = 0.323, P < 0.001). Conclusion Elevated levels of HbA1c were associated with an increased risk of cognitive impairment in older patients with CHD. These insights could be used to improve the accuracy and sensitivity of cognitive screening in these patient populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wen ZHENG
- Center for Coronary Artery Disease, Division of Cardiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Qin-Jie XIN
- Center for Coronary Artery Disease, Division of Cardiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Na WANG
- Department of Geriatric Cardiology, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Sheng LI
- Department of Geriatric Cardiology, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao WANG
- Center for Coronary Artery Disease, Division of Cardiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Shao-Ping NIE
- Center for Coronary Artery Disease, Division of Cardiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Zubair M, Kainat Raza Naqvi S, Aslam R, Ahmad H, Farooq A, Islam S. Role of HbA1c in Mortality Among Patients With a Medical History of Ischemic Stroke and Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review. Cureus 2024; 16:e75925. [PMID: 39830535 PMCID: PMC11740002 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.75925] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/18/2024] [Indexed: 01/22/2025] Open
Abstract
Elevated HbA1c, a marker of poor glycemic control, is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes and mortality. HbA1c influences outcomes through distinct mechanisms of vascular dysfunction and atherosclerosis in ischemic stroke, during atrial remodeling and thrombus formation in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). Optimal HbA1c thresholds are generally below optimal levels, with levels above this being linked to higher mortality in both populations. At extremes of glycemic control in ischemic stroke, patients face recurrence and poor recovery, while PAF patients experience amplified thromboembolic risks. In patients with both conditions, poor HbA1c control synergistically raises mortality. This systematic review explores how HbA1c levels directly contribute to mortality in patients with ischemic stroke and PAF, aiming to establish a causal link between elevated HbA1c and increased mortality risk. This review includes a comprehensive analysis of four cross-sectional studies, five randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and 17 cohort studies, providing a diverse range of evidence on the topic. The inclusion of these study designs offers a well-rounded understanding of the impact and outcomes observed in the research. Mortality metrics include short-term mortality, such as 30-day or 90-day, and long-term mortality over one, three, or five years. Specific metrics, like cardiovascular mortality, focus on deaths from stroke; some studies link mortality to functional decline post-stroke, where complications from immobility or recurrent vascular events contribute to outcomes. Secondary outcomes include survival metrics, functional recovery metrics, and complications. Studies use narrative synthesis due to its ability to accommodate heterogeneity in study designs, populations, and outcome measures, enabling a nuanced interpretation of complex, context-dependent data. HbA1c levels' impact on stroke outcomes, considering age, gender, and severity, is also examined. Confounding factors, functional recovery, and complications are also considered. A narrative synthesis was chosen. The study emphasizes the importance of strict glycemic control in patients with ischemic stroke or PAF, especially those with elevated HbA1c levels. It supports clinical guidelines for individualized HbA1c targets, with most stroke patients having a target of <7%. Clinicians should prioritize close monitoring and tailor treatment plans to avoid extreme HbA1c levels, which could inform more personalized and effective treatment strategies. Tight control of HbA1c levels entails individualized targets based on patient characteristics, with an emphasis on personalized treatment strategies that may include lifestyle modifications, oral hypoglycemics, or insulin therapy to optimize glycemic control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Muhammad Zubair
- Otorhinolaryngology, M. Islam Teaching Hospital, Gujranwala, PAK
| | | | - Rehan Aslam
- Internal Medicine, Islamic International Medical College, Rawalpindi, PAK
| | - Hooria Ahmad
- Internal Medicine, National Hospital and Medical Centre, Lahore, PAK
| | - Ayesha Farooq
- Urology, Pakistan Kidney and Liver Institute, Lahore, PAK
| | - Samra Islam
- Medicine, Jinnah Hospital, Lahore, Lahore, PAK
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Priya S, Mardi V, Kapoor S, Kumar A, Saroj U, Dungdung A, Rishu R. Association of Glycated Hemoglobin With Acute Ischemic Stroke in a Tertiary Care Center in a Tribal Region of Jharkhand. Cureus 2024; 16:e58797. [PMID: 38784369 PMCID: PMC11112394 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.58797] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/22/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Increased glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels have shown an association with an increased risk of stroke in patients admitted to a tertiary care center in Jharkhand. OBJECTIVES To find out and estimate the risk of acute ischemic stroke in patients with increased HbA1c levels compared with controls. METHODS This observational case-control study was conducted on patients admitted to the department of general medicine at a tertiary care center in Ranchi from June 2021 to November 2022. The patients included in this study were those aged 18 years or older and who were clinically and radiologically diagnosed with acute ischemic stroke. Only patients with a first episode of stroke were included, and patients with hemorrhagic stroke or transient ischemic attack were excluded from this study. An equal number of control participants were also included. Ion exchange high-performance liquid chromatography was used to perform the HbA1c tests. The same method was used to measure HbA1c levels in the controls. All findings were recorded in a Microsoft Excel sheet (Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, WA), and the data were analyzed using SPSS version 22.0 software (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY). After performing a descriptive statistical analysis, the findings were classified over a range of values and described accordingly. For each variable, an independent t-test was performed to compare the cases with the controls. