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Sengupta A, Gauvreau K, Kohlsaat K, Lee JM, Mayer JE, Del Nido PJ, Nathan M. Prognostic utility of a novel risk prediction model of 1-year mortality in patients surviving to discharge after surgery for congenital or acquired heart disease. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2024; 167:454-463.e6. [PMID: 37160220 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2023.04.032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2023] [Revised: 04/09/2023] [Accepted: 04/22/2023] [Indexed: 05/11/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We sought to develop a novel risk prediction model of 1-year mortality after congenital heart surgery that accounts for clinical, anatomic, echocardiographic, and socioeconomic factors. METHODS This was a single-center, retrospective review of consecutive index operations for congenital or acquired heart disease, from January 2011 to January 2021, among patients with known survival status at 1 year after discharge from the index hospitalization. The primary outcome was postdischarge mortality at 1 year. Variables of interest included age, prematurity, noncardiac anomalies or syndromes, the Childhood Opportunity Index, primary procedure, major adverse postoperative complications, and the Residual Lesion Score. Logistic regression was used to develop a weighted risk score for the primary outcome. Internal validation using a bootstrap-resampling approach was performed. RESULTS Of 10,412 consecutive operations for congenital or acquired heart disease, 8808 (84.6%) cases met entry criteria, including survival to discharge. There were 190 (2.2%) deaths at 1 year postdischarge. A weighted risk score was formulated on the basis of the variables in the final risk prediction model, which included all aforementioned risk factors of interest. This model had a C-statistic of 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.80-0.85). The median risk score was 6 (interquartile range, 4-8) points. Patients were categorized as low (score 0-5), medium (score 6-10), high (score 11-15), or very high (score 16-20) risk. The expected probability of mortality was 0.4% ± 0.2%, 2.0% ± 1.1%, 10.1% ± 5.0%, and 36.6% ± 9.6% for low-risk, medium-risk, high-risk, and very high-risk patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS A risk prediction model of 1-year mortality may guide prognostication and follow-up of patients after discharge after surgery for congenital or acquired heart disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aditya Sengupta
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Mass
| | - Kimberlee Gauvreau
- Department of Cardiology, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Mass; Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Mass
| | | | - Ji M Lee
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Mass
| | - John E Mayer
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Mass; Department of Surgery, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass
| | - Pedro J Del Nido
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Mass; Department of Surgery, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass
| | - Meena Nathan
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Mass; Department of Surgery, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass.
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Lopez KN, Allen KY, Baker-Smith CM, Bravo-Jaimes K, Burns J, Cherestal B, Deen JF, Hills BK, Huang JH, Lizano Santamaria RW, Lodeiro CA, Melo V, Moreno JS, Nuñez Gallegos F, Onugha H, Pastor TA, Wallace MC, Ansah DA. Health Equity and Policy Considerations for Pediatric and Adult Congenital Heart Disease Care among Minoritized Populations in the United States. J Cardiovasc Dev Dis 2024; 11:36. [PMID: 38392250 PMCID: PMC10888593 DOI: 10.3390/jcdd11020036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2023] [Revised: 01/16/2024] [Accepted: 01/19/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Achieving health equity in populations with congenital heart disease (CHD) requires recognizing existing disparities throughout the lifespan that negatively and disproportionately impact specific groups of individuals. These disparities occur at individual, institutional, or system levels and often result in increased morbidity and mortality for marginalized or racially minoritized populations (population subgroups (e.g., ethnic, racial, social, religious) with differential power compared to those deemed to hold the majority power in the population). Creating actionable strategies and solutions to address these health disparities in patients with CHD requires critically examining multilevel factors and health policies that continue to drive health inequities, including varying social determinants of health (SDOH), systemic inequities, and structural racism. In this comprehensive review article, we focus on health equity solutions and health policy considerations for minoritized and marginalized populations with CHD throughout their lifespan in the United States. We review unique challenges that these populations may face and strategies for mitigating disparities in lifelong CHD care. We assess ways to deliver culturally competent CHD care and to help lower-health-literacy populations navigate CHD care. Finally, we review system-level health policies that impact reimbursement and research funding, as well as institutional policies that impact leadership diversity and representation in the workforce.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keila N Lopez
- Texas Children's Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
| | - Kiona Y Allen
- Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Carissa M Baker-Smith
