Hypomagnesemia and Short-Term Mortality in Elderly Maintenance Hemodialysis Patients

A novel nomogram for predicting mortality risk in young and middle-aged patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis: a retrospective study

Objectives

The annual growth in the population of maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients is accompanied by a trend towards younger age groups among new cases. Despite the escalating mortality risk observed in MHD patients, there remains a dearth of research focused on young and middle-aged individuals in this cohort, leading to a deficiency in specialized predictive instruments for this demographic. This research seeks to explore the critical determinants impacting mortality risk in young and middle-aged MHD patients and to construct a prediction model accordingly.

Methods

This study involved 127 young and middle-aged patients undergoing MHD in the Blood Purification Center of Chaohu Hospital of Anhui Medical University from January 2019 to January 2022. The follow-up period for each patient ended either at the time of death or on January 31, 2024. Participants were monitored to determine their survival status and categorized into two groups: those who survived (98 patients) and those who deceased (29 patients). Clinical data were gathered for analysis. Logistic regression was utilized to pinpoint independent risk factors for mortality among these patients. Subsequently, a nomogram was established to predict mortality risk. The efficacy of this model was assessed through the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), alongside a calibration curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test to examine its fit. Additionally, decision curve analysis (DCA) was conducted to ascertain the clinical relevance of the predictive model.

Results

The study incorporated 127 young and middle-aged patients undergoing MHD, with a mortality rate recorded at 22.83% (29 cases). A logistic regression analysis revealed that age, hemoglobin (HB), serum magnesium (Mg), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-albumin ratio (PAR) were significant independent predictors of mortality among these patients. Utilizing these variables, a nomogram was developed to predict mortality risk, achieving an AUC of 0.899 (95% CI: 0.833-0.966). The model exhibited a specificity of 83.67% and a sensitivity of 82.76%, demonstrating substantial discriminative ability. The model's robustness was confirmed through internal validation with 1,000 bootstrap samples, yielding an AUC of 0.894 (95% CI: 0.806-0.949). The calibration curve closely aligned with the ideal curve, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a χ 2 value of 6.312 with a p-value of 0.612, verifying the model's high calibration accuracy. Additionally, the DCA indicated that the model provides a net benefit across a wide range of decision thresholds from 0 to 0.99, underscoring its clinical utility.

Conclusion

The nomogram developed from variables including age, HB levels, serum Mg, NLR, and PAR exhibits high levels of discrimination and calibration. This model effectively predicts mortality risk among young and middle-aged patients undergoing MHD, proving its clinical relevance.

Association between hypomagnesemia and mortality among dialysis patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Malnutrition-inflammation-atherosclerosis (MIA) syndrome is caused by the inflammatory cytokines in end stage renal disease (ESRD) patients, and MIA complex-related factors may be associated with hypomagnesemia and mortality. However, the association between serum magnesium level and mortality for dialysis patients is still not clear. Additionally, no meta-analysis has investigated the impact of serum magnesium on peritoneal dialysis and hemodialysis, separately.

Methods

We searched published studies in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, Collaboration Central Register of Controlled Clinical Trials, and Cochrane Systematic Reviews through April 2022. Studies associated with serum magnesium and all-cause mortality or cardiovascular (CV) mortality in ESRD on kidney replacement therapy (KRT) patients were included. A hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) was used to report the outcomes.

Results

Twenty-one studies involving 55,232 patients were included. Overall, there was a significant association between hypomagnesemia and all-cause mortality for dialysis patients (HR: 1.67, 95% CI [1.412-2.00], p < 0.001; certainty of evidence: moderate) using a mixed unadjusted and adjusted HR for analysis. There was also a significantly increased risk of CV mortality for individuals with hypomagnesemia compared with the non-hypomagnesemia group (HR 1.56, 95% CI [1.08-2.25], p < 0.001; certainty of evidence: moderate). In addition, a subgroup analysis demonstrated that hypomagnesemia was associated with a high risk of both all-cause mortality and CV mortality (all-cause mortality, HR:1.80, 95% CI [1.48-2.19]; CV mortality, HR:1.84, 95% CI [1.10-3.07]) in hemodialysis (HD) patients, but not in participants receiving peritoneal dialysis (PD; all-cause mortality, HR:1.26, 95% CI [0.84-1.91]; CV mortality, HR:0.66, 95% CI [0.22-2.00]). The systematic review protocol was prespecified and registered in PROSPERO [CRD42021256187].

Conclusions

Hypomagnesemia may be a significant risk factor for all-cause mortality and CV mortality in KRT patients, especially in those receiving hemodialysis. However, because of the limited certainty of evidence, more studies are required to investigate this association.

Clinical Factors Associated with Serum Magnesium Concentration in Patients Undergoing Peritoneal Dialysis: A Single-Center Observational Study

Purpose

Magnesium (Mg) is an essential element that is associated with various physiological functions, such as maintenance of blood pressure, muscle contraction, and nerve function. In patients undergoing hemodialysis, hypomagnesemia is associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. However, in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD), clinical factors associated with Mg have not been fully investigated.

