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Li Y, Chen T, Fu B, Luo Y, Chen L. Survival nomogram for high-grade bladder cancer patients after surgery based on the SEER database and external validation cohort. Front Oncol 2023; 13:1164401. [PMID: 37397381 PMCID: PMC10313206 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1164401] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2023] [Accepted: 05/02/2023] [Indexed: 07/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The aim of this study was to develop a comprehensive and effective nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) rates in postoperative patients with high-grade bladder urothelial carcinoma. Methods Patients diagnosed with high-grade urothelial carcinoma of the bladder after radical cystectomy (RC) between 2004 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled. We randomly split (7:3) these patients into the primary cohort and the internal validation cohort. Two hundred eighteen patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University were collected as the external validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were carried out to seek prognostic factors of postoperative patients with high-grade bladder cancer (HGBC). According to these significant prognostic factors, a simple-to-use nomogram was established for predicting OS. Their performances were evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results The study included 4,541 patients. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that T stage, positive lymph nodes (PLNs), age, chemotherapy, regional lymph nodes examined (RLNE), and tumor size were correlated with OS. The C-index of the nomogram in the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and external validation cohort were 0.700, 0.717, and 0.681, respectively. In the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, the ROC curves showed that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year areas under the curve (AUCs) were higher than 0.700, indicating that the nomogram had good reliability and accuracy. The results of calibration and DCA showed good concordance and clinical applicability. Conclusion A nomogram was developed for the first time to predict personalized 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS in HGBC patients after RC. The internal and external validation confirmed the excellent discrimination and calibration ability of the nomogram. The nomogram can help clinicians design personalized treatment strategies and assist with clinical decisions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yihe Li
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Tao Chen
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Bin Fu
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Yixing Luo
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Luyao Chen
- Department of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
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Viswambaram P, McCombie SP, Hawks C, Wallace DMA, Sengupta S, Hayne D. Centralization and prospective audit of cystectomy are necessary: a commentary on the case for centralization, supported by a contemporary series utilizing the ANZUP cystectomy database. Asia Pac J Clin Oncol 2022; 19:290-295. [DOI: 10.1111/ajco.13883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/25/2021] [Revised: 09/21/2022] [Accepted: 10/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/12/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Pravin Viswambaram
- UWA Medical School The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Washington Australia
- Fiona Stanley Hospital, Murdoch, Washington Australia
- Australian and New Zealand Urogenital and Prostate (ANZUP) Cancer Trials Group Camperdown New South Wales Australia
| | - Steve P. McCombie
- UWA Medical School The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Washington Australia
- Fiona Stanley Hospital, Murdoch, Washington Australia
- Australian and New Zealand Urogenital and Prostate (ANZUP) Cancer Trials Group Camperdown New South Wales Australia
| | - Cynthia Hawks
- UWA Medical School The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Washington Australia
- Fiona Stanley Hospital, Murdoch, Washington Australia
- Australian and New Zealand Urogenital and Prostate (ANZUP) Cancer Trials Group Camperdown New South Wales Australia
| | - D. Michael A. Wallace
- UWA Medical School The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Washington Australia
| | - Shomik Sengupta
- Australian and New Zealand Urogenital and Prostate (ANZUP) Cancer Trials Group Camperdown New South Wales Australia
- Department of Urology Eastern Health Box Hill Victoria Australia
- Eastern Health Clinical School Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia
- Department of Surgery University of Melbourne Parkville Victoria Australia
| | - Dickon Hayne
