HopPER: an adaptive model for probability estimation of influenza reassortment through host prediction

Influenza virus reassortment patterns exhibit preference and continuity while uncovering cross-species transmission events

Genomic reassortment is a key driver of influenza virus evolution and a major factor in pandemic emergence, as reassorted strains can exhibit significantly altered antigenicity. However, due to technical and ethical constraints, research on reassortment patterns (RPs) has been limited, impeding effective surveillance and control strategies. To address this gap, we developed FluRPId, a framework for identifying RPs based on the genetic diversity of influenza viruses. FluRPId integrates principles of reassortment diversity maximization, dominance, and epidemiological likelihood to assess the credibility of detected reassortment events. Applying FluRPId, we constructed a comprehensive reassortment landscape of influenza viruses, encompassing widespread reassortment events with high credibility, which also include most previously reported reassortment events. Our analysis revealed that the NS gene frequently reassorts with PA and NA, while reassortment involving HA, NA, and NS occurs more frequently than expected. Furthermore, we identified specific loci combinations that exhibit strong linkage during reassortment, providing insights into segment association preferences. Additionally, extensive reassortment chains were observed across all subtypes, underscoring the continuity of reassortment in influenza virus evolution. Notably, we identified significant cross-species reassortment events and characterized host adaptation changes in cross-species-transmitted viruses. Our study provides the most comprehensive reassortment landscape of influenza viruses to date, uncovering key patterns, preferences, and evolutionary continuity. These findings bridge a critical gap in macro-scale reassortment studies and offer insights for future research and control efforts.

Utilizing machine learning and hemagglutinin sequences to identify likely hosts of influenza H3Nx viruses

Influenza is a disease that represents both a public health and agricultural risk with pandemic potential. Among the subtypes of influenza A virus, H3 influenza virus can infect many avian and mammalian species and is therefore a virus of interest to human and veterinary public health. The primary goal of this study was to train and validate classifiers for the identification of the most likely host species using the hemagglutinin gene segment of H3 viruses. A five-step process was implemented, which included training four machine learning classifiers, testing the classifiers on the validation dataset, and further exploration of the best-performing model on three additional datasets. The gradient boosting machine classifier showed the highest host-classification accuracy with a 98.0 % (95 % CI [97.01, 98.73]) correct classification rate on an independent validation dataset. The classifications were further analyzed using the predicted probability score which highlighted sequences of particular interest. These sequences were both correctly and incorrectly classified sequences that showed considerable predicted probability for multiple hosts. This showed the potential of using these classifiers for rapid sequence classification and highlighting sequences of interest. Additionally, the classifiers were tested on a separate swine dataset composed of H3N2 sequences from 1998 to 2003 from the United States of America, and a separate canine dataset composed of canine H3N2 sequences of avian origin. These two datasets were utilized to look at the applications of predicted probability and host convergence over time. Lastly, the classifiers were used on an independent dataset of environmental sequences to explore the host identification of environmental sequences. The results of these classifiers show the potential for machine learning to be used as a host identification technique for viruses of unknown origin on a species-specific level.

ViPal: A framework for virulence prediction of influenza viruses with prior viral knowledge using genomic sequences

Influenza viruses pose great threats to public health and cause enormous economic losses every year. Previous work has revealed the viral factors associated with the virulence of influenza viruses in mammals. However, taking prior viral knowledge represented by heterogeneous categorical and discrete information into account to explore virus virulence is scarce in the existing work. How to make full use of the preceding domain knowledge in virulence study is challenging but beneficial. This paper proposes a general framework named ViPal for virulence prediction in mice that incorporates discrete prior viral mutation and reassortment information based on all eight influenza segments. The posterior regularization technique is leveraged to transform prior viral knowledge into constraint features and integrated into the machine learning models. Experimental results on influenza genomic datasets validate that our proposed framework can improve virulence prediction performance over baselines. The comparison between ViPal and other existing methods shows the computational efficiency of our framework with comparable or superior performance. Moreover, the interpretable analysis through SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) identifies the scores of constraint features contributing to the prediction. We hope this framework could provide assistance for the accurate detection of influenza virulence and facilitate flu surveillance.

