B-type natriuretic peptide trumps other prognostic markers in patients assessed for coronary disease

Using the Super Learner algorithm to predict risk of major adverse cardiovascular events after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

The primary treatment for patients with myocardial infarction (MI) is percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Despite this, the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) remains a significant concern. Our study seeks to optimize PCI predictive modeling by employing an ensemble learning approach to identify the most effective combination of predictive variables.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a retrospective, non-interventional analysis of MI patient data from 2018 to 2021, focusing on those who underwent PCI. Our principal metric was the occurrence of 1-year postoperative MACEs. Variable selection was performed using lasso regression, and predictive models were developed using the Super Learner (SL) algorithm. Model performance was appraised by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the average precision (AP) score. Our cohort included 3,880 PCI patients, with 475 (12.2%) experiencing MACEs within one year. The SL model exhibited superior discriminative performance, achieving a validated AUC of 0.982 and an AP of 0.971, which markedly surpassed the traditional logistic regression models (AUC: 0.826, AP: 0.626) in the test cohort. Thirteen variables were significantly associated with the occurrence of 1-year MACEs.

CONCLUSION

Implementing the Super Learner algorithm has substantially enhanced the predictive accuracy for the risk of MACEs in MI patients. This advancement presents a promising tool for clinicians to craft individualized, data-driven interventions to better patient outcomes.

Potential utility of B-Type natriuretic peptides in secondary prevention following percutaneous coronary intervention in remote communities of Western Australia

Introduction: A third of all acute coronary events that present in the Australian population occur in patients with established coronary heart disease. This study assessed the prognostic value of combined B-type natriuretic peptides (BNP) measurement and quantitative myocardial perfusion scan (MPS) data for cardiac events (CE).Material and methods: This retrospective cohort study involved 133 patients from rural Western Australia. The cut-off for normality was 6.0 for qualitative summed difference scores (SDS) of MPS and 400 pg/mL for BNP.Results: Patients with no CE had a mean SDS and BNP (1.52 with a 95% CI of 0.34 to 2.69), (175.9 with a 95% CI of 112.7-239.1) that was lower than patients with CE (6.54 with 95% CI 4.18-9.89) (P = 0.0003), (669.1 with 95% CI 543.9-794.3) (P < 0.0001). The sensitivity and specificity of combined testing for predicting CE respectively were 79.6% and 86.3% for SDS, 84.6% and 94.1% for BNP, and 100% and 92.7% for SDS and BNP combined.Discussion and conclusion: Elevated BNP is marginally superior to MPS in predicting CEs in patients who have previously undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI); however, MPS can identify the region of myocardium most at risk. Routine BNP monitoring in this subgroup may serve as secondary prevention by identifying subclinical disease.

The influence of age and sex on the prognostic importance of traditional cardiovascular risk factors, selected circulating biomarkers and other markers of subclinical cardiovascular damage

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

There is an increasing need for improved risk stratification to better individualize cardiovascular preventive measures. Although age and sex are strong and easily obtained cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs), their influence on the prognostic importance of other CVRF, circulating biomarkers and other markers of subclinical cardiovascular damage has not previously been systematically and critically appraised. Therefore, we have revisited the European MORGAM and the Danish MONI10 cohorts.

RECENT FINDINGS

Theoretically, the relative risk of many CVRF is expected to be lower in older healthy individuals due to a combination of selection bias by disease, higher absolute risk primarily due to older age, and the fact that the CVRF and markers may primarily influence or reflect early parts of the cardiovascular disease process. This influence of age may vary between sexes, as the cardiovascular disease process is delayed and possibly different in women compared with men.

SUMMARY

Adjusted for the remaining Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) CVRF, higher SBP, serum cholesterol, soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor, left ventricular mass index and atherosclerotic plaques were more closely associated with outcomes in individuals younger than 52 years with some sex-specific differences, whereas higher N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and urine albumin/creatine ratio were more closely associated with outcomes in subjects aged 61 or 71 years.