- UWA Medical School The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Washington Australia
- Fiona Stanley Hospital, Murdoch, Washington Australia
- Australian and New Zealand Urogenital and Prostate (ANZUP) Cancer Trials Group Camperdown New South Wales Australia
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Chen T, Zhan X, Chen X, Jiang M, Wan H, Fu B, Chen L. Predictive Value of the Log Odds of Negative Lymph Nodes/T Stage as a Novel Prognostic Factor in Bladder Cancer Patients After Radical Cystectomy. Front Oncol 2022; 12:895413. [PMID: 35928878 PMCID: PMC9343753 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.895413] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2022] [Accepted: 06/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The effect of lymph node resection on the prognosis of bladder cancer (BLCA) patients receiving radical cystectomy should not be ignored. Our aim was to explore the prognostic value of the log odds of negative lymph nodes/T stage (LONT) and construct a more effective nomogram based on LONT to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in postoperative BLCA patients. Methods Patients diagnosed with BLCA after radical cystectomy between 2004 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled. We randomly split (7:3) these patients into the primary cohort and internal validation cohort. 86 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University were collected as the external validation set. Univariate and multivariate cox regression analyses were carried out to seek prognostic factors of postoperative BLCA patients. According to these significantly prognostic factors, a simple-to-use nomogram was established for predicting CSS. Their performances were evaluated by using calibration curves, the concordance index (C-index), the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, different risk groups were tested by Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests. Result Whether in cancer-specific survival (CSS) or overall survival (OS), LONT was an independent and significant prognostic factor. Through further screening, the ultimate nomogram of CSS was composed of nine independent prognostic factors including LONT, age, race, tumor size, histologic type, T stage, N stage, summary stage and chemotherapy. The C-index of nomogram in the primary cohort, internal and external validation cohort were 0.734, 0.720 and 0.728, respectively. The AUC of predicting CSS at 3 and 5 years were 0.783 and 0.774 in the primary cohort and 0.781 and 0.781 in the validation cohort. The results of calibration and DCA showed good concordance and clinical applicability. Significant differences (P < 0.05) were displayed in CSS among different risk groups. Conclusion LONT was regarded as a novel and reliable prognostic factor. Compared with the AJCC staging system, the established nomogram based on LONT can more effectively predict the prognosis of BLCA patients after radical cystectomy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tao Chen
- Department of Urology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang City, China
| | - Xiangpeng Zhan
- Department of Urology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang City, China
| | - Xinpeng Chen
- The First Clinical Medical College of Nanchang University, Nanchang City, China
| | - Ming Jiang
- Department of Urology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang City, China
| | - Hao Wan
- Department of Urology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang City, China
| | - Bin Fu
- Department of Urology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang City, China
- Jiangxi Institute of Urology, Nanchang City, China
- *Correspondence: Bin Fu, ; Luyao Chen,
| | - Luyao Chen
- Department of Urology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang City, China
- Jiangxi Institute of Urology, Nanchang City, China
- *Correspondence: Bin Fu, ; Luyao Chen,
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Busetto GM, D’Agostino D, Colicchia M, Palmer K, Artibani W, Antonelli A, Bianchi L, Bocciardi A, Brunocilla E, Carini M, Carrieri G, Cormio L, Falagario UG, De Berardinis E, Sciarra A, Leonardo C, Del Giudice F, Maggi M, de Cobelli O, Ferro M, Musi G, Ercolino A, Di Maida F, Gallina A, Introini C, Mearini E, Cochetti G, Minervini A, Montorsi F, Schiavina R, Serni S, Simeone C, Parma P, Serao A, Mangano MS, Pomara G, Ditonno P, Simonato A, Romagnoli D, Crestani A, Porreca A. Robot-Assisted, Laparoscopic, and Open Radical Cystectomy: Pre-Operative Data of 1400 Patients From The Italian Radical Cystectomy Registry. Front Oncol 2022; 12:895460. [PMID: 35600337 PMCID: PMC9117739 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.895460] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2022] [Accepted: 04/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction The Italian Radical Cystectomy Registry (RIC) is an observational prospective study aiming to understand