Machine learning-based CT radiomics model distinguishes COVID-19 from non-COVID-19 pneumonia

Development and multicentric external validation of a prognostic COVID-19 severity model based on thoracic CT

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification of COVID-19 patients can support therapeutic decisions, planning and resource allocation in the hospital. In times of high incidence, a prognostic model based on data efficiently retrieved from one source can enable fast decision support.

METHODS

A model was developed to identify patients at risk of developing severe COVID-19 within one month based on their age, sex and imaging features extracted from the thoracic computed tomography (CT). The model was trained on publicly available data from the Study of Thoracic CT in COVID-19 (STOIC) challenge and validated on unseen data from the same study and an external, multicentric dataset. The model, trained on data acquired before any variant of concern dominated, was assessed separately on data collected at later stages of the pandemic when the delta and omicron variants were most prevalent.

RESULTS

A logistic regression based on handcrafted features was found to perform on par with a direct deep learning approach, and the former was selected for simplicity. Volumetric and intensity-based features of lesions and healthy lung parenchyma proved most predictive, in addition to patient age and sex. The model reached an area under the curve of 0.78 on the challenge test set and 0.74 on the external test set. The performance did not drop for the subset acquired at a later stage of the pandemic.

CONCLUSIONS

A logistic regression utilizing features from thoracic CT and its metadata can provide rapid decision support by estimating short-term COVID-19 severity. Its stable performance underscores its potential for real-world clinical integration. By enabling rapid risk stratification using readily available imaging data, this approach can support early clinical decision-making, optimize resource allocation, and improve patient management, particularly during surges in COVID-19 cases. Furthermore, this study provides a foundation for future research on prognostic modelling in respiratory infections.

Radiomic features based automatic classification of CT lung findings for COVID-19 patients

Introduction. The lung CT images of COVID-19 patients can be typically characterized by three different findings- Ground Glass Opacity (GGO), consolidation and pleural effusion. GGOs have been shown to precede consolidations and has different heterogeneous appearance. Conventional severity scoring only uses total area of lung involvement ignoring appearance of the effected regions. This study proposes a baseline to select heterogeneity/radiomic features that can distinguish these three pathological lung findings.Methods. Four approaches were implemented to select features from a pool of 44 features. First one is a manual feature selection method. The rest are automatic feature selection methods based on Genetic Algorithm (GA) coupled with (1) K-Nearest-Neighbor (GA-KNN), (2) binary-decision-tree (GA-BDT) and (3) Artificial-Neural-Network (GA-ANN). For the purpose of validation, an ANN was trained using the selected features and tested on a completely independent data set.Results. Manual selection of nine radiomic features was found to provide the most accurate results with the highest sensitivity, specificity and accuracy (85.7% overall accuracy and 0.90 area under receiver operating characteristic curve) followed by GA-BDT, GA-KNN and GA-ANN (accuracy 78%, 77.5% and 76.8%).Conclusion. Manually selected nine radiomic features can be used in accurate severity scoring allowing the clinician to plan for more effective personalized treatment. They can also be useful for monitoring the progression of COVID-19 and response to therapy for clinical trials.

Tracheal computed tomography radiomics model for prediction of the Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2

OBJECTIVES

The Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is highly contagious, fast-spreading, and insidious. Most patients present with normal findings on lung computed tomography (CT). The current study aimed to develop and validate a tracheal CT radiomics model to predict Omicron variant infection.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, a radiomics model was developed based on a training set consisting of 157 patients with an Omicron variant infection and 239 healthy controls between 1 January and 30 April 2022. A set of morphological expansions, with dilations of 1, 3, 5, 7, and 9 voxels, was applied to the trachea, and radiomic features were extracted from different dilation voxels of the trachea. Logistic regression (LR), support vector machines (SVM), and random forests (RF) were developed and evaluated; the models were validated on 67 patients with the Omicron variant and on 103 healthy controls between 1 May and 30 July 2022.

