Cognitive Predictors of Delirium on Long-Term Follow-Up after TIA and Stroke: Population-Based Cohort Study

Delirium in acute stroke is associated with increased cognitive and psychiatric symptoms over time: The Nor-COAST study

BACKGROUND

Delirium, an acute and fluctuating mental disturbance of attention, cognition, and consciousness, commonly occurs in acute stroke. Research on long-term outcomes of stroke patients experiencing delirium is limited, especially regarding cognitive and psychiatric symptoms.

METHODS

As part of the Nor-COAST study, 373 patients were screened for delirium using the Confusion Assessment Method (CAM) in the acute phase of stroke. Patients were included in the mixed-model linear regression analyses if they had available data from the follow-ups at three, 18 or 36 months, totaling 334 (44.6 % women, mean (SD) age: 72.1 (12.5) years, 17 (5.1 %) diagnosed with delirium). Global cognition was measured using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). Psychiatric symptoms were measured using the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) and the Neuropsychiatric Inventory-Questionnaire (NPI-Q).

RESULTS

At three months, delirium was associated with a higher NPI-Q score (Mean (SD) 2.9 (3.6) vs 1.4 (2.2)). At 18 and 36 months, delirium was associated with a lower MoCA score (Mean (SD) 19.7 (6.6) vs 24.3 (5.0), and 20.6 (7.6) vs 24.6 (4.8)), higher HADS anxiety symptoms (5.0 (4.3) vs 3.3 (3.3), and 5.9 (4.1) vs 3.4 (3.6)), higher HADS depression symptoms (7.2 (4.7) vs 3.4 (3.3), and 6.6 (5.1) vs 3.7 (3.7)), and higher NPI-Q score (2.4 (4.4) vs 1.7 (2.3), 2.6 (4.5) vs 1.0 (1.9)). Delirium significantly predicted the psychiatric symptoms hallucinations and agitation.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with delirium in the acute phase of stroke may be particularly vulnerable to developing cognitive and psychiatric symptoms in the chronic phase.

Protocol for the Development and Analysis of the Oxford and Reading Cognitive Comorbidity, Frailty and Ageing Research Database-Electronic Patient Records (ORCHARD-EPR)

BACKGROUND

Hospital electronic patient records (EPRs) offer the opportunity to exploit large-scale routinely acquired data at relatively low cost and without selection. EPRs provide considerably richer data, and in real-time, than retrospective administrative data sets in which clinical complexity is often poorly captured. With population ageing, a wide range of hospital specialties now manage older people with multimorbidity, frailty and associated poor outcomes. We, therefore, set-up the Oxford and Reading Cognitive Comorbidity, Frailty and Ageing Research Database-Electronic Patient Records (ORCHARD-EPR) to facilitate clinically meaningful research in older hospital patients, including algorithm development, and to aid medical decision-making, implementation of guidelines, and inform policy.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

ORCHARD-EPR uses routinely acquired individual patient data on all patients aged ≥65 years with unplanned admission or Same Day Emergency Care unit attendance at four acute general hospitals serving a population of >800 000 (Oxfordshire, UK) with planned extension to the neighbouring Berkshire regional hospitals (>1 000 000). Data fields include diagnosis, comorbidities, nursing risk assessments, frailty, observations, illness acuity, laboratory tests and brain scan images. Importantly, ORCHARD-EPR contains the results from mandatory hospital-wide cognitive screening (≥70 years) comprising the 10-point Abbreviated-Mental-Test and dementia and delirium diagnosis (Confusion Assessment Method-CAM). Outcomes include length of stay, delayed transfers of care, discharge destination, readmissions and death. The rich multimodal data are further enhanced by linkage to secondary care electronic mental health records. Selection of appropriate subgroups or linkage to existing cohorts allows disease-specific studies. Over 200 000 patient episodes are included to date with data collection ongoing of which 129 248 are admissions with a length of stay ≥1 day in 64 641 unique patients.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

ORCHARD-EPR is approved by the South Central Oxford C Research Ethics Committee (ref: 23/SC/0258). Results will be widely disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and presentations at conferences, and regional meetings to improve hospital data quality and clinical services.

Development of an individualized model for predicting postoperative delirium in elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Postoperative delirium (POD) is a common complication in older patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that adversely impacts clinical outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the risk factors for POD and to construct a predictive nomogram. Data for a total of 1481 older patients (training set: n=1109; validation set: n=372) who received liver resection for HCC were retrospectively retrieved from two prospective databases. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the performance. The rate of POD was 13.3% (148/1109) in the training set and 16.4% (61/372) in the validation set. Multivariate analysis of the training set revealed that factors including age, history of cerebrovascular disease, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, albumin level, and surgical approach had significant effects on POD. The area under the ROC curves (AUC) for the nomogram, incorporating the aforementioned predictors, was 0.798 (95% CI 0.752-0.843) and 0.808 (95% CI 0.754-0.861) for the training and validation sets, respectively. The calibration curves of both sets showed a degree of agreement between the nomogram and the actual probability. DCA demonstrated that the newly established nomogram was highly effective for clinical decision-making. We developed and validated a nomogram with high sensitivity to assist clinicians in estimating the individual risk of POD in older patients with HCC.

