Trajectories and Predictors of Allograft Dysfunction after Renal Transplantation in Children

Trajectories of eGFR after kidney transplantation according to trajectories of eGFR prior to kidney replacement therapies in children with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

In children with chronic kidney disease (CKD), certain risk factors are associated with faster eGFR decline and earlier kidney failure. Whether these factors have lingering effects on post-transplant eGFR trajectory remains unclear. We characterized pre- and post-transplant eGFR trajectories in pediatric kidney transplant recipients by their pre-kidney replacement therapy (KRT) risk factors.

METHODS

We studied eGFR trajectories before KRT initiation and after transplantation among Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) Study participants. We used mixed-effects models to compare pre-KRT versus post-transplant eGFR trajectories within individual participants by 7 pre-KRT risk factors: glomerular/non-glomerular etiology, race, preemptive transplant, proteinuria, albuminuria, and systolic/diastolic blood pressure (SBP/DBP).

RESULTS

We analyzed 1602 pre-KRT and 592 post-transplant eGFR measurements from 246 transplant recipients. Mean annual eGFR decline was decreased from 18.0% pre-KRT (95%CI, 16.1-19.8) to 5.0% post-transplant (95%CI, 3.3-6.7). All 7 pre-KRT risk factors showed strong associations with faster pre-KRT eGFR decline, but not with post-transplant eGFR decline; only albuminuria, high SBP, and high DBP reached statistical significance with notably attenuated associations. In our multivariable model of the pre-KRT risk factors, post-transplant eGFR decline was more rapid only when albuminuria and high SBP were both present.

CONCLUSIONS

eGFR decline substantially slows down after transplant even among children with rapidly progressing forms of CKD. Nonetheless, those who had albuminuria and high SBP before KRT might continue to show faster eGFR decline after transplant, specifically when both risk factors were present. This subgroup might benefit from intensive pre-transplant management for at least one of the two risk factors. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Multi-phasic eGFR trajectory during follow up and long-term graft failure after kidney transplantation

BACKGROUND

The prevailing assumption is that following kidney transplantation the pattern of kidney function decline is consistent. Nevertheless, numerous factors leading to graft loss may emerge, altering the trajectory of kidney function. In this study, we aim to assess alterations in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) trajectory over an extended period of follow-up and examine its correlation with graft survival.

METHODS

We calculated eGFR using all creatinine values available from 1-year post transplantation to the end of follow-up. For pattern analysis, we used a piecewise linear model.

RESULTS

Nine hundred eighty-eight patients were included in the study. After a median follow-up of 5.2 years, 297 (30.1%) patients had a multi-phasic eGFR trajectory. Change in eGFR trajectory was associated with increased risk for graft failure (HR 7.15, 95% CI 5.17-9.89, p < .001), longer follow-up time, younger age, longer cold ischemia time, high prevalence of acute rejection, longer hospitalization and a lower initial eGFR. Of the 988 patients included in the study, 494 (50.0%) had a mono-phasic stable trajectory, 197 (19.9%) had a mono-phasic decreasing trajectory, 184 (18.6%) had bi-phasic decreasing trajectory (initial stability and then decline, 46(4.7%) had a bi-phasic stabilized (initial decline and then stabilization) and 67(6.8%) had a more complex trajectory (tri-phasic). Out of the total 144 patients who experienced graft loss, the predominant pattern was a bi-phasic decline characterized by a bi-linear trajectory (66 events, 45.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in eGFR trajectory during long-term follow-up can serve as a valuable tool for assessing the underlying mechanisms contributing to graft loss.

Changes in graft function after living donor kidney transplantation in children

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the change in graft function in two groups stratified by the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 1 month after transplantation (eGFR-1 M) in pediatric living donor kidney transplant recipients.

METHODS

Forty-three pediatric recipients were classified as those with an eGFR-1 M ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m² (n = 19; high eGFR group) or those with an eGFR-1 M of 60-89 mL/min/1.73 m² (n = 24; middle eGFR group). In the two groups, changes in the eGFR were retrospectively evaluated for 5 years after kidney transplantation.