RESULTS

Logistic regression with 12 radiomic features extracted from the tracheal wall with dilation of 5 voxels achieved the highest classification performance compared with the other models. The LR model achieved an area under the curve of 0.993 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.987-0.998) in the training set and 0.989 (95% CI: 0.979-0.999) in the validation set. Sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of the model for the training set were 0.994, 0.946, and 0.965, respectively, whereas those for the validation set were 0.970, 0.952, and 0.959, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The tracheal CT radiomics model reliably identified the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV‑2, and may help in clinical decision-making in future, especially in cases of normal lung CT findings.

Radiomics approach for identifying radiation-induced normal tissue toxicity in the lung

The rapidly evolving field of radiomics has shown that radiomic features are able to capture characteristics of both tumor and normal tissue that can be used to make accurate and clinically relevant predictions. In the present study we sought to determine if radiomic features can characterize the adverse effects caused by normal tissue injury as well as identify if human embryonic stem cell (hESC) derived extracellular vesicle (EV) treatment can resolve certain adverse complications. A cohort of 72 mice (n = 12 per treatment group) were exposed to X-ray radiation to the whole lung (3 × 8 Gy) or to the apex of the right lung (3 × 12 Gy), immediately followed by retro-orbital injection of EVs. Cone-Beam Computed Tomography images were acquired before and 2 weeks after treatment. In total, 851 radiomic features were extracted from the whole lungs and < 20 features were selected to train and validate a series of random forest classification models trained to predict radiation status, EV status and treatment group. It was found that all three classification models achieved significantly high prediction accuracies on a validation subset of the dataset (AUCs of 0.91, 0.86 and 0.80 respectively). In the locally irradiated lung, a significant difference between irradiated and unirradiated groups as well as an EV sparing effect were observed in several radiomic features that were not seen in the unirradiated lung (including wavelet-LLH Kurtosis, wavelet HLL Large Area High Gray Level Emphasis, and Gray Level Non-Uniformity). Additionally, a radiation difference was not observed in a secondary comparison cohort, but there was no impact of imaging machine parameters on the radiomic signature of unirradiated mice. Our data demonstrate that radiomics has the potential to identify radiation-induced lung injury and could be applied to predict therapeutic efficacy at early timepoints.

Post-COVID highlights: Challenges and solutions of artificial intelligence techniques for swift identification of COVID-19

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2019, there has been a concerted effort to develop cost-effective, non-invasive, and rapid AI-based tools. These tools were intended to alleviate the burden on healthcare systems, control the rapid spread of the virus, and enhance intervention outcomes, all in response to this unprecedented global crisis. As we transition into a post-COVID era, we retrospectively evaluate these proposed studies and offer a review of the techniques employed in AI diagnostic models, with a focus on the solutions proposed for different challenges. This review endeavors to provide insights into the diverse solutions designed to address the multifaceted challenges that arose during the pandemic. By doing so, we aim to prepare the AI community for the development of AI tools tailored to address public health emergencies effectively.

Radiomics analysis for distinctive identification of COVID-19 pulmonary nodules from other benign and malignant counterparts

This observational study investigated the potential of radiomics as a non-invasive adjunct to CT in distinguishing COVID-19 lung nodules from other benign and malignant lung nodules. Lesion segmentation, feature extraction, and machine learning algorithms, including decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, feed-forward neural network, and discriminant analysis, were employed in the radiomics workflow. Key features such as Idmn, skewness, and long-run low grey level emphasis were identified as crucial in differentiation. The model demonstrated an accuracy of 83% in distinguishing COVID-19 from other benign nodules and 88% from malignant nodules. This study concludes that radiomics, through machine learning, serves as a valuable tool for non-invasive discrimination between COVID-19 and other benign and malignant lung nodules. The findings suggest the potential complementary role of radiomics in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia exhibiting lung nodules and suspicion of concurrent lung pathologies. The clinical relevance lies in the utilization of radiomics analysis for feature extraction and classification, contributing to the enhanced differentiation of lung nodules, particularly in the context of COVID-19.

