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Zhu J, Zhao R, Yu Z, Li L, Wei J, Guan Y. Machine learning-based prediction model for hypofibrinogenemia after tigecycline therapy. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2024; 24:284. [PMID: 39367370 PMCID: PMC11451173 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-024-02694-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 09/25/2024] [Indexed: 10/06/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In clinical practice, the incidence of hypofibrinogenemia (HF) after tigecycline (TGC) treatment significantly exceeds the probability claimed by drug manufacturers. OBJECTIVE We aimed to identify the risk factors for TGC-associated HF and develop prediction and survival models for TGC-associated HF and the timing of TGC-associated HF. METHODS This single-center retrospective cohort study included 222 patients who were prescribed TGC. First, we used binary logistic regression to screen the independent factors influencing TGC-associated HF, which were used as predictors to train the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve analysis (CICA) were used to evaluate the performance of the model in the verification cohort. Subsequently, we conducted survival analysis using the random survival forest (RSF) algorithm. A consistency index (C-index) was used to evaluate the accuracy of the RSF model in the verification cohort. RESULTS Binary logistic regression identified nine independent factors influencing TGC-associated HF, and the XGBoost model was constructed using these nine predictors. The ROC and calibration curves showed that the model had good discrimination (areas under the ROC curves (AUC) = 0.792 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.668-0.915]) and calibration ability. In addition, DCA and CICA demonstrated good clinical practicability of this model. Notably, the RSF model showed good accuracy (C-index = 0.746 [95%CI, 0.652-0.820]) in the verification cohort. Stratifying patients treated with TGC based on the RSF model revealed a statistically significant difference in the mean survival time between the low- and high-risk groups. CONCLUSIONS The XGBoost model effectively predicts the risk of TGC-associated HF, whereas the RSF model has advantages in risk stratification. These two models have significant clinical practical value, with the potential to reduce the risk of TGC therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jianping Zhu
- Pharmacy Department, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310020, China
| | - Rui Zhao
- Pharmacy Department, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310020, China
| | - Zhenwei Yu
- Pharmacy Department, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310020, China
| | - Liucheng Li
- Pharmacy Department, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310020, China
| | - Jiayue Wei
- Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310022, China
| | - Yan Guan
- Pharmacy Department, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310020, China.
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Yong J, Toh CH. Rethinking coagulation: from enzymatic cascade and cell-based reactions to a convergent model involving innate immune activation. Blood 2023; 142:2133-2145. [PMID: 37890148 DOI: 10.1182/blood.2023021166] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2023] [Revised: 10/12/2023] [Accepted: 10/20/2023] [Indexed: 10/29/2023] Open
Abstract
ABSTRACT Advancements in the conceptual thinking of hemostasis and thrombosis have been catalyzed by major developments within health research over several decades. The cascade model of coagulation was first described in the 1960s, when biochemistry gained prominence through innovative experimentation and technical developments. This was followed by the cell-based model, which integrated cellular coordination to the enzymology of clot formation and was conceptualized during the growth period in cell biology at the turn of the millennium. Each step forward has heralded a revolution in clinical therapeutics, both in procoagulant and anticoagulant treatments to improve patient care. In current times, the COVID-19 pandemic may also prove to be a catalyst: thrombotic challenges including the mixed responses to anticoagulant treatment and the vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia have exposed limitations in our preexisting concepts while simultaneously demanding novel therapeutic approaches. It is increasingly clear that innate immune activation as part of the host response to injury is not separate but integrated into adaptive clot formation. Our review summarizes current understanding of the major molecules facilitating such a cross talk between immunity, inflammation and coagulation. We demonstrate how such effects can be layered upon the cascade and cell-based models to evolve conceptual understanding of the physiology of immunohemostasis and the pathology of immunothrombosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jun Yong
- Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- The Roald Dahl Haemostasis and Thrombosis Centre, Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Cheng-Hock Toh
- Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- The Roald Dahl Haemostasis and Thrombosis Centre, Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, United Kingdom
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Kono H, Hosomura N, Amemiya H, Kawaida H, Furuya S, Shoda K, Akaike H, Kawaguchi Y, Ichikawa D. Recombinant Human Thrombomodulin Reduces Mortality and Acute Lung Injury Caused by Septic Peritonitis in Rats. Immunohorizons 2023; 7:159-167. [PMID: 36706425 PMCID: PMC10563402 DOI: 10.4049/immunohorizons.2200094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/28/2022] [Accepted: 12/28/2022] [Indexed: 01/29/2023] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to investigate the therapeutic effects of recombinant human thrombomodulin (rhTM) on acute lung injury (ALI) caused by sepsis in rats. Rats that underwent cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) were treated with or without rhTM, and then mortality was analyzed. In another set of experiments, ALI was assessed. Furthermore, microthrombosis in the lungs was investigated by immunohistochemistry. Moreover, plasma inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines, such as TNF-α, high-mobility group box chromosomal protein 1 (HMGB-1), and IL-10, were evaluated by ELISA. Production of TNF-α and HMGB-1 by isolated tissue macrophages (Mφs) was assessed in vitro. Mortality after CLP was significantly improved by rhTM treatment. In addition, rhTM treatment improved the wet/dry weight ratio of the lungs, the pulmonary microvascular permeability, and the lung injury scores in animals that underwent CLP. Microthrombosis was detected in the lungs after CLP. These pathophysiological changes were blunted by rhTM treatment. Increased plasma TNF-α and HMGB-1 levels were blunted by rhTM treatment; however, the anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-10 was significantly greater in the rhTM(+) group than in the rhTM(-) group. Increased TNF-α and HMGB-1 production by the tissue Mφs stimulated with LPS were significantly blunted by rhTM treatment in vitro, but the production of IL-10 by the tissue Mφs was not changed in the cells incubated with rhTM