The Role of the Albumin-Bilirubin Score for Predicting the Outcomes in Japanese Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Ramucirumab: A Real-World Study

Clinical usefulness of newly developed prognostic predictive score for atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for hepatocellular carcinoma

AIMS

The aim of the present study was to elucidate detailed parameters for prediction of prognosis for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) treatment.

METHODS

A total of 719 patients (males 577, median age 74 years) treated with Atez/Bev between September 2020 and January 2023 were enrolled. Factors related to overall survival (OS) were extracted and a prognostic scoring system based on hazard ratio (HR) was created. OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were retrospectively examined, and the prognostic ability of the newly developed system was compared to CRAFITY score using concordance index (c-index) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) results.

RESULTS

Cox-hazards multivariate analysis showed BCLC classification C/D (HR 1.4; 1 point), AFP ≥100 ng/mL (HR 1.4; 1 point), mALBI 2a (HR 1.7; 1 point), mALBI 2b/3 (HR 2.8; 2 points), and DCP ≥100 mAU/mL (HR 1.6; 1 point) as significant factors. The assigned points were added and used to develop the IMmunotherapy with AFP, BCLC staging, mALBI, and DCP evaluation (IMABALI-De) scoring system. For IMABALI-De scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, OS was not applicable (NA), NA, 26.11, 18.79, 14.07, and 8.32 months, respectively (p < .001; AIC 2788.67, c-index 0.699), while for CRAFITY scores of 0, 1, and 2, OS was 26.11, 20.29, and 11.32 months, respectively (p < .001; AIC 2864.54, c-index 0.606). PFS periods for those IMABALI-De scores were 21.75, 12.89, 9.18, 8.0, 5.0, and 3.75 months, respectively (p < .001; AIC 5203.32, c-index 0.623) and for the CRAFITY scores were 10.32, 7.68, and 3.57 months, respectively (p < .001; AIC 5246.61, c-index 0.574). As compared with CRAFITY score, IMABALI-De score had better AIC and c-index results for both OS and PFS.

CONCLUSION

The present results indicated that the proposed IMABALI-De score may be favorable for predicting prognosis of uHCC patients receiving Atez/Bev therapy.

Development and validation of a modified albumin-bilirubin grade and α-fetoprotein score (mALF score) for hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving atezolizumab and bevacizumab

AIM

Predicting the survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atez/bev) remains a challenge. This study aims to validate the modified albumin-bilirubin grade and α-fetoprotein score (mALF score).

METHODS

This retrospective, multicenter study included 426 HCC patients receiving Atez/Bev. Each patient was randomized 3:2 to a training set (n = 255) and a validation set (n = 171). We investigated prognostic factors in the training set and developed an easily applicable mALF score, which was evaluated in the validation set.

RESULTS

We built the mALF score using baseline mALBI grade 2b or 3 (HR 2.36, 95% CI 1.37-4.05, p = 0.002) and α-fetoprotein ≥ 100 ng/ml (HR 2.61, 95% CI 1.49-4.55, p < 0.001), which were identified as unfavorable prognostic factors in a multivariate analysis. The 1-year OS rates were 82.7% (95% CI 68.9-90.8) in patients who meet neither of the criteria (mALF 0 points, n = 101), 61.7% (95% CI 44.5-74.9) in patients who meet either of the two criteria (mALF 1 point, n = 109), and 24.6% (95% CI 9.0-44.3) in patients who meet both criteria (mALF 2 points, n = 45); the difference was statistically significant (p < 0.001). The median PFS in patients with mALF 0, 1, and 2 points was 9.5 months (95% CI 4.3-NA), 6.6 months (95% CI 6.0-8.0), and 3.8 months (95% CI 3.0-5.2), respectively, which amounted to a significant difference (p < 0.001). These results were confirmed in the validation set (1-year OS rates, 0/1/2 points = 94.2%/62.1%/46.3%, p < 0.001; median PFS, 0/1/2 points = 9.3/6.7/4.7 months, p = 0.018).

CONCLUSION

The mALF score can reliably predict the prognosis of HCC patients receiving Atez/Bev.

