Model for end-stage liver disease scores in veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation

Predictive Value of Serial Model of End-Stage Liver Disease Score Determination in Patients with Postcardiotomy Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation

(1) Background: The use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in low cardiac output states after cardiac surgery may aid in patient recovery. However, in some patients, the clinical state may worsen, resulting in multiple organ failure and high mortality rates. In these circumstances, calculating a model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was shown to determine organ dysfunction and predicting mortality. (2) Methods: We evaluated whether serial MELD score determination increases mortality prediction in patients with postcardiotomy ECMO support. (3) Results: Statistically, a cutoff of a 2.5 MELD score increase within 48 h of ECMO initiation revealed an AUC of 0.722. Further, we found a significant association between hospital mortality and 48 h MELD increase (HR: 2.5, 95% CI: 1.33-4.75, p = 0.005) after adjustment for possible confounders. (4) Conclusions: Therefore, serial MELD score determinations on alternate days may be superior to single measurements in this special patient cohort.

Serum Total Bilirubin With Hospital Survival in Adults During Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation

Background

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is widely used for refractory cardiopulmonary failure treatment. The disadvantage of ECMO is its higher risk profile and clinical resource consumption. This observation examines the role of serum total bilirubin (TBIL) as a predictor of adult patient outcomes on ECMO support.

Methods

This retrospective observation reports a single-center experience with adults on ECMO support between 2018 and 2021. Data were collected regarding demographics, ECMO details, laboratory parameters, and outcomes. We examined the elevation of TBIL to predict survival and variables associated with hyperbilirubinemia.

Results

The patients who died within 28 days had a twofold higher peak level of TBIL than those who survived [73.10 (38.60, 98.64) vs. 34.50 (24.03, 54.85); P = 0.003]. Univariate logistic regression analyses demonstrated that high TBIL was remarkably associated with an elevated risk of 28-day mortality (OR: 7.25; 95% CI: 2.31–25.49; P = 0.001) and total mortality (OR: 5.71; 95% CI: 1.82–20.66; P = 0.001). The TBIL value was 65 μmol/L as the best cut-off value, and the observation group was divided into a high TBIL subgroup (n = 21) or a low TBIL subgroup (n = 39). The demographic and clinical features did not show a difference, whereas Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and APACHE II scores and ALT, AST, and LAC before ECMO initiation correlated with high or low TBIL (P < 0.05). For coagulation function at the time of TBIL peak, the levels of prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), prothrombin time activity (PTA), and fibrinogen (FIB) were different between the two subgroups (P < 0.05). The SOFA score was potentially associated with hyperbilirubinemia after ECMO initiation, and the prediction accuracy was 0.800.

Conclusion

Serum total bilirubin elevation appears after ECMO initiation and correlates with survival, while other markers of liver injury do not. Serum total bilirubin is an easy-to-measure biomarker to be a predictor of survival after ECMO initiation.

MELD score is predictive of 90-day mortality after veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support

BACKGROUND

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was originally described as a marker of survival in chronic liver disease. More recently, MELD and its derivatives, MELD excluding INR (MELD-XI) and MELD with sodium (MELD-Na), have been applied more broadly as outcome predictors in heart transplant, left ventricular assist device placement, heart failure, and cardiogenic shock, with additional promising data to support the use of these scores for prediction of survival in those undergoing veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA ECMO).

METHODS

This study assessed the prognostic impact of MELD in patients with cardiogenic shock undergoing VA ECMO via a single-center retrospective review from January 2014 to March 2020. MELD, MELD-XI, and MELD-Na scores were calculated using laboratory values collected within 48 h of VA ECMO initiation. Multivariate Cox regression analyses determined the association between MELD scores and the primary outcome of 90-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) were used to estimate the discriminatory power for MELD in comparison with previously validated SAVE score.

RESULTS

Of the 194 patients, median MELD was 20.1 (13.7-26.2), and 90-day mortality was 62.1%. There was a significant association between MELD score and mortality up to 90 days (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.945, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 1.244-3.041, p = 0.004) after adjustment for age, indication for VA ECMO, and sex. The prognostic significance of MELD score for 90-day mortality revealed an AUC of 0.645 (95% CI = 0.565-0.725, p < 0.001). MELD-Na score and MELD-XI score were not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

MELD score accurately predicts long-term mortality and may be utilized as a valuable decision-making tool in patients undergoing VA ECMO.

Liver Dysfunction Associated With In-Hospital Mortality in Adult Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Support

OBJECTIVES:

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support is a powerful clinical tool that is currently enjoying a resurgence in popularity. Wider use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support is limited by its significant risk profile and extreme consumption of resources. This study examines the role of markers of liver dysfunction in predicting outcomes of adult patients requiring extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support.

DESIGN:

Retrospective review.

SETTING:

Large extracorporeal membrane oxygenator center, Chicago, IL.

PATIENTS:

This study reports a single institution experience examining all adult patients for whom extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support was used over an 8-year period. Data were collected regarding patient demographics, details of extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support provided, laboratory data, and outcomes. Trends in liver function were examined for their ability to predict survival.

INTERVENTION:

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support, critical care.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS:

Mean age was 50 years (range, 19–82 yr). There were 86 male patients (56.6%) and 66 female patients (43.4%). Indications for initiation of extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support included cardiac 76 patients (50.0%), respiratory 48 patients (31.6%), extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation 21 patients (13.3%), and combined cardiac/respiratory seven patients (4.6%). Mean duration of extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support was 17 days (range 1–223 d) or median 8 days (interquartile range, 4–17 d). Overall, in-hospital mortality was 56% (86/152). Forty-five percent of adult patients (68/152) surpassed at least one of the following established liver dysfunction thresholds: total bilirubin greater than 15 mg/dL, aspartate aminotransferase greater than 20× upper limit of normal, and alanine aminotransferase greater than 20× upper limit of normal. The multivariable logistic analysis yielded three significant findings associated with in-hospital mortality: highest total bilirubin greater than 15 (adjusted odds ratio = 4.40; 95% CI, 1.19–21.87; p = 0.04), age (adjusted odds ratio = 1.03; 95% CI, 1.00–1.05; p = 0.04), and highest lactate (adjusted odds ratio = 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06–1.26; p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS:

Increases in age, highest total bilirubin, and lactate all correlated with in-hospital mortality in multivariable analysis of patients requiring extracorporeal membrane oxygenator support.