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Wang X, Xu L, Guan C, Xu D, Che L, Wang Y, Man X, Li C, Xu Y. Machine learning-based risk prediction of acute kidney disease and hospital mortality in older patients. Front Med (Lausanne) 2024; 11:1407354. [PMID: 39211338 PMCID: PMC11357947 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2024.1407354] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2024] [Accepted: 07/29/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a prevalent complication in older people, elevating the risks of acute kidney disease (AKD) and mortality. AKD reflects the adverse events developing after AKI. We aimed to develop and validate machine learning models for predicting the occurrence of AKD, AKI and mortality in older patients. Methods We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of older patients (aged 65 years and above). To explore the trajectory of kidney dysfunction, patients were categorized into four groups: no kidney disease, AKI recovery, AKD without AKI, or AKD with AKI. We developed eight machine learning models to predict AKD, AKI, and mortality. The best-performing model was identified based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method. Results A total of 22,005 patients were finally included in our study. Among them, 4,434 patients (20.15%) developed AKD, 4,000 (18.18%) occurred AKI, and 866 (3.94%) patients deceased. Light gradient boosting machine (LGBM) outperformed in predicting AKD, AKI, and mortality, and the final lite models with 15 features had AUC values of 0.760, 0.767, and 0.927, respectively. The SHAP method revealed that AKI stage, albumin, lactate dehydrogenase, aspirin and coronary heart disease were the top 5 predictors of AKD. An online prediction website for AKD and mortality was developed based on the final models. Discussion The LGBM models provide a valuable tool for early prediction of AKD, AKI, and mortality in older patients, facilitating timely interventions. This study highlights the potential of machine learning in improving older adult care, with the developed online tool offering practical utility for healthcare professionals. Further research should aim at external validation and integration of these models into clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinyuan Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Lingyu Xu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Chen Guan
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Daojun Xu
- Department of Nephrology, Linyi People's Hospital, Linyi, China
| | - Lin Che
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Yanfei Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Xiaofei Man
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Chenyu Li
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Yan Xu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
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Guan C, Li C, Xu L, Che L, Wang Y, Yang C, Zhang N, Liu Z, Zhao L, Zhou B, Man X, Luan H, Xu Y. Hospitalized patients received furosemide undergoing acute kidney injury: the risk and prediction tool. Eur J Med Res 2023; 28:312. [PMID: 37660080 PMCID: PMC10474726 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-023-01306-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2023] [Accepted: 08/19/2023] [Indexed: 09/04/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Furosemide, a frequently prescribed diuretic for managing congestive heart failure and edema, remains a topic of debate regarding its potential risk of inducing acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients. Consequently, this study aims to examine the occurrence of hospital-acquired AKI (HA-AKI) in hospitalized patients who are administered furosemide and to investigate potential risk factors associated with this outcome. METHODS This study encompassed a cohort of 22374 hospitalized patients who either received furosemide treatment or not from June 1, 2012, to December 31, 2017. Propensity score matching was employed to establish comparability between the two groups regarding covariates. Subsequently, a nomogram was constructed to predict the probability of AKI occurrence among patients who underwent furosemide treatment. RESULTS The regression analysis identified the single-day total dose of furosemide as the most significant factor for AKI, followed by ICU administration, estimated glomerular filtration rate, antibiotic, statin, NSAIDs, β-blockers, proton pump inhibitor, chronic kidney disease, and 7 other indicators. Subgroup analysis revealed a synergistic effect of furosemide with surgical operation, previous treatment with β-blockers, ACEI/ARB and antibiotics, leading to an increased risk of AKI when used in combination. Subsequently, a visually represented prognostic nomogram was developed to predict AKI occurrence in furosemide users. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was assessed through calibration analyses, demonstrating an excellent agreement between the nomogram predictions and the actual likelihood of AKI, with a probability of 77.40%. CONCLUSIONS Careful consideration of factors such as dosage, concurrent medication use, and renal function of the patient is necessary for clinical practice when using furosemide. Our practical prognostic model for HA-AKI associated with furosemide use can be utilized to assist clinicians in making informed decisions about patient care and treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chen Guan
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Chenyu Li
- Medizinische Klinik und Poliklinik IV, Klinikum der Universität, LMU München, Munich, Germany
| | - Lingyu Xu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Lin Che
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Yanfei Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Chengyu Yang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Ningxin Zhang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Zengying Liu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Long Zhao
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Bin Zhou
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Xiaofei Man
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Hong Luan
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China
| | - Yan Xu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, 16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, China.