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to choose the appropriate potential factors to determine the association in the multivariable analysis. RESULTS A total of 185 cases and 185 controls were included. The mean age of the cases with ischemic stroke was 63.77 ± 10.312, and that of the controls was 53.18 ± 11.35 (p < 0.01). The mean HbA1c level in the patients of acute ischemic stroke was 6.97 ± 1.84, and that of the controls was 5.99 ± 1.69 (p < 0.01). The mean random blood sugar (RBS) value in the ischemic stroke cases was 170.21 ± 84.16, and that of the controls was 150.03 ± 82.25 (p = 0.02). To compare the factors that were determined to be statistically significant between ischemic stroke cases and controls, a multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed. The HbA1c p-value was 0.01, the odds ratio (OR) was 1.280, and the 95% CI was 1.11-1.48. The other variables apart from HbA1c that were statistically significant between the ischemic stroke cases and the controls were age (p < 0.01, OR: 1.280, 95% CI: 1.06-1.11), hypertension (p = 0.618, OR: 1.130, 95% CI: 0.70-1.83), and high-density lipoprotein (p = 0.055, OR: 0.975, 95% CI: 0.95-1.00). When other cofounders were considered, it was concluded that with a 1% increase in HbA1c, the risk of stroke increases by 28% (OR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.11-1.48). To compare the variables that were determined to be statistically significant between the control and ischemic stroke case groups, a multivariable logistic regression was used. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for HbA1c was 0.773 and RBS was 0.600. CONCLUSION This study shows that higher HbA1c levels in patients increase the risk of ischemic stroke. This study brings to light the need to screen the population periodically for diabetes by routinely testing for Hba1c in those who are at high risk of diabetes. Stroke risk can be reduced with early management and intervention. This study also concludes that HbA1c is a better predictor for assessing the risk of ischemic stroke than RBS levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shimpy Priya
- General Medicine, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences, Ranchi, IND
| | - Vikas Mardi
- General Medicine, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences, Ranchi, IND
| | - Siddharth Kapoor
- General Medicine, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences, Ranchi, IND
| | - Abhay Kumar
- General Medicine, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences, Ranchi, IND
| | - Usha Saroj
- Blood Bank, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences, Ranchi, IND
| | - Ajit Dungdung
- Internal Medicine, Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences, Ranchi, IND
| | - Raunak Rishu
- Radiology, Jawaharlal Nehru Medical College, Aligarh, IND
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Tian X, Xia X, Zhang Y, Xu Q, Luo Y, Wang A. Association and pathways of baseline and longitudinal hemoglobin A1c with the risk of incident stroke: A nationwide prospective cohort study. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2024; 208:111127. [PMID: 38307140 DOI: 10.1016/j.diabres.2024.111127] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2023] [Revised: 01/28/2024] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 02/04/2024]
Abstract
AIMS To investigate the association of baseline and long-term mean hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) with the risk of stroke. METHODS A total of 11,220 participants aged over 45 years and without stroke at baseline were enrolled from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Mean HbA1c was calculated as the mean of HbA1c at all previous visits before stroke occurred or the end of follow-up. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regressions and Bayesian network were used for the analysis. RESULTS During a median follow-up of 7.50 years, a total of 626 cases of stroke occurred. The risk of stroke increased with quintiles of baseline and mean HbA1c, the hazard ratio (HR) in Q5 versus Q1 was 1.30 (95 % confidence interval [CI],1.03-1.64) and 1.79 (95 % CI, 1.38-2.34), respectively. Per 1 unit increase in baseline and mean HbA1c was associated with 10 % (HR, 1.10; 95 % CI, 1.02-1.18) an 12 % (HR, 1.12; 95 % CI, 1.05-1.19) higher risk of stroke. Bayesian network analysis showed that the pathway from HbA1c to stroke was through hypertension, dyslipidemia, obesity, and inflammation. CONCLUSIONS Elevated levels of both baseline and long-term HbA1c were associated with increased risk of stroke, and hypertension and obesity played an important role in the pathway.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xue Tian
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
| | - Xue Xia
- Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yijun Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
| | - Qin Xu
- Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yanxia Luo
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China.
