Healthcare services gap analysis: a supply capture and demand forecast modelling, Dubai 2018-2030

Addressing Drug Shortages at Mediclinic Parkview Hospital: A ‎Five-Year Study of ‎Challenges, Impact, and Strategies

Background Drug shortages have become a significant challenge globally, affecting healthcare delivery and patient outcomes. This study aimed to assess drug shortages' prevalence, causes, and impact at a tertiary care hospital in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), providing actionable insights for future mitigation strategies. Methods A retrospective descriptive study was conducted at Mediclinic Parkview (MPAR) Hospital, part of Mediclinic Middle East (MCME), UAE. Data were collected from January 2019 to December 2023. Reported drug shortages were analyzed to assess their frequency, duration, causes, and management, with a focus on identifying trends and underlying factors. Results Drug shortages peaked at 995 in 2020, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. The median time spent managing shortages reached 19.5 days per shortage in Q3 2020. Oral forms accounted for the highest frequency (n = 2231), representing 61% of all shortages, followed by topical forms (n = 414, 11%) and injection forms (n = 386, 10%). Most affected drugs were in the infectious disease (n = 547, 15%), cardiovascular (n = 387, 11%), and respiratory (n = 330, 9%) categories. Drug shortages were driven by regulatory issues and manufacturing delays (39%), unknown reasons (29%), and supply chain disruptions exacerbated by the pandemic (10%). A monopoly environment worsened the situation and limited sourcing flexibility, with 66% of shortages linked to zero supply competitors. Tirzepatide (n = 20) and oseltamivir (n = 18) were the drugs most frequently reported to be unavailable over the 60-month study interval. Regarding management efforts, 80% of the time was spent gathering information and communicating with the different stakeholders. The hospital's response included contacting prescribers for alternatives and increased reliance on internal procurement and inter-pharmacy coordination. These shortages caused significant operational strain, with increased workloads and higher costs. Conclusion The study highlighted the need for adopting proactive measures, improved strategies, enhanced communication, and better preparedness to address future drug shortages. Key actions involved investing in technology, strengthening supplier relationships, and advocating for policy reforms to mitigate risks and ensure continuity of care.

Post-deployment performance of a deep learning algorithm for normal and abnormal chest X-ray classification: A study at visa screening centers in the United Arab Emirates

Background

Chest radiographs (CXRs) are widely used to screen for infectious diseases like tuberculosis and COVID-19 among migrants. At such high-volume settings, manual CXR reporting is challenging and integrating artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms into the workflow help to rule out normal findings in minutes, allowing radiologists to focus on abnormal cases.

Methods

In this post-deployment study, all the CXRs acquired during the visa screening process across 33 centers in United Arab Emirates from January 2021 to June 2022 (18 months) were included. The qXR v2.1 chest X-ray interpretation software was used to classify the scans into normal and abnormal, and its agreement against radiologist was evaluated. Additionally, a digital survey was conducted among 20 healthcare professionals with prior AI experience to understand real-world implementation challenges and impact.

Results

The analysis of 1309,443 CXRs from 1309,431 patients (median age: 35 years; IQR [29-42]; 1030,071 males [78.7 %]) in this study revealed a Negative Predictive Value (NPV) of 99.92 % (95 % CI: 99.92, 99.93), Positive Predictive Value (PPV) of 5.06 % (95 % CI: 4.99, 5.13) and overall percent agreement of the AI with radiologists of 72.90 % (95 % CI: 72.82, 72.98). In the survey, majority (88.2 %) of the radiologists agreed to turnaround time reduction after AI integration, while 82 % suggested that the AI improved their diagnostic accuracy.

Discussion

In contrast with the existing studies, this research uses a substantially large data. A high NPV and satisfactory agreement with human readers indicate that AI can reliably identify normal CXRs, making it suitable for routine applications.

Exercise interventions for nonspecific low back pain: a bibliometric analysis of global research from 2018 to 2023

Objective

This study aims to explore global research trends on exercise interventions for nonspecific low back pain from 2018 to 2023 through bibliometric analysis.

Methods

A systematic search was conducted in the Web of Science Core Collection database to select relevant research articles published between 2018 and 2023. Using CiteSpace and VOSviewer, the relationships and impacts among publications, different countries, journals, author groups, references, and keywords were analyzed in depth.

