Tumor regression grades: can they influence rectal cancer therapy decision tree? Int J Surg Oncol. 2013;2013:572149. [PMID: 24187617 PMCID: PMC3800638 DOI: 10.1155/2013/572149]

A prognostic nomogram for stage II/III rectal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgical resection

Background

The purpose of this study was to develop a large population-based nomogram incorporating the log odds of positive nodes (LODDS) for predicting the overall survival (OS) of stage II/III rectal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgical resection.

Methods

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to collect information on patients diagnosed with stage II/III rectal cancer between 2010 and 2015 and treated with NCRT followed by surgical resection. The Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the independent prognostic factors. In this study, LODDS was employed instead of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th N stage to determine lymph node status. Then a nomogram integrating independent prognostic factors was developed to predict the 24-, 36-, and 60-month overall survival. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves were used to validate the nomogram. Furthermore, patients were stratified into three risk groups (high-, middle-, and low-risk) based on the total points obtained from the nomogram. And Kaplan–Meier curves were plotted to compare the OS of the three groups.

Results

A total of 3829 patients were included in the study. Race, sex, age, marital status, T stage, tumor grade, tumor size, LODDS, CEA level, and postoperative chemotherapy were identified as independent prognostic factors, based on which the prognostic nomogram was developed. The area under curve values of the nomogram for the 24-, 36-, and 60-month OS in the training cohort were 0.736, 0.720, and 0.688, respectively; and 0.691, 0.696, and 0.694 in the validation cohort, respectively. In both the validation and training cohorts, the calibration curves showed a high degree of consistency between actual and nomogram-predicted survival rates. The Kaplan–Meier curves showed that the three risk groups had significant differences in overall survival (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

A large population-based nomogram incorporating LODDS was developed to assist in evaluating the prognosis of stage II/III rectal cancer patients treated with NCRT followed by surgical resection. The nomogram showed a satisfactorily discriminative and stable ability to predict the OS for those patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12893-022-01710-z.

Can we optimize CEA as a response marker in rectal cancer?

BACKGROUND AND AIM

carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a biomarker commonly used in colorectal cancer. However, its prognostic value is still controversial. Recent studies demonstrate that CEA produced locally by tumor cells has a higher prognostic value compared to serum CEA. This study aimed to determine whether there was an association between the CEA/tumor size ratio (CEA/ExT) and the pathological tumor response in patients with rectal adenocarcinoma (ADC), who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (N-CRT), followed by surgical tumor resection.

METHODS

a retrospective study was performed of rectal ADC patients who underwent N-CRT followed by curative surgery between March/2012 and October/2017. CEA and tumor extension for pre-treatment CEA/ExT calculation and the pathological response in the surgical specimen after treatment were analyzed.

RESULTS

eighty-nine patients were included, 60.7 % were male and the mean age was 63.8 ± 10.42. There was a good response to N-CRT in 41.6 % of the patients, tumor downstaging occurred in 83.1 % and a complete pathological response in 23.6 % of cases. The average CEA/ExT was 2.01 ng/ml/cm. In the univariate analysis, higher CEA/ExT values were related to a lower frequency of pathological response (p = 0.04) and to a lower frequency of tumor downstaging (p = 0.02). In the multivariate analysis, CEA/ExT was independently related to tumor downstaging (OR: 0.72; 95 % IC: 0.53-0.98, p-0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

lower pre-treatment CEA/ExT values seem to be associated with tumor downstaging and this parameter may be a promising predictor of a more favorable response in patients with rectal ADC undergoing treatment with N-CRT.

Radiomics signature as a new biomarker for preoperative prediction of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy response in locally advanced rectal cancer

PURPOSE

Whether radiomics methods are useful in prediction of therapeutic response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) is unclear. This study aimed to investigate multiple magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) sequence-based radiomics methods in evaluating therapeutic response to nCRT in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled patients with LARC (06/2014-08/2017) and divided them into nCRT-sensitive and nCRT-resistant groups according to postoperative tumor regression grading results. Radiomics features from preoperative MRI were extracted, followed by dimension reduction using the minimum redundancy maximum relevance filter. Three machine-learning classifiers and an ensemble classifier were used for therapeutic response prediction. Radiomics nomogram incorporating clinical parameters were constructed using logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC), decision curves analysis (DCA) and calibration curves were also plotted to evaluate the prediction performance.

RESULTS

The machine learning classifiers showed good prediction performance for therapeutic responses in LARC patients (n=189). The ROC curve showed satisfying performance (area under the curve [AUC], 0.830; specificity, 0.794; sensitivity, 0.815) in the validation group. The radiomics signature included 30 imaging features derived from axial T1-weighted imaging with contrast and sagittal T2-weighted imaging and exhibited good predictive power for nCRT. A radiomics nomogram integrating carcinoembryonic antigen levels and tumor diameter showed excellent performance with an AUC of 0.949 (95% confidence interval, 0.892-0.997; specificity, 0.909; sensitivity, 0.879) in the validation group. DCA confirmed the clinical usefulness of the nomogram model.