| | - Anxin Wang
- Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Clinical Trial, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
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Wang WT, Hsu PF, Lin CC, Wang YJ, Ding YZ, Liou TL, Wang YW, Huang SS, Lu TM, Huang PH, Chen JW, Chan WL, Lin SJ, Leu HB. Hemoglobin A1C Levels are Independently Associated with the Risk of Coronary Atherosclerotic Plaques in Patients without Diabetes: A Cross-Sectional Study. J Atheroscler Thromb 2020; 27:789-800. [PMID: 31902804 PMCID: PMC7458793 DOI: 10.5551/jat.51425] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2019] [Accepted: 11/04/2019] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM Coronary atherosclerotic plaques can be detected in asymptomatic subjects and are related to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL) levels in patients with coronary artery disease. However, researchers have not yet determined the associations between various plaque characteristics and other lipid parameters, such as HDL-C and TG levels, in low-risk populations. METHODS One thousand sixty-four non-diabetic subjects (age, 57.86±9.73 years; 752 males) who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) were enrolled and the severity and patterns of atherosclerotic plaques were analyzed. RESULTS Statin use was reported by 25% of the study population, and subjects with greater coronary plaque involvement (segment involvement score, SIS) were older and had a higher body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, unfavorable lipid profiles and comorbidities. After adjusting for comorbidities, only age (β=0.085, p<0.001), the male gender (β=1.384, p<0.001), BMI (β=0.055, p=0.019) and HbA1C levels (β=0.894, p<0.001) were independent factors predicting the greater coronary plaque involvement in non-diabetic subjects. In the analysis of significantly different (>50%) stenosis plaque patterns, age (OR: 1.082, 95% CI: 10.47-1.118) and a former smoking status (OR: 2.061, 95% CI: 1.013-4.193) were independently associated with calcified plaques. For partial calcified (mixed type) plaques, only age (OR: 1.085, 95% CI: 1.052-1.119), the male gender (OR: 7.082, 95% CI: 2.638-19.018), HbA1C levels (OR: 2.074, 95% CI: 1.036-4.151), and current smoking status (OR: 1.848, 95% CI: 1.089-3.138) were independently associated with the risk of the presence of significant stenosis in mixed plaques. CONCLUSIONS A higher HbA1c levels is independently associated with the presence and severity of coronary artery atherosclerosis in non-diabetic subjects, even when LDL-C levels are tightly controlled.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei-Ting Wang
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Pai-Feng Hsu
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Healthcare and Management Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Chung-Chi Lin
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Yuan-Jen Wang
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Yaw-Zon Ding
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Teh-Ling Liou
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Ying-Wen Wang
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Shao-Sung Huang
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Healthcare and Management Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Tse-Min Lu
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Healthcare and Management Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Po-Hsun Huang
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Jaw-Wen Chen
- Healthcare and Management Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Department of Medical Research, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Cardiovascular Research Center, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Wan-Leong Chan
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Healthcare and Management Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Shing-Jong Lin
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Healthcare and Management Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Cardiovascular Research Center, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
| | - Hsin-Bang Leu
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Healthcare and Management Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Cardiovascular Research Center, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C
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Shi R, Zhang T, Sun H, Hu F. Establishment of Clinical Prediction Model Based on the Study of Risk Factors of Stroke in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2020; 11:559. [PMID: 32982965 PMCID: PMC7479835 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2020.00559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2020] [Accepted: 07/09/2020] [Indexed: 01/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose: Stroke has sparked global concern as it seriously threatens people's life, bringing about dramatic health burdens on patients, especially for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. Therefore, a risk scoring model is urgently valuable for T2DM patients to predict the risk of stroke incidence and for positive health intervention. Methods: We randomly divided 4,335 T2DM patients into two groups, training set (n = 3,252) and validation set (n = 1,083), at the ratio of 3:1. Characteristic variables were then selected based on the data of training set through least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Three models were established to verify predictive ability. Foundation model was composed of basic information and physical indicators. Biochemical model consisted of biochemical indexes. Integrated model combined the above two models. Data of three models were then put into logistic regression analysis to form nomogram prediction models. Tools including C index, calibration plot, and curve analysis were implemented to test discrimination, calibration, and clinical use. To select the best predicting model, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were put into effect. Results: Eleven risk factors were determined, including age, duration of T2DM, estimated glomerular filtration rate, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, triglyceride, body mass index, uric acid, and glycosylated hemoglobin A1c, all with significant P-values through logistic regression analysis. In the training set, areas under the curve of three models were 0.810, 0.819, and 0.884, whereas in the validation set, they were 0.836, 0.832, and 0.909. Through calibration plot, the S:P values in the training set were 0.836, 0.754, and 0.621 and were 0.918, 0.682, and 0.666 separately in the validation set. In terms of the decision curve analysis, the risk thresholds were, respectively, 8-73%, 8-98%, and 8%~ in the training set and 8-70%, 8-90%, and 8-95% in the validation set. With the aid of NRI and IDI, integrated model is proved to be the best model in training set and validation set. Besides, internal validation was conducted on all the subjects in this study, and the C index was 0.890 (0.873-0.907). Conclusion: This study established a model predicting risk of stroke for T2DM patients through a community-based survey.
