Mathematical Modeling Investigation of Violence and Racism Coexistence as a Contagious Disease Dynamics in a Community

Optimal control strategies on HIV/AIDS and pneumonia co-infection with mathematical modelling approach

In this paper, a compartmental model on the co-infection of pneumonia and HIV/AIDS with optimal control strategies was formulated using the system of ordinary differential equations. Using qualitative methods, we have analysed the mono-infection and HIV/AIDS and pneumonia co-infection models. We have computed effective reproduction numbers by applying the next-generation matrix method, applying Castillo Chavez criteria the models disease-free equilibrium points global stabilities were shown, while we have used the Centre manifold criteria to determine that the pneumonia infection and pneumonia and HIV/AIDS co-infection exhibit the phenomenon of backward bifurcation whenever the corresponding effective reproduction number is less than unity. We carried out the numerical simulations to investigate the behaviour of the co-infection model solutions. Furthermore, we have investigated various optimal control strategies to predict the best control strategy to minimize and possibly to eradicate the HIV/AIDS and pneumonia co-infection from the community.

Smoking and alcoholism dual addiction dissemination model analysis with optimal control theory and cost-effectiveness

A mathematical model of the dual addiction dissemination dynamics of alcoholism and smoking was created and examined in this work, along with cost-effectiveness and optimal control techniques. The primary goal of the research is to determine which cost-efficient management techniques are most helpful in lowering the problem of dual addiction dispersion in the community. The smoking addiction sub-model, the alcohol addiction sub-model, and the dual addiction model between alcohol and smoking were all calculated, and their stability was examined in this study. The effective reproduction numbers of the models are computed using the next-generation operator technique. When the model's effective reproduction number is smaller than one, the backward bifurcation phenomenon is seen. Six time-dependent control measures are taken into consideration when formulating and analyzing the optimum control issue. Utilizing and applying the parameter values and using MATLAB ode45 solver we performed numerical simulations for both the dual addiction model and its optimal control problem. Furthermore, using the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), we carried out the cost-effectiveness analyses. The cost-effectiveness analysis shows that implementing all the protection (education) control measures simultaneously (i.e., implementing Strategy A) is the most cost-effective strategy. Finally, we recommend that the public health stakeholders must put great effort into the implementation of Strategy A to reduce the smoking and alcoholism dual addiction dissemination problem in the community.

Analysis of optimal control strategies on the fungal Tinea capitis infection fractional order model with cost-effective analysis

In this study, we have formulated and analyzed the Tinea capitis infection Caputo fractional order model by implementing three time-dependent control measures. In the qualitative analysis part, we investigated the following: by using the well-known Picard-Lindelöf criteria we have proved the model solutions' existence and uniqueness, using the next generation matrix approach we calculated the model basic reproduction number, we computed the model equilibrium points and investigated their stabilities, using the three time-dependent control variables (prevention measure, non-inflammatory infection treatment measure, and inflammatory infection treatment measure) and from the formulated fractional order model we re-formulated the fractional order optimal control problem. The necessary optimality conditions for the Tinea capitis fractional order optimal control problem and the existence of optimal control strategies are derived and presented by using Pontryagin's Maximum Principle. Also, the study carried out the sensitivity and numerical analysis to investigate the most sensitive parameters and to verify the qualitative analysis results. Finally, we performed the cost-effective analysis to investigate the most cost-effective measures from the possible proposed control measures, and from the findings we can suggest that implementing prevention measures only is the most cost-effective control measure that stakeholders should consider.

Investigating the Effects of Intervention Strategies on Pneumonia and HIV/AIDS Coinfection Model

HIV/AIDS and pneumonia coinfection have imposed a major socioeconomic and health burden throughout the world, especially in the developing countries. In this study, we propose a compartmental epidemic model on the spreading dynamics of HIV/AIDS and pneumonia coinfection to investigate the impacts of protection and treatment intervention mechanisms on the coinfection spreading in the community. In the qualitative analysis of the model, we have performed the positivity and boundedness of the coinfection model solutions; the effective reproduction numbers using the next-generation operator approach; and both the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points' local and global stabilities using the Routh-Hurwiz and Castillo-Chavez stability criteria, respectively. We performed the sensitivity analysis of the model parameters using both the forward normalized sensitivity index criteria and numerical methods (simulation). Moreover, we carried out the numerical simulation for different scenarios to investigate the effect of model parameters on the associated reproduction number, the effect of model parameters on the model state variables, and the solution behavior and convergence to the equilibrium point(s) of the models. Finally, from the qualitative analysis and numerical simulation results, we observed that the disease-spreading rates, protection rates, and treatment rates are the most sensitive parameters, and we recommend for stakeholders to concentrate and exert their maximum effort to minimize the spreading rates by maximizing the protection and treatment rates.