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Shin TY, Han H, Min HS, Cho H, Kim S, Park SY, Kim HJ, Kim JH, Lee YS. Prediction of Postoperative Creatinine Levels by Artificial Intelligence after Partial Nephrectomy. MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2023; 59:1402. [PMID: 37629692 PMCID: PMC10456500 DOI: 10.3390/medicina59081402] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2023] [Revised: 07/20/2023] [Accepted: 07/28/2023] [Indexed: 08/27/2023]
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Multiple factors are associated with postoperative functional outcomes, such as acute kidney injury (AKI), following partial nephrectomy (PN). The pre-, peri-, and postoperative factors are heavily intertwined and change dynamically, making it difficult to predict postoperative renal function. Therefore, we aimed to build an artificial intelligence (AI) model that utilizes perioperative factors to predict residual renal function and incidence of AKI following PN. Methods and Materials: This retrospective study included 785 patients (training set 706, test set 79) from six tertiary referral centers who underwent open or robotic PN. Forty-four perioperative features were used as inputs to train the AI prediction model. XG-Boost and genetic algorithms were used for the final model selection and to determine feature importance. The primary outcome measure was immediate postoperative serum creatinine (Cr) level. The secondary outcome was the incidence of AKI (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/h). The average difference between the true and predicted serum Cr levels was considered the mean absolute error (MAE) and was used as a model evaluation parameter. Results: An AI model for predicting immediate postoperative serum Cr levels was selected from 2000 candidates by providing the lowest MAE (0.03 mg/dL). The model-predicted immediate postoperative serum Cr levels correlated closely with the measured values (R2 = 0.9669). The sensitivity and specificity of the model for predicting AKI were 85.5% and 99.7% in the training set, and 100.0% and 100.0% in the test set, respectively. The limitations of this study included its retrospective design. Conclusions: Our AI model successfully predicted accurate serum Cr levels and the likelihood of AKI. The accuracy of our model suggests that personalized guidelines to optimize multidisciplinary plans involving pre- and postoperative care need to be developed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tae Young Shin
- Synergy A.I. Co., Ltd., Seoul 07985, Republic of Korea;
- Department of Urology, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea;
- Department of Urology, College of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul 07985, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyunho Han
- Department of Urology, College of Medicine, Yonsei University, Seoul 03722, Republic of Korea;
| | - Hyun-Seok Min
- Tomocube, Inc., Daejeon 34109, Republic of Korea; (H.-S.M.); (H.C.)
| | - Hyungjoo Cho
- Tomocube, Inc., Daejeon 34109, Republic of Korea; (H.-S.M.); (H.C.)
| | - Seonggyun Kim
- Department of Urology, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea;
| | - Sung Yul Park
- Department of Urology, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul 04763, Republic of Korea;
| | - Hyung Joon Kim
- Department of Urology, College of Medicine, Konyang University, Daejeon 35365, Republic of Korea;
| | - Jung Hoon Kim
- Department of Urology, Chung-Ang University Gwangmyeong Hospital, College of Medicine, Chung-Ang University, Gwangmyeong 14353, Republic of Korea;
| | - Yong Seong Lee
- Department of Urology, Chung-Ang University Gwangmyeong Hospital, College of Medicine, Chung-Ang University, Gwangmyeong 14353, Republic of Korea;
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Nikiforchin A, Sardi A, King MC, Baron E, Lopez-Ramirez F, Nieroda C, Gushchin V. Safety of Nephrectomy Performed During CRS/HIPEC: A Propensity Score-Matched Study. Ann Surg Oncol 2023; 30:2520-2528. [PMID: 36463354 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-022-12862-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2022] [Accepted: 11/09/2022] [Indexed: 12/05/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Surgeons may hesitate to perform nephrectomy (NE) during cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS/HIPEC) due to a potential increase in morbidity. However, no data are available regarding the impact of NE on outcomes, so the authors decided to assess its safety during CRS/HIPEC. METHODS A single-center propensity score-matched study was conducted using a prospective database (1994-2021). The study included patients who underwent NE during CRS/HIPEC with completeness of cytoreduction (CC) of 0, 1, or 2. Control subjects (no-NE) were selected in a 1:3 ratio using propensity score-matching weighted by age, histology, peritoneal cancer index (PCI), CC-0 or CC-1 rate, and length of surgery. RESULTS Among 828 patients, 13 NE and 39 no-NE control subjects were identified. The indications for NE included tumor involvement of the ureter, hilum, and/or kidney with preserved (n = 8), decreased (n = 2), or absent (n = 3) function. NE patients received more intraoperative intravenous (IV) fluids (16,000 vs 11,500 mL; p = 0.045) and had a greater urine output (3200 vs 1913 mL; p = 0.008). NE patients received mitomycin C (40 mg for 90 min) or melphalan (50 mg/m2 for 90 min) without reduction of dose or time. Major morbidity (p = 0.435) and mortality (p = 1.000) were comparable between the two groups. No postoperative acute kidney injury was seen in either group. Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 46.2% of the NE and 35.9% of the no-NE patients (p = 0.553), with similar starting times (p = 0.903) between the groups. CONCLUSIONS Nephrectomy performed during CRS/HIPEC does not seem to increase postoperative morbidity or to delay adjuvant chemotherapy, and NE can be performed if required for complete cytoreduction. The NE patients in our cohort did not have a reduction of mitomycin C or melphalan dose or perfusion time.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrei Nikiforchin
- Surgical Oncology, The Institute for Cancer Care, Mercy Medical Center, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA
| | - Armando Sardi
- Surgical Oncology, The Institute for Cancer Care, Mercy Medical Center, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA.