CONCLUSION

The radiomics method using multiple MRI sequences can be used to achieve individualized prediction of nCRT in patients with LARC before treatment.

T2-weighted signal intensity-selected volumetry for prediction of pathological complete response after preoperative chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the diagnostic value of signal intensity (SI)-selected volumetry findings in T2-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as a potential biomarker for predicting pathological complete response (pCR) to preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in patients with rectal cancer.

METHODS

Forty consecutive patients with pCR after preoperative CRT were compared with 80 age- and sex-matched non-pCR patients in a case-control study. SI-selected tumor volume was measured on post-CRT T2-weighted MRI, which included voxels of the treated tumor exceeding the SI (obturator internus muscle SI + [ischiorectal fossa fat SI - obturator internus muscle SI] × 0.2). Three blinded readers independently rated five-point pCR confidence scores and compared the diagnostic outcome with SI-selected volumetry findings. The SI-selected volumetry protocol was validated in 30 additional rectal cancer patients.

RESULTS

The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of SI-selected volumetry for pCR prediction was 0.831, with an optimal cutoff value of 649.6 mm³ (sensitivity 0.850, specificity 0.725). The AUC of the SI-selected tumor volume was significantly greater than the pooled AUC of readers (0.707, p < 0.001). At this cutoff, the validation trial yielded an accuracy of 0.87.

CONCLUSION

SI-selected volumetry in post-CRT T2-weighted MRI can help predict pCR after preoperative CRT in patients with rectal cancer.

KEY POINTS

• Fibrosis and viable tumor MRI signal intensities (SIs) are difficult to distinguish. • T2 SI-selected volumetry yields high diagnostic performance for assessing pathological complete response. • T2 SI-selected volumetry is significantly more accurate than readers and non-SI-selected volumetry. • Post-chemoradiation therapy T2-weighted MRI SI-selected volumetry facilitates prediction of pathological complete response.

Predictive clinical model of tumor response after chemoradiation in rectal cancer

Survival improvement in rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) is achieved only if pathological response occurs. Mandard tumor regression grade (TRG) proved to be a valid system to measure nCRT response. The ability to predict tumor response before treatment may significantly have impact the selection of patients for nCRT in rectal cancer. The aim is to identify potential predictive pretreatment factors for Mandard response and build a clinical predictive model design. 167 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer were treated with nCRT and curative surgery. Blood cell counts in peripheral blood were analyzed. Pretreatment biopsies expression of cyclin D1, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and protein 21 were assessed. A total of 61 single nucleotide polymorphisms were characterized using the Sequenom platform through multiplex amplification followed by mass-spectometric product separation. Surgical specimens were classified according to Mandard TRG. The patients were divided as: "good responders" (Mandard TRG1-2) and "poor responders" (Mandard TGR3-5). We examined predictive factors for Mandard response and performed statistical analysis. In univariate analysis, distance from anal verge, neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), cyclin D1, VEGF, EGFR, protein 21 and rs1810871 interleukin 10 (IL10) gene polymorphism are the pretreatment variables with predictive value for Mandard response. In multivariable analysis, NLR, cyclin D1, protein 21 and rs1800871 in IL10 gene maintain predictive value, allowing a clinical model design.

CONCLUSION

It seems possible to use pretreatment expression of blood and tissue biomarkers, and build a model of tumor response prediction to neoadjuvant chemoradiation in rectal cancer.

Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) and Derived Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (d-NLR) Predict Non-Responders and Postoperative Complications in Patients Undergoing Radical Surgery After Neo-Adjuvant Radio-Chemotherapy for Rectal Adenocarcinoma

In order to evaluate neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (d-NLR) in predicting response and complications in rectal cancer patients who underwent surgery after neo-adjuvant radio-chemotherapy, 87 patients were evaluated. Cutoffs before and after radio-chemotherapy were respectively 2.8 and 3.8 for NLR, and 1.4 and 2.3 for d-NLR. They were analyzed in relation to clinical and pathological outcomes. Patients with preoperative NLR and d-NLR higher than cutoffs had significantly higher rates of tumor regression grade response (TRG ≥ 4) and postoperative complications. Elevated NLR and d-NLR after radio-chemotherapy are associated with worse pathological and clinical outcome.

