Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for the pre-treatment prediction of early metachronous metastasis in endemic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a big-data intelligence platform-based analysis

Efficacy of radiotherapy in treating local recurrence concomitant with distant metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a long-term retrospective multicenter study

PURPOSE

Patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) experiencing locoregional recurrence concomitant with distant metastases (rmNPC) after initial treatment represent a unique subgroup with significant management challenges. This study aimed to evaluate overall survival (OS) in rmNPC patients treated with systemic therapies with or without radiotherapy.

METHODS

This retrospective multicenter study included patients with locally recurrent and metastatic NPC from five hospitals. Kaplan-Meier analyses and log-rank tests were applied to assess survival outcomes based on recurrence and metastasis profiles, as well as treatment modalities. Independent prognostic factors affecting OS were identified using Cox regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 52 patients were analyzed, with a median follow-up duration of 68.3 months (range: 7-240 months). The median OS was 23.4 months (range: 11.1-35.6 months), and the 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-year OS rates were 61.3%, 46.5%, 31.0%, 27.9%, and 10.5%, respectively. The treatment modality did not significantly affect OS overall (P = 0.071). Median OS was 10.8 months (95% CI, 7.7-13.9) for chemotherapy alone, 24.2 months (95% CI, 8.9-39.4) for chemotherapy combined with PD-1 inhibitors, and 47.1 months (95% CI, 10.2-84.0) for chemotherapy combined with radiotherapy. In patients with oligometastasis, radiotherapy significantly improved OS (50.1 vs. 24.1 months, P = 0.021), whereas no significant OS benefit was observed for radiotherapy in polymetastatic patients (8.6 vs. 14.8 months, P = 0.168). Similarly, radiotherapy extended OS in patients with one-organ metastases (50.1 vs. 24.1 months, P = 0.026), while no significant benefit was observed in those with multiple-organ metastases (8.6 vs. 11.0 months, P = 0.831).

CONCLUSIONS

Radiotherapy, when combined with other treatment modalities, significantly improves OS in rmNPC patients with oligometastases or one-organ metastases.

Expression of cytoskeleton-associated protein 4 is associated with poor prognosis and metastasis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Cytoskeleton-associated protein 4 (CKAP4) acts as a key transmembrane protein that connects the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) to microtubule dynamics. Researchers have not examined the roles of CKAP4 in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The study aimed at evaluating the prognostic value and metastasis-regulating effect of CKAP4 in NPC. CKAP4 protein could be observed in 86.36% of 557 NPC specimens but not in normal nasopharyngeal epithelial tissue. According to immunoblot assays, NPC cell lines presented high CKAP4 expression relative to NP69 immortalized nasopharyngeal epithelial cells. Moreover, CKAP4 was highly expressed at the NPC tumor front and in matched liver, lung, and lymph node metastasis samples. Furthermore, high CKAP4 expression reported poor overall survival (OS) and presented a positive relevance to tumor (T) classification, recurrence, and metastasis. According to multivariate analysis, CKAP4 could independently and negatively predict patients' prognosis. Stable knockdown of CKAP4 expression in NPC cells inhibited cell migration, invasion and metastasis in vitro and in vivo. Moreover, CKAP4 promoted epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) in NPC cells. CKAP4 knockdown was followed by the downregulation of the interstitial marker vimentin, and upregulation of the epithelial marker E-cadherin. In NPC tissues, high CKAP4 expression exhibited a positive relevance to vimentin expression and a negative relevance to E-cadherin expression. In conclusion, CKAP4 is an independent predictor of NPC, and CKAP4 might contribute NPC progression and metastasis, which may be involved in EMT with vimentin and E-cadherin.

Prognostic models for early and late tumor progression prediction in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: An analysis of 8292 endemic cases

OBJECTIVES

The time for posttreatment tumor progression differs between nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Herein, we established effective nomograms for predicting early tumor progression (ETP) and late tumor progression (LTP) in NPC patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 8292 NPC patients (training cohort: n = 6219; validation cohort: n = 2073). The ELP and LTP were defined as the time to tumor progression ≤24 and >24 months after treatment, respectively.

RESULTS

The ETP and LTP accounted for 52.6 and 47.4% of the total patient cohort, respectively. Patients who developed ETP had markedly worse overall survival (OS) versus patients who suffered from LTP (5-year OS: 26.2% vs. 59.7%, p < 0.001). Further, we identified 10/6 predictive factors significantly associated with ETP/LTP via logistic regression analyses. These indicators were used separately to construct two predictive nomograms for ETP and LTP. In the training group, the ETP nomogram [Harrell Concordance Index (C-index) value: 0.711 vs. 0.618; p < 0.001] and LTP nomogram (C-index value: 0.701 vs. 0.612; p < 0.001) were significantly superior for risk stratification than the TNM staging. These results were supported in the validation group with a C-index value of 0.753 and 0.738 for the ETP and LTP nomograms, respectively. High-risk patients defined by ETP/LTP nomograms had shorter progression-free survival than low-risk patients (all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The established nomograms can help in ELP or LTP risk stratification for NPC patients. Our current results might also provide insights into individualized treatment decisions and designing surveillance strategies for NPC patients.

Analysis of risk characteristics for metachronous metastasis in different period of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To identify the main risk factors for metachronous metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in different periods after radiotherapy and estimate the weight of various factors in the early or late metachronous metastasis (EMM/LMM) groups.

METHODS

This retrospective registry consists of 4434 patients with newly diagnosed NPC. Cox regression analysis was used to assess the independent significance of various risk factors. The Interactive Risk Attributable Program (IRAP) was used to calculate the attributable risks (ARs) for metastatic patients during different periods.