| | - Mary Caitlin King
- Surgical Oncology, The Institute for Cancer Care, Mercy Medical Center, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA
| | - Ekaterina Baron
- Surgical Oncology, The Institute for Cancer Care, Mercy Medical Center, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA
| | - Felipe Lopez-Ramirez
- Surgical Oncology, The Institute for Cancer Care, Mercy Medical Center, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA
| | - Carol Nieroda
- Surgical Oncology, The Institute for Cancer Care, Mercy Medical Center, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA
| | - Vadim Gushchin
- Surgical Oncology, The Institute for Cancer Care, Mercy Medical Center, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA
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Mo M, Huang Z, Gao T, Luo Y, Pan X, Yang Z, Xia N, Liao Y, Pan L. Development and validation of short-term renal prognosis prediction model in diabetic patients with acute kidney injury. Diabetol Metab Syndr 2022; 14:197. [PMID: 36575456 PMCID: PMC9793591 DOI: 10.1186/s13098-022-00971-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2022] [Accepted: 12/19/2022] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Diabetes is a major cause of the progression of acute kidney injury (AKI). Few prediction models have been developed to predict the renal prognosis in diabetic patients with AKI so far. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a predictive model to identify high-risk individuals with non-recovery of renal function at 90 days in diabetic patients with AKI. METHODS Demographic data and related laboratory indicators of diabetic patients with AKI in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University from January 31, 2012 to January 31, 2022 were retrospectively analysed, and patients were followed up to 90 days after AKI diagnosis. Based on the results of Logistic regression, a model predicting the risk of non-recovery of renal function at 90 days in diabetic patients with AKI was developed and internal validated. Consistency index (C-index), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the differentiation, accuracy, and clinical utility of the prediction model, respectively. RESULTS A total of 916 diabetic patients with AKI were enrolled, with a male to female ratio of 2.14:1. The rate of non-recovery of renal function at 90 days was 66.8% (612/916). There were 641 in development cohort and 275 in validation cohort (ration of 7:3). In the development cohort, a prediction model was developed based on the results of Logistic regression analysis. The variables included in the model were: diabetes duration (OR = 1.022, 95% CI 1.012-1.032), hypertension (OR = 1.574, 95% CI 1.043-2.377), chronic kidney disease (OR = 2.241, 95% CI 1.399-3.591), platelet (OR = 0.997, 95% CI 0.995-1.000), 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 (OR = 0.966, 95% CI 0.956-0.976), postprandial blood glucose (OR = 1.104, 95% CI 1.032-1.181), discharged serum creatinine (OR = 1.003, 95% CI 1.001-1.005). The C-indices of the prediction model were 0.807 (95% CI 0.738-0.875) and 0.803 (95% CI 0.713-0.893) in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves were all close to the straight line with slope 1. The decision curve analysis showed that in a wide range of threshold probabilities. CONCLUSION A prediction model was developed to help predict short-term renal prognosis of diabetic patients with AKI, which has been verified to have good differentiation, calibration degree and clinical practicability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Manqiu Mo
- Geriatric Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021, China
| | - Zichun Huang
- Department of Cardiovascular Thoracic Surgery, Nanning Second People's Hospital, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530031, China
| | - Tianyun Gao
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021, China
| | - Yuzhen Luo
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021, China
| | - Xiaojie Pan
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021, China
| | - Zhenhua Yang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021, China
| | - Ning Xia
- Geriatric Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021, China
| | - Yunhua Liao
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021, China.
| | - Ling Pan
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021, China.
