Risk Prediction of Diabetic Foot Amputation Using Machine Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence

Research progress on risk prediction models for the diabetic foot

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to comprehensively review the latest advancements in diabetic foot risk prediction models over the past four years to address the severe challenges posed by diabetic foot ulcers, which are among the leading causes of disability and mortality among diabetic patients. Diabetic foot ulcers are characterized by their complex aetiology, pose a grave threat to life and impose enormous social and economic burdens, thus becoming a critical issue in public health that urgently requires attention. By accurately predicting the risk of diabetic foot and implementing early intervention strategies, this study aimed to reduce its incidence and mortality rates.

METHODS

This study employed a systematic review and comprehensive analysis framework, conducted extensive searches of electronic databases (including PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, CNKI, etc.) and supplemented these searches with manual literature collection to ensure comprehensive information coverage. During the literature screening and evaluation phase, strict adherence to the predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria was maintained to guarantee the high quality of the included studies. Further detailed quality assessments, data extraction, and analysis of the selected literature were conducted, with a focus on exploring the construction strategies of risk prediction models, the selection of key variables, the evaluation indicators of model performance, and the validation methods.

RESULTS

By comparing and analysing the differences among studies in terms of methodology, model effectiveness, and practical application potential, this study summarized the development trends of diabetic foot risk prediction models and anticipated future research directions. These findings indicate that with the assistance of advanced diabetic foot risk prediction models, potential risk factors can be identified and addressed early on, thereby effectively reducing the incidence of diabetic foot and significantly improving patients' quality of life.

CONCLUSION

This study revealed that diabetic foot risk prediction models have significant effects on accurately identifying risk factors and guiding early interventions, serving as effective tools to reduce the incidence of diabetic foot. Through early identification and intervention, the prognosis and quality of life of patients can be significantly improved, providing important references and guidance for the field of public health.

Artificial intelligence's suggestions for level of amputation in diabetic foot ulcers are highly correlated with those of clinicians, only with exception of hindfoot amputations

Diabetic foot ulcers (DFUs) are a growing public health problem, paralleling the increasing incidence of diabetes. While prevention is most effective treatment for DFUs, challenge remains on selecting the optimal treatment in cases with DFUs. Health sciences have greatly benefited from the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) applications across various fields. Regarding amputations in DFUs, both literature and clinical practice have mainly focused on strategies to prevent amputation and identify avoidable risk factor. However, there are very limited data on assistive parameters/tools that can be used to determine the level of amputation. This study investigated how well ChatGPT, with its lately released version 4o, matches the amputation level selection of an experienced team in this field. For this purpose, clinical photographs from patients who underwent amputations due to diabetic foot ulcers between May 2023 and May 2024 were submitted to the ChatGPT-4o program. The AI was tasked with recommending an appropriate amputation level based on these clinical photographs. Data from a total of 60 patients were analysed, with a median age of 64.5 years (range: 41-91). According to the Wagner Classification, 32 patients (53.3%) had grade 4 ulcers, 16 patients (26.6%) had grade 5 ulcers, 10 patients (16.6%) had grade 3 ulcers and 2 patients (3.3%) had grade 2 ulcers. A one-to-one correspondence between the AI tool's recommended amputation level and the level actually performed was observed in 50 out of 60 cases (83.3%). In the remaining 10 cases, discrepancies were noted, with the AI consistently recommending a more proximal level of amputation than what was performed. The inter-rater agreement analysis between the actual surgeries and the AI tool's recommendations yielded a Cohen's kappa coefficient of 0.808 (SD: 0.055, 95% CI: 0.701-0.916), indicating substantial agreement. Relying solely on clinical photographs, ChatGPT-4.0 demonstrates decisions that are largely consistent with those of an experienced team in determining the optimal level of amputation for DFUs, with the exception of hindfoot amputations.

The role of machine learning in advancing diabetic foot: a review

Background

Diabetic foot complications impose a significant strain on healthcare systems worldwide, acting as a principal cause of morbidity and mortality in individuals with diabetes mellitus. While traditional methods in diagnosing and treating these conditions have faced limitations, the emergence of Machine Learning (ML) technologies heralds a new era, offering the promise of revolutionizing diabetic foot care through enhanced precision and tailored treatment strategies.

Objective

This review aims to explore the transformative impact of ML on managing diabetic foot complications, highlighting its potential to advance diagnostic accuracy and therapeutic approaches by leveraging developments in medical imaging, biomarker detection, and clinical biomechanics.

Methods

A meticulous literature search was executed across PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar databases to identify pertinent articles published up to March 2024. The search strategy was carefully crafted, employing a combination of keywords such as "Machine Learning," "Diabetic Foot," "Diabetic Foot Ulcers," "Diabetic Foot Care," "Artificial Intelligence," and "Predictive Modeling." This review offers an in-depth analysis of the foundational principles and algorithms that constitute ML, placing a special emphasis on their relevance to the medical sciences, particularly within the specialized domain of diabetic foot pathology. Through the incorporation of illustrative case studies and schematic diagrams, the review endeavors to elucidate the intricate computational methodologies involved.

Results

ML has proven to be invaluable in deriving critical insights from complex datasets, enhancing both the diagnostic precision and therapeutic planning for diabetic foot management. This review highlights the efficacy of ML in clinical decision-making, underscored by comparative analyses of ML algorithms in prognostic assessments and diagnostic applications within diabetic foot care.

Conclusion

The review culminates in a prospective assessment of the trajectory of ML applications in the realm of diabetic foot care. We believe that despite challenges such as computational limitations and ethical considerations, ML remains at the forefront of revolutionizing treatment paradigms for the management of diabetic foot complications that are globally applicable and precision-oriented. This technological evolution heralds unprecedented possibilities for treatment and opportunities for enhancing patient care.