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Zhu M, Li Y, Wang W, Liu Y, Tong T, Liu Y. Development, validation and visualization of a web-based nomogram for predicting risk of new-onset diabetes after percutaneous coronary intervention. Sci Rep 2024; 14:13652. [PMID: 38871809 PMCID: PMC11176295 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-64430-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2024] [Accepted: 06/10/2024] [Indexed: 06/15/2024] Open
Abstract
Simple and practical tools for screening high-risk new-onset diabetes after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) (NODAP) are urgently needed to improve post-PCI prognosis. We aimed to evaluate the risk factors for NODAP and develop an online prediction tool using conventional variables based on a multicenter database. China evidence-based Chinese medicine database consisted of 249, 987 patients from 4 hospitals in mainland China. Patients ≥ 18 years with implanted coronary stents for acute coronary syndromes and did not have diabetes before PCI were enrolled in this study. According to the occurrence of new-onset diabetes mellitus after PCI, the patients were divided into NODAP and Non-NODAP. After least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and logistic regression, the model features were selected and then the nomogram was developed and plotted. Model performance was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and decision curve analysis. The nomogram was also externally validated at a different hospital. Subsequently, we developed an online visualization tool and a corresponding risk stratification system to predict the risk of developing NODAP after PCI based on the model. A total of 2698 patients after PCI (1255 NODAP and 1443 non-NODAP) were included in the final analysis based on the multicenter database. Five predictors were identified after screening: fasting plasma glucose, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, hypertension, family history of diabetes and use of diuretics. And then we developed a web-based nomogram ( https://mr.cscps.com.cn/wscoringtool/index.html ) incorporating the above conventional factors for predicting patients at high risk for NODAP. The nomogram showed good discrimination, calibration and clinical utility and could accurately stratify patients into different NODAP risks. We developed a simple and practical web-based nomogram based on multicenter database to screen for NODAP risk, which can assist clinicians in accurately identifying patients at high risk of NODAP and developing post-PCI management strategies to improved patient prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mengmeng Zhu
- National Clinical Research Center for TCM Cardiology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, No.1 of Xiyuan Caochang, Haidian District, Beijing, 100091, China
- Cardiovascular Disease Group, China Center for Evidence-Based Medicine of TCM, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Yiwen Li
- National Clinical Research Center for TCM Cardiology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, No.1 of Xiyuan Caochang, Haidian District, Beijing, 100091, China
- Cardiovascular Disease Group, China Center for Evidence-Based Medicine of TCM, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Basic Research on Prevention and Treatment for Major Diseases, Experimental Research Center, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Wenting Wang
- National Clinical Research Center for TCM Cardiology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, No.1 of Xiyuan Caochang, Haidian District, Beijing, 100091, China
- Cardiovascular Disease Group, China Center for Evidence-Based Medicine of TCM, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Yanfei Liu
- National Clinical Research Center for TCM Cardiology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, No.1 of Xiyuan Caochang, Haidian District, Beijing, 100091, China
- Cardiovascular Disease Group, China Center for Evidence-Based Medicine of TCM, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- The Second Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Tiejun Tong
- Department of Mathematics, Hong Kong Baptist University, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong, SAR, China
| | - Yue Liu
- National Clinical Research Center for TCM Cardiology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, No.1 of Xiyuan Caochang, Haidian District, Beijing, 100091, China.