IAV-CNN: A 2D Convolutional Neural Network Model to Predict Antigenic Variants of Influenza A Virus

The rapid evolution of influenza viruses constantly leads to the emergence of novel influenza strains that are capable of escaping from population immunity. The timely determination of antigenic variants is critical to vaccine design. Empirical experimental methods like hemagglutination inhibition (HI) assays are time-consuming and labor-intensive, requiring live viruses. Recently, many computational models have been developed to predict the antigenic variants without considerations of explicitly modeling the interdependencies between the channels of feature maps. Moreover, the influenza sequences consisting of similar distribution of residues will have high degrees of similarity and will affect the prediction outcome. Consequently, it is challenging but vital to determine the importance of different residue sites and enhance the predictive performance of influenza antigenicity. We have proposed a 2D convolutional neural network (CNN) model to infer influenza antigenic variants (IAV-CNN). Specifically, we apply a new distributed representation of amino acids, named ProtVec that can be applied to a variety of downstream proteomic machine learning tasks. After splittings and embeddings of influenza strains, a 2D squeeze-and-excitation CNN architecture is constructed that enables networks to focus on informative residue features by fusing both spatial and channel-wise information with local receptive fields at each layer. Experimental results on three influenza datasets show IAV-CNN achieves state-of-the-art performance combining the new distributed representation with our proposed architecture. It outperforms both traditional machine algorithms with the same feature representations and the majority of existing models in the independent test data. Therefore we believe that our model can be served as a reliable and robust tool for the prediction of antigenic variants.

Exploring the Lethality of Human-Adapted Coronavirus Through Alignment-Free Machine Learning Approaches Using Genomic Sequences

Background

A newly emerging novel coronavirus appeared and rapidly spread worldwide and World Health Organization declared a pandemic on March 11, 2020. The roles and characteristics of coronavirus have captured much attention due to its power of causing a wide variety of infectious diseases, from mild to severe, on humans. The detection of the lethality of human coronavirus is key to estimate the viral toxicity and provide perspectives for treatment.

Methods

We developed an alignment-free framework that utilizes machine learning approaches for an ultra-fast and highly accurate prediction of the lethality of human-adapted coronavirus using genomic sequences. We performed extensive experiments through six different feature transformation and machine learning algorithms combining digital signal processing to identify the lethality of possible future novel coronaviruses using existing strains.

Results

The results tested on SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 datasets show an average 96.7% prediction accuracy. We also provide preliminary analysis validating the effectiveness of our models through other human coronaviruses. Our framework achieves high levels of prediction performance that is alignment-free and based on RNA sequences alone without genome annotations and specialized biological knowledge.

Conclusion

The results demonstrate that, for any novel human coronavirus strains, this study can offer a reliable real-time estimation for its viral lethality.

Using Spheroids as Building Blocks Towards 3D Bioprinting of Tumor Microenvironment

Cancer still ranks as a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Although considerable efforts have been dedicated to anticancer therapeutics, progress is still slow, partially due to the absence of robust prediction models. Multicellular tumor spheroids, as a major three-dimensional (3D) culture model exhibiting features of avascular tumors, gained great popularity in pathophysiological studies and high throughput drug screening. However, limited control over cellular and structural organization is still the key challenge in achieving in vivo like tissue microenvironment. 3D bioprinting has made great strides toward tissue/organ mimicry, due to its outstanding spatial control through combining both cells and materials, scalability, and reproducibility. Prospectively, harnessing the power from both 3D bioprinting and multicellular spheroids would likely generate more faithful tumor models and advance our understanding on the mechanism of tumor progression. In this review, the emerging concept on using spheroids as a building block in 3D bioprinting for tumor modeling is illustrated. We begin by describing the context of the tumor microenvironment, followed by an introduction of various methodologies for tumor spheroid formation, with their specific merits and drawbacks. Thereafter, we present an overview of existing 3D printed tumor models using spheroids as a focus. We provide a compilation of the contemporary literature sources and summarize the overall advancements in technology and possibilities of using spheroids as building blocks in 3D printed tissue modeling, with a particular emphasis on tumor models. Future outlooks about the wonderous advancements of integrated 3D spheroidal printing conclude this review.