The hepatocellular carcinoma modified Gustave Roussy Immune score (HCC-GRIm score) as a novel prognostic score for patients treated with atezolizumab and bevacizumab: A multicenter retrospective analysis

AIM

This study investigated whether or not the hepatocellular carcinoma modified Gustave Roussy Immune Score (HCC-GRIm-Score) serves as a prognostic indicator for HCC patients treated with atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atez/Bev).

METHODS

A total of 405 HCC patients who received Atez/Bev from September 2020 to January 2022 at 22 different institutions were included in this retrospective study. The HCC-GRIm score was based on the combination of the albumin level (<3.5 g/L = 1 point), lactate dehydrogenase (≥245 U/L = 1 point), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (≥4.8 = 1 point), aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (≥1.44 = 1 point), and total bilirubin level (≥1.3 mg/dl = 1 point). Patients were divided into the low-score group (0, 1, or 2 points) and the high-score group (3, 4, or 5 points).

RESULTS

There were 89 (22.0%), 141 (34.8%), 106 (26.2%), 49 (12.1%), 16 (4.0%), and 4 (1.0%) patients with scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, respectively. The progression-free survival (PFS) in the low-score group was significantly longer than that in the high-score group (median 7.8 vs. 3.5 months, p < 0.001). The median overall survival (OS) of the low-score group was not reached at the time cutoff, with a 1-year survival rate of 75.5%, whereas the median OS of the high-score group was 8.5 months, showing a significant difference (p < 0.001). A high HCC-GRIm score was a significant unfavorable factor associated with the PFS and OS in multivariate analyses (p = 0.002 and p < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The HCC-GRIm score serves as a novel prognostic score for HCC patients treated with Atez/Bev.

A rare case of unresectable, microsatellite instability-high hepatocellular carcinoma and an examination of the tumor microenvironment

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, and the mortality rate of patients with unresectable HCC is very high. Microsatellite instability (MSI) is an essential biomarker for response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) in various tumors. However, the frequency of MSI in HCC is low (1.11%). There is only one case report of MSI-high HCC, and it is not well understood how high MSI affects the tumor microenvironment of HCC. Hence, we describe an interesting patient with unresectable MSI-high HCC, including the evaluation of immune status in the tumor microenvironment. A 68-year-old man presented to our department with HCC in liver segment 1. Contrast-enhanced CT revealed a liver tumor of 6.0 cm in maximum size. The patient underwent extended left and caudate lobectomy of the liver for HCC. Four months after surgical resection, contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) detected 13 recurrent nodules. The patient was diagnosed with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence, and we decided to administer systematic chemotherapy. Lenvatinib was administered over approximately 2 years as a first-line treatment, which resulted in intrahepatic tumor shrinkage. However, follow-up CECT showed new lesions, hepatogastric mesentery lymph node swelling, and peritoneal dissemination. After MSI-high status was identified, the patient began to receive pembrolizumab (200 mg, every 3 weeks). Eleven cycles of pembrolizumab therapy were administered over approximately 8 months, during which the diameter of the hepatogastric mesentery lymph node swelling and peritoneal dissemination showed shrinkage but later re-increased. As the third- and fourth-line therapy has been administered, the tumors and lymph nodes have shrunk. We report a rare case in which multikinase inhibitors were effectively used to treat MSI-high HCC.

Usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting progression and survival outcomes after atezolizumab-bevacizumab treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

We investigated pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for predicting survival outcomes of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and determined the predictive ability of combined liver reserve-NLR.

METHODS

This retrospective, multicenter study enrolled 242 patients receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for unresectable HCC. Pretreatment NLR <2.56 was designated as the "low group" and NLR ≥2.56 as the "high group" (120 and 122 patients, respectively). Propensity score-matched analysis was undertaken between the low and high groups.

RESULTS

In this cohort, the objective response and disease control rates were 20% and 72.5%, respectively, in the low group and 19.6% and 72.9%, respectively, in the high group. After matching, median progression-free survival (PFS) time was 283 and 167 days in the low and high groups, respectively (p = 0.022). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥2.56 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-2.28; p = 0.028), modified albumin-bilirubin index (mALBI) grade 2b or 3 (HR 1.55; 95% CI, 1.05-2.29; p = 0.025), and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II ≥ 400 (HR 2.03; 95% CI, 1.36-3.02; p = 0.001) were significantly associated with PFS in univariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model. In cases involving mALBI grade 1 or 2a (n = 131), the median PFS time was not reached in the low group, whereas it was 210 days in the high group (p = 0.037).