- Cardiovascular Disease Group, China Center for Evidence-Based Medicine of TCM, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
- The Second Department of Geriatrics, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
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Acharya L, Sabu S, Seshadri S, Thunga G, Poojari P. Assessment of association between antihypertensive drug use and occurrence of new-onset diabetes in south Indian patients. J Pharm Bioallied Sci 2020; 12:48-56. [PMID: 32801600 PMCID: PMC7398002 DOI: 10.4103/jpbs.jpbs_168_19] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2019] [Revised: 08/20/2019] [Accepted: 09/17/2019] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective: The objective of this study was to determine the association between antihypertensive drug use and new-onset diabetes (NOD) in patients with hypertension (HTN). Materials and Methods: A retrospective observational study was conducted in a tertiary care hospital located in south India. Patients diagnosed with HTN and HTN with diabetes between January 2012 and December 2016, were identified and studied. Medical records of these patients from Medical Record Department were evaluated by medical record review method, and relevant data were recorded in a case record form. Statistical evaluation by chi-square method and odds ratio (OR) was carried out to appraise the incidence of NOD in patients taking antihypertensive medications. Results: A total of 1250 patients with HTN were screened, and based on inclusion and exclusion criteria, 952 patients were enrolled in the study; among which, 537 were patients with HTN and 415 were patients with diabetic HTN. The majority of the patients with HTN and patients with diabetic HTN were from the age-group of above 60 years. The most commonly prescribed drugs observed in our study population were amlodipine in 94 (22.7%) patients. OR was calculated and it was observed that the combination therapy has a fivefold risk for the development of NOD in patients with HTN, followed by Angiotensin II receptor blockers (2.06) (confidence interval [CI]: 1.56–2.73), diuretics (1.33) (CI: 0.95–1.85), non-Dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers (DHP CCBs) (1.3) (CI: 0.51–3.30), vasodilators (1.13) (CI: 0.40–3.15), and Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (1.06) (0.68–1.64). Conclusion: Patients on non-DHP CCBs, diuretics, and combination antihypertensives showed more chances of developing NOD.
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Lipid levels and new-onset diabetes in a hypertensive population: the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial. Sci Rep 2017; 7:7014. [PMID: 28765644 PMCID: PMC5539198 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-07355-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/11/2017] [Accepted: 06/27/2017] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to provide insights into the relationship between lipid levels and new-onset diabetes (NOD) in 14,864 Chinese hypertensive patients without diabetes (6056 men and 8808 women) aged 45-75 years from the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial (CSPPT, led by Nanfang Hospital, Guangzhou, China). NOD (defined as fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥ 7.0 mmol/L at the end of study or self-reported physician diagnosis of diabetes or self-reported use of hypoglycemic agents during follow-up) was analyzed using multivariate analysis. Follow-up was censored on August 24, 2014. Among the 14,864 subjects, 1615 developed NOD (10.9%, men = 10.8% and women = 10.9%). Increased triglycerides (TG) [odds ratio (OR) = 1.18; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-1.25, P < 0.001], TG/HDL (OR = 1.12; 95%CI: 1.08-1.17, P < 0.001), and decreased high density lipoprotein (HDL) (OR = 0.79; 95%CI: 0.67-0.93, P = 0.005) were associated with NOD, independently from age, gender, body mass index, clinical center, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, FPG, smoking, and drinking. Compared to subjects with the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) 677 CC and TT genotypes, those with the CT genotype had a higher risk of NOD (OR = 1.54; 95%CI: 1.30-1.81, P for interaction = 0.044) in subjects with high TG. These results suggested that TG and TG/HDL were independent risk factors for NOD in this Chinese hypertensive population. HDL was a protective factor for NOD.
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Anyanwagu U, Idris I, Donnelly R. Drug-Induced Diabetes Mellitus: Evidence for Statins and Other Drugs Affecting Glucose Metabolism. Clin Pharmacol Ther 2015; 99:390-400. [PMID: 26440603 DOI: 10.1002/cpt.274] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2015] [Accepted: 10/01/2015] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
Abnormalities of glucose metabolism and glucose tolerance, either because of a reduction in tissue sensitivity to insulin (e.g., in liver, skeletal muscle, and adipose tissues) and/or a reduction in pancreatic insulin secretion, are associated with a number of unwanted health outcomes. Even small increases in circulating glucose levels (often described as dysglycemia or prediabetes) may confer an increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) disease and progression to overt type 2 diabetes. A number of drug therapies, many of them used long term in chronic disease management, have adverse effects on glucose metabolism, diabetes risk, and glycemic control among patients with preexisting diabetes. In this study, we review the evidence, underlying mechanisms, and the clinical significance of drug-related adverse effects on glucose metabolism.
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Affiliation(s)
- U Anyanwagu
- Division of Medical Sciences & GEM, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Royal Derby Hospital Centre, Derby, UK
| | - I Idris
- Division of Medical Sciences & GEM, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Royal Derby Hospital Centre, Derby, UK
| | - R Donnelly
- Division of Medical Sciences & GEM, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Royal Derby Hospital Centre, Derby, UK
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