Post-mortem examination of high mortality in patients with heart failure and atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of combined heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) is rising, and these patients suffer from high rates of mortality. This study aims to provide robust data on factors associated with death, uniquely supported by post-mortem examination.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of hospitalized adults with a clinical diagnosis of HF and AF at a tertiary centre in Romania between 2014 and 2017. A standardized post-mortem examination was performed where death occurred within 24 h of admission, when the cause of death was not clear or by physician request. National records were used to collect mortality data, subsequently categorized and analysed as HF-related death, vascular death and non-cardiovascular death using Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

A total of 1009 consecutive patients with a mean age of 73 ± 11 years, 47% women, NYHA class 3.0 ± 0.9, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 40.1 ± 11.0% and 100% anticoagulated were followed up for 1.5 ± 0.9 years. A total of 291 (29%) died, with post-mortems performed on 186 (64%). Baseline factors associated with mortality were dependent on the cause of death. HF-related death in 136 (47%) was associated with higher NYHA class (hazard ratio [HR] 2.45 per one class increase, 95% CI 1.73-3.46; p < 0.001) and lower LVEF (0.95 per 1% increase, 0.93-0.97; p < 0.001). Vascular death occurred in 75 (26%) and was associated with hypertension (HR 2.83, 1.36-5.90; p = 0.005) and higher LVEF (1.08 per 1% increase, 1.05-1.11; p < 0.001). Non-cardiovascular death in 80 (28%) was associated with clinical obesity (HR 2.20, 1.21-4.00; p = 0.010) and higher LVEF (1.10 per 1% increase, 1.06-1.13; p < 0.001). Across all causes, there was no relationship between mortality and AF type (p = 0.77), HF type (p = 0.85) or LVEF (p = 0.58).

CONCLUSIONS

Supported by post-mortem data, the cause of death in HF and AF patients is heterogeneous, and the relationships with typical markers of mortality are critically dependent on the mode of death. The poor prognosis in this group demands further attention to improve management beyond anticoagulation.

The Expression Significance of LPa, BNP, and McP-1 in CHD Patients and Their Relationship with Echocardiographic Parameters

In order to investigate the expression levels of Lipoprotein A (LPa), B-type Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) and Monocyte chemoattractor Protein-1 (McP-1) in serum of patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) are used to detect significance and to analyze the correlation between these indicators and parameters of echocardiography. The clinical data of 132 CHD patients in our hospital from January 2021 to October 2021 are retrospectively analyzed and included in the CHD group. Another 100 healthy people who came to our hospital for general physical examination were selected as the control group. The expressions of Serum McP-1 and BNP are detected by the ELISA. The expression of Serum LPa is detected by immunoturbidimetry, and the expressions of SERUM McP-1, BNP, and LPa are compared between the two groups. The experiments show that the expressions of McP-1, BNP, and LPa in serum of control group are significantly lower than those of the CHD group (P < 0.05). Echocardiography results show that left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in CHD group is significantly lower than that in control group, but left ventricular end-systolic volume (LVESV) and left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV) are significantly higher than those in control group (P < 0.05).

Role of prehospital point-of-care N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide in acute life-threatening cardiovascular disease

INTRODUCTION

The evidence about the use of natriuretic peptides (NP) to predict mortality in the pre-hospital setting is limited. The main objective of this study is to assess the ability of point-of-care testing (POCT) N-terminal portion of B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) to predict 2-day in-hospital mortality of acute cardiovascular diseases (ACVD).

METHODS

We conducted a multicentric, prospective, observational study in adults with ACVD transferred by ambulance to emergency departments (ED). The primary outcome was 2-day in-hospital mortality. The discrimination capacity of the NT-proBNP was performed through a prediction model trained using a derivation cohort and evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic on a validation cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 1006 patients were recruited. The median age was 75 (IQR 63-84) years and 421 (41.85%) were females. The 2-day in-hospital mortality was 5.8% (58 cases). The predictive validity of NT-proBNP, for 2-day mortality reached the following AUC: 0.823 (95%CI: 0.758-0.889, p < 0.001), and the optimal specificity and sensitivity were 73.1 and 82.7. Predictive power of NT-proBNP obtained an AUC 0.549 (95%CI: 0.432-0.865, p 0.215) for acute heart failure, AUC 0.893 (95%CI: 0.617-0.97, p < 0.001) for ischemic heart disease, AUC 0.714 (95%CI: 0.55-0.87, p = 0.0069) for arrhythmia and AUC 0.927 (95%CI: 0.877-0.978, p < 0,001) for syncope.