CONCLUSIONS

Pretreatment NLR is a simple tool for routine measurement in clinical practice. It can predict PFS in patients with unresectable HCC treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, especially mALBI grade 1 or 2a.

Real-World Study: A Powerful Tool for Malignant Tumor Research in General Surgery

Real-world study (RWS) is a method to draw conclusions by collecting and analyzing real-world data under a real clinical background. Compared with traditional randomized controlled trials (RCTs), RWSs are favored by clinicians because of their low cost and good extrapolation. In recent years, RWS has made remarkable achievements in the field of general surgery, especially in the drug treatment of advanced malignant tumors. Therefore, to further understand the main contents of the existing RWS and the application prospect of RWS in the future, this paper systematically reviews the clinical application of RWS in malignant tumors in general surgery in the past three years.

Therapeutic efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with Child-Pugh class A or B liver function in real-world clinical practice

BACKGROUND/AIM

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) treatment is recommended for unresechepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) patients classified as Child-Pugh A (CP-A). This study aimed to elucidate the prognosis of patients treated with Atez/Bev, especially CP-A and -B cases.

MATERIALS/METHODS

From September 2020 to March 2022, 457 u-HCC patients treated with Atez/Bev were enrolled (median age 74 years, male:female = 368:89, CP-A:CP-B = 427:30, Child-Pugh score [CPS] 5:6:7:8:9 = 271:156:21:8:1). Therapeutic response was evaluated using RECIST ver.1.1. Clinical features and prognosis were retrospectively evaluated.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences between CP-A and -B patients in regard to best response (CR:PR:SD:PD = 16:91:194:81 vs. 0:7:13:8, p = 0.739; objective response rate/disease control rate = 28.0%/78.8% vs. 25.0%/71.4%). Analysis performed using inverse probability weighting adjustments of clinical factors other than those related to hepatic reserve function with a p value < 0.10 for comparisons between patients with CP-A and -B showed that the progression-free survival (PFS) rate for CP-A cases was better (6-/12-/18-month: 58.2%/36.1%/27.8% vs. 49.6%/8.7%/non-estimable [NE], p < 0.001), as was overall survival (OS) rate (6-/12-/18-month: 89.9%/71.7%/51.4% versus 63.6%/18.4%/NE; p < 0.001). Median PFS (mPFS) and median OS (mOS) for the CPS-5 were 9.5 months/NE, and 5.1/14.0 months for the CPS-6 (both p < 0.001). Furthermore, for modified albumin-bilirubin grade (mALBI)-1/2a/2b, mPFS was 9.4/8.5/5.3 months (p < 0.001) and mOS was NE/17.8/13.4 months (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Better hepatic function, such as mALBI grade 1 or 2a are thought to indicate a better condition for obtaining sufficient prognosis with Atez/Bev treatment for u-HCC patients, whereas for CP-B patients, who mainly shown an mALBI grade of 2b or 3, Atez/Bev might have less therapeutic efficacy.

Initial therapeutic results of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for unresectable advanced hepatocellular carcinoma and the importance of hepatic functional reserve

AIM

We analyzed the association between the modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade and therapeutic efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atezo+Bev) for the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC).

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, we included 71 u-HCC patients treated with Atezo+Bev between September 2020 and September 2021. Patients were grouped corresponding to the mALBI grade at the start of treatment (mALBI 1+2a or mALBI 2b+3) and analyzed for therapeutic effect and the transition rate to secondary treatment.

RESULTS

According to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, the overall response rate was significantly higher for the mALBI 1+2a group, than for the mALBI 2b+3 group, with 26.2% and 3.4%, respectively. The progression-free survival (PFS) was significantly longer in the mALBI 1+2a group (10.5 months) than in the mALBI 2b+3 group (3.0 months). In the multivariate analysis, an mALBI of 1+2a was found to be an independent factor of PFS. The rate of second-line treatment with multi-targeted agents was also significantly higher in the mALBI 1+2a group.

CONCLUSIONS

In real-world practice, Atezo+Bev treatment might have higher therapeutic efficacy in u-HCC patients with mALBI 1+2a.