Predictive Response Value of Pre- and Postchemoradiotherapy Variables in Rectal Cancer: An Analysis of Histological Data

Background. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by curative surgery in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) improves pelvic disease control. Survival improvement is achieved only if pathological response occurs. Mandard tumor regression grade (TRG) proved to be a valid system to measure nCRT response. Potential predictive factors for Mandard response are analyzed. Materials and Methods. 167 patients with LARC were treated with nCRT and curative surgery. Tumor biopsies and surgical specimens were reviewed and analyzed regarding mitotic count, necrosis, desmoplastic reaction, and inflammatory infiltration grade. Surgical specimens were classified according to Mandard TRG. The patients were divided as "good responders" (Mandard TRG1-2) and "bad responders" (Mandard TRG3-5). According to results from our previous data, good responders have better prognosis than bad responders. We examined predictive factors for Mandard response and performed statistical analysis. Results. In univariate analysis, distance from anal verge and ten other postoperative variables related with nCRT tumor response had predictive value for Mandard response. In multivariable analysis only mitotic count, necrosis, and differentiation grade in surgical specimen had predictive value. Conclusions. There is a lack of clinical and pathological preoperative variables able to predict Mandard response. Only postoperative pathological parameters related with nCRT response have predictive value.

MRI Risk Stratification for Tumor Relapse in Rectal Cancer Achieving Pathological Complete Remission after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Therapy and Curative Resection

Purpose

Rectal cancer patients achieving pCR are known to have an excellent prognosis, yet no widely accepted consensus on risk stratification and post-operative management (e.g., adjuvant therapy) has been established. This study aimed to identify magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) high-risk factors for tumor relapse in pathological complete remission (pCR) achieved by rectal cancer patients who have undergone neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiation therapy (CRT) and curative resection.

Materials and Methods

We analyzed 88 (male/female = 55/33, median age, 59.5 years [range 34–78]) pCR-proven rectal cancer patients who had undergone pre-CRT MRI, CRT, post-CRT MRI and curative surgery between July 2005 and December 2012. Patients were observed for post-operative tumor relapse. We analyzed the pre/post-CRT MRIs for parameters including mrT stage, mesorectal fascia (mrMRF) status, tumor volume, tumor regression grade (mrTRG), nodal status (mrN), and extramural vessel invasion (mrEMVI). We performed univariate analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.

Results

Post-operative tumor relapse occurred in seven patients (8.0%, n = 7/88) between 5.7 and 50.7 (median 16.8) months. No significant relevance was observed between tumor volume, volume reduction rate, mrTRG, mrT, or mrN status. Meanwhile, positive mrMRF (P_pre-CRT = 0.018, P_pre/post-CRT = 0.006) and mrEMVI (P_pre-CRT = 0.026, P_{pre-/post-CRT} = 0.008) were associated with higher incidence of post-operative tumor relapse. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed a higher risk of tumor relapse in patients with positive mrMRF (P_pre-CRT = 0.029, P_{pre-/post-CRT} = 0.009) or mrEMVI (P_pre-CRT = 0.024, P_{pre-/post-CRT} = 0.003).

Conclusion

Positive mrMRF and mrEMVI status was associated with a higher risk of post-operative tumor relapse of pCR achieved by rectal cancer patients, and therefore, can be applied for risk stratification and to individualize treatment plans.

Can tumor regression grade influence survival outcome in ypT3 rectal cancer?

PURPOSE

Locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients achieving ypT3 status following neoadjuvant chemoradiation are considered to have poor response with minimal downstaging. However, residual cancer cell amounts vary in the subserosa/perirectal fat. Tumor regression grading (TRG) is an evaluation method based on the proportion of fibrosis and residual cancer cells. The aim of this study is to assess the influence of TRG in ypT3 rectal cancer patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 325 LARC patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiation and surgery. TRG scores were recorded by two independent pathologists. Among these patients, 143 were staged as ypT3. We analyzed TRG and other clinicopathological factors and their relationship with survival outcome including overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Among 143 ypT3 patients, 44 (30.8 %) were TRG1, 84 (58.7 %) were TRG2 and 15 (10.5 %) were TRG3. Seventy-nine (55.3 %) of these patients had metastatic lymph nodes. In univariate analysis, TRG was not associated with DFS (TRG2 vs TRG1, P = 0.852; TRG3 vs TRG1, P = 0.593) or OS (TRG2 vs TRG1, P = 0.977; TRG3 vs TRG1, P = 0.665). Palliative surgery (HR 3.845; 95 % CI 1.670-8.857; P = 0.002) and metastatic lymph nodes after surgery (HR 5.894; 95 % CI 1.142-3.48; P = 0.015) were significantly associated with decreased DFS, while palliative surgery was the only factor associated with worse OS (HR 6.011; 95 % CI 2.150-16.810; P = 0.001). Palliative surgery (HR 3.923; 95 % CI 1.696-9.073; P = 0.001) and metastatic lymph nodes (HR 2.011; 95 % CI 1.152-3.512; P = 0.014) also showed prognostic significance for DFS in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Residual cancer cells evaluated by TRG score after neoadjuvant chemoradiation do not influence survival outcome in ypT3 rectal cancer patients. However, lymph node status is a significant prognostic factor in ypT3 patients.