RESULTS

Among 514 metastatic patients, 346 (67.32%) patients diagnosed with metastasis within 2 years after treatment were classified into the EMM group, while other 168 patients were classified into the LMM group. The ARs of T-stage, N-stage, pre-Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, post-EBV DNA, age, sex, pre-neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, pre-platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, pre-hemoglobin (HB), and post-HB were 20.19, 67.25, 2.81, 14.28, 18.50, - 11.17%, 14.54, 9.60, 3.74% and - 9.79%, respectively, in the EMM group. In the LMM group, the corresponding ARs were 3.68, 49.11, - 18.04%, 2.19, 6.11, 0.36, 4.62, 19.77, 9.57 and 7.76%, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, the total AR for tumor-related factors was 78.19%, and that for patient-related factors was 26.07% in the EMM group. In the LMM group, the total AR of tumor-related factors was 43.85%, while the weights of patient-related factors was 39.97%. In addition, except for these identified tumor- and patient-related factors, other unevaluated factors played a more important role in patients with late metastasis, with the weight increasing by 15.77%, from 17.76% in the EMM group to 33.53% in the LMM group.

CONCLUSION

Most metachronous metastatic NPC cases occurred in the first 2 years after treatment. Early metastasis was mainly affected by tumor-related factors, which accounted for a declining percentage in the LMM group.

Efficacy of local therapy to metastatic foci in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: large-cohort strictly-matched retrospective study

Background:

Studies of local therapy (LT) to metastatic foci from nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) are inconsistent and controversial. Here, we aimed to explore the survival benefit of LT directed at metastatic foci from NPC.

Methods:

A retrospective analysis was conducted in NPC patients with liver, lung, and/or bone metastases. The postmetastatic overall survival (OS) rate was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared by the log-rank test. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox hazard model. Subgroup analyses evaluating the effect of LT were performed for prespecified covariates. Propensity score matching was applied to homogenize the compared arms.

Results:

Overall, 2041 of 2962 patients were eligible for analysis. At a median follow-up of 43.4 months, the 5-year OS improved by an absolute difference of 14.6%, from 46.2% in the LT group versus 31.6% in the non-LT group, which led to a hazard ratio of 0.634 for death (p < 0.001). Matched-pair analyses confirmed that LT was associated with improved OS (p = 0.003), and the survival benefits of LT remained consistent in the subcohorts of liver and lung metastasis (p = 0.009 and p = 0.007, respectively) but not of bone metastasis (BoM; p = 0.614). Radiotherapy was predominantly used for BoM and biological effective dose (BED) >60 Gy was found to yield more survival benefit than that of BED ⩽ 60 Gy.

Conclusions:

The addition of LT directed at metastasis has demonstrated an improvement to OS compared with non-LT group in the present matched-pair study, especially for patients with liver and/or lung metastases.

Clinical trial data of Anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy for recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A review

IMPORTANCE

Anti-programmed cell death receptor-1 (PD-1) therapy is standard of care for incurable recurrent or metastatic non-nasopharyngeal head and neck cancer. In contrast, there are no regulatory agency-approved anti-PD-1 agents indicated for the treatment of recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinomas (RM-NPC) in the Western hemisphere, and no standard treatment option exists beyond first-line chemotherapy for RM-NPC. The pace of development of novel systemic therapy regimens for RM-NPC has been slow compared to many other advanced tumor types, leaving an unmet clinical need for these patients with a poor prognosis.

OBSERVATIONS

Recent clinical trials have documented the clinical activity of anti-PD-1 therapy in RM-NPC. In particular, randomized clinical trials in the first-line setting have demonstrated significant improvements in progression-free survival (PFS) with the addition of anti-PD-1 therapy to standard chemotherapy. Whether the observed PFS benefits require combination chemoimmunotherapy or can be achieved with chemotherapy followed by crossover to immunotherapy upon progression remains unknown. Ongoing clinical trials are exploring novel anti-PD-1 therapy-based combinations, which may further solidify a role for these agents in RM-NPC.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among patients with RM-NPC, anti-PD-1 therapy added to first-line standard-of-care gemcitabine plus cisplatin provides significantly better efficacy outcomes compared to chemotherapy alone, and anti-PD-1 monotherapy appears to have comparable clinical activity and better tolerability than chemotherapy in previously treated disease. Thus, anti-PD-1 therapy is poised to advance standard of care for the treatment of RM-NPC.

Nomogram for distant metastasis-free survival in patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a nomogram to predict distant metastasis-free survival of patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

METHODS

We collected the total clinical data of 820 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients, of whom 482 formed the training cohort from one hospital and 328 made up the validation cohort from another hospital. By analyzing the prognosis of all patients after intensity-modulated radiotherapy by univariate and multivariate Cox regression models, a nomogram related to DMFS was created in the training cohort. The discriminatory and calibration power of the nomogram was successively assessed in the training and validation cohorts by the C‑index and calibration curve. The predictive ability for 3‑year DMFS was compared between the nomogram and TNM stage using ROC curves. Patients were divided into different risk groups based on scores calculated from the nomogram.

RESULTS

Age, lymph node gross tumor volume (GTVnd), and gross tumor volume of the nasopharynx (GTVnx) were the factors included in the nomogram. The C‑index of the nomogram was 0.721 in the training cohort and 0.750 in the validation cohort. The calibration curves were satisfactory. Patients in the high-risk group were more likely to develop metastases.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram incorporating age, GTVnd, and GTVnx showed good performance for predicting DMFS in patients with locoregionally advanced NPC.