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Wang S, Liu Z, Zhang D, Xiang F, Zheng W. The incidence and risk factors of chronic kidney disease after radical nephrectomy in patients with renal cell carcinoma. BMC Cancer 2022; 22:1138. [PMID: 36335288 PMCID: PMC9637293 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-022-10245-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2022] [Accepted: 10/27/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Radical nephrectomy (RN) is the standard treatment for localized renal cell carcinoma. The decrease in nephrons from RN could lead to postoperative chronic kidney disease (CKD). In this study, we aim to investigate the incidence and risk factors for CKD in patients who have received RN. Methods A Total of 1233 patients underwent radical nephrectomy in Zhejiang Provincial People’s Hospital from January 2010 to December 2018. Those who had an abnormal renal function before surgery or were lost to follow-up were excluded. Five hundred patients were enrolled in the end. eGFR was calculated using the abbreviated MDRD equation. CKD was defined as eGFR less than 60 ml/min/1.73m2. The incidence of postoperative CKD was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The independent risk factors for CKD occurrence were determined through logistic multivariate regression analysis. Results Patients were followed up for a median of 40 month (3–96 months), with CKD occurring in 189 cases. The 5-year cumulative incidence of CKD was 43.4%. There was a significant difference between these189 patients and the remaining patients without post nephrectomy CKD in terms of age, sex, weight, and preoperative eGFR(P<0.05). Multivariate regression analysis showed that age (OR = 1.038, 95%CI = 1.002–1.076), preoperative eGFR of the contralateral kidney (OR = 0.934, 95%CI = 0.884–0.988) and Immediate postoperative eGFR (OR = 0.892, 95%CI = 0.854–0.931) were independent risk factors for postoperative CKD. Conclusions The incidence of CKD after radical nephrectomy was not uncommon. Age, preoperative eGFR of the contralateral kidney and Immediate postoperative eGFR are independent risk factors for postoperative CKD.
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Antonelli A, Mari A, Tafuri A, Tellini R, Capitanio U, Gontero P, Grosso AA, Li Marzi V, Longo N, Porpiglia F, Porreca A, Rocco B, Simeone C, Schiavina R, Schips L, Siracusano S, Terrone C, Ficarra V, Carini M, Minervini A. Prediction of significant renal function decline after open, laparoscopic, and robotic partial nephrectomy: External validation of the Martini's nomogram on the RECORD2 project cohort. Int J Urol 2022; 29:525-532. [PMID: 35236009 DOI: 10.1111/iju.14831] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2021] [Revised: 01/27/2022] [Accepted: 02/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Martini et al. developed a nomogram to predict significant (>25%) renal function loss after robot-assisted partial nephrectomy and identified four risk categories. We aimed to externally validate Martini's nomogram on a large, national, multi-institutional data set including open, laparoscopic, and robot-assisted partial nephrectomy. METHODS Data of 2584 patients treated with partial nephrectomy for renal masses at 26 urological Italian centers (RECORD2 project) were collected. Renal function was assessed at baseline, on third postoperative day, and then at 6, 12, 24, and 48 months postoperatively. Multivariable models accounting for variables included in the Martini's nomogram were applied to each approach predicting renal function loss at all the specific timeframes. RESULTS Multivariable models showed high area under the curve for robot-assisted partial nephrectomy at 6- and 12-month (87.3% and 83.6%) and for laparoscopic partial nephrectomy (83.2% and 75.4%), whereas area under the curves were lower in open partial nephrectomy (78.4% and 75.2%). The predictive ability of the model decreased in all the surgical approaches at 48 months from surgery. Each Martini risk group showed an increasing percentage of patients developing a significant renal function reduction in the open, laparoscopic and robot-assisted partial nephrectomy group, as well as an increased probability to develop a significant estimated glomerular filtration rate reduction in the considered time cutoffs, although the predictive ability of the classes was <70% at 48 months of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS Martini's nomogram is a valid tool for predicting the decline in renal function at 6 and 12 months after robot-assisted partial nephrectomy and laparoscopic partial nephrectomy, whereas it showed a lower performance at longer follow-up and in patients treated with open approach at all these time cutoffs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alessandro Antonelli
- Department of Urology, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
| | - Andrea Mari
- Unit of Oncologic Minimally-Invasive Urology and Andrology, Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Careggi Hospital, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | - Alessandro Tafuri
- Department of Urology, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
| | - Riccardo Tellini
- Unit of Oncologic Minimally-Invasive Urology and Andrology, Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Careggi Hospital, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | - Umberto Capitanio
- Unit of Urology, Division of Experimental Oncology, Urological Research Institute, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy
| | - Paolo Gontero
- Division of Urology, Department of Surgical Sciences, San Giovanni Battista Hospital, University of Studies of Torino, Turin, Italy
| | - Antonio Andrea Grosso
- Unit of Oncologic Minimally-Invasive Urology and Andrology, Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Careggi Hospital, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Li Marzi