CONCLUSION

POCT NT-proBNP has proven to be a strong predictor of early mortality in ACVD, showing an excellent predictive capacity in cases of syncope. However, this biomarker does not appear to be useful for predicting outcome in patients with acute heart failure.

The age, NT-proBNP, and Ejection Fraction Score as a Novel Predictor of Clinical Outcomes in CAD Patients After PCI

Background

Previous evidences have been proved that age, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and ejection fraction are tightly associated with the long-term outcomes in patients suffered from coronary artery disease (CAD). Therefore, the present study aimed to assess the prognosis value of age, NT-proBNP, and ejection fraction (ABEF) score in CAD patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Methods

Observational cohort methodology was used in this study which enrolled totally 3561 patients. And the patients were followed up regularly for 37.59 ± 22.24 months. Patients were classed into three groups based on the tertiles of ABEF sore: first tertile (<5.06, n = 831), second tertile (5.06-6.25, n = 839), and third tertile (≥ 6.25, n = 834). The ABEF score was calculated as follows: age (years)/ejection fraction (%) + NT-proBNP (NT-proBNP<177pg/mL was 1, 177≤NT-proBNP≥524pg/mL was 2 and NT-proBNP > 524pg/mL is 3). The association between ABEF score and adverse prognosis, including all-cause death (ACD), cardiac death (CD), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), in patients who underwent PCI was analyzed.

Results

According to the risk category of ABEF score, the incidences of ACD (P < .001), CD (P < .001) and MACCEs (P = .021) among the three groups showed significant differences. Multivariate Cox regression analysis suggested that the respective risks of ACD and CD were increased 3.013 folds (hazard risk [HR] = 4.013 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.922-8.378], P < .001) and 4.922 folds ([HR] = 5.922 [95% [CI]: 2.253-15.566], P < .001) in the third tertile compared with those in the first tertile. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses showed that the cumulative risks of ACD,CD and MACCEs in patients with the high ABEF score tended to increase.

Conclusion

The present study indicated ABEF score was a novel biomarker suitable for predicting adverse prognosis in patients after PCI, which may be used for early recognition and risk stratification.

Improving the diagnosis of heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

To improve the echocardiographic assessment of heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) by comparing conventional averaging of consecutive beats with an index-beat approach, whereby measurements are taken after two cycles with similar R-R interval.

METHODS

Transthoracic echocardiography was performed using a standardised and blinded protocol in patients enrolled in the RATE-AF (RAte control Therapy Evaluation in permanent Atrial Fibrillation) randomised trial. We compared reproducibility of the index-beat and conventional consecutive-beat methods to calculate left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), global longitudinal strain (GLS) and E/e' (mitral E wave max/average diastolic tissue Doppler velocity), and assessed intraoperator/interoperator variability, time efficiency and validity against natriuretic peptides.

RESULTS

160 patients were included, 46% of whom were women, with a median age of 75 years (IQR 69-82) and a median heart rate of 100 beats per minute (IQR 86-112). The index-beat had the lowest within-beat coefficient of variation for LVEF (32%, vs 51% for 5 consecutive beats and 53% for 10 consecutive beats), GLS (26%, vs 43% and 42%) and E/e' (25%, vs 41% and 41%). Intraoperator (n=50) and interoperator (n=18) reproducibility were both superior for index-beats and this method was quicker to perform (p<0.001): 35.4 s to measure E/e' (95% CI 33.1 to 37.8) compared with 44.7 s for 5-beat (95% CI 41.8 to 47.5) and 98.1 s for 10-beat (95% CI 91.7 to 104.4) analyses. Using a single index-beat did not compromise the association of LVEF, GLS or E/e' with natriuretic peptide levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with averaging of multiple beats in patients with AF, the index-beat approach improves reproducibility and saves time without a negative impact on validity, potentially improving the diagnosis and classification of heart failure in patients with AF.

