Detection of occult paroxysmal atrial fibrilation by implantable long-term electrocardiographic monitoring in cryptogenic stroke and transient ischemic attack population: a study protocol for prospective matched cohort study

Predictors of atrial fibrillation on implantable cardiac monitoring for cryptogenic stroke

Background

Since the CRYSTAL-AF trial, implantation and usage of implantable loop recorder (ICM) after cryptogenic stroke (CS) for detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) has increased. However, it is unclear which CS patients would most benefit from long term ICM monitoring. This study aims to determine the risk factors in patients that would confer maximum benefit from ICM placement following CS.

Methods

A Columbia University Institutional Review Board (IRB) approved retrospective analysis of medical records of 125 patients with CS followed by implantation of ICM was evaluated. Univariable and multivariable time-to-event analyses were performed on demographics, hours of activity and variability (HRV), stroke location, thrombosis etiology, and CHA₂DS₂ − VASc score. The primary outcome was presence of ICM-detected AF defined as AF lasting at least 2 min.

Results

One hundred twenty-five patients (mean 67.6 years ± 2.4 years, 60% male) were followed for at least 3 months. Twenty-two patients (18%) were found to have clinically verified detected AF; median of time to detection was 95 days. Upon univariable demographic analysis followed by multivariable Cox regression analysis, individuals with age 75 or older (HR: 3.987, p = 0.0046) or LVEF 40% and lower (HR: 3.056, p = 0.0213) had significantly higher risk of AF. Diabetics also had a lower AF detection in multivariable analysis (HR: 0.128, p = 0.0466).

Conclusions

Age 75 or older and LVEF ≤40% were the factors on multivariable analysis that predicted AF detection. Diabetes is a possible significant factor which should be evaluated further. CHA₂DS₂ − VASc score was notably not predictive of AF detected on ICM.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10840-021-00985-1.

Epicardial Fat Thickness and Free Fatty Acid Level are Predictors of Acute Ischemic Stroke with Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Increased epicardial fat is known to be associated with the presence and chronicity of atrial fibrillation (AF). Free fatty acids (FFAs) are major components of epicardial fat; however, their potential association with AF in ischemic stroke has not been investigated. We aimed to assess the performance of echocardiographic epicardial fat thickness (EFT) and plasma FFA level in identifying patients with ischemic stroke and AF.

METHODS

We enrolled a total of 214 consecutive patients (mean age, 66.8 ± 12.3 years; 39.7% women) diagnosed with acute ischemic stroke between March 2011 and June 2014. The patients were divided into two groups: ischemic stroke with AF (n = 35, 16.4%) and ischemic stroke without AF (n = 179, 83.6%).

RESULTS

The ischemic stroke with AF group showed significantly higher serum FFA level (1379.7 ± 717.5 vs. 757.8 ± 520.5 uEq/L, p < 0.0001) and EFT (6.5 ± 1.2 vs. 5.3 ± 1.2 mm, p < 0.001) than the group without AF. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that age (odds ratio [OR], 1.112), serum FFA level (OR, 1.002), and EFT (OR, 1.740) were independently associated with the ischemic stroke group with AF. EFT and FFA significantly improved the goodness-of-fit and discriminability of the simple regression model including age as a covariate (log likelihood difference, 21.35; p < 0.001; c-index difference, 17.9%; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

High EFT and serum FFA level were associated with ischemic stroke in patients with AF. Echocardiographic EFT and serum FFA level can play a significant role in identifying ischemic stroke with AF.

The complexity of atrial fibrillation newly diagnosed after ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack: advances and uncertainties

Purpose of review

Atrial fibrillation is being increasingly diagnosed after ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA). Patient characteristics, frequency and duration of paroxysms, and the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke associated with atrial fibrillation detected after stroke and TIA (AFDAS) may differ from atrial fibrillation already known before stroke occurrence. We aim to summarize major recent advances in the field, in the context of prior evidence, and to identify areas of uncertainty to be addressed in future research.

Recent findings

Half of all atrial fibrillations in ischemic stroke and TIA patients are AFDAS, and most of them are asymptomatic. Over 50% of AFDAS paroxysms last less than 30 s. The rapid initiation of cardiac monitoring and its duration are crucial for its timely and effective detection. AFDAS comprises a heterogeneous mix of atrial fibrillation, possibly including cardiogenic and neurogenic types, and a mix of both. Over 25 single markers and at least 10 scores have been proposed as predictors of AFDAS. However, there are considerable inconsistencies across studies. The role of AFDAS burden and its associated risk of stroke recurrence have not yet been investigated.

Summary

AFDAS may differ from atrial fibrillation known before stroke in several clinical dimensions, which are important for optimal patient care strategies. Many questions remain unanswered. Neurogenic and cardiogenic AFDAS need to be characterized, as it may be possible to avoid some neurogenic cases by initiating timely preventive treatments. AFDAS burden may differ in ischemic stroke and TIA patients, with distinctive diagnostic and treatment implications. The prognosis of AFDAS and its risk of recurrent stroke are still unknown; therefore, it is uncertain whether AFDAS patients should be treated with oral anticoagulants.