Time course of outcome in poor grade subarachnoid hemorrhage patients: a longitudinal retrospective study

Predicting Role of GFAP and UCH-L1 biomarkers in Spontaneous Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: a preliminary study to evaluate in the short-term their correlation with severity of bleeding and prognosis

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (sSAH) is a severe brain vascular accident. Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin carboxy-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1) can be theoretically assayed to predict a patient's progression, picturing different aspects of clinical failure after sSAH. The study aims to: a) explore the correlation between sSAH blood volume and biomarkers variation; b) evaluate if these can be predictive of the neurogenic response after sSAH and be prognostic of patient outcome; c) establish eventual threshold levels of biomarkers to define patients' clinical outcome.

METHODS

Blood volumetry at CT scan upon admission, GFAP and UCH-L1 were collected at 24 h, at 72 h, and after 7 days from hemorrhage. Trends and cut-off serum sampling were determined. Clinical outcome was assessed with mRS scale at 14 days.

RESULTS

A strong correlation between GFAP and UCH-L1 and blood diffusion volume in all explored serum intervals related to unfavorable outcome. GFAP and UCH-L1 were very early predictors of unfavorable outcomes at 24 h from sSAH (p = 0.002 and 0.011 respectively). Threshold levels of UCH-L1 apparently revealed a very early, early and late predictor of unfavorable outcomes.

CONCLUSION

GFAP and UCH-L1 represent a potential tool for prompt monitoring and customization of therapies in neurosurgical patients.

"NeuroVanguard": a contemporary strategy in neuromonitoring for severe adult brain injury patients

Severe acute brain injuries, stemming from trauma, ischemia or hemorrhage, remain a significant global healthcare concern due to their association with high morbidity and mortality rates. Accurate assessment of secondary brain injuries severity is pivotal for tailor adequate therapies in such patients. Together with neurological examination and brain imaging, monitoring of systemic secondary brain injuries is relatively straightforward and should be implemented in all patients, according to local resources. Cerebral secondary injuries involve factors like brain compliance loss, tissue hypoxia, seizures, metabolic disturbances and neuroinflammation. In this viewpoint, we have considered the combination of specific noninvasive and invasive monitoring tools to better understand the mechanisms behind the occurrence of these events and enhance treatment customization, such as intracranial pressure monitoring, brain oxygenation assessment and metabolic monitoring. These tools enable precise intervention, contributing to improved care quality for severe brain injury patients. The future entails more sophisticated technologies, necessitating knowledge, interdisciplinary collaboration and resource allocation, with a focus on patient-centered care and rigorous validation through clinical trials.

Explainable machine learning in outcome prediction of high-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Accurate prognostic prediction in patients with high-grade aneruysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is essential for personalized treatment. In this study, we developed an interpretable prognostic machine learning model for high-grade aSAH patients using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP).

METHODS

A prospective registry cohort of high-grade aSAH patients was collected in one single-center hospital. The endpoint in our study is a 12-month follow-up outcome. The dataset was divided into training and validation sets in a 7:3 ratio. Machine learning algorithms, including Logistic regression model (LR), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), were employed to develop a prognostic prediction model for high-grade aSAH. The optimal model was selected for SHAP analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 421 patients, 204 (48.5%) exhibited poor prognosis. The RF model demonstrated superior performance compared to LR (AUC = 0.850, 95% CI: 0.783-0.918), SVM (AUC = 0.862, 95% CI: 0.799-0.926), and XGBoost (AUC = 0.850, 95% CI: 0.783-0.917) with an AUC of 0.867 (95% CI: 0.806-0 .929). Primary prognostic features identified through SHAP analysis included higher World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade, higher modified Fisher score (mFS) and advanced age, were found to be associated with 12-month unfavorable outcome, while the treatment of coiling embolization for aSAH drove the prediction towards favorable prognosis. Additionally, the SHAP force plot visualized individual prognosis predictions.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated the potential of machine learning techniques in prognostic prediction for high-grade aSAH patients. The features identified through SHAP analysis enhance model interpretability and provide guidance for clinical decision-making.