clinical variables and patient characteristics associated with short- and long-term outcomes among bladder cancer (BC) patients undergoing radical cystectomy (RC). Moreover, it compares the effectiveness of three RC techniques - open, robotic, and laparoscopic. Methods From 2017 to 2020, 1400 patients were enrolled at one of the 28 centers across Italy. Patient characteristics, as well as preoperative, postoperative, and follow-up (3, 6, 12, and 24 months) clinical variables and outcomes were collected. Results Preoperatively, it was found that patients undergoing robotic procedures were younger (p<.001) and more likely to have undergone preoperative neoadjuvant chemotherapy (p<.001) and BCG instillation (p<.001). Hypertension was the most common comorbidity among all patients (55%), and overall, patients undergoing open and laparoscopic RC had a higher Charlson Comorbidities Index (CCI) compared to robotic RC (p<.001). Finally, laparoscopic patients had a lower G-stage classification (p=.003) and open patients had a higher ASA score (p<.001). Conclusion The present study summarizes the characteristic of patients included in the RIC. Future results will provide invaluable information about outcomes among BC patients undergoing RC. This will inform physicians about the best techniques and course of care based on patient clinical factors and characteristics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gian Maria Busetto
- Department of Urology and Renal Transplantation, University of Foggia, Policlinico Riuniti, Foggia, Italy
- *Correspondence: Gian Maria Busetto,
| | | | | | - Katie Palmer
- Department of Internal Medicine and Geriatrics, University Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy
| | - Walter Artibani
- Department of Urology, Policlinico Abano Terme, Abano Terme, Italy
| | - Alessandro Antonelli
- Department of Urology, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata (A.O.U.I.), Verona, Italy
| | - Lorenzo Bianchi
- Department of Urology, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | | | | | - Marco Carini
- Department of Urology, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | | | - Luigi Cormio
- Department of Urology, Villa Salus Clinic, Mestre, Italy
| | | | - Ettore De Berardinis
- Department of Maternal-Child and Urological Sciences, Sapienza Rome University, Policlinico Umberto I, Rome, Italy
| | - Alessandro Sciarra
- Department of Maternal-Child and Urological Sciences, Sapienza Rome University, Policlinico Umberto I, Rome, Italy
| | - Costantino Leonardo
- Department of Maternal-Child and Urological Sciences, Sapienza Rome University, Policlinico Umberto I, Rome, Italy
| | - Francesco Del Giudice
- Department of Maternal-Child and Urological Sciences, Sapienza Rome University, Policlinico Umberto I, Rome, Italy
| | - Martina Maggi
- Department of Maternal-Child and Urological Sciences, Sapienza Rome University, Policlinico Umberto I, Rome, Italy
| | - Ottavio de Cobelli
- Department of Urology, European Institute of Oncology (IEO), IRCCS, Milan, Italy
| | - Matteo Ferro
- Department of Urology, European Institute of Oncology (IEO), IRCCS, Milan, Italy
| | - Gennaro Musi
- Department of Urology, European Institute of Oncology (IEO), IRCCS, Milan, Italy
| | - Amelio Ercolino
- Department of Urology, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | | | - Andrea Gallina
- Department of Urology, San Raffaele Hospital and Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy
| | | | - Ettore Mearini
- Department of Urology, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy
| | | | | | - Francesco Montorsi
- Department of Urology, San Raffaele Hospital and Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy
| | | | - Sergio Serni
- Department of Urology, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | - Claudio Simeone
- Department of Urology, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Paolo Parma
- Department of Urology, Azienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale (ASST) Mantova, Mantova, Italy
| | - Armando Serao
- Department of Urology, Azienda Ospedaliera di Alessandria, Alessandria, Italy
| | | | - Giorgio Pomara
- Department of Urology, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Pisana, Pisa, Italy
| | - Pasquale Ditonno
- Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation, Urology, Andrology and Kidney Transplantation Unit, University of Bari, Bari, Italy
| | - Alchiede Simonato
- Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Sciences, Section of Urology, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
| | | | - Alessandro Crestani
- Oncological Urology, Veneto Institute of Oncology (IOV) – Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Padua, Italy
| | - Angelo Porreca
- Oncological Urology, Veneto Institute of Oncology (IOV) – Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS), Padua, Italy
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