- Unit of Urological Minimally Invasive Robotic Surgery and Renal Transplantation, Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Careggi Hospital, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.,Division of Urology, Department of Surgical Sciences, San Giovanni Battista Hospital, University of Studies of Torino, Turin, Italy
| | - Nicola Longo
- Department of Urology, University Federico II of Naples, Naples, Italy
| | - Francesco Porpiglia
- Division of Urology, Department of Oncology, School of Medicine, San Luigi Gonzaga Hospital, Turin, Italy
| | - Angelo Porreca
- Department of Robotic Urologic Surgery, Abano Terme Hospital, Abano Terme, Italy
| | - Bernardo Rocco
- Urology Department, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Claudio Simeone
- Department of Urology, Spedali Civili Hospital, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Riccardo Schiavina
- Department of Urology, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.,Department of Experimental, Diagnostic, and Specialty Medicine, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Luigi Schips
- Department of Medical, Oral and Biotechnological Sciences, G. d'Annunzio University of Chieti, Urology Unit, SS. Annunziata Hospital, Chieti, Italy
| | - Salvatore Siracusano
- Department of Urology, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
| | - Carlo Terrone
- Department of Urology, Policlinico San Martino Hospital, University of Genova, Genova, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Ficarra
- Department of Human and Paediatric Pathology, Gaetano Barresi, Urologic Section, University of Messina, Messina, Italy
| | - Marco Carini
- Unit of Oncologic Minimally-Invasive Urology and Andrology, Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Careggi Hospital, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | - Andrea Minervini
- Unit of Oncologic Minimally-Invasive Urology and Andrology, Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Careggi Hospital, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
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He T, Li G, Xu S, Guo L, Tang B. Blood Urea Nitrogen to Serum Albumin Ratio in the Prediction of Acute Kidney Injury of Patients with Rib Fracture in Intensive Care Unit. Int J Gen Med 2022; 15:965-974. [PMID: 35125886 PMCID: PMC8809522 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s348383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2021] [Accepted: 01/10/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background We hypothesized that the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) to serum albumin ratio (BAR) could serve as an independent predictor for incident acute kidney injury (AKI) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with rib fracture. Methods Rib fracture patients in ICU were extracted from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV v1.0) database. The primary outcome in this study was the incidence of AKI. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine the relationship between BAR and AKI and propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were also applied to assure the robustness of our results. Results The optimal cut-off value for BAR was 5.26 based on receiver operator characteristic curve. Among the 953 patients who diagnosed with rib fracture, 197 high-BAR group (≥5.26) patients and 197 low-BAR group (<5.26) patients who had similar propensity scores were finally included in the matched cohort. High-BAR group patients had a significantly higher incidence of AKI (odds ratio, OR, 3.85, 95% confidence index, 95% CI, 2.58–5.79, P<0.001) in the original cohort, in the matched cohort (OR, 4.47, 95% CI 2.71–7.53, P<0.001), and in the weighted cohort (OR, 4.28, 95% CI 2.80–6.53, P<0.001). Furthermore, BAR was superior to that of acute physiology score III for predicting AKI and could add more net benefit for incident AKI in critical care patients with rib fracture. Conclusion As an easily access and cost-effective parameter, BAR could serve as a good diagnostic predictor for AKI in ICU patients with rib fracture.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tao He
- Department of Orthopedics, Sinopharm Dongfeng General Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, Hubei, 442008, People’s Republic of China
| | - Gang Li
- Department of Sports Medicine, Sinopharm Dongfeng General Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, Hubei, 442008, People’s Republic of China
| | - Shoujia Xu
- Department of Orthopedics, Sinopharm Dongfeng General Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, Hubei, 442008, People’s Republic of China
| | - Leyun Guo
- Department of Orthopedics, Sinopharm Dongfeng General Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, Hubei, 442008, People’s Republic of China
- Correspondence: Leyun Guo; Bing Tang, Department of Orthopedics, Sinopharm Dongfeng General Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Daling Road 16#, Shiyan, Hubei, 442008, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86 0719-8210666, Email ;
| | - Bing Tang
- Department of Orthopedics, Sinopharm Dongfeng General Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, Hubei, 442008, People’s Republic of China