Factors affecting 30-day mortality in poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a 10-year single-center experience

Background

The management of patients with poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is burdened by an unfavorable prognosis even with aggressive treatment. The aim of the present study is to investigate the risk factors affecting 30-day mortality in poor-grade aSAH patients.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected database of poor-grade aSAH patients (World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies, WFNS, grades IV and V) treated at our institution from December 2010 to December 2020. For all variables, percentages of frequency distributions were analyzed. Contingency tables (Chi-squared test) were used to assess the association between categorical variables and outcomes in the univariable analysis. Multivariable analysis was performed by using the multiple logistic regression method to estimate the odds ratio (OR) for 30-day mortality.

Results

A total of 149 patients were included of which 32% had WFNS grade 4 and 68% had WFNS grade 5. The overall 1-month mortality rate was 21%. On univariable analysis, five variables were found to be associated with the likelihood of death, including intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH ≥ 50 mL, p = 0.005), the total amount of intraventricular and intraparenchymal hemorrhage (IVH + ICH ≥ 90 mL, p = 0.019), the IVH Ratio (IVH Ratio ≥ 40%, p = 0.003), posterior circulation aneurysms (p = 0.019), presence of spot sign on initial CT scan angiography (p = 0.015).Nonetheless, when the multivariable analysis was performed, only IVH Ratio (p = 0.005; OR 3.97), posterior circulation aneurysms (p = 0.008; OR 4.05) and spot sign (p = 0.022; OR 6.87) turned out to be independent predictors of 30-day mortality.

Conclusion

The risk of mortality in poor-grade aSAH remains considerable despite maximal treatment. Notwithstanding the limitations of a retrospective study, our report highlights some neuroradiological features that in the emergency setting, combined with leading clinical and anamnestic parameters, may support the multidisciplinary team in the difficult decision-making process and communication with family members from the earliest stages of poor-grade aSAH. Further prospective studies are warranted.

Clinical Outcome of Patients with Poor-Grade Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage with Bundled Treatments: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

BACKGROUND

Poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), defined as Hunt and Hess (HH) grades IV and V, is a challenging disease because of its high mortality and poor functional outcomes. The effectiveness of bundled treatments has been demonstrated in critical diseases. Therefore, poor-grade aSAH bundled treatments have been established. This study aims to evaluate whether bundled treatments can improve long-term outcomes and mortality in patients with poor-grade aSAH.

METHODS

This is a comparative study using historical control from 2008 to 2022. Bundled treatments were introduced in 2017. We compared the rate of favorable outcomes (modified Rankin Scale score 0-2) at 6 months and mortality before and after the introduction of the bundled treatments. To eliminate confounding bias, the propensity score matching method was used.

RESULTS

A total of 90 consecutive patients were evaluated. Forty-three patients received bundled treatments, and 47 patients received conventional care. The proportion of patients with HH grade V was higher in the bundle treatment group (41.9% vs. 27.7%). Conversely, the proportion of patients with fixed pupils on the initial examination was higher in the conventional group (30.2% vs. 38.3%). After 1:1 propensity score matching, 31 pairs were allocated to each group. The proportion of patients with 6-month favorable functional outcomes was significantly higher in the bundled treatments group (46.4% vs. 20.7%, p = 0.04). The 6-month mortality rate was 14.3% in the bundled treatments group and 27.3% in the conventional group (p = 0.01). Bundled treatments (odd ratio 14.6 [95% confidence interval 2.1-100.0], p < 0.01) and the presence of an initial pupil reflex (odd ratio 12.0 [95% confidence interval 1.4-104.6], p = 0.02) were significantly associated with a 6-month favorable functional outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

The bundled treatments improve 6-month functional outcome and mortality in patients with poor-grade aSAH.

An Epidemiological Investigation on Patients with Non-traumatic Subarachnoid Hemorrhage from 2010 to 2020

Objective

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is still considered a life-threatening medical condition with a high mortality rate, particularly in developing countries. Thus, the present study aimed to investigate the angiographic findings of non-traumatic or spontaneous SAH.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 642 health records of patients with non-traumatic SAH over a 10-year period, from 2010 to 2020. The required data, including demographic information, aneurysm type, size, location, disease severity classification, and secondary complications, were extracted.

