A competing risk analysis of colorectal cancer recurrence after curative surgery

Cumulative Incidence, Risk Factors, and Overall Survival of Disease Recurrence after Curative Resection of Stage II-III Colorectal Cancer: A Population-based Study

Real-world data are necessitated to counsel patients about the risk for recurrent disease after curative treatment of colorectal cancer. This study provided a population-based overview of the epidemiology of recurrent disease in patients with surgically resected stage II/III colorectal cancer.Patients diagnosed with stage II/III primary colorectal cancer between July and December 2015 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (N = 3,762). Cumulative incidence of recurrent disease was estimated, and multivariable competing risk regression was used to identify risk factors for recurrent disease in patients with primary colon and rectal cancer. Moreover, overall survival (OS) after diagnosis of recurrent colorectal cancer was estimated.Median clinical follow-up was 58 months (Q1-Q3: 22-62). Five-year cumulative incidence of recurrent disease was 21.6% [95% confidence interval (CI): 20.0-23.2] and 30.0% (95% CI: 28.3-33.5) for patients with primary colon and rectal cancer, respectively. Stage III disease and incomplete resection margin in patients with primary colon cancer and extramural vascular invasion in patients with primary rectal cancer were strongly (HR ≥ 2) associated with recurrent disease. Median OS of patients with distant, locoregional, or the synchronous combination of distant and locoregional recurrent disease was 29, 27, and 13 months, respectively (P < 0.001). Patients with distant recurrences limited to liver or lung showed a median OS of 46 and 48 months, respectively. The incidence of recurrent disease was higher in patients with rectal cancer than in patients with colon cancer, predominantly due to higher rates of distant recurrences. OS after recurrent disease was impaired, but subgroups of patients diagnosed with recurrent disease limited to one site showed statistically significantly longer OS.

SIGNIFICANCE

Population-based data on recurrent colorectal cancer are rare, but crucial for counseling patients and their physicians. This large nationwide, population-based study provides an up-to-date overview of the epidemiology of recurrent disease in patients with stage II and III primary colon and rectal cancer treated with surgical resection.

Liver Transplantation for Colorectal Liver Metastases

Colorectal cancer is one of the most common malignancies worldwide. Approximately half of the patients diagnosed will develop colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Liver resection has a 50% 5-year survival; however, only a fourth of cases are resectable. Unresectable CRLM has poor prognosis despite improved systemic and local ablative treatments. Liver transplantation (LT) has demonstrated a survival benefit in initial prospective clinical trials. Current use of LT for CRLM is limited to several randomized trials and high-performing centers. Improving patient selection criteria and perioperative management, LT will likely become an important part of the multidisciplinary approach to managing the metastatic disease.

Predicting cancer-specific mortality in T1/2 hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation by competing risk nomogram: A population-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is one of the primary treatment methods for T1/2 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the risk factors after RFA remain controversial. This study aims to identify the key factors associated with cancer-specific mortality (CSM) in patients with T1/2 HCC after RFA using competing risk analysis and to establish a prognostic nomogram for improved clinical management.

METHODS

A total of 2,135 T1/2 HCC patients treated with RFA were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and randomly categorized into training and validation sets. Univariate and multivariable competing risk analyses were performed to identify risk factors associated with CSM and construct a competing risk nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, concordance indices (C-indexes), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were conducted to evaluate the predictive efficiency and clinical applicability of the nomogram in the training and validation sets. Patients were stratified according to their nomogram score, and the different risk groups were compared using cumulative incidence function (CIF) curves and Gray's validation .

RESULTS

The 5-year CSM rate for HCC patients treated with RFA was 30.1 %. Grade, tumor size, tumor number, cirrhosis, and AFP level were identified as independent risk factors for CSM. A prognostic nomogram was developed based on these risk factors. The time-dependent C-indexes (0.65) were greater than those of the AJCC stage model (0.55) during the 12 to 60 months of follow-up. The calibration plots of the competing risk nomograms demonstrated excellent consistency between actual survival and nomogram predictions. ROC analyses showed that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUC values in both the training and validation cohorts were all greater than 0.63 and exceeded those of the AJCC stage model. DCA demonstrated the clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Patients were classified into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups based on the nomogram scores, with the high-risk group showing significantly higher CSM rates after RFA compared to the other two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified Grade, AFP, cirrhosis, tumor size, and tumor number as independent risk factors associated with CSM. The competing risk nomogram exhibited high performance in predicting the probability of CSM for HCC patients undergoing RFA.