Does first-line treatment have prognostic impact for unresectable HCC?-Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab versus lenvatinib

BACKGROUND/AIM

A comparison of therapeutic efficacy between atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) and lenvatinib treatment given as first-line therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) in regard to progression-free survival (PFS) overall survival (OS) has not been reported. We aimed to elucidate which of those given as initial treatment for u-HCC has greater prognostic impact on PFS and OS of affected patients, retrospectively.

MATERIALS/METHODS

From 2020 to January 2022, 251 u-HCC (Child-Pugh A, ECOG PS 0/1, BCLC-B/C) treated were enrolled (Atez/Bev-group, n = 194; lenvatinib-group, n = 57). PFS and OS were analyzed following adjustment based on inverse probability weighting (IPW).

RESULTS

There was a greater number of patients with macro-vascular invasion in Atez/Bev-group (22.7% vs. 8.8%, p = 0.022). In lenvatinib-group, the frequencies of appetite loss (38.6% vs. 19.6%, p = 0.002), hypothyroidism (21.1% vs. 6.7%, p = 0.004), hand foot skin reaction (19.3% vs. 1.0%, p < 0.001), and diarrhea (10.5% vs. 4.6%, p = 0.012) were greater, while that of general fatigue was lower (22.8% vs. 26.3%, p = 0.008). Comparisons of therapeutic best response using modified response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (mRECIST) did not show significant differences between the present groups (Atez/Bev vs. lenvatinib: CR/PR/SD/PD = 6.1%/39.1%/39.1%/15.6% vs. 0%/48.0%/38.0%/14.0%, p = 0.285). In patients of discontinuation of treatments, 48.2% switched to lenvatinib, 10.6% continued beyond PD, 8.2% received another systemic treatment, 5.9% underwent transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE), 3.5% received hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC), and 1.2% underwent surgical resection in Atez/Bev-group, while 42.2% switched to Atez/Bev, 4.4% continued beyond PD, 4.4% received another systemic treatment, 2.2% nivolumab, 6.7% received TACE, and 2.2% received HAIC in lenvatinib-group. Following adjustment with inverse probability weighting (IPW), Atez/Bev-group showed better PFS (0.5-/1-/1.5-years: 56.6%/31.6%/non-estimable vs. 48.6%/20.4%/11.2%, p < 0.0001) and OS rates (0.5-/1-/1.5-years: 89.6%/67.2%/58.1% vs. 77.8%/66.2%/52.7%, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

The present study showed that u-HCC patients who received Atez/Bev as a first-line treatment may have a better prognosis than those who received lenvatinib.

Early experience of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma BCLC-B stage patients classified as beyond up to seven criteria - Multicenter analysis

BACKGROUND/AIM

Although systemic therapy is recommended for patients with multiple intermediate stage unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) classified as beyond the up-to-7 criteria (UT-7 out/multiple) as a transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) unsuitable condition, few reports have examined the therapeutic efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab combination therapy (Atez/Bev) in such cases. This study aimed to elucidate the therapeutic response of Atez/Bev in u-HCC patients classified as UT-7 out/multiple.

MATERIAL/METHODS

From September 2020 to September 2021, 95 u-HCC Japanese patients classified as UT-7 out/multiple/Child-Pugh A were enrolled from 21 institutions (median age 76 years, males 73, Child-Pugh 5:6 = 68:27, TNM stage II:III = 17:78). Therapeutic response was retrospectively evaluated using Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST), ver. 1.1 and modified RECIST (mRECIST).

RESULTS

Atez/Bev was given as first-line treatment to 52 (54.7%). Objective response rate (ORR)/disease control rate (DCR) at six weeks of RECIST and mRECIST were 17.7%/84.7% and 42.5%/86.2%, respectively. Median PFS was 8.0 months (median observation period: 6.0 months). Child-Pugh A/modified Albumin-bilirubin grade (mALBI) 1 and 2a at baseline, 3, 6, and 9 weeks, were 100%/69.4%, 89.8%/57.3%, 94.8%/65.3%, and 91.4%/60.0%, respectively. Among adverse events (any-grade, >10%) during the present observation period, general fatigue was most frequent (23.2%), followed by urine protein (21.1%), appetite loss (20.0%), and hypertension (13.7%).

