Predictors of fifty days in-hospital mortality in patients with culture negative neutrocytic ascites

Role of IL-6, TNF-α and VCAM-1 as predictors of renal impairment in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

BACKGROUND

Multiple mechanisms may contribute to the occurrence of renal impairment (RI) in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP). One such mechanism is systemic inflammatory response syndrome, which involves the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines (tumour necrosis factor [TNF]-α, interleukin [IL]-6 and vascular cell adhesion molecule [VCAM]-1). The goal of this research was to evaluate the role of IL-6, TNF-α and VCAM-1 as potential predictors of RI and mortality in cirrhotic patients with SBP.

METHODS

This study included 90 cirrhotic patients with SBP, divided into two equal groups: group A was patients without RI and group B was patients with RI. Based on mortality outcomes, the patients were further categorized into group 1 (recovery, n=70) and group 2 (death, n=20). TNF-α, IL-6 and VCAM-1 serum levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.

RESULTS

RI occurred in 50% (45/90) of the study population. Among the 90 patients, 10 (11.1%) had elevated IL-6 levels, 8 (8.9%) had elevated TNF-α levels and 6 (6.7%) had elevated VCAM-1 levels. There were no significant variations in cytokine levels between groups A and B. With an area under the curve of 0.5, the three cytokines showed comparable sensitivity and specificity as predictors of RI.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of TNF-α, IL-6 and VCAM-1 as predictive markers for RI and mortality in SBP patients is not recommended, as these biomarkers demonstrated limited diagnostic value.

Exploring the next frontier in diagnosing spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common complication of liver failure. It is an acute bacterial infection of the ascitic fluid in patients with liver cirrhosis. SBP presents a significant challenge for hepatologists owing to its associated complications. While diagnostic paracentesis with polymorphonuclear count is highly accurate, it can be troublesome for some patients as it is an invasive procedure with associated risks. Several studies have proposed new diagnostic methods to improve current practices, many of which remain invasive. Although some serum tests show promise in the diagnosis of SBP, the results are still preliminary. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence and machine learning have introduced predictive models and scoring systems for diagnosis. However, these models still lack sufficient sensitivity, specificity, and the ability to effectively assess treatment response.

Culture-Negative Neutrocytic Ascites in a Patient With Cardiac Ascites From End-Stage Heart Failure

There are two significant groups of infection regarding ascitic fluid: spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) and culture-negative neutrocytic ascites (CNNA). SBP and CNNA typically occur in patients with cirrhosis. A 46-year-old male with end-stage biventricular heart failure presented with a heart failure exacerbation. He was treated with intravenous diuretics with the improvement of hypervolemia. He remained hospitalized to undergo an evaluation for tricuspid valve repair, but given the severity of his bi-ventricular heart failure, he underwent a heart transplant evaluation. As part of the work-up, he underwent an abdominal ultrasound that was significant for severe ascites but did not note an abnormal hepatic architecture suggestive of cirrhosis. A liver biopsy was then performed, which confirmed no evidence of cirrhosis. His hospitalization was complicated by refractory cardiac ascites, which required a bi-weekly paracentesis. The serum albumin-ascites gradient (SAAG) from his initial paracentesis was 1.4, indicating the etiology was from portal hypertension. The total protein was greater than 2.5 in multiple studies, so the etiology was less concerning for cirrhosis and secondary to his heart failure. About two weeks into his hospital course, he developed a leukocytosis but remained hemodynamically stable and asymptomatic from an infectious standpoint. Analysis of his ascitic fluid initially was negative for infection, but he later developed an elevated total neutrophil count on a subsequent ascitic fluid analysis study. The body fluid culture remained negative for bacterial growth. Hepatology was consulted, and he met the criteria for CNNA, so treatment with ceftriaxone was initiated. After initiating antibiotics, his leukocytosis and elevated ascitic fluid total neutrophil count resolved. Ascitic infections such as CNNA generally occur in patients with liver cirrhosis but may occur in patients without cirrhosis, as observed in our patient. This case highlights that patients with cardiac ascites can develop ascitic fluid infections that may have an impact on their mortality. The precipitating factor that enabled the patient to develop CNNA is unclear but may be related to the translocation of bacteria during his congestive heart failure exacerbation. Although uncommon in a patient with cardiac ascites, an early diagnosis of CNNA and the initiation of antibiotics can be important in preventing patient mortality.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Model for One-year Survival of Cirrhosis Patients with First-ever Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is one of the leading causes of death in patients with liver cirrhosis. We aimed to establish a prognostic model to evaluate the 1-year survival of cirrhosis patients after the first episode of SBP.

METHODS

A prognostic model was developed based on a retrospective derivation cohort of 309 cirrhosis patients with first-ever SBP and was validated in a separate validation cohort of 141 patients. We used Uno's concordance, calibration curve, and decision curve (DCA) analysis to evaluate the discrimination, calibration, and clinical net benefit of the model.