Impact of regional lymph node metastasis on pulmonary metastasis as the first recurrence site

Little is known about the impact of regional lymph node metastasis (LNM) on the first recurrence sites following curative colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery. The present study aimed to clarify the relationship between regional LNM stratified by N status and the first recurrence pattern in patients with stage I-III CRC. We performed a retrospective analysis of 1181 consecutive patients with stage I-III CRC who underwent curative surgery between 2010 and 2018. The total sample size included 1181 patients who underwent elective stage I-III CRC surgery. Median follow-up time was 60 months, and median time to recurrence was 12 months. Overall, the numbers of liver recurrence and pulmonary recurrence were 94 (7.9%) and 70 (5.9%), respectively. Higher N status was significantly associated with increased risk of pulmonary recurrence (N0 vs. N1a, p = 0.02; N0 vs. N1b, p < 0.01; N0 vs. N2a, p < 0.01; N0 vs. N2b, p < 0.01) and worse pulmonary recurrence-free survival, but not other recurrences. In Non-LNM patients, on the other hand, advanced T status was associated with increased risk of pulmonary recurrence. The regional LNM was strongly associated with pulmonary metastasis as the first recurrence site following stage I-III CRC resection.

Synbiotics and Surgery: Can Prebiotics and Probiotics Affect Inflammatory Surgical Outcomes?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Prebiotics, probiotics, and synbiotics have received increasing attention over the years for their beneficial impact on the gut microbiome and for their systemic anti-inflammatory effects. They have also been shown to improve surgical outcomes. Here, we review the inflammatory effects of surgery as well as the data which suggests a benefit of prebiotics, probiotics, and synbiotics taken in the perioperative period.

RECENT FINDINGS

Synbiotics and fermented foods may have an even greater anti-inflammatory effect than probiotics or prebiotics alone. Recent data suggest that the anti-inflammatory effects and microbiome changes brought on by prebiotics, probiotics, and synbiotics have the potential to improve surgical outcomes. We highlight the potential to alter systemic inflammation, surgical and hospital-acquired infections, colorectal cancer formation, recurrence, and anastomotic leak. Synbiotics could also impact metabolic syndrome. Prebiotics, probiotics, and especially synbiotics may be extremely beneficial when taken in the perioperative period. Even short-term gut microbiome pre-habilitation could alter surgical outcomes significantly.

Outcomes following open versus laparoscopic multi-visceral resection for locally advanced colorectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

This meta-analysis aims to compare morbidity, mortality, oncological safety, and survival outcomes after laparoscopic multi-visceral resection (MVR) of the locally advanced primary colorectal cancer (CRC) compared with open surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic search of multiple electronic data sources was conducted, and all studies comparing laparoscopic and open surgery in patients with locally advanced CRC undergoing MVR were selected. The primary endpoints were peri-operative morbidity and mortality. Secondary endpoints were R0 and R1 resection, local and distant disease recurrence, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) rates. RevMan 5.3 was used for data analysis.

RESULTS

Ten comparative observational studies reporting a total of 936 patients undergoing laparoscopic MVR (n = 452) and open surgery (n = 484) were identified. Primary outcome analysis demonstrated a significantly longer operative time in laparoscopic surgery compared with open operations (P = 0.008). However, intra-operative blood loss (P<0.00001) and wound infection (P = 0.05) favoured laparoscopy. Anastomotic leak rate (P = 0.91), intra-abdominal abscess formation (P = 0.40), and mortality rates (P = 0.87) were comparable between the two groups. Moreover the total number of harvested lymph nodes, R0/R1 resections, local/distant disease recurrence, DFS, and OS rates were also comparable between the groups.

CONCLUSION

Although inherent limitations exist with observational studies, the available evidence demonstrates that laparoscopic MVR in locally advanced CRC seems to be a feasible and oncologically safe surgical option in carefully selected cohorts.