RESULTS

The mean recipient age at transplantation in the high/middle eGFR group was 6.1 ± 3.4/7.8 ± 4.0 years (P = 0.14). The mean eGFR-1, -12, and -60 M (mL/min/1.73 m²) in the high/middle eGFR group were 106.8 ± 2.99/78.5 ± 1.52 (P < 0.001), 79.3 ± 3.22/62.7 ± 2.38 (P < 0.001), and 73.1 ± 4.16/59.2 ± 2.79 (P = 0.006), respectively. The change in the mean eGFR remained mostly parallel in the two groups. In both groups, the eGFR significantly decreased only between 1 and 12 months after transplantation (P < 0.0001). Approximately 70% of the patients had an eGFR-60 M ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m².

CONCLUSIONS

The high and middle eGFR groups showed a rapid decline in the eGFR by 1 year after transplantation, but the change thereafter was gradual. In pediatric living donor kidney transplant recipients, the eGFR was relatively well maintained up to 5 years after transplantation. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Early renal function trajectories, cytomegalovirus serostatus and long-term graft outcomes in kidney transplant recipients

BACKGROUND

Improved recognition of factors influencing graft survival has led to better short-term kidney transplant outcomes. However, efforts to prevent long-term graft decline and improve graft survival have seen more modest improvements. The adoption of electronic health records has enabled better recording and identification of donor-recipient factors through the use of modern statistical techniques. We have previously shown in a prevalent renal transplant population that episodes of rapid deterioration are associated with graft loss.

METHODS

Estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) between 3 and 27 months after transplantation were collected from 310 kidney transplant recipients. We utilised a Bayesian approach to estimate the most likely eGFR trajectory as a smooth curve from an average of 10,000 Monte Carlo samples. The probability of having an episode of rapid deterioration (decline greater than 5 ml/min/1.73 m2 per year in any 1-month period) was calculated. Graft loss and mortality data was collected over a median follow-up period of 8 years. Factors associated with having an episode of rapid deterioration and associations with long-term graft loss were explored.

RESULTS

In multivariable Cox Proportional Hazard analysis, a probability greater than 0.8 of rapid deterioration was associated with long-term death-censored graft loss (Hazard ratio 2.17; 95% Confidence intervals [CI] 1.04-4.55). In separate multivariable logistic regression models, cytomegalovirus (CMV) serostatus donor positive to recipient positive (Odds ratio [OR] 3.82; 95%CI 1.63-8.97), CMV donor positive (OR 2.06; 95%CI 1.15-3.68), and CMV recipient positive (OR 2.03; 95%CI 1.14-3.60) were associated with having a greater than 0.8 probability of an episode of rapid deterioration.

CONCLUSIONS

Early episodes of rapid deterioration are associated with long-term death-censored graft loss and are associated with cytomegalovirus seropositivity. Further study is required to better manage these potentially modifiable risks factors and improve long-term graft survival.

When does vesicoureteral reflux in pediatric kidney transplant patients need treatment?

PURPOSE

The treatment of VUR in children with UTI has changed significantly, due to studies showing that antibiotic prophylaxis does not decrease renal scarring. As children with kidney transplants are at higher risk for UTI, we investigated if select patients with renal transplant VUR could be managed without surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 18 patients with VUR into their renal grafts were identified, and 319 patients underwent transplantation from 2006 to 2016. The cause for the detection of the VUR, treatment, and graft function was reviewed.

RESULTS

Six boys and 12 girls were identified, 13 of whom had grade 3 or 4 VUR into the renal graft. Nine patients presented with hydronephrosis or abnormal renal biopsy: eight were successfully managed with antibiotic prophylaxis and bladder training, one developed UTI and underwent Dx/HA subureteric injection. Nine patients presented with recurrent febrile UTI, only one was successfully managed without surgery. Only 2 of 9 (22%) patients who underwent Dx/HA injection had resolution of their reflux. Of the remaining seven, five required open ureteral reimplantation (two for obstruction), one lost the graft due to rejection, and one had significant hydronephrosis. eGFR was similar between the hydronephrosis, UTI, and abnormal renal biopsy groups at all times.

CONCLUSION

Patients with transplant VUR and recurrent febrile UTI are more likely to require surgical therapy, but the complication and failure rate for Dx/HA injection is significant. Patients with transplant VUR without febrile UTI can be successfully managed with bladder training and temporary antibiotic prophylaxis.