Can usual gait speed be used as a prognostic factor for early palliative care identification in hospitalized older patients? A prospective study on two different wards

Prognostic value of geriatric and cardiac parameters for one-year mortality in older heart failure patients. A multicentre, observational, prospective study

PURPOSE

Heart failure is prevalent among older people and has a poor prognosis. The aim of this study is to identify potential prognostic, geriatric, and cardiac parameters which could help clinicians identify older heart failure patients at high risk for one-year mortality.

METHODS

The multicentre, observational cohort study which included 147 heart failure patients aged ≥75 years, hospitalized in the cardiac or geriatric department in two hospitals. One-year survival was the outcome measure. For univariate analysis Chi-square test and independent sample T-test were used; for multivariate analysis Logistic regression and Cox regression for time-dependent analysis.

RESULTS

One-year mortality was 28% (41/147). One-year survivors and non-survivors did not differ in the following characteristics: age, gender, sodium level at hospital discharge, ejection fraction, NYHA Class, basic and instrumental activities of daily living, and the presence of a geriatric risk profile. There was a significant lower systolic blood pressure at discharge in non-survivors compared to one-year-survivors (mean 125.26 mmHg vs. 137.59 mmHg). Non-survivors had more severe underlying comorbidities according to the age adjusted Charlson Comorbidity index (CCI) (mean 8.80 vs. 7.40).Both logistic and Cox regression showed a higher risk and rate of mortality with decreasing systolic blood pressure at discharge (OR 0.963, p=0.001 and HR 0.970, p<0.001) and with increasing CCI (OR 1.344, p=0.002 and HR 1.269, p=0.001); the other variables were not significantly related.

CONCLUSION

Lower blood pressure and more severe comorbidities, but not functionality nor the presence of a geriatric risk profile, are related to one-year mortality in older, in-hospital heart failure patients.

Will-to-Live and Self-Rated Health in Older Hospitalized Patients Are Not Predictive for Short-Term Mortality

Background: Self-assessed will-to-live and self-rated health are associated with long-term survival in community-dwelling older persons but have not been examined in frailer older patients in relation to short-term prognosis. The aim was to explore whether will-to-live and self-rated health are predictive for six-month mortality and can guide ceiling of treatment decisions in hospitalized patients in an acute geriatric ward. We included the Surprise Question as reference, being a well-established clinical tool for short-term prognostication. Methods: This multicentric prospective study included patients of 75 years and older admitted at acute geriatric wards of two Belgian hospitals. Will-to-live and self-rated health were scored on a Likert scale (0-5, 0-4) and assessed by junior geriatricians. The senior geriatricians answered the Surprise Question for clinical judgment of prognosis. Receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to determine diagnostic accuracy. For time-dependent analysis, Cox regression was performed with adjustment for age and gender. Results: Of 93 included patients in the study, 69 were still alive after six months and 24 died, resulting in a six-month mortality of 26%. The mean age was 86 years (range 75-100), 67% of the patients were women. Median will-to-live and self-rated health were 3 (moderate and good). Both will-to-live and self-rated health were not predictive for six-month mortality (area under the ROC curve [AUC] 0.496, p = 0.951 for will-to-live; 0.447, p = 0.442 for self-rated health) as opposed to Surprise Question (AUC 0.793, p < 0.001). After correction for sex and age, the hazard ratio of six-month mortality was 0.92 for will-to-live (p = 0.667), 0.86 for self-rated health (p = 0.548), and 10.28 for Surprise Question (p < 0.001). Conclusion: Will-to-live and self-rated health are not predictive for six-month mortality in patients admitted to the acute geriatric ward, unlike prognostic tools such as Surprise Question. Clinical Trial Registration Number: B670202100792.

A pilot observational study of gait changes over time before and after an unplanned hospital visit in long-term care residents with dementia

BACKGROUND

Older adults with dementia living in long-term care (LTC) have high rates of hospitalization. Two common causes of unplanned hospital visits for LTC residents are deterioration in health status and falls. Early detection of health deterioration or increasing falls risk may present an opportunity to intervene and prevent hospitalization. There is some evidence that impairments in older adults' gait, such as reduced gait speed, increased variability, and poor balance may be associated with hospitalization. However, it is not clear whether changes in gait are observable and measurable before an unplanned hospital visit and whether these changes persist after the acute medical issue has been resolved. The objective of this study was to examine gait changes before and after an unplanned acute care hospital visit in people with dementia.

METHODS

We performed a secondary analysis of quantitative gait measures extracted from videos of natural gait captured over time on a dementia care unit and collected information about unplanned hospitalization from health records.

RESULTS

Gait changes in study participants before hospital visits were characterized by decreasing stability and step length, and increasing step variability, although these changes were also observed in participants without hospital visits. In an age and sex-adjusted mixed effects model, gait speed and step length declined more quickly in those with a hospital visit compared to those without.

CONCLUSIONS

These results provide preliminary evidence that clinically meaningful longitudinal gait changes may be captured by repeated non-invasive gait monitoring, although a larger study is needed to identify changes specific to future medical events.

Terms used by physicians when deciding to withhold treatment for older patients not having received palliative care in an acute geriatric care unit

PURPOSE

There are no guidelines or consensus statements on the terms to be used when discussing withholding of treatment for patients in acute geriatric care units and who have not received palliative care. The objective of the present study was to analyze the terms used in medical records to refer to the withholding of treatment for patients who died in an acute geriatric care unit and did not receive palliative care.

METHODS

We conducted an ambispective multicentre cohort study based on the DAMAGE study. Data on 53 patients who died in the acute geriatric care unit and who had not received palliative care were extracted from medical records. The verbatims referring to the withholding of treatment were analyzed in terms of keywords and then key concepts, as defined by several reviewers in a consensus-based approach.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 86.4 years, 34.1% were male. Terms referring to the withholding of treatment were found for 25 of the 53 patients (47.2%). Most of the decisions on the withholding of treatment were recorded in the week following admission to the acute geriatric care unit. Our analysis of the terms identified 11 key concepts: treatment limitation, no resuscitation, withholding diagnostic procedures, justification of care, ethical considerations, disease progression, uncertainty, the patient's wishes, the family's wishes, patient's comfort, and collegiality. The terms used to describe key concepts varied markedly from one physician to another.

CONCLUSION

Decisions about the withholding of treatment are frequently noted in the medical records of patients who die in the acute geriatric care unit without having received palliative care. The broad variety of key concepts and differences in the choice of words highlight the need for standardized terms.