Results

The study included 642 patients, with 262 (40.8%) being male. The mean age of the participants was 54.72±13.51 years. The most prevalent type of aneurysm was saccular (89.1%), while serpentine (0.2%) and dissecting saccular (0.2%) aneurysms had the least prevalence. The most frequently involved arteries were the anterior communicating artery (ACoA; 38%), internal carotid artery (ICA; 27.6%), and middle cerebral artery (MCA; 13.4%). There was a significant correlation between sex and aneurysms occurring at ACoA and ICA (p< 0.0001), and ACoA - A1 (p=0.02). Patient age and sex were also significantly correlated with one another (p<0.0001). There was no statistically significant correlation between sex, aneurysm size, Glasgow coma scale (GCS), and modified Rankin scale (MRS).

Conclusion

Based on our findings, the presence of aneurysms at ACoA, ACoA - A1, and ICA should be thoroughly ruled out in patients with severe headaches of sudden onset, particularly male patients of younger ages.

Circadian dependency of microglial heme oxygenase-1 expression and inflammation determine neuronal injury in hemorrhagic stroke

BACKGROUND

The heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1) enzyme pathway is of crucial importance in the removal of toxic blood components and regulation of neuroinflammation following hemorrhagic stroke. Although a circadian pattern dependency in the incidence and severity of hemorrhagic stroke exists, it is unknown whether the activity of the HO-1 system in the context of hemorrhagic injury also exhibits circadian dependency. We hypothesized that the circadian regulation of microglial HO-1 would determine the extent of neuroinflammation and neuronal injury in a murine model of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).

METHODS

In vitro expression patterns of HO-1 and circadian rhythm genes were analyzed in the microglial BV-2 cell line and primary microglia (PMG) using Western blot and qPCR. PMG isolated from Hmox1fl/fl and LyzM-Cre-Hmox1fl/fl mice were used to evaluate the role of microglial HO-1. We further investigated the in vivo relevance in a murine subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) model using Hmox1fl/fl and LyzM-Cre-Hmox1fl/fl mice with myeloid cell HO-1 deficiency, inducing SAH at different zeitgeber (ZT) times and analyzing the expression of HO-1 and the circadian control gene Period-2 (Per-2), respectively. Furthermore, we measured the inflammatory cytokine Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 (MCP-1) in the cerebrospinal fluid of SAH patients in correlation with clinical outcome.

RESULTS

HO-1 baseline expression and response to CO with blood exposure depended on ZT. In vitro expression of circadian control genes was de-synchronized in LyzM-Cre-Hmox1fl/fl PMG and did not respond to exogenous CO exposure. We found that circadian rhythm plays a crucial role in brain damage after SAH. At ZT2, we observed less phagocytic function, more vasospasm and increased microglial activation. CO reduced mortality at ZT12 in HO-1 deficient mice and reduced the difference between ZT2 and ZT12 in the inflammatory response. Induction of MCP-1 in the CSF from SAH patients was time-dependent and correlated with the expression of circadian control genes, SAH severity, functional impairment and delirium.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data point towards a crucial role for the HO-1 enzyme system and circadian control in neuronal injury after a hemorrhagic stroke.

The effect of increased positive end expiratory pressure on brain tissue oxygenation and intracranial pressure in acute brain injury patients

Cerebral hypoxia is an important cause of secondary brain injury. Improving systemic oxygenation may increase brain tissue oxygenation (PbtO2). The effects of increased positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) on PbtO2 and intracranial pressure (ICP) needs to be further elucidated. This is a single center retrospective cohort study (2016-2021) conducted in a 34-bed Department of Intensive Care unit. All patients with acute brain injury under mechanical ventilation who were monitored with intracranial pressure and brain tissue oxygenation (PbtO2) catheters and underwent at least one PEEP increment were included in the study. Primary outcome was the rate of PbtO2 responders (increase in PbtO2 > 20% of baseline) after PEEP increase. ΔPEEP was defined as the difference between PEEP at 1 h and PEEP at baseline; similarly ΔPbtO2 was defined as the difference between PbtO2 at 1 h after PEEP incrementation and PbtO2 at baseline. We included 112 patients who underwent 295 episodes of PEEP increase. Overall, the median PEEP increased form 6 (IQR 5-8) to 10 (IQR 8-12) cmH2O (p = 0.001), the median PbtO2 increased from 21 (IQR 16-29) mmHg to 23 (IQR 18-30) mmHg (p = 0.001), while ICP remained unchanged [from 12 (7-18) mmHg to 12 (7-17) mmHg; p = 0.42]. Of 163 episode of PEEP increments with concomitant PbtO2 monitoring, 34 (21%) were PbtO2 responders. A lower baseline PbtO2 (OR 0.83 [0.73-0.96)]) was associated with the probability of being responder. ICP increased in 142/295 episodes of PEEP increments (58%); no baseline variable was able to identify this response. In PbtO2 responders there was a moderate positive correlation between ΔPbtO2 and ΔPEEP (r = 0.459 [95% CI 0.133-0.696]. The response in PbtO2 and ICP to PEEP elevations in brain injury patients is highly variable. Lower PbtO2 values at baseline could predict a significant increase in brain oxygenation after PEEP increase.