Role of Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndrome Type, Gut Microbiome, and Host Immunity in Predicting Early and Advanced Stage Colorectal Cancer

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the role of Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) syndrome type, gut microbiome distribution, and host immunity function in predicting the early and advanced clinical stages of colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

A cross-sectional case-control study was performed which included 48 early stage and 48 advanced patients with CRC enrolled from March 2018 to December 2020. 16S rRNA gene sequencing was performed to analyze the gut microbiomes of the patients, while T and B lymphocyte subsets in peripheral blood were assessed using flow cytometry. TCM syndrome type was measured using the spleen deficiency syndrome (SDS) scale.

RESULTS

The abundance levels of Prevotella, Escherichia-Shigella, and Faecalibacterium in the gut microbiota were significantly increased in the advanced group, while Bacteroides was significantly decreased. Phascolarctobacterium was detectable only in the early metaphase group, whereas Alistipes was detectable only in the advanced group. The lymphocyte (P = .006), T helper cell (TH) (P = .002), cytotoxic T cell (TC) (P = .003), double positive T cell (DPT) (P = .02), and total T counts (P = .001) were significantly higher in the early metaphase group than in the advanced metaphase group. Compared with patients with early stage CRC, the advanced group had a higher SDS score. After adjusting for clinical stage, Spearman's correlation analysis showed interactions among gut microbiome abundance, T cell level, and SDS score. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that after controlling for the SDS score, abundance of Alistipes and Faecalibacterium, and double negative T cell (DNT) level, DPT was significantly associated with a lower risk of advanced-stage disease (hazard ratio, 0.918; P = .022).

CONCLUSION

Our study suggested associations between clinical stage, SDS, gut microbiota, and T lymphocytes, which provided insights for a potential prediction model for the disease progression of CRC.

Acute inflammatory reaction during anti-angiogenesis therapy combined with immunotherapy as a possible indicator of the therapeutic effect: Three case reports and literature review

The posterior line treatment of unresectable advanced or metastatic gastrointestinal (GI) tumors has always been a challenging point. In particular, for patients with microsatellite stable (MSS)/mismatch repair proficient (pMMR) 0GI tumors, the difficulty of treatment is exacerbated due to their insensitivity to immune drugs. Accordingly, finding a new comprehensive therapy to improve the treatment effect is urgent. In this study, we report the treatment histories of three patients with MSS/pMMR GI tumors who achieved satisfactory effects by using a comprehensive treatment regimen of apatinib combined with camrelizumab and TAS-102 after the failure of first- or second-line regimens. The specific contents of the treatment plan were as follows: apatinib (500 mg/d) was administered orally for 10 days, followed by camrelizumab (200 mg, ivgtt, day 1, 14 days/cycle) and TAS-102 (20 mg, oral, days 1-21, 28 days/cycle). Apatinib (500 mg/d) was maintained during treatment. Subsequently, we discuss the possible mechanism of this combination and review the relevant literature, and introduce clinical trials on anti-angiogenesis therapy combined with immunotherapy.

Efficacy and safety of different radiotherapy doses in neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer: A retrospective study

Background

This study aims to compare the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) with different radiotherapy doses (45Gy and 50.4Gy) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

Methods

Herein, 120 patients with LARC were retrospectively enrolled between January 2016 and June 2021. All patients underwent two courses of induction chemotherapy (XELOX), chemoradiotherapy, and total mesorectum excision (TME). A total of 72 patients received a radiotherapy dose of 50.4 Gy, while 48 patients received a dose of 45 Gy. Surgery was then performed within 5-12 weeks following nCRT.

Results

There was no statistically significant difference between the baseline characteristics of the two groups. The rate of good pathological response in the 50.4Gy group was 59.72% (43/72), while in the 45Gy group achieved 64.58% (31/48) (P>0.05). The disease control rate (DCR) in the 50.4Gy group was 88.89% (64/72), compared to 89.58% (43/48) in the 45Gy group (P>0.05). The incidence of adverse reactions for radioactive proctitis, myelosuppression, and intestinal obstruction or perforation differed significantly between the two groups (P<0.05). The anal retention rate in the 50.4Gy group was significantly higher in contrast to the 45Gy group (P<0.05).

Conclusions

Patients receiving a radiotherapy dose of 50.4Gy have a better anal retention rate but also a higher incidence of adverse events such as radioactive proctitis, myelosuppression, and intestinal obstruction or perforation, and a comparable prognosis to patients treated with a radiotherapy dose of 45Gy.