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Guo D, Wang H, Lai X, Li J, Xie D, Zhen L, Jiang C, Li M, Liu X. Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting acute kidney injury after orthotopic liver transplantation. Ren Fail 2021; 43:1588-1600. [PMID: 34865599 PMCID: PMC8648040 DOI: 10.1080/0886022x.2021.2009863] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We aim to develop and validate a nomogram model for predicting severe acute kidney injury (AKI) after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). METHODS A total of 576 patients who received OLT in our center were enrolled. They were assigned to the development and validation cohort according to the time of inclusion. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression using the forward variable selection routine were applied to find risk factors for post-OLT severe AKI. Based on the results of multivariable analysis, a nomogram was developed and validated. Patients were followed up to assess the long-term mortality and development of chronic kidney disease (CKD). RESULTS Overall, 35.9% of patients were diagnosed with severe AKI. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that recipients' BMI (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.04-1.17, p = 0.012), hypertension (OR 2.32, 95% CI 1.22-4.45, p = 0.010), preoperative serum creatine (sCr) (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.95-0.97, p < 0.001), and intraoperative fresh frozen plasm (FFP) transfusion (OR for each 1000 ml increase 1.34, 95% CI 1.03-1.75, p = 0.031) were independent risk factors for post-OLT severe AKI. They were all incorporated into the nomogram. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.73 (p < 0.05) and 0.81 (p < 0.05) in the development and validation cohort. The calibration curve demonstrated the predicted probabilities of severe AKI agreed with the observed probabilities (p > 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients in the high-risk group stratified by the nomogram suffered significantly poorer long-term survival than the low-risk group (HR 1.92, p < 0.01). The cumulative risk of CKD was higher in the severe AKI group than no severe AKI group after competitive risk analysis (HR 1.48, p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS With excellent predictive abilities, the nomogram may be a simple and reliable tool to identify patients at high risk for severe AKI and poor long-term prognosis after OLT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dandan Guo
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Huifang Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Xiaoying Lai
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Junying Li
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Demin Xie
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Li Zhen
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Chunhui Jiang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Min Li
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Xuemei Liu
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
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Yao X, Zhang L, Huang L, Chen X, Geng L, Xu X. Development of a Nomogram Model for Predicting the Risk of In-Hospital Death in Patients with Acute Kidney Injury. Risk Manag Healthc Policy 2021; 14:4457-4468. [PMID: 34754252 PMCID: PMC8572105 DOI: 10.2147/rmhp.s321399] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2021] [Accepted: 10/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To analyze the risk factors of in-hospital death in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) in the intensive care unit (ICU), and to develop a personalized risk prediction model. METHODS The clinical data of 137 AKI patients hospitalized in the ICU of Anhui provincial hospital from January 2018 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups: those that survived to discharge ("survival" group, 100 cases) and those that died while in hospital ("death" group, 37 cases), and risk factors for in-hospital death analyzed. RESULTS The in-hospital mortality of AKI patients in the ICU was 27.01% (37/137). A multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated age, mechanical ventilation and vasoactive drugs were significant risk factors for in-hospital death in AKI patients, and a nomogram risk prediction model was developed. The Harrell's C-index of the nomogram model was 0.891 (95% CI: 0.837-0.945), and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.886 (95% CI: 0.823-0.936) after internal validation, indicating that the nomogram model had good discrimination. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test and calibration curve indicated the predicted probability of the nomogram model was consistent with the actual frequency of death in ICU patients with AKI. The decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the clinical net benefit level of the nomogram model is highest when the probability threshold of AKI is between 0.01 and 0.75. CONCLUSION Patients in the ICU with AKI had high in-hospital mortality and were affected by a variety of risk factors. The nomogram prediction model based on the risk factors of AKI showed good prediction efficiency and clinical applicability, which could help medical staff in the ICU to identify AKI patients with high-risk, allowing early prevention, detection and intervention, and reducing the risk of in-hospital deaths in ICU patients with AKI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiuying Yao
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, 230036, People’s Republic of China
| | - Lixiang Zhang
- Department of Nursing DepartmeThe First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, 230036, People’s Republic of China
| | - Lei Huang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, 230036, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xia Chen
- Department of Nursing DepartmeThe First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, 230036, People’s Republic of China
| | - Li Geng
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, 230036, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xu Xu
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, 230036, People’s Republic of China