Description of the Quality of Life of Patients With Subarachnoid Hemorrhage at King Abdulaziz University Hospital in Jeddah

Objective Stroke is a serious medical condition that causes long-term morbidity and disability. There are two types of stroke, i.e., ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) accounts for 5% of all stroke cases worldwide. Stroke survivors may experience cognitive dysfunction in many forms. Evidence regarding the quality of life (QoL) of patients post-SAH in the Middle East is limited. Therefore, this study aims to describe the quality of life in patients with SAH at the King Abdulaziz University Hospital (KAUH) in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, from April 2021 to October 2021. Methods We included patients who were diagnosed with SAH ≤ 10 years prior at our hospital and were admitted within 72 hours of the ictus. Patients were included using non-probability convenience sampling without randomization. We collected the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), World Federation of Neurosurgeons (WFNS), and Modified Glasgow Outcome Scale (MGOS) scores. Results We included 48 patients (mean age: 49.78 ± 19.44 years, male proportion: 62.5%). More than 50% of the participants had comorbidities. The mean baseline GCS, WFNS, and MGOS scores at admission were 12.62 ± 3.56, 2.19 ± 1.54, and 3.58 ± 1.67, respectively. Women had significantly higher MGOS scores than men (p ≤ 0.05). Death was significantly associated with low MGOS scores (p ≤ 0.05). Age showed a non-significant negative correlation with the MGOS score (r = - 0.17, p-value = 0.24). Finally, the MGOS score was significantly correlated with the baseline GCS and WFNS scores at admission (r = 0.68 and r = - 0.67, respectively). Conclusion Our findings demonstrated that a low MGOS score, which indicates more comorbidities, greatly affects the quality of life of patients with SAH. Moreover, the baseline GCS score was the best prognostic predictor for patients with SAH.

Serum LDH levels may predict poor neurological outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

INTRODUCTION

Serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels are often elevated in cardiovascular diseases. Their prognostic role after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) remains poorly evaluated.

METHODS

This is a retrospective single-center study of patients with non-traumatic SAH admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of an University Hospital from 2007 to 2022. Exclusion criteria were pregnancy and incomplete medical records or follow-up data. Baseline information, clinical data, radiologic data, the occurrence of neurological complications as well as serum LDH levels during the first 14 days of ICU stay were collected. Unfavorable neurological outcome (UO) at 3 months was defined as a Glasgow Outcome Scale of 1-3.

RESULTS

Five hundred and forty-seven patients were included; median serum LDH values on admission and the highest LDH values during the ICU stay were 192 [160-230] IU/L and 263 [202-351] IU/L, respectively. The highest LDH value was recorded after a median of 4 [2-10] days after ICU admission. LDH levels on admission were significantly higher in patients with UO. When compared with patients with favorable outcome (FO), patients with UO had higher serum LDH values over time. In the multivariate logistic regression model, the highest LDH value over the ICU stay (OR 1.004 [95% CI 1.002 - 1.006]) was independently associated with the occurrence of UO; the area under the receiving operator (AUROC) curve for the highest LDH value over the ICU stay showed a moderate accuracy to predict UO (AUC 0.76 [95% CI 0.72-0.80]; p < 0.001), with an optimal threshold of > 272 IU/L (69% sensitivity and 74% specificity).

CONCLUSIONS

The results in this study suggest that high serum LDH levels are associated with the occurrence of UO in SAH patients. As a readily and available biomarker, serum LDH levels should be evaluated to help with the prognostication of SAH patients.