CONCLUSION

Atez/Bev treatment showed favorable therapeutic response with less influence on hepatic function, suggesting it as a useful therapeutic option for patients with such condition.

Clinical Evaluation of Ramucirumab for the Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC): Place in Therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma remains one of the leading causes of death from cancer worldwide as most cases are diagnosed at an advanced disease stage. Ramucirumab, a human anti-VEGFR-2 monoclonal antibody, is approved as a monotherapy for the treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and α-fetoprotein levels ≥400 ng/mL previously treated with sorafenib. As most patients present with an advanced disease, patients with α-fetoprotein levels ≥400 ng/mL have an aggressive disease and a poor prognosis, making ramucirumab an important treatment option for this subgroup of patients. This article provides a comprehensive review of the clinical efficacy of ramucirumab as highlighted in the two major trials that lead to its approval. We also briefly review the agent pharmacologic properties, as well as its safety and toxicity profile, before discussing certain limitations and challenges associated with ramucirumab use. Finally, we review completed and ongoing clinical trials and focus on those involving ramucirumab-based combinations, namely with immune therapy.

Factors Contributing to the Prognosis after Second-line Therapy with Ramucirumab in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective Multiple therapeutic agents exist for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but prognostic factors in second-line and subsequent therapies are unclear. Ramucirumab is a molecular-targeted agent effective against hepatocytes with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >400 ng/mL after sorafenib failure. We examined the prognostic factors and efficacy of ramucirumab with prior therapy other than sorafenib. Methods In our retrospective multicenter study, 33 patients were treated with ramucirumab for HCC with prior therapy other than sorafenib, including 1 patient who received 2 lines of ramucirumab. We analyzed background factors, liver reserve, the prognosis, and treatment duration and efficacy. Results The median albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) value showed little change during ramucirumab treatment. The ALBI value improved in 32% of patients, and their prognoses were better than in those who did not improve. Response and efficacy rates were not as high as those in the REACH-2 study but were similar when limited to patients with 2,500 ng/mL AFP. Thirteen patients received further treatment after ramucirumab failure and they had a significantly better prognosis from ramucirumab administration and also had a significantly better prognosis from the start of the first tyrosine kinase inhibitor than who did not received further treatment. In univariate and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors, the continuation of treatment with another drug after ramucirumab failure and a good ALBI value at initiation were significant. The presence of a ramucirumab response and treatment duration were not associated with the prognosis. A good ALBI value at initiation and ALBI value improvement during treatment were also identified as independent factors associated with eligibility for further treatment after ramucirumab failure. The treatment line did not correlate with the availability of treatment with another drug after treatment failure. Conclusions ALBI value improvement with ramucirumab treatment allows for subsequent treatment after failure and an improved overall prognosis.

Sequential therapy including regorafenib for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: Effect of early relative changes in hepatic functional reserve after regorafenib administration on prognosis

AIM

Regorafenib is a second-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma after sorafenib-refractory treatment. This study examined the effects of regorafenib administration on hepatic functional reserve and the treatment course after regorafenib discontinuation.

METHODS

This retrospective, multicenter study involved 51 patients treated with regorafenib after sorafenib-refractory treatment for u-HCC at seven institutions before March 2021.

RESULTS

Fourteen, 13, and 24 patients were classified based on modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade 1, 2a, and 2b, respectively. The median survival time and progression-free survival were 16.7 and 3.3 months, respectively. Only mALBI grade 2b or 3 was significantly associated with survival rate (hazard ratio, 2.13; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-4.49; p = 0.047). A comparison of median ALBI scores at the initiation of regorafenib (-2.35) with those at 4 weeks (-1.93) revealed a significant relative change (p = 0.0001). After 4 weeks, grade 1 or 2a persisted in 15 patients (Group 1); grade 1 or 2a deteriorated to 2b in 12 patients (Group 2); grade 2b or 3 before regorafenib administration was present in 22 patients (Group 3); and MST was 33.3, 12.8, and 11.3 months in the three groups, respectively (p = 0.05). Patients treated with lenvatinib (LEN) (n = 27, MST = 23.4 months) after regorafenib had a significantly longer survival time from regorafenib initiation than those not treated with LEN (n = 24, 11.8 months; p = 0.043).