17-Week Delay Surgery after Chemoradiation in Rectal Cancer with Complete Pathological Response

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) followed by curative surgery still remains the standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). The main purpose of this multimodal treatment is to achieve a complete pathological tumor response (ypCR), with better survival. The surgery delay after CRT completion seems to increase tumor response and ypCR rate. Usually, time intervals range from 8 to 12 weeks, but the maximum tumor regression may not be seen in rectal adenocarcinomas until several months after CRT. About this issue, we report a case of a 52-year-old man with LARC treated with neoadjuvant CRT who developed, one month after RT completion, an acute myocardial infarction. The need to increase the interval between CRT and surgery for 17 weeks allowed a curative surgery without morbidity and an unexpected complete tumor response in the resected specimen (given the parameters presented in pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) performed 11 weeks after radiotherapy completion).

Tumor regression grades: potential outcome predictor of locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma after preoperative radiotherapy

AIM

To analyze tumor regression grade (TRG) for prognosis of locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma (LARA) treated with preoperative radiotherapy.

METHODS

One hundred and ninety patients with clinical stage II/III LARA were studied. All patients underwent radical surgery (between 2004 and 2010) after 30-Gy/10-fraction preoperative radiotherapy (pre-RT). All 190 patients received a short course of pre-RT and were reassessed for disease recurrence and survival; the slides of surgical specimens were reviewed and classified according to Mandard TRG. We compared patients with good response (Mandard TRG1 or TRG2) vs patients with bad/poor response (Mandard TRG3-5). Outcomes evaluated were 5-year overall survival (OS), 5-year disease-free survival (DFS), and local, distant and mixed recurrence. Fisher's exact test or χ(2) test, log-rank test and proportional hazards regression analysis were used to calculate the probability that Mandard TRG was associated with patient outcomes.

RESULTS

One hundred and sixty-six of 190 patients (87.4%) were identified as Mandard bad responders (TRG3-5). High Mandard grade was correlated with tumor height (41.7% < 6 cm vs 58.3% ≥ 6 cm, P = 0.050), ypT stage (75% ypT0-2 vs 25% ypT3-4, P = 0.000), and ypN stage (75% ypN0 vs 25% ypN1, P = 0.031). In univariate survival analysis, Mandard grade bad responders had significantly worse OS and DFS than good responders (TRG1/2) (OS, 83.1% vs 96.4%, P = 0.000; DFS, 72.3% vs 92.0%, P = 0.002). In multivariate survival analysis, Mandard bad responders had significantly worse DFS than Mandard good responders (DFS 3.8 years (95%CI: 1.2-12.2 years, P = 0.026).

CONCLUSION

Mandard grade good responders had a favorable prognosis. TRG may be a potential predictor for DFS in LARA after pre-RT.

Phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase CB association with preoperative radiotherapy response in rectal adenocarcinoma

AIM

To examine the correlation of phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PIK3) CB expression with preoperative radiotherapy response in patients with stage II/III rectal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

PIK3CB immunoexpression was retrospectively assessed in pretreatment biopsies from 208 patients with clinical stage II/III rectal adenocarcinoma, who underwent radical surgery after 30-Gy/10-fraction preoperative radiotherapy. The relation between PIK3CB expression and tumor regression grade, clinicopathological characteristics, and survival time was statistically analyzed. Western blotting and in vitro clonogenic formation assay were used to detect PIK3CB expression in four colorectal cancer cell lines (HCT116, HT29, LoVo, and LS174T) treated with 6-Gy ionizing radiation. Pharmacological assays were used to evaluate the therapeutic relevance of TGX-221 (a PIK3CB-specific inhibitor) in the four colorectal cancer cell lines.

RESULTS

Immunohistochemical staining indicated that PIK3CB was more abundant in rectal adenocarcinoma tissues with poor response to preoperative radiotherapy. High expression of PIK3CB was closely correlated with tumor height (P < 0.05), ypT stage (P < 0.05), and high-degree tumor regression grade (P < 0.001). High expression of PIK3CB was a potential prognostic factor for local recurrence-free survival (P < 0.05) and metastasis-free survival (P < 0.05). High expression of PIK3CB was also associated with poor therapeutic response and adverse outcomes in rectal adenocarcinoma patients treated with 30-Gy/10-fraction preoperative radiotherapy. In vitro, PIK3CB expression was upregulated in all four colorectal cancer cell lines concurrently treated with 6-Gy ionizing radiation, and the PIK3CB-specific inhibitor TGX-221 effectively inhibited the clonogenic formation of these four colorectal cancer cell lines.

CONCLUSION

PIK3CB is critically involved in response to preoperative radiotherapy and may serve as a novel target for therapeutic intervention.