Results

The bibliometric analysis included 4,896 publications, showing a trend of initial growth followed by a decline. At the national level, the United States made the most significant contributions in this field. The journal "Lancet" had three of the top 10 most-cited articles, with an average citation count of 306.33, and an impact factor reaching 168.9 in 2023. The analysis also revealed that "disability," "prevalence," and "management" were high-frequency keywords beyond the search terms, while "rehabilitation medicine," "experiences," and "brain" emerged as new hotspots in the research.

Conclusion

This study reveals the global trends in research on exercise interventions for nonspecific low back pain over the past 5 years and highlights potential research frontiers in the field. These findings provide a solid foundation for focusing on key issues, potential collaboration directions, and trends in research development in the future, offering valuable references for further in-depth studies.

Healthcare Quality from the Perspective of Patients in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries: A Systematic Literature Review

With the increased focus on patient-centered care, consensus on healthcare outcomes of importance to patients becomes crucial. Based on a systematic review of the literature, this study confirms the perspectives of patients on healthcare quality in GCC countries. Online databases were searched for relevant peer-reviewed articles published from 2012 to 2023. Twenty-two articles retrieved from the search were qualitatively analyzed based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. Most articles (90%) reported studies conducted in Saudi Arabia. Patients in GCC countries face common problems in the care delivery process, which contribute to negative perceptions of quality. These problems include diagnostic and medication errors, provider-patient communication problems, missed appointments with physicians, problems in emergency care access due to geographical distance and transportation barriers, long waiting times, and physical environments. Notably, healthcare quality is perceived to be an outcome of multiple factors dependent on the location and category of healthcare service providers; for instance, disparities in perceptions of quality were observed between patients attending Primary Health Care (PHC) centers in rural and urban areas. Issues such as lack of equitable healthcare delivery and deficiencies in Emergency Medical Services (EMS) effectiveness were disparately recognized as quality concerns by different patient populations. The findings provide insights into healthcare quality and area of weakness needing strategies and policies to ensure patient-centered, safe, equitable, timely, and effective healthcare. Healthcare providers and policymakers in GCC countries can use the results to plan, assess, and improve care delivery. Trial registration: PROSPERO ID: CRD42022326842.

Management of Point-of-Care Testing (POCT) Services by Community Pharmacists in Osun State Nigeria

Background: Point-of-care testing (POCT) provides important opportunity for community pharmacists to participate in oriented primary patient care. Effective management of these services is required to deliver their currently- underexploited benefits. Objectives: Assessed attitudes and practice, examined management functions deployed and identified factors affecting provision of POCTs by community pharmacists. Methods: A questionnaire-guided cross-sectional survey of 146 randomly-selected community pharmacists was conducted in Osun State Southwestern Nigeria. Study variables were measured on 5-point Likert scales with weighted averages, median scores and ranks used to present item performances. Interquartile ranges were computed to categorize practice scores. Chi square statistic was used to examine association of variables. ANOVA and 2-sample t-test were used to compare means. Results: A response rate of 94.5% was achieved. Respondents had a positive attitude (MWA 3.75) towards provision of POCTs as core component of their practice (MWA 4.58) with potential to contribute significantly to profitability (MWA 4.31). Respondents' median practice score was 3.01(moderate practice) with blood pressure screening (4.77), weight measurement (4.45), and blood glucose screening (4.18) as leading POCTs, while cervical cancer screening (1.09) was least practiced. Management of POCTs was fair (MWA 3.33) with organisation of work as pre-eminent domain (MWA 3.66). Management practices were significantly associated with almost all demographic variables (p< .05). Positive public perception of pharmacists' roles (MWA 4.31) and their improving clinical skills (MWA 4.01) were the leading enablers while the lack of enabling policy framework (MWA 3.80) and poor health information backbone (MWA 3.78) were major challenges to routine adoption of POCTs by respondents. Conclusion: The community pharmacists had positive attitude and moderate practice of POCTs. Management of these services was fair. Improving public perception of pharmacists should be exploited while enabling legal and health information systems should be provided to drive routine adoption of POCTs.