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatic functional reserve significantly declined after regorafenib administration. During regorafenib treatment, favorable hepatic functional reserve before administration and maintenance of favorable hepatic reserve after administration lead to prolonged prognosis.

Long-term survival of 11 years with multidisciplinary therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma metastasis to the ovary and peritoneum: a case report

We herein report a rare case of HCC metastases to the ovary and peritoneum in a 61-year-old female patient who has achieved 11-year survival with multidisciplinary therapy. The patient was diagnosed with HCC during balloon angioplasty performed for Budd-Chiari syndrome in 1994 and underwent partial hepatectomy twice. Five years after the second hepatectomy, allochronic recurrence of a single nodule detected in S8 was treated by radiofrequency ablation, followed by percutaneous ethanol injection therapy and stereotactic body radiotherapy. However, her α-fetoprotein level rose to 1862 ng/mL within one year and computed tomography revealed a large pelvic tumor suggesting HCC metastasis to the ovary. The subsequent laparotomy revealed one 11-cm left ovarian tumor, one small right ovarian nodule, and numerous peritoneal nodules. Bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy and peritoneal resection of as many nodules as possible were performed. Combination therapy with intravenous 5-fluorouracil plus cisplatin and ramucirumab monotherapy effectively suppressed tumor progression with maintenance of hepatic functional reserve, and she has achieved long-term survival of 11 years, illustrating that multidisciplinary therapy with favorable hepatic functional reserve maintenance can contribute to long-term survival in HCC with extrahepatic spread.

Identification of lenvatinib prognostic index via recursive partitioning analysis in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

After the advent of new treatment options for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the identification of prognostic factors is crucial for the selection of the most appropriate therapy for each patient.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

With the aim to fill this gap, we applied recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) to a cohort of 404 patients treated with lenvatinib.

RESULTS

The application of RPA resulted in a classification based on five variables that originated a new prognostic score, the lenvatinib prognostic index (LEP) index, identifying three groups: low risk [patients with prognostic nutritional index (PNI) >43.3 and previous trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE)]; medium risk [patients with PNI >43.3 but without previous TACE and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B (BCLC-B)]; high risk [patients with PNI <43.3 and ALBI grade 2 and patients with PNI <43.3, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C (BCLC-C)]. Median overall survival was 29.8 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 22.8-29.8 months] in low risk patients (n = 128), 17.0 months (95% CI 15.0-24.0 months) in medium risk (n = 162) and 8.9 months (95% CI 8.0-10.7 months) in high risk (n = 114); low risk hazard ratio (HR) 1 (reference group), medium risk HR 1.95 (95% CI 1.38-2.74), high risk HR 4.84 (95% CI 3.16-7.43); P < 0.0001. The LEP index was validated in a cohort of 127 Italian patients treated with lenvatinib. While the same classification did not show a prognostic value in a cohort of 311 patients treated with sorafenib, we also show a possible predictive role in favor of lenvatinib in the low risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

LEP index is a promising, easy-to-use tool that may be used to stratify patients undergoing systemic treatment of advanced HCC.

Impact of modified albumin-bilirubin grade on survival in patients with HCC who received lenvatinib

We investigated the impact on survival of modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade versus Child-Pugh classification in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received lenvatinib. A total of 524 patients with HCC who received lenvatinib were included. Univariate analysis showed that mALBI grade 2b/3 and Child-Pugh class B/C were significantly associated with survival [hazard ratio (HR), 2.471; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.944-3.141 and HR, 2.178; 95%CI, 1.591-2.982]. In patients with a Child-Pugh score of 5, multivariate analysis showed that mALBI grade 2b/3 was independently associated with survival (HR, 1.814; 95%CI, 1.083-3.037). Conversely, among patients with mALBI grade 1/2a, there was no difference in survival between those with a Child-Pugh class of 5 or 6 (p = 0.735). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that the ALBI score predicted survival better than the Child-Pugh score. The optimal cut-off value of the ALBI score for predicting survival was nearly the same as the value separating mALBI grades 2a and 2b. In conclusion, the mALBI grade was a better predictor of survival than the Child-Pugh classification in patients with unresectable HCC who received lenvatinib therapy.