- Center for Cardiovascular Research and Innovation, Nemours Cardiac Center, Nemours Children's Health, Wilmington, DE 19803, USA
| | - Katia Bravo-Jaimes
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USA
| | - Joseph Burns
- Texas Children's Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
| | - Bianca Cherestal
- Ward Family Heart Center, Children's Mercy Kansas City, Kansas City, MO 64108, USA
| | - Jason F Deen
- Department of Pediatrics and Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98105, USA
| | - Brittany K Hills
- Division of Pediatric Cardiology, UT Southwestern, Children's Health, Dallas, TX 75390, USA
| | - Jennifer H Huang
- Doernbecher Children's Hospital, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR 97239, USA
| | | | - Carlos A Lodeiro
- Texas Children's Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
| | - Valentina Melo
- Texas Children's Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
| | - Jasmine S Moreno
- Texas Children's Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
| | - Flora Nuñez Gallegos
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Francisco Benioff Children's Hospital, San Francisco, CA 94158, USA
| | - Harris Onugha
- Texas Children's Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
| | - Tony A Pastor
- Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Yale School of Medicine, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, CT 06510, USA
| | - Michelle C Wallace
- Department of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine and Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA
| | - Deidra A Ansah
- Texas Children's Hospital, Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA
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Shustak RJ, Huang J, Tam V, Stagg A, Giglia TM, Ravishankar C, Mercer‐Rosa L, Guevara JP, Gardner MM. Neighborhood Social Vulnerability and Interstage Weight Gain: Evaluating the Role of a Home Monitoring Program. J Am Heart Assoc 2023; 12:e030029. [PMID: 37702068 PMCID: PMC10547291 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.123.030029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2023] [Accepted: 08/08/2023] [Indexed: 09/14/2023]
Abstract
Background Poor interstage weight gain is a risk factor for adverse outcomes in infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome. We sought to examine the association of neighborhood social vulnerability and interstage weight gain and determine if this association is modified by enrollment in our institution's Infant Single Ventricle Management and Monitoring Program (ISVMP). Methods and Results We performed a retrospective single-center study of infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome before (2007-2010) and after (2011-2020) introduction of the ISVMP. The primary outcome was interstage weight gain, and the secondary outcome was interstage growth failure. Multivariable linear and logistic regression models were used to examine the association between the Social Vulnerability Index and the outcomes. We introduced an interaction term into the models to test for effect modification by the ISVMP. We evaluated 217 ISVMP infants and 111 pre-ISVMP historical controls. The Social Vulnerability Index was associated with interstage growth failure (P=0.001); however, enrollment in the ISVMP strongly attenuated this association (P=0.04). Pre-ISVMP, as well as high- and middle-vulnerability infants gained 4 g/d less and were significantly more likely to experience growth failure than low-vulnerability infants (high versus low: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 12.5 [95% CI, 2.5-62.2]; middle versus low: aOR, 7.8 [95% CI, 2.0-31.2]). After the introduction of the ISVMP, outcomes did not differ by Social Vulnerability Index tertile. Infants with middle and high Social Vulnerability Index scores who were enrolled in the ISVMP gained 4 g/d and 2 g/d more, respectively, than pre-ISVMP controls. Conclusions In infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome, high social vulnerability is a risk factor for poor interstage weight gain. However, enrollment in the ISVMP significantly reduces growth disparities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel J. Shustak
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and Perelman School of MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Jing Huang
- Department of Biomedical and Health Informatics, Data Science and Biostatistics UnitThe Children’s Hospital of PhiladelphiaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Vicky Tam
- Cartographic Modeling LabUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Alyson Stagg
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and Perelman School of MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Therese M. Giglia
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and Perelman School of MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Chitra Ravishankar
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and Perelman School of MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Laura Mercer‐Rosa
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and Perelman School of MedicineUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - James P. Guevara
- Division of General Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics, The Children’s Hospital of PhiladelphiaPerelman School of Medicine at the University of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
| | - Monique M. Gardner
- Division of Cardiac Critical Care Medicine, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and Department of Anesthesiology and Critical CarePerelman School of Medicine at the University of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaPAUSA
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Sengupta A, Gauvreau K, Sadhwani A, Butler SC, Newburger JW, Del Nido PJ, Nathan M. Impact of Residual Lesion Severity on Neurodevelopmental Outcomes Following Congenital Heart Surgery in Infancy and Childhood. Pediatr Cardiol 2023:10.1007/s00246-023-03248-0. [PMID: 37543999 DOI: 10.1007/s00246-023-03248-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2023] [Accepted: 07/20/2023] [Indexed: 08/08/2023]
Abstract
Children with congenital heart disease are at increased risk of neurodevelopmental delay throughout their lifespan. This risk is exacerbated following congenital heart surgery (CHS) in infancy. However, there are few modifiable risk factors for postoperative neurodevelopmental delay. In this study, we assessed the Residual Lesion Score (RLS), a quality assessment metric that evaluates residual lesion severity following CHS, as a predictor of neurodevelopmental delay. This was a single-center, retrospective review of patients who underwent CHS from 01/2011 to 03/2021 and post-discharge neurodevelopmental evaluation from 12 to 42 months of age using the Bayley Scales of Infant Development, 3rd Edition (BSID-III). RLS was assigned per published criteria: RLS 1, no residua; RLS 2, minor residua; and RLS 3, major residua or pre-discharge reintervention. Associations between RLS and BSID-III scores, as well as trends in neurodevelopmental outcomes over time, were evaluated. Of 517 patients with median age at neurodevelopmental testing of 20.0 (IQR 18.0-22.7) months, 304 (58.8%), 146 (28.2%), and 67 (13.0%) were RLS 1, 2, and 3, respectively. RLS 3 patients had significantly lower scaled scores in the cognitive, receptive, and expressive communication, and fine and gross motor domains, compared with RLS 1 patients. Multivariable models accounted for 21.5%-31.5% of the variation in the scaled scores, with RLS explaining 1.4-7.3% of the variation. In a subgroup analysis, RLS 3 patients demonstrated relatively fewer gains in cognitive, expressive communication, and gross motor scores over time (all p < 0.05). In conclusion, RLS 3 patients are at increased risk for neurodevelopmental delay, warranting closer follow-up and greater developmental support for cognitive, language, and motor skills soon after surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aditya Sengupta
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Boston Children's Hospital, 300 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
| | - Kimberlee Gauvreau
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Cardiology, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Anjali Sadhwani
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Samantha C Butler
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Jane W Newburger
- Department of Cardiology, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Pedro J Del Nido
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Boston Children's Hospital, 300 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA, 02115, USA
- Department of Surgery, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Meena Nathan
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Boston Children's Hospital, 300 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA, 02115, USA
- Department of Surgery, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
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Vashist S, Dudeck BS, Sherfy B, Rosenthal GL, Chaves AH. Neighborhood socioeconomic status and length of stay after congenital heart disease surgery. Front Pediatr 2023; 11:1167064. [PMID: 37534195 PMCID: PMC10390779 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2023.1167064] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2023] [Accepted: 06/05/2023] [Indexed: 08/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Background and Objectives Socioeconomic factors are associated with health outcomes and can affect postoperative length of stay after congenital heart disease (CHD) surgery. The hypothesis of this study is that patients from neighborhoods with a disadvantaged socioeconomic status (SES) have a prolonged length of hospital stay after CHD surgery. Methods Pre- and postoperative data were collected on patients who underwent CHD surgery at the University of Maryland Medical Center between 2011 and 2019. A neighborhood SES score was calculated for each patient using data from the United States Census Bureau and patients were grouped by high vs. low SES neighborhoods. The difference of patient length of stay (LOS) from the Society for Thoracic Surgeons median LOS for that surgery was the primary outcome measure. Linear regression was performed to examine the association between the difference from the median LOS and SES, as well as other third variables. Results The difference from the median LOS was -4.8 vs. -2.2 days in high vs. low SES groups (p = 0.003). SES category was a significant predictor of LOS in unadjusted and adjusted regression analyses. There was a significant interaction between Norwood operation and SES-patients with a low neighborhood SES who underwent Norwood operation had a longer LOS, but there was no difference in LOS by SES in patients who underwent other operations. Conclusions Neighborhood SES is a significant predictor of the LOS after congenital heart disease surgery. This effect was seen primarily in patients undergoing Norwood operation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sudhir Vashist
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Brandon S. Dudeck
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Beth Sherfy
- University of Maryland Medical Center, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Geoffrey L. Rosenthal
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Alicia H. Chaves
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States
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