Prediction of Short-Term Breast Cancer Risk with Fusion of CC- and MLO-Based Risk Models in Four-View Mammograms

This study performed and assessed a novel program to improve the accuracy of short-term breast cancer risk prediction by using information from craniocaudal (CC) and mediolateral-oblique (MLO) views of two breasts. An age-matched dataset of 556 patients with at least two sequential full-field digital mammography examinations was applied. In the second examination, 278 cases were diagnosed and pathologically verified as cancer, and 278 were negative, while all cases in the first examination were negative (not recalled). Two generalized linear-model-based risk prediction models were established with global- and local-based bilateral asymmetry features for CC and MLO views first. Then, a new fusion risk model was developed by fusing prediction results of the CC- and MLO-based risk models with an adaptive alpha-integration-based fusion method. The AUC of the fusion risk model was 0.72 ± 0.02, which was significantly higher than the AUC of CC- or MLO-based risk model (P < 0.05). The maximum odds ratio for CC- and MLO-based risk models were 8.09 and 5.25, respectively, and increased to 11.99 for the fusion risk model. For subgroups of patients aged 37-49 years, 50-65 years, and 66-87 years, the AUCs of 0.73, 0.71, and 0.75 for the fusion risk model were higher than AUC for CC- and MLO-based risk models. For the BIRADS 2 and 3 subgroups, the AUC values were 0.72 and 0.71 respectively for the fusion risk model which were higher than the AUC for the CC- and MLO-based risk models. This study demonstrated that the fusion risk model we established could effectively derive and integrate supplementary and useful information extracted from both CC and MLO view images and adaptively fuse them to increase the predictive power of the short-term breast cancer risk assessment model.