The relationship of preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate and outcomes after cardiovascular surgery in patients with normal serum creatinine: a retrospective cohort study

Muscle-related parameters-based machine learning model for predicting postinduction hypotension in patients undergoing colorectal tumor resection surgery

Objectives

This study used machine learning algorithms to identify important variables and predict postinduction hypotension (PIH) in patients undergoing colorectal tumor resection surgery.

Methods

Data from 318 patients who underwent colorectal tumor resection under general anesthesia were analyzed. The training and test sets are divided based on the timeline. The Boruta algorithm was used to screen relevant basic characteristic variables and establish a model for the training set. Four models, regression tree, K-nearest neighbor, neural network, and random forest (RF), were built using repeated cross-validation and hyperparameter optimization. The best model was selected, and a sorting chart of the feature variables, a univariate partial dependency profile, and a breakdown profile were drawn. R2, mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), and root MSE (RMSE) were used to plot regression fitting curves for the training and test sets.

Results

The basic feature variables associated with the Boruta screening were age, sex, body mass index, L3 skeletal muscle index, and HUAC. In the optimal RF model, R2 was 0.7708 and 0.7591, MAE was 0.0483 and 0.0408, MSE was 0.0038 and 0.0028, and RMSE was 0.0623 and 0.0534 for the training and test sets, respectively.

Conclusion

A high-performance algorithm was established and validated to demonstrate the degree of change in blood pressure after induction to control important characteristic variables and reduce PIH occurrence.

Long-term outcomes and prognostic factors after aortic valve surgery in patients with Takayasu arteritis

BACKGROUND

Aortic regurgitation (AR) is a common cardiovascular complication in patients with Takayasu arteritis (TAK), and complication after aortic valve surgery (AVS) is not rare. This study aimed to identify the long-term postoperative outcomes for significant AR in patients with TAK compared with those in patients without TAK.

METHODS

We included 35 patients with TAK with moderate-to-severe AR who underwent AVS and compared their postoperative outcomes with those of 105 age- and operation period-matched patients with severe AR but without TAK. The risk factors for poor outcomes [all-cause death and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE)] in patients with TAK were analyzed using multivariate Cox regression.

RESULTS

The 10-year overall survival rate was 70.5% in patients with TAK and 89.4% in those without TAK (p = 0.048). The MACCE and reoperation rates were significantly higher in patients with TAK (10-year freedom from MACCE, 58.2% vs. 86.4% [p < 0.001]; 10-year freedom from reoperation, 64.5% vs. 98.3% [p < 0.001]). Eighteen of the 35 patients with TAK (51.4%) had poor outcomes, and multivariate analysis revealed that significant coronary artery involvement [hazard ratio (HR), 4.178; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.222-14.282; p = 0.023] and decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (HR, 0.968; 95% CI 0.947-0.989; p = 0.003) were associated with poor outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The long-term postoperative outcomes for AR were poorer in patients with TAK than in those without TAK. The poor outcomes in patients with TAK were associated with coronary artery involvement and decreased renal function.

Perioperative Management and Outcomes of Hip Fracture Patients with Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease

Aims

To explore clinical characteristics, perioperative management and outcomes of Hip Fracture patients with advanced Chronic Kidney Disease (HF-aCKD) compared to the general Hip Fracture population without aCKD (HF-G) within a large volume tertiary hospital in Western Australia.

Methods

Retrospective chart review of patients admitted with hip fracture (HF) to a single large volume tertiary hospital registered on Australian and New Zealand Hip Fracture Registry (ANZHFR). We compared baseline demographic and clinical frailty scale (CFS) of HF-aCKD (n = 74), defined as eGFR < 30 mls/min/1.73 m2, with HF-G (n = 452) and determined their outcomes at 120 days.

Results

We identified 74 (6.97%) HF patients with aCKD. General demographics were similar in HF-aCKD and HF-G populations. 120-days mortality for HF-aCKD was double that of HF-G population (34% vs 17%, P = .001). For dialysis patients, 120-days mortality was triple that of HF-G population (57%). Except for the fit category of HF-aCKD group, higher CFS was associated with higher 120-days mortality in both groups. Of all HF-aCKD patients, 96% had operative intervention and 48% received blood transfusion. There were no new starts to dialysis peri-operatively. Each point reduction in eGFR below 12 mL/min/1.73 m2 was associated with 3% increased probability of death in hospital.

Conclusions

120-days mortality was double in HF-aCKD and triple in HF-dialysis that of the HF-G within our institution. Clinical frailty scale can be useful in predicting mortality after HF in frail aCKD patients. High rate of blood transfusions was observed in HF-aCKD group. Further studies with larger HF-aCKD numbers are required to explore these associations in detail.