Adverse events associated with microsurgial treatment for ruptured intracerebral aneurysms: a prospective nationwide study on subarachnoid haemorrhage in Sweden

BACKGROUND

Adverse events (AEs) or complications may arise secondary to the treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH). The aim of this study was to identify AEs associated with microsurgical occlusion of ruptured aneurysms, as well as to analyse their risk factors and impact on functional outcome.

METHODS

Patients with aneurysmal SAH admitted to the neurosurgical centres in Sweden were prospectively registered during a 3.5-year period (2014-2018). AEs were categorised as intraoperative or postoperative. A range of variables from patient history and SAH characteristics were explored as potential risk factors for an AE. Functional outcome was assessed approximately 1 year after the bleeding using the extended Glasgow Outcome Scale.

RESULTS

In total, 1037 patients were treated for ruptured aneurysms, of which, 322 patients were treated with microsurgery. There were 105 surgical AEs in 97 patients (30%); 94 were intraoperative AEs in 79 patients (25%). Aneurysm rerupture occurred in 43 patients (13%), temporary occlusion of the parent artery >5 min in 26 patients (8%) and adjacent vessel injury in 25 patients (8%). High Fisher grade and brain oedema on CT were related to increased risk of AEs. At follow-up, 38% of patients had unfavourable outcome. Patients suffering AEs were more likely to have unfavourable outcome (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.10 to 4.69).

CONCLUSION

Intraoperative AEs occurred in 25% of patients treated with microsurgery for ruptured intracerebral aneurysm in this nationwide survey. Although most operated patients had favourable outcome, AEs were associated with increased risk of unfavourable outcome.

Supraorbital eyebrow approach: A single-center experience

Background

Keyhole neurosurgery is the notion of safely removing brain and skull base lesions through smaller and more precise openings that lessen collateral damage to the surrounding scalp, brain, blood vessels, and nerves. The traditional frontal and pterional approaches require large craniotomies and this predisposes patients to significant and avoidable morbidity. With the growing expectation for minimally invasive surgery, we present our experience with the supraorbital keyhole craniotomy for surgical lesions in the anterior cranial fossa and parasellar regions.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed and evaluated all cases of neoplastic, vascular, trauma, and infective pathologies of the anterior fossa and parasellar regions treated using a keyhole approach, the supraorbital eyebrow (SOE) approach from January 2018 to June 2022. Treatment outcomes were evaluated based on pathology.

Results

A total of 50 patients underwent a SOE craniotomy during the study period (28 females and 22 males). Their average age ranged from 12 to 86 years, with a mean age of 47.4 years. All patients had anterior skull base and/or anterior frontal lobe pathologies: (23 tumors, 17 ruptured aneurysms, five traumatic frontal hematomas, three extradural empyema, one cerebral cavernous malformation, and one traumatic frontal skull base fracture with dural tear and CSF leak). Gross total tumor resection was achieved in 87% of cases (13 meningiomas of which six were giant, three gliomas, two craniopharyngiomas, and two cerebral metastases). Clip ligation occlusion rate for our aneurysm cases was 100% and intraoperative rerupture was observed in three cases. Mean ICU stay was 2.2 days for the entire series. The overall 30-day mortality rate for our series was 16% (eight deaths). This was highest in the ruptured aneurysm subgroup, with all 5 mortality cases in the aneurysmal subgroup presenting as World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) grades ≥ III. 4 of the deaths were in WFNS IV and V patients. The most frequent perioperative complication was transient periorbital swelling which resolved within 7 days. It was observed in 18 of the 50 patients. The next common complications in descending frequency were eyebrow alopecia (three cases), supraorbital hypoesthesia (two cases), CSF leak (two cases), and surgical site infection (one case). There was one approach-related intraoperative complication secondary to carotid injury in a giant meningioma redo case. Conversion to a larger craniotomy was never necessary. Clinical outcome for our cases was evaluated according to the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 3-month postsurgery. A good clinical outcome (mRS ≤ 2) was achieved for 78% of our patients.

Conclusion

The SOE approach craniotomy is an effective minimally invasive approach for various pathologies of the anterior cranial base and parasellar regions. With experience, giant tumors and complex vascular pathology can be addressed with this keyhole approach.