A Two-Phase Feature Selection Method for Identifying Influential Spreaders of Disease Epidemics in Complex Networks

Network epidemiology plays a fundamental role in understanding the relationship between network structure and epidemic dynamics, among which identifying influential spreaders is especially important. Most previous studies aim to propose a centrality measure based on network topology to reflect the influence of spreaders, which manifest limited universality. Machine learning enhances the identification of influential spreaders by combining multiple centralities. However, several centrality measures utilized in machine learning methods, such as closeness centrality, exhibit high computational complexity when confronted with large network sizes. Here, we propose a two-phase feature selection method for identifying influential spreaders with a reduced feature dimension. Depending on the definition of influential spreaders, we obtain the optimal feature combination for different synthetic networks. Our results demonstrate that when the datasets are mildly or moderately imbalanced, for Barabasi-Albert (BA) scale-free networks, the centralities' combination with the two-hop neighborhood is fundamental, and for Erdős-Rényi (ER) random graphs, the centralities' combination with the degree centrality is essential. Meanwhile, for Watts-Strogatz (WS) small world networks, feature selection is unnecessary. We also conduct experiments on real-world networks, and the features selected display a high similarity with synthetic networks. Our method provides a new path for identifying superspreaders for the control of epidemics.

Monkeypox detection using deep neural networks

BACKGROUND

In May 2022, the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region announced an atypical Monkeypox epidemic in response to reports of numerous cases in some member countries unrelated to those where the illness is endemic. This issue has raised concerns about the widespread nature of this disease around the world. The experience with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has increased awareness about pandemics among researchers and health authorities.

METHODS

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have shown promising performance in detecting COVID-19 and predicting its outcomes. As a result, researchers have begun applying similar methods to detect Monkeypox disease. In this study, we utilize a dataset comprising skin images of three diseases: Monkeypox, Chickenpox, Measles, and Normal cases. We develop seven DNN models to identify Monkeypox from these images. Two scenarios of including two classes and four classes are implemented.

RESULTS

The results show that our proposed DenseNet201-based architecture has the best performance, with Accuracy = 97.63%, F1-Score = 90.51%, and Area Under Curve (AUC) = 94.27% in two-class scenario; and Accuracy = 95.18%, F1-Score = 89.61%, AUC = 92.06% for four-class scenario. Comparing our study with previous studies with similar scenarios, shows that our proposed model demonstrates superior performance, particularly in terms of the F1-Score metric. For the sake of transparency and explainability, Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) and Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-Cam) were developed to interpret the results. These techniques aim to provide insights into the decision-making process, thereby increasing the trust of clinicians.

CONCLUSION

The DenseNet201 model outperforms the other models in terms of the confusion metrics, regardless of the scenario. One significant accomplishment of this study is the utilization of LIME and Grad-Cam to identify the affected areas and assess their significance in diagnosing diseases based on skin images. By incorporating these techniques, we enhance our understanding of the infected regions and their relevance in distinguishing Monkeypox from other similar diseases. Our proposed model can serve as a valuable auxiliary tool for diagnosing Monkeypox and distinguishing it from other related conditions.

Radiomics analysis in medical imaging research

This article discusses the current research in the field of radiomics in medical imaging with emphasis on its role in fighting coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This article covers the building of radiomic models in a simple straightforward manner, while discussing radiomic models potential to help us face this pandemic.

The Clinical Utility of Molecular Imaging in COVID-19: An Update

The novel pathogen severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was first discovered in Wuhan, China in late 2019 with Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) declared a global pandemic in March 2020. Primarily involving the lungs, conventional imaging with chest radiography and CT can play a complementary role to RT-PCR in the initial diagnosis, and also in follow up of select patients. As a broader understanding of the multi-systemic nature of COVID-19 has evolved, a potential role for molecular imaging has developed, that may detect functional changes in advance of standard cross-sectional imaging. In this review, we highlight the evolving role of molecular imaging such as fluorine-18 (18F) fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) with PET/CT and PET/MRI in the evaluation of both pulmonary and extra-pulmonary COVID-19, ventilation and perfusion scan with SPECT/CT for thromboembolic disease, long term follow-up of COVID-19 infection, and COVID-19 vaccine-related complications.