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Wu Y, Chen J, Luo C, Chen L, Huang B. Predicting the risk of postoperative acute kidney injury: development and assessment of a novel predictive nomogram. J Int Med Res 2021; 49:3000605211032838. [PMID: 34382465 PMCID: PMC8366143 DOI: 10.1177/03000605211032838] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to establish and internally verify the risk nomogram of postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with renal cell carcinoma. METHODS We retrospectively collected data from 559 patients with renal cell carcinoma from June 2016 to May 2019 and established a prediction model. Twenty-six clinical variables were examined by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis, and variables related to postoperative AKI were determined. The prediction model was established by multiple logistic regression analysis. Decision curve analysis was conducted to evaluate the nomogram. RESULTS Independent predictors of postoperative AKI were smoking, hypertension, surgical time, blood glucose, blood uric acid, alanine aminotransferase, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and radical nephrectomy. The C index of the nomogram was 0.825 (0.790-0.860) and 0.814 was still obtained in the internal validation. The nomogram had better clinical benefit when the intervention was decided at the threshold probabilities of >4% and <79% for patients and doctors, respectively. CONCLUSIONS This novel postoperative AKI nomogram incorporating smoking, hypertension, the surgical time, blood glucose, blood uric acid, alanine aminotransferase, the estimated glomerular filtration rate, and radical nephrectomy is convenient for facilitating the individual postoperative risk prediction of AKI in patients with renal cell carcinoma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yukun Wu
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Junxing Chen
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Cheng Luo
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Lingwu Chen
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Bin Huang
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
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See EJ, Polkinghorne KR, Toussaint ND, Bailey M, Johnson DW, Bellomo R. Epidemiology and Outcomes of Acute Kidney Diseases: A Comparative Analysis. Am J Nephrol 2021; 52:342-350. [PMID: 33906191 DOI: 10.1159/000515231] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2020] [Accepted: 02/10/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Acute kidney diseases and disorders (AKD) encompass acute kidney injury (AKI) and subacute or persistent alterations in kidney function that occur after an initiating event. Unlike AKI, accurate estimates of the incidence and prognosis of AKD are not available and its clinical significance is uncertain. METHODS We studied the epidemiology and long-term outcome of AKD (as defined by the KDIGO criteria), with or without AKI, in a retrospective cohort of adults hospitalized at a single centre for >24 h between 2012 and 2016 who had a baseline eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and were alive at 30 days. In patients for whom follow-up data were available, the risks of major adverse kidney events (MAKEs), CKD, kidney failure, and death were examined by Cox and competing risk regression analyses. RESULTS Among 62,977 patients, 906 (1%) had AKD with AKI and 485 (1%) had AKD without AKI. Follow-up data were available for 36,118 patients. In this cohort, compared to no kidney disease, AKD with AKI was associated with a higher risk of MAKEs (40.25 per 100 person-years; hazard ratio [HR] 2.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.16-2.91), CKD (27.84 per 100 person-years); subhazard ratio [SHR] 3.18, 95% CI 2.60-3.89), kidney failure (0.56 per 100 person-years; SHR 24.84, 95% CI 5.93-104.03), and death (14.86 per 100 person-years; HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.20-1.92). Patients who had AKD without AKI also had a higher risk of MAKEs (36.21 per 100 person-years; HR 2.26, 95% CI 1.89-2.70), CKD (22.94 per 100 person-years; SHR 2.69, 95% CI 2.11-3.43), kidney failure (0.28 per 100 person-years; SHR 12.63, 95% CI 1.48-107.64), and death (14.86 per 100 person-years; HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.19-2.07). MAKEs after AKD were driven by CKD, especially in the first 3 months. CONCLUSIONS These findings establish the burden and poor prognosis of AKD and support prioritisation of clinical initiatives and research strategies to mitigate such risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emily J See
- School of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Centre for Integrated Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Intensive Care, Austin Hospital, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia
| | - Kevan R Polkinghorne
- School of Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Nephrology, Monash Health, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventative Medicine, Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Nigel D Toussaint
- Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Nephrology, The Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
| | - Michael Bailey
- School of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - David W Johnson
- Department of Nephrology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Woolloongabba, Queensland, Australia
- Centre for Kidney Disease Research, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- Australasian Kidney Trials Network, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Rinaldo Bellomo
- School of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Intensive Care, Austin Hospital, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia
- Data Analytics Research and Evaluation, The University of Melbourne and Austin Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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Olivero A, Basso L, Barabino E, Milintenda P, Testino N, Chierigo F, Dell'oglio P, Neumaier CE, Suardi N, Terrone C. The impact of visceral adipose tissue on post -operative renal Function after Radical Nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma. Minerva Urol Nephrol 2021; 73:789-795. [PMID: 33769015 DOI: 10.23736/s2724-6051.21.04096-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The objective of this study was to evaluate the usefulness of pre-operative visceral (VAT) and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) evaluation in the prediction of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) and decrease of eGFR at 12 months after radical nephrectomy (RN). METHODS We relied on 112 patients who underwent RN between January 2010 and March 2017 at a single institution. Images from the pre-operatory CT scan were analyzed and both SAT and VAT assessments were carried out on a cross-sectional plane. eGFR was measured before surgery, at 7 days, and 12 months after surgery. ROC analysis was used to compare the diagnostic value of BMI, VAT ratio, and abdominal circumference in predicting AKI. Logistic regression models were fitted to predict the new onset of AKI, and the progression from chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 1-3a to CKD stage 3b or from 3b to 4 at 12 months follow-up. Two logistic regression models were also performed to assess the predictors for AKI and CKD stage progression. The predictive accuracy was quantified using the receiver operating characteristic-derived area under the curve. RESULTS Sixty-six patients (58.9%) had AKI after RN. Thirty-five (31.3%) patients were upgraded to CKD IIIb or from CKD stage IIIb to CKD IV. In the ROC analysis, VAT% performed better than the BMI and abdominal circumference (AUC = 0.66 vs 0.49 and 0.54, respectively). At multivariable analyses, VAT reached an independent predictor status for AKI (OR: 1.03) and for CKD stage at 12 months Follow-up (OR: 1.05). Inclusion of VAT% into the multivariable models was associated with the highest accuracy both for AKI (AUC = 0.700 vs 0.570) and CKD stage progression (AUC = 0.848 vs 0.800). CONCLUSIONS In patients undergoing RN, preoperative visceral adipose tissue ratio significantly predicts AKI incidence and is significantly predictive of 12 months CKD stage worsening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alberto Olivero
- Department of Urology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy -
| | - Luca Basso
- Department of Radiology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy
| | - Emanuele Barabino
- Department of Radiology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy
| | - Paolo Milintenda
- Department of Urology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy
| | - Nicolò Testino
- Department of Urology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy
| | - Francesco Chierigo
- Department of Urology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy
| | - Paolo Dell'oglio
- Department of Urology, ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda, Milan, Italy
| | - Carlo E Neumaier
- Diagnostic imaging and senology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy
| | - Nazareno Suardi
- Department of Urology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy
| | - Carlo Terrone
- Department of Urology, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, University of Genoa, Genova, Italy
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A Simple Nomogram to Predict Contrast-Induced Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Congestive Heart Failure Undergoing Coronary Angiography. Cardiol Res Pract 2021; 2021:9614953. [PMID: 33859840 PMCID: PMC8009707 DOI: 10.1155/2021/9614953] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2020] [Revised: 02/12/2021] [Accepted: 03/10/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) are vulnerable to contrast-induced kidney injury (CI-AKI), but few prediction models are currently available. Therefore, we aimed to establish a simple nomogram for CI-AKI risk assessment for patients with CHF undergoing coronary angiography. Methods A total of 1876 consecutive patients with CHF (defined as New York Heart Association functional class II-IV or Killip class II-IV) were enrolled and randomly (2:1) assigned to a development cohort and a validation cohort. The endpoint was CI-AKI defined as serum creatinine elevation of ≥0.3 mg/dL or 50% from baseline within the first 48–72 hours following the procedure. Predictors for the simple nomogram were selected by multivariable logistic regression with a stepwise approach. The discriminative power was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and was compared with the classic Mehran score in the validation cohort. Calibration was assessed using the Hosmer–Lemeshow test and 1000 bootstrap samples. Results The incidence of CI-AKI was 9.06% (170) in the total sample, 8.64% (n = 109) in the development cohort, and 9.92% (n = 61) in the validation cohort (P=0.367). The simple nomogram including four predictors (age, intra-aortic balloon pump, acute myocardial infarction, and chronic kidney disease) demonstrated a similar predictive power as the Mehran score (area under the curve: 0.80 vs. 0.75, P=0.061), as well as a well-fitted calibration curve. Conclusions The present simple nomogram including four predictors is a simple and reliable tool to identify CHF patients at risk of CI-AKI, whereas further external validations are needed.
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Abosamak MF, Alkholy AF. Urinary kidney injury molecule-1 and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin are early predictors for acute kidney injury among patients admitted to the surgical ICU. EGYPTIAN JOURNAL OF ANAESTHESIA 2021. [DOI: 10.1080/11101849.2020.1866883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Mohammed F Abosamak
- Department of Anesthesia & ICU, Faculty of Medicine, Tanta University, Tanta, Egypt
| | - Adel F Alkholy
- Department of Medical Biochemistry, Faculty of Medicine, Benha University, Benha, Egypt
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