Research protocol of two concurrent cluster-randomized trials: Real-life Effect of a CAMPaign with Measles Vaccination (RECAMP-MV) and Real-life Effect of a CAMPaign with Oral Polio Vaccination (RECAMP-OPV) on mortality and morbidity among children in rural Guinea-Bissau

Overall effect of a campaign with measles vaccine on the composite outcome mortality or hospital admission: A cluster-randomized trial among children aged 9-59 months in rural Guinea-Bissau

OBJECTIVES

Campaigns with measles vaccine (C-MV) are conducted to eradicate measles, but prior studies indicate that MV reduces non-measles mortality and hospital admissions too. We hypothesized that C-MV reduces death/hospital admission by 30%.

METHODS

Between 2016-2019, we conducted a non-blinded cluster-randomized trial randomizing village clusters in rural Guinea-Bissau to a C-MV targeting children aged 9-59 months. In Cox proportional hazards models, we assessed the effect of C-MV, obtaining hazard ratios (HR) for the composite outcome (death/hospital admission). We also examined potential effect modifiers.

RESULTS

Among 18,411 children (9636 in 111 intervention clusters/8775 in 110 control clusters), 379 events occurred (208 intervention/171 control) during a median follow-up period of 22 months. C-MV did not reduce the composite outcome (HR 1.12, 95% confidence interval 0.88-1.41). Mortality among enrolled children (5.3 intervention and 4.6 control, per 1000 person-years) was approximately half the pre-trial mortality rate (11.1 intervention and 8.9 control, per 1000 person-years). Neither planned nor explorative analyses of potential effect modifiers explained the contrasting results to prior studies.

CONCLUSION

C-MV did not reduce overall mortality or hospital admission. This might be explained by changes in disease patterns, baseline differences in health status, and/or modifying effects of other campaigns during follow-up.

Oral polio revaccination is associated with changes in gut and upper respiratory microbiomes of infants

After the eradication of polio infection, the plan is to phase-out the live-attenuated oral polio vaccine (OPV). Considering the protective non-specific effects (NSE) of OPV on unrelated pathogens, the withdrawal may impact child health negatively. Within a cluster-randomized trial, we carried out 16S rRNA deep sequencing analysis of fecal and nasopharyngeal microbial content of Bissau–Guinean infants aged 4–8 months, before and after 2 months of OPV revaccination (revaccinated infants = 47) vs. no OPV revaccination (control infants = 47). The aim was to address changes in the gut and upper respiratory bacterial microbiotas due to revaccination. Alpha-diversity for both microbiotas increased similarly over time in OPV-revaccinated infants and controls, whereas greater changes over time in the bacterial composition of gut (padjusted < 0.001) and upper respiratory microbiotas (padjusted = 0.018) were observed in the former. Taxonomic analysis of gut bacterial microbiota revealed a decrease over time in the median proportion of Bifidobacterium longum for all infants (25–14.3%, p = 0.0006 in OPV-revaccinated infants and 25.3–11.6%, p = 0.01 in controls), compatible with the reported weaning. Also, it showed a restricted increase in the median proportion of Prevotella_9 genus in controls (1.4–7.1%, p = 0.02), whereas in OPV revaccinated infants an increase over time in Prevotellaceae family (7.2–17.4%, p = 0.005) together with a reduction in median proportion of potentially pathogenic/opportunistic genera such as Escherichia/Shigella (5.8–3.4%, p = 0.01) were observed. Taxonomic analysis of upper respiratory bacterial microbiota revealed an increase over time in median proportions of potentially pathogenic/opportunistic genera in controls, such as Streptococcus (2.9–11.8%, p = 0.001 and Hemophilus (11.3–20.5%, p = 0.03), not observed in OPV revaccinated infants. In conclusion, OPV revaccination was associated with a healthier microbiome composition 2 months after revaccination, based on a more abundant and diversified bacterial community of Prevotellaceae and fewer pathogenic/opportunistic organisms. Further information on species-level differentiation and functional analysis of microbiome content are warranted to elucidate the impact of OPV-associated changes in bacterial microbiota on child health.

The mortality effects of disregarding the strategy to save doses of measles vaccine: a cluster-randomised trial in Guinea-Bissau

INTRODUCTION

Measles vaccine (MV) may improve health beyond measles protection. To avoid wastage from multi-dose vials, children in Guinea-Bissau are only measles vaccinated when aged 9-11 months and when six or more children are present. We assessed health impacts of providing MV to all measles-unvaccinated children 9-35 months.

METHODS

We cluster-randomised 182 village clusters under demographic surveillance in rural Guinea-Bissau to an 'MV-for-all-policy' arm where we offered MV regardless of age and number of children present at our bi-annual village visits, or a 'Restrictive-MV-policy' arm where we followed national policy. Measles-unvaccinated children aged 9-35 months were eligible for enrolment and followed to 5 years of age. In intention-to-treat analyses, we compared mortality using Cox regression analyses with age as underlying timescale. The primary analysis was for children aged 12-35 months at eligibility assessment. Interactions with several background factors were explored.

RESULTS

Between 2011 and 2016, we followed 2778 children in the primary analysis. MV coverage by 3 years was 97% among children eligible for enrolment under the MV-for-all-policy, and 48% under the Restrictive-MV-policy. Mortality was 59% lower than anticipated and did not differ by trial arm (MV-for-all-policy: 45/1405: Restrictive-MV-policy: 44/1373; HR: 0.95 (95% CI 0.64 to 1.43)). The effect of MV-for-all changed over time: The HR was 0.53 (95% CI 0.27 to 1.07) during the first 1½ years of enrolment but 1.47 (95% CI 0.87 to 2.50) later (p=0.02, test of interaction). Explorative analyses indicated that the temporal change may be related to interactions with other childhood interventions.

CONCLUSION

The MV-for-all-policy increased MV coverage but had no overall effect on overall mortality.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT01306006.

Reduction in Short-term Outpatient Consultations After a Campaign With Measles Vaccine in Children Aged 9-59 Months: Substudy Within a Cluster-Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND

We assessed a measles vaccination campaign's potential short-term adverse events.

METHODS

In a cluster-randomized trial assessing a measles vaccination campaign's effect on all-cause mortality and hospital admission among children aged 9-59 months in Guinea-Bissau, children received a measles vaccination (intervention) or a health check-up (control). One month to 2 months later, we visited a subgroup of children to ask mothers/guardians about outpatient consultations since enrollment. In log-binomial models, we estimated the relative risk (RR) of nonaccidental outpatient consultations.

RESULTS

Among 8319 children (4437 intervention/3882 control), 652 nonaccidental outpatient consultations occurred (322 intervention/330 control). The measles vaccination campaign tended to reduce nonaccidental outpatient consultations by 16% (RR, 0.84 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .65-1.11]), especially if caused by respiratory symptoms (RR, 0.68 [95% CI, .42-1.11]). The reduction tended to be larger in children who prior to trial enrollment had a pentavalent vaccination (diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, hepatitis B, and Haemophilus influenzae type b) as the most recent vaccination (RR, 0.61 [95% CI, .42-.89]) than in children who prior to trial enrollment had a routine measles vaccination as the most recent vaccination (RR, 0.93 [95% CI, .68-1.26]) (P = .04 for interaction).

CONCLUSIONS

In the short term, a measles vaccination campaign seems not to increase nonaccidental outpatient consultations but may reduce them.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT03460002.