Automated Diagnosis of COVID-19 Using Deep Supervised Autoencoder With Multi-View Features From CT Images

Accurate and rapid diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from chest CT scans is of great importance and urgency during the worldwide outbreak. However, radiologists have to distinguish COVID-19 pneumonia from other pneumonia in a large number of CT scans, which is tedious and inefficient. Thus, it is urgently and clinically needed to develop an efficient and accurate diagnostic tool to help radiologists to fulfill the difficult task. In this study, we proposed a deep supervised autoencoder (DSAE) framework to automatically identify COVID-19 using multi-view features extracted from CT images. To fully explore features characterizing CT images from different frequency domains, DSAE was proposed to learn the latent representation by multi-task learning. The proposal was designed to both encode valuable information from different frequency features and construct a compact class structure for separability. To achieve this, we designed a multi-task loss function, which consists of a supervised loss and a reconstruction loss. Our proposed method was evaluated on a newly collected dataset of 787 subjects including COVID-19 pneumonia patients, other pneumonia patients, and normal subjects without abnormal CT findings. Extensive experimental results demonstrated that our proposed method achieved encouraging diagnostic performance and may have potential clinical application for the diagnosis of COVID-19.

Prediction of SARS-CoV-2 infection with a Symptoms-Based model to aid public health decision making in Latin America and other low and middle income settings

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Early non-pharmacological interventions are necessary limit the spread of COVID-19.

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In low to middle-income countries, there are limited resources to face the pandemic.

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Symptoms (i.e. anosmia) can be used to apply early strategies in suspicious cases.

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Logistic regression provides interpretability in prediction analysis.

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Machine learning analysis aids prediction because of its capacity of data synthesis.

Symptoms-based models for predicting SARS-CoV-2 infection may improve clinical decision-making and be an alternative to resource allocation in under-resourced settings. In this study we aimed to test a model based on symptoms to predict a positive test result for SARS-CoV-2 infection during the COVID-19 pandemic using logistic regression and a machine-learning approach, in Bogotá, Colombia. Participants from the CoVIDA project were included. A logistic regression using the model was chosen based on biological plausibility and the Akaike Information criterion. Also, we performed an analysis using machine learning with random forest, support vector machine, and extreme gradient boosting. The study included 58,577 participants with a positivity rate of 5.7%. The logistic regression showed that anosmia (aOR = 7.76, 95% CI [6.19, 9.73]), fever (aOR = 4.29, 95% CI [3.07, 6.02]), headache (aOR = 3.29, 95% CI [1.78, 6.07]), dry cough (aOR = 2.96, 95% CI [2.44, 3.58]), and fatigue (aOR = 1.93, 95% CI [1.57, 2.93]) were independently associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our final model had an area under the curve of 0.73. The symptoms-based model correctly identified over 85% of participants. This model can be used to prioritize resource allocation related to COVID-19 diagnosis, to decide on early isolation, and contact-tracing strategies in individuals with a high probability of infection before receiving a confirmatory test result. This strategy has public health and clinical decision-making significance in low- and middle-income settings like Latin America.

Challenges of Multiplex Assays for COVID-19 Research: A Machine Learning Perspective

Multiplex assays that provide simultaneous measurement of multiple analytes in biological samples have now developed into widely used technologies in the study of diseases, drug discovery, and other medical areas. These approaches span multiple assay systems and can provide readouts of specific assay components with similar accuracy as the respective single assay measurements. Multiplexing allows the consumption of lower sample volumes, lower costs, and higher throughput compared with carrying out single assays. A number of recent studies have demonstrated the impact of multiplex assays in the study of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, the infectious agent responsible for the current COVID-19 pandemic. In this respect, machine learning techniques have proven to be highly valuable in capturing complex disease phenotypes and converting these insights into models which can be applied in real-world settings. This chapter gives an overview of opportunities and challenges of multiplexed biomarker analysis, with a focus on the use of machine learning aimed at identification of biological signatures for increasing our understanding of COVID-19 disease, and for improved diagnostics and prediction of disease outcomes.