Infection, delirium, and risk of dementia in patients with and without white matter disease on previous brain imaging: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

The increased risk of dementia after delirium and infection might be influenced by cerebral white matter disease (WMD). In patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and minor stroke, we assessed associations between hospital admissions with delirium and 5-year dementia risk and between admissions with infection and dementia risk, stratified by WMD severity (moderate or severe vs absent or mild) on baseline brain imaging.

METHODS

We included patients with TIA and minor stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Score <3) from the Oxford Vascular Study (OXVASC), a longitudinal population-based study of the incidence and outcomes of acute vascular events in a population of 94 567 individuals, with no age restrictions, attending eight general practices in Oxfordshire, UK. Hospitalisation data were obtained through linkage to the Oxford Cognitive Comorbidity, Frailty, and Ageing Research Database-Electronic Patient Records (ORCHARD-EPR). Brain imaging was done using CT and MRI, and WMD was prospectively graded according to the age-related white matter changes (ARWMC) scale and categorised into absent, mild, moderate, or severe WMD. Delirium and infection were defined by ICD-10 coding supplemented by hand-searching of hospital records. Dementia was diagnosed using clinical or cognitive assessment, medical records, and death certificates. Associations between hospitalisation with delirium and hospitalisation with infection, and post-event dementia were assessed using time-varying Cox analysis with multivariable adjustment, and all models were stratified by WMD severity.

FINDINGS

From April 1, 2002, to March 31, 2012, 1369 individuals were prospectively recruited into the study. Of 1369 patients (655 with TIA and 714 with minor stroke, mean age 72 [SD 13] years, 674 female and 695 male, and 364 with moderate or severe WMD), 209 (15%) developed dementia. Hospitalisation during follow-up occurred in 891 (65%) patients of whom 103 (12%) had at least one delirium episode and 236 (26%) had at least one infection episode. Hospitalisation without delirium or infection did not predict subsequent dementia (HR 1·01, 95% CI 0·86-1·20). In contrast, hospitalisation with delirium predicted subsequent dementia independently of infection in patients with and without WMD (2·64, 1·47-4·74; p=0·0013 vs 3·41, 1·91-6·09; p<0·0001) especially in those with unimpaired baseline cognition (cognitive test score above cutoff; 4·01, 2·23-7·19 vs 3·94, 1·95-7·93; both p≤0·0001). However, hospitalisation with infection only predicted dementia in those with moderate or severe WMD (1·75, 1·04-2·94 vs 0·68, 0·39-1·20; pdiff=0·023).

INTERPRETATION

The increased risk of dementia after delirium is unrelated to the presence of WMD, whereas infection increases risk only in patients with WMD, suggesting differences in underlying mechanisms and in potential preventive strategies.

FUNDING

National Institute for Health and Care Research and Wellcome Trust.

Cognitive Deficits in Executive and Language Functions Predict Postoperative Delirium

OBJECTIVES

Postoperative delirium (POD) remains the most common complication in older adults, with cognitive impairment being the main risk factor. Patients with mild cognitive impairment, in particular, have much to lose from delirium; despite this, their cognitive impairment might be clinically overlooked. Understanding which cognitive domains are particularly predictive in this regard may improve the sensitivity of preoperative testing and allow for a more targeted application of resource-intensive measures to prevent delirium in the perioperative period. The authors conducted this study with the aim of identifying the most indicative cognitive domains.

DESIGN

A secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial.

SETTING

At a single center, the University Medical Centre Hamburg in Hamburg, Germany.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients ≥60 years without major neurocognitive disorders (dementia, Mini-Mental State Examination score ≤23) scheduled for cardiovascular surgery.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Preoperative neuropsychologic testing and delirium screening were performed twice daily until postoperative day 5. A multiple logistic regression model was applied to determine the predictive ability of test performances for the development of delirium.

RESULTS

A total of 541 patients were included in the analysis; the delirium rate was 15.6%. After controlling for confounders, only low performance within the Trail Making Test B/A (odds ratio [OR] = 1.32; 95% CI: 1.05-1.66) and letter fluency (OR = 0.66; 95% CI: 0.45-0.96) predicted a particularly high risk for delirium development. The discriminative ability of the final multiple logistic regression model to predict POD had an area under the curve of 0.786.

CONCLUSIONS

Impairment in the cognitive domains of executive function and language skills associated with memory, inhibition, and access speed seem to be particularly associated with the development of delirium after surgery in adults ≥65 years of age without apparent preoperative neurocognitive impairment.

The Role of Vascular Risk Factors in Post-Stroke Delirium: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Vascular risk factors may predispose to post-stroke delirium (PSD). A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed by searching PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus. The primary outcome was the prevalence of vascular risk factors in PSD vs. non-PSD patients. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and mean differences (MDs) with 95% CIs were calculated for categorical and continuous variables, respectively. Fixed effects or random effects models were used in case of low- or high-statistical heterogeneity, respectively. We found an increased prevalence of atrial fibrillation (OR = 1.74, p = 0.0004), prior stroke (OR = 1.48, p < 0.00001), coronary artery disease (OR = 1.48, p < 0.00001), heart failure (OR = 2.01, p < 0.0001), and peripheral vascular disease (OR = 2.03, p < 0.00001) in patients with vs. without PSD. PSD patients were older (MD = 5.27 y, p < 0.00001) compared with their non-PSD counterparts. Advanced age, atrial fibrillation, prior stroke, coronary artery disease, heart failure, and peripheral vascular disease appeared to be significantly associated with PSD.