Association between intraoperative hyperglycemia and postoperative end-organ dysfunctions after cardiac surgery: a retrospective observational study

PURPOSE

Hyperglycemia has been associated with postoperative morbidity in patients who undergo cardiac surgery. However, it remains unclear whether the duration of hyperglycemia is as important as its magnitude in the development of postoperative end-organ dysfunction (PEOD). This retrospective study investigated the hypothesis that the intraoperative blood glucose (BG) exposure index (GE index), calculated by the product of the magnitude and duration of BG concentration ≥ 180 mg/dL, which is an integration of the severity and duration of hyperglycemia, is associated with the incidence of PEOD in patients undergoing cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass.

METHODS

The primary outcome in this study was PEOD within 72 h of surgery, which was defined as a composite of postoperative acute kidney injury, delirium, myocardial injury, and prolonged mechanical ventilation. The GE index (the magnitude of BG concentration deviation ≥ 180 mg/dL [Formula: see text] duration of BG concentration ≥ 180 mg/dL) of each patient was calculated based on the intraoperative BG concentration. The relationship between the GE index and the primary outcome was examined via logistic regression model with adjustment for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Within 72 h of surgery, 301 patients (54.5%) developed PEOD. PEOD was more common in patients with greater GE index quartiles (first versus third quartile; adjusted odds ratio, 5.65, 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 2.94-10.90; P < 0.001; first versus forth quartile, adjusted odds ratio, 20.80; 95% CI, 8.01-54.00; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In patients undergoing cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass, the GE index was an independent predictor of PEOD.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate and postoperative mortality in patients undergoing non-cardiac and non-neuron surgery: a single-center retrospective study

Background

There is limited evidence to clarify the specific relationship between preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (preop-eGFR) and postoperative 30-day mortality in Asian patients undergoing non-cardiac and non-neuron surgery. We aimed to investigate details of this relationship.

Methods

We reanalyzed a retrospective analysis of the clinical records of 90,785 surgical patients at the Singapore General Hospital from January 1, 2012 to October 31, 2016. The main outcome was postoperative 30-day mortality.

Results

The average age of these recruited patients was 53.96 ± 16.88 years, of which approximately 51.64% were female. The mean of preop-eGFR distribution was 84.45 ± 38.56 mL/min/1.73 m². Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that preop-eGFR was independently associated with 30-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio: 0.992; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.990–0.995; P < 0.001). A U-shaped relationship was detected between preop-eGFR and 30-day mortality with an inflection point of 98.688 (P for log likelihood ratio test < 0.001). The effect sizes and confidence intervals on the right and left sides of the inflection point were 1.013 (1.007 to 1.019) [P < 0.0001] and 0.984 (0.981 to 0.987) [P < 0.0001], respectively. Preoperative comorbidities such as congestive heart failure (CHF), type 1 diabetes, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and anemia were associated with the odds ratio of preop-eGFR to 30-day mortality (interaction P < 0.05).

Discussion

The relationship between preop-eGFR and 30-day mortality is U-shaped. The recommended preop-eGFR at which the rate of the 30-day mortality was lowest was 98.688 mL/min/1.73 m².

The association of estimated glomerular filtration rate with outcomes following infrainguinal bypass for peripheral arterial disease

OBJECTIVE

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a recognized predictor of long-term survival, frequently coexisting with peripheral arterial disease (PAD). Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a more accurate marker of renal function than creatinine. This study sought to determine the graded impact of CKD, defined by eGFR, on infrainguinal lower extremity bypass (LEB) outcomes.

METHODS

This retrospective study examined 44,332 patients from the Vascular Quality Initiative database who underwent LEB between January 2003 and November 2019. The GFR was estimated using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation. Multivariable logistic regression was used to study perioperative mortality and Kaplan-Meier survival estimation and multivariable Cox regression were used to evaluate 5-year mortality, 1-year major amputation, and major amputation/death.

RESULTS

The 30-day mortality odds was increased for CKD 3 (odds ratio [OR], 1.58; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.32-1.91; P < .001) and CKD 5 (OR, 3.08; 95% CI, 2.45-3.87; P < .001) relative to CKD 1 to 2. Comparing CKD stages 3, 4, and 5 with CKD 1 and 2, there was a stepwise increase in the adjusted hazard of 5-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.18; 95% CI, 1.09-1.27; P < .001), (HR, 1.73; 95% CI; 1.47-2.03; P < .001) and (HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 2.33-3.84; P < .001), respectively. Although the risk of 1-year death or major amputation did not differ for CKD 3 compared with CKD 1, this was 50% higher for CKD 4 (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.26-1.78; P < .001) and doubled for CKD 5 (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.87-2.29; P < .001) compared with CKD 1 and 2. The adjusted HR for major amputation in 1 year was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.71-0.92; P = .002), 1.14 (95% CI, 0.84-1.54; P = .396) and 1.56 (95% CI,1.31-1.84; P < .001) for CKD 3, 4, and 5, respectively, compared with CKD 1 and 2.

CONCLUSIONS

The estimated GFR is a useful predictor of postoperative mortality, overall survival, and/or amputation after LEB in patients with PAD. It should be considered in the preoperative risk-benefit analysis process to guide patient selection in the population with concomitant PAD and CKD being considered for LEB.