Patients and Methods

Clinical factors including anthropometric data, comorbidities, laboratory data, medications, and dialysis methods were collected from the medical records of patients undergoing PD. The associations of these factors with the serum Mg concentration were investigated by univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

Sixty patients undergoing PD were investigated. The univariate analysis showed that the serum Mg concentration was significantly associated with treatment by hybrid PD (daily PD + once-weekly hemodialysis) (β = 0.264, P = 0.04), administration of phosphate binders (β = 0.294, P = 0.02), the serum C-reactive protein concentration (β = -0.318, P = 0.01), the serum potassium (K) concentration (β = 0.451, P < 0.01), and the serum intact parathormone concentration (β = -0.333, P = 0.01). The multivariate analysis using these factors showed an independent association between the serum Mg and K concentrations (β = 0.333, P = 0.01).

Conclusion

The serum Mg concentration was independently associated with the serum K concentration in patients undergoing PD.

Associations between the serum magnesium and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease patients: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Some studies have found that hypomagnesemia is associated with vascular calcification, atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular disease, which may lead to increased mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) who need to maintain hemodialysis (HD). However, the conclusion of these studies remain controversial.

METHODS

Relevant literature was retrieved from the database of Cochrane library, PubMed, EMBASE, and CNKI until December 2020, without any language restrictions. The data was analyzed using the Stata 12.0 software.

RESULTS

A total of 31 studies were included, involving 205436 participants. The results showed that after multivariable adjusted, hypomagnesemia was significant associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with CKD and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) (hazard ratios [HR] 1.955; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.511-2.528; P = .000; hypomagnesemia vs normal magnesium or hypermagnesemia). In contrast, in patients with CKD and ESRD, hypermagnesemia was negatively correlated with all-cause mortality (HR 0.873; 95% CI 0.793-0.960; P = .005) (per unit increase). Moreover, in the adjusted model, it was observed that hypermagnesemia was significantly associated with a reduced risk of cardiovascular death (HR 0.598; 95% CI 0.094-1.102, P = .020). In addition, subgroup analysis found that hypomagnesemia was closely related to the increase of all-cause mortality in HD patients (HR 1.799; 95% CI 1.375-2.354; P = .000) (hypomagnesemia vs normal magnesium or hypermagnesemia).

CONCLUSION

Our results show that hypomagnesemia is significantly associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in maintenance HD patients. Further studies should be conducted to evaluate the benefits of magnesium correction in maintenance dialysis patients with hypomagnesemia.

Prognostic Value of Serum Magnesium in Mortality Risk among Patients on Hemodialysis: A Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies

Background

Previous studies have reported that serum magnesium (Mg) deficiency is involved in the development of heart failure, particularly in patients with end-stage kidney disease. The association between serum Mg levels and mortality risk in patients receiving hemodialysis is controversial. We aimed to estimate the prognostic value of serum Mg concentration on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in patients receiving hemodialysis.

Methods

We did a systematic literature search in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science to identify eligible studies that reported the prognostic value of serum Mg levels in mortality risk among patients on hemodialysis. We performed a meta-analysis by pooling and analyzing hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

We identified 13 observational studies with an overall sample of 42,967 hemodialysis patients. Higher all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.58 [95% CI: 1.31–1.91]) and higher cardiovascular mortality (adjusted HR 3.08 [95% CI: 1.27–7.50]) were found in patients with lower serum Mg levels after multivariable adjustment. There was marked heterogeneity (I² = 79.6%, p < 0.001) that was partly explained by differences in age stratification and study area. In addition, subgroup analysis showed that a serum Mg concentration of ≤1.1 mmol/L might be the vigilant cutoff value.

Conclusion

A lower serum Mg level was associated with higher all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in patients receiving hemodialysis.

The association between circulating magnesium and clinically relevant outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Despite modern treatment, risk for cardiovascular disease and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unacceptably high. Observational studies have shown associations of magnesium with risk for several clinical outcomes in CKD of variable magnitude. The aim of this review is to provide a systematic overview and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies assessing the association of plasma magnesium concentration with clinically relevant outcomes in adult patients with chronic kidney disease, with a minimal follow-up of 6 months. Primary outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular events, sudden death and hospitalisation.

METHODS

The electronic databases PubMed, Embase and The Cochrane Library were searched using terms relating to plasma magnesium and CKD patients, and two authors independently selected eligible studies. Study quality was assessed according to the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Results of studies with a comparable magnesium exposure and outcome measure, were pooled using a random-effects meta-regression analysis.

RESULTS

The search yielded 6156 records of which 33 studies, involving 348,059 patients, met the eligibility criteria. Finally, 22 studies could be included in the meta-analysis. Higher magnesium was associated with a lower risk for all-cause mortality (HR 0.90 [0.87-0.94] per 0.1 mmol/L increase of magnesium) and cardiovascular mortality and events (HR 0.85 [0.77-0.94] per 0.1 mmol/L).

CONCLUSIONS

Magnesium concentration is inversely associated with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality and events. Therefore, increasing magnesium may improve risk in patients with chronic kidney disease. This meta-analysis forms a firm base for future prospective trials to test whether increasing plasma magnesium, indeed has beneficial effects on clinical outcomes.