Influenza virus genotype to phenotype predictions through machine learning: a systematic review

Background: There is great interest in understanding the viral genomic predictors of phenotypic traits that allow influenza A viruses to adapt to or become more virulent in different hosts. Machine learning techniques have demonstrated promise in addressing this critical need for other pathogens because the underlying algorithms are especially well equipped to uncover complex patterns in large datasets and produce generalizable predictions for new data. As the body of research where these techniques are applied for influenza A virus phenotype prediction continues to grow, it is useful to consider the strengths and weaknesses of these approaches to understand what has prevented these models from seeing widespread use by surveillance laboratories and to identify gaps that are underexplored with this technology. Methods and Results: We present a systematic review of English literature published through 15 April 2021 of studies employing machine learning methods to generate predictions of influenza A virus phenotypes from genomic or proteomic input. Forty-nine studies were included in this review, spanning the topics of host discrimination, human adaptability, subtype and clade assignment, pandemic lineage assignment, characteristics of infection, and antiviral drug resistance. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that biases in model design and a dearth of wet laboratory follow-up may explain why these models often go underused. We, therefore, offer guidance to overcome these limitations, aid in improving predictive models of previously studied influenza A virus phenotypes, and extend those models to unexplored phenotypes in the ultimate pursuit of tools to enable the characterization of virus isolates across surveillance laboratories.

VirPreNet: a weighted ensemble convolutional neural network for the virulence prediction of influenza A virus using all eight segments

MOTIVATION

Influenza viruses are persistently threatening public health, causing annual epidemics and sporadic pandemics. The evolution of influenza viruses remains to be the main obstacle in the effectiveness of antiviral treatments due to rapid mutations. Previous work has been investigated to reveal the determinants of virulence of the influenza A virus. To further facilitate flu surveillance, explicit detection of influenza virulence is crucial to protect public health from potential future pandemics.

RESULTS

In this article, we propose a weighted ensemble convolutional neural network (CNN) for the virulence prediction of influenza A viruses named VirPreNet that uses all eight segments. Firstly, mouse lethal dose 50 is exerted to label the virulence of infections into two classes, namely avirulent and virulent. A numerical representation of amino acids named ProtVec is applied to the eight-segments in a distributed manner to encode the biological sequences. After splittings and embeddings of influenza strains, the ensemble CNN is constructed as the base model on the influenza dataset of each segment, which serves as the VirPreNet's main part. Followed by a linear layer, the initial predictive outcomes are integrated and assigned with different weights for the final prediction. The experimental results on the collected influenza dataset indicate that VirPreNet achieves state-of-the-art performance combining ProtVec with our proposed architecture. It outperforms baseline methods on the independent testing data. Moreover, our proposed model reveals the importance of PB2 and HA segments on the virulence prediction. We believe that our model may provide new insights into the investigation of influenza virulence.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

Codes and data to generate the VirPreNet are publicly available at https://github.com/Rayin-saber/VirPreNet.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Progress and Challenge in Computational Identification of Influenza Virus Reassortment

Genomic reassortment is an important evolutionary mechanism for influenza viruses. In this process, the novel viruses acquire new characteristics by the exchange of the intact gene segments among multiple influenza virus genomes, which may cause flu endemics and epidemics within or even across hosts. Due to the safety and ethical limitations of the experimental studies on influenza virus reassortment, numerous computational researches on the influenza virus reassortment have been done with the explosion of the influenza virus genomic data. A great amount of computational methods and bioinformatics databases were developed to facilitate the identification of influenza virus reassortments. In this review, we summarized the progress and challenge of the bioinformatics research on influenza virus reassortment, which can guide the researchers to investigate the influenza virus reassortment events reasonably and provide valuable insight to develop the related computational identification tools.

Avian Influenza in Wild Birds and Poultry: Dissemination Pathways, Monitoring Methods, and Virus Ecology

Avian influenza is one of the largest known threats to domestic poultry. Influenza outbreaks on poultry farms typically lead to the complete slaughter of the entire domestic bird population, causing severe economic losses worldwide. Moreover, there are highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) strains that are able to infect the swine or human population in addition to their primary avian host and, as such, have the potential of being a global zoonotic and pandemic threat. Migratory birds, especially waterfowl, are a natural reservoir of the avian influenza virus; they carry and exchange different virus strains along their migration routes, leading to antigenic drift and antigenic shift, which results in the emergence of novel HPAI viruses. This requires monitoring over time and in different locations to allow for the upkeep of relevant knowledge on avian influenza virus evolution and the prevention of novel epizootic and epidemic outbreaks. In this review, we assess the role of migratory birds in the spread and introduction of influenza strains on a global level, based on recent data. Our analysis sheds light on the details of viral dissemination linked to avian migration, the viral exchange between migratory waterfowl and domestic poultry, virus ecology in general, and viral evolution as a process tightly linked to bird migration. We also provide insight into methods used to detect and quantify avian influenza in the wild. This review may be beneficial for the influenza research community and may pave the way to novel strategies of avian influenza and HPAI zoonosis outbreak monitoring and prevention.