Temporal changes in left ventricular ejection fraction and their prognostic impacts in patients with Stage B heart failure

BACKGROUND

We have recently demonstrated that left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) dynamically changes over time with prognostic impacts in Stage C/D patients, namely, those who have a current or past history of heart failure (HF). However, it is unknown whether this is also the case in asymptomatic Stage B patients, namely, those who have a risk of HF, but do not have a history of HF.

METHODS

In our CHART-2 Study (N = 10,219), we enrolled 4005 Stage B patients and divided them into 3 groups by LVEF; preserved EF (pEF, LVEF ≥50%, N = 3526), mid-range EF (mrEF, LVEF 41-49%, N = 302), and reduced EF (rEF, LVEF ≤40%, N = 177). We examined the prognostic impacts of LVEF transitions among the 3 groups in comparison with 4477 patients with Stage C/D HF.

RESULTS

Stage B were characterized by less severe clinical status and better prognosis compared with Stage C/D. Stage B in mrEF and rEF at baseline dynamically transitioned to other groups at 1-year, whereas those in pEF unchanged; at 1-year, mrEF transitioned to pEF/rEF by 50/16%, and rEF transitioned to pEF/mrEF by 25/31%, respectively, whereas pEF transitioned to mrEF/rEF by only 3.6/0.7%, respectively, which were consistent with findings in findings with Stage C/D. Although LVEF decrease was directly associated with all-cause mortality in both the Stage B and Stage C/D with pEF, factors related to LVEF changes were different between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In Stage B, LVEF dynamically changes with prognostic impacts as in Stage C/D, whereas different determination factors may be involved in the 2 stages.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District (CHART)-2 (NCT00418041).

Head-to-Head Comparison of the Incremental Predictive Value of The Three Established Risk Markers, Hs-troponin I, C-Reactive Protein, and NT-proBNP, in Coronary Artery Disease

Risk stratification among patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is of considerable interest to potentially guide secondary preventive therapies. Cardiac troponins as well as C-reactive protein (hsCRP) and natriuretic peptides have emerged as biomarkers for risk stratification. The question remains if one of these biomarkers is superior in predicting adverse outcomes. Thus, we perform a head-to-head comparison between high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI), hsCRP, and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in patients with CAD. Plasma levels were measured in a cohort of 2193 patients with documented CAD. The main outcome measures were cardiovascular (CV) death and/or nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI). During a median follow-up of 3.8 years, all three biomarkers were associated with cardiovascular death and/or MI. After adjustments for conventional cardiovascular risk factors, the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation (SD) for the prediction of CV death and/or nonfatal MI was 1.39 [95% CI: 1.24–1.57, p < 0.001] for hsTnI, 1.41 [95% CI: 1.24–1.60, p < 0.001] for hsCRP, and 1.64 [95% CI: 1.39–1.92, p < 0.001] for NT-proBNP. However, upon further adjustments for the other two biomarkers, only NT-proBNP was still associated with the combined endpoint with an HR of 1.47 [95% CI: 1.19–1.82, p < 0.001]. Conclusively, NT-proBNP is reliably linked to CV death and MI in patients with CAD and provides incremental value beyond hsCRP and hsTnI.

Prognostic Value of NT-proBNP After Ischemic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies

BACKGROUND

Many studies have evaluated the relationship between N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and its prognostic value in ischemic stroke. However, a widespread consensus has not been reached. Therefore, we completed a meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic significance of NT-proBNP for mortality and functional outcome in patients with ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search and review using the PubMed and EMBASE databases to identify literature that reported a correlation between NT-proBNP and mortality and functional outcome in ischemic stroke patients.

RESULTS

Eleven studies inclusive of 10,498 patients met the inclusion criteria. Elevated plasma NT-proBNP levels were associated with increased risk of mortality in ischemic stroke patients (all-cause mortality: odds ratio [OR] = 2.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.62-3.64, P < .001, I²=74.3%; cardiovascular mortality: OR = 2.01, 95% CI 1.55-2.61, P < .001, I² = 42.6%). In addition, unfavorable functional outcomes were observed in patients with higher levels of NT-proBNP (OR = 1.68, 95% CI 1.13-2.50, P = .01, I² = 90.8%) after ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis demonstrates that NT-proBNP could be a predictor of mortality and functional outcome in ischemic stroke patients.