RESULTS

A total of 59 (19.1%) patients in the derivation cohort and 42 (29.8%) patients in the validation cohort died over the course of 1 year. A prognostic model in nomogram form was developed with predictors including age [hazard ratio (HR): 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.92-1.71], total serum bilirubin (HR: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.28-2.14), serum sodium (HR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90-0.98), history of hypertension (HR: 2.52; 95% CI: 1.44-4.41) and hepatic encephalopathy (HR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.13-3.73). The nomogram had a higher concordance (0.79) compared with the model end-stage liver disease (0.67) or Child-Turcotte-Pugh (0.71) score. The nomogram also showed acceptable calibration (calibration slope, 1.12; Bier score, 0.15±0.21) and optimal clinical net benefit in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

This prediction model developed based on characteristics of first-ever SBP patients may benefit the prediction of patients' 1-year survival.

Ascitic Interleukin 6 Is Associated with Poor Outcome and Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis: A Validation in Critically Ill Patients with Decompensated Cirrhosis

Decompensated cirrhosis predisposes to infectious diseases and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in critically ill patients. Infections like spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) are frequently associated with multi-organ failure and increased mortality. Consequently, reliable predictors of outcome and early diagnostic markers of infection are needed to improve individualized therapy. This study evaluates the prognostic role of ascitic interleukin 6 in 64 patients with cirrhosis admitted to our intensive care unit (ICU). In addition, we analysed the diagnostic ability of ascitic interleukin 6 in a subgroup of 19 patients with SBP. Baseline ascitic interleukin 6 performed well in predicting 3-month mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (area under curve (AUC) = 0.802), as well as in patients fulfilling ACLF-criteria (AUC = 0.807). Ascitic interleukin 6 showed a moderate prognostic advantage compared with common clinical scores and proinflammatory parameters. Moreover, ascitic interleukin 6 had a sufficient diagnostic ability to detect SBP (AUC = 0.901) and was well correlated with ascitic polymorphonuclear neutrophils in SBP (p = 0.002). Interestingly, ascitic interleukin 6 revealed a high predictive value to rule out apparent infections on admission to ICU (AUC = 0.904) and to identify patients with “culture-positive SBP” (AUC = 0.856). Ascitic interleukin 6 is an easily-applicable proinflammatory biomarker with high prognostic and diagnostic relevance in critically ill patients with liver cirrhosis.

Evidence of Significant Ceftriaxone and Quinolone Resistance in Cirrhotics with Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

OBJECTIVES

There are few studies addressing the impact of cephalosporin and quinolone resistance on hospital length of stay and mortality in spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP). We aim to describe the shifting epidemiology of SBP at our institution and its impact on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

We performed a single-center retrospective cohort study of all cases of SBP from 2005 to 2015 at a transplant center. Cases were identified using hospital billing data. Patient data were confirmed using the electronic medical record. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify factors that were associated with prolonged hospital length of stay and reduced survival. Culture-positive cases (N = 56) were compared to culture-negative cases (N = 104). Subpopulation analysis of the culture-positive cases compared ceftriaxone-resistant (N = 25) to ceftriaxone-susceptible (N = 31) cases.

RESULTS

We identified 160 cases of SBP (56 culture positive and 104 culture negative; 21 nosocomial, 79 hospital associated, and 60 community acquired). Forty-five percent (N = 25 total, 13 hospital associated and 6 nosocomial) of bacterial isolates were resistant to ceftriaxone, with 37.5% (N = 21) being gram positive, including 8 methicillin-resistant staphylococcus and 6 vancomycin-resistant enterococcus. Multivariate analysis identified hospital-associated SBP, age, alcoholic cirrhosis, and MELD-Na score as variables associated with worse survival (P < 0.05), with a trend toward worse survival in culture-positive cases (P = 0.123). Only MELD-Na was associated with prolonged length of stay.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of resistant pathogens causing SBP is significant, notably in hospital-associated SBP. Culture-positive SBP may represent a higher risk group compared to culture-negative SBP.

Spontaneous bacterial and fungal peritonitis in patients with liver cirrhosis: A literature review

Spontaneous bacterial (SBP) and spontaneous fungal peritonitis (SFP) can be a life-threatening infection in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) and ascites. One of the possible mechanisms of developing SBP is bacterial translocation. Although the number of polymorphonuclear cells in the culture of ascitic fluid is diagnostic for SBP, secondary bacterial peritonitis is necessary to exclude. The severity of underlying liver dysfunction is predictive of developing SBP; moreover, renal impairment and infections caused by multidrug-resistant (MDR) organism are associated with a fatal prognosis of SBP. SBP is treated by antimicrobials, but initial empirical treatment may not succeed because of the presence of MDR organisms, particularly in nosocomial infections. Antibiotic prophylaxis is recommended for patients with LC at a high risk of developing SBP, gastrointestinal bleeding, or a previous episode of SBP, but the increase in the risk of developing an infection caused by MDR organisms is a serious concern globally. Less is known about SFP in patients with LC, but the severity of underlying liver dysfunction may increase the hospital mortality. SFP mortality has been reported to be higher than that of SBP partially because the difficulty of early differentiation between SFP and SBP induces delayed antifungal therapy for SFP.