External ventricular drain use is associated with functional outcome in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Purpose

External ventricular drains (EVD) are commonly used in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients and can be life-saving by diverting cerebrospinal fluid. However, the overall relationship between EVD use and outcome is poorly understood.

Methods

In an exploratory analysis of an aSAH patient cohort, we examined EVD use in relation to modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at hospital discharge and at 6 months (unfavorable outcome = mRS > 2) using univariable and multivariable analyses.

Results

EVDs were placed in 31 of 56 (55.4%) patients and more often in women than men (66.7% vs 35.0%, p = 0.022) despite similar rates of hydrocephalus. Women had greater ICU [18 (13.5–25) vs 11.5 (6.5–18.5) days, p = 0.014] and hospital lengths of stay (LOS) [20.5 (16.5–34) vs 13.5 (10.5–27) days, p = 0.015] than men and greater mRS at discharge [4 (3–5) vs 3 (2–3.5), p = 0.011] although mRS at 6 months was similar. Patients with EVDs had longer ICU and hospital LOS and greater mRS at discharge [5 (3–6) vs 2 (2–3), p < 0.001] and at 6 months [4 (2–6) vs 1 (0–2), p = 0.001] than those without an EVD. In multivariable models, EVD use was associated with unfavorable 6-month outcome accounting for age, sex, and admission modified Fisher scale, but not in models adjusting for Hunt and Hess scale and World Federation of Neurological Surgeons scale.

Conclusion

In an aSAH cohort, the use of EVDs was associated with female sex and longer LOS, and may be linked to functional outcomes at discharge and at 6 months, although these associations warrant further investigation.

Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Protocol for A Scoping Review

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a life-threatening condition associated with high mortality and substantial long-term morbidity. The SARS-CoV-2 virus is a new pathogen that causes a disease with variable clinical manifestations. Although the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with hypercoagulopathy, patients may also present with cerebral hemorrhage, including SAH. The present paper reports a protocol for a scoping review that is aimed to provide a comprehensive report on existing literature by examining data on SAH associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our objective is to evaluate the epidemiology, clinical, laboratory, and neuroimaging features of SAH in patients with COVID-19 and to explore the etiology and possible interventions in this pathology. Using appropriate search terms, we will search LitCOVID, the WHO database on COVID-19, and MedRxiv. The inclusion criteria are pre-defined. We will extract the data of eligible studies in standardized forms and will report the results in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR). We will provide information for clinicians, healthcare providers, and public health specialists.

Preoperative predictors of poor outcomes in Thai patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Objective

A scoring system for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is useful for guiding treatment decisions, especially in urgent-care limited settings. This study developed a simple algorithm of clinical conditions and grading to predict outcomes in patients treated by clipping or coiling.

Methods

Data on patients with aSAH hospitalized in a university’s neurovascular center in Thailand from 2013 to 2018 were obtained for chart review. Factors associated with poor outcomes evaluated at one year were identified using a stepwise logistic regression model. For each patient, the rounded regression coefficients of independent risk factors were linearly combined into a total score, which was assessed for its performance in predicting outcomes using receiver operating characteristic analysis. An appropriate cutoff point of the scores for poor outcomes was based on Youden’s criteria, which maximized the summation between sensitivity or true positive rate and the specificity or true negative rate.

Results

Patients (n, 121) with poor outcomes (modified Rankin Scale, mRS score, 4–6) had a significantly higher proportion of old age, underlying hypertension, diabetes and chronic kidney disease, high clinical severity grading, preoperative rebleeding, and hydrocephalus than those (n, 336) with good outcomes (mRS score, 0–3). Six variables, including age >70 years, diabetes mellitus, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) scaling of IV-V, modified Fisher grading of 3–4, rebleeding, and hydrocephalus, were identified as independent risk factors and were assigned a score weight of 2, 1, 2, 1, 3 and 1, respectively. Among the total possible scores ranging from 0–10, the cut point at score 3 yielded the maximum Youden’s index (0.527), which resulted in a sensitivity of 77.7% and specificity of 75.0%.

Conclusion

A simple 0–10 scoring system on six risk factors for poor outcomes was validated for aSAH and should be advocated for use in limited resource settings.