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Prediabetes and Outcome of Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2019; 28:683-692. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2018.11.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2018] [Revised: 10/31/2018] [Accepted: 11/06/2018] [Indexed: 01/02/2023] Open
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Teoh D. Towards stroke prediction using electronic health records. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2018; 18:127. [PMID: 30509279 PMCID: PMC6278134 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-018-0702-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2018] [Accepted: 10/29/2018] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background As of 2014, stroke is the fourth leading cause of death in Japan. Predicting a future diagnosis of stroke would better enable proactive forms of healthcare measures to be taken. We aim to predict a diagnosis of stroke within one year of the patient’s last set of exam results or medical diagnoses. Methods Around 8000 electronic health records were provided by Tsuyama Jifukai Tsuyama Chuo Hospital in Japan. These records contained non-homogeneous temporal data which were first transformed into a form usable by an algorithm. The transformed data were used as input into several neural network architectures designed to evaluate efficacy of the supplied data and also the networks’ capability at exploiting relationships that could underlie the data. The prevalence of stroke cases resulted in imbalanced class outputs which resulted in trained neural network models being biased towards negative predictions. To address this issue, we designed and incorporated regularization terms into the standard cross-entropy loss function. These terms penalized false positive and false negative predictions. We evaluated the performance of our trained models using Receiver Operating Characteristic. Results The best neural network incorporated and combined the different sources of temporal data through a dual-input topology. This network attained area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve of 0.669. The custom regularization terms had a positive effect on the training process when compared against the standard cross-entropy loss function. Conclusions The techniques we describe in this paper are viable and the developed models form part of the foundation of a national clinical decision support system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Douglas Teoh
- Research and Development Group, Allm Inc., Yushin Bldg. Shinkan 2F, 3-27-11 Shibuya, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, 150-0002, Japan.
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Nomani AZ, Nabi S, Badshah M, Ahmed S. Review of acute ischaemic stroke in Pakistan: progress in management and future perspectives. Stroke Vasc Neurol 2017; 2:30-39. [PMID: 28959488 PMCID: PMC5435212 DOI: 10.1136/svn-2016-000041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2016] [Revised: 12/16/2016] [Accepted: 01/05/2017] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Ischaemic stroke is a major cause of neurological morbidity and mortality. The objective of this review article is to summarise facts pertaining to acute ischaemic stroke and its various aspects in a developing country like Pakistan, where resources are limited and the healthcare system is underdeveloped. No large-scale epidemiological studies are available to determine the true incidence of stroke in Pakistan. We reviewed the available literature on stroke from Pakistan and through this article we primarily aim to present the current acute ischaemic stroke management in Pakistan in juxtaposition to that of the developed world. We also intend to highlight areas for future development and improvement in management. The routine practice in Pakistan is that of using stat dose of aspirin in emergency (ER) at large with only a handful of centres offering thrombolytic therapy with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator for acute ischaemic stroke. This too is faced with the problem of long window periods before the patient reaches a proper stroke care centre. The facilities of interventional therapies like arterial thrombolysis and endovascular surgery are non-existent and rehabilitation facilities limited. The opportunities for training physicians in acute stroke are also scarce. Stroke in children is underdiagnosed and that in women not availing facilities at stroke care centres. While basic research has gained pace regarding local demographic data, advanced research and genetic studies are extremely limited. The field of stroke neurology needs to grow at a substantial pace in Pakistan to be at par with the developed world.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ali Zohair Nomani
- Department of Neurology, Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Sumaira Nabi
- Department of Neurology, Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Mazhar Badshah
- Department of Neurology, Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Shahzad Ahmed
- Department of Neurology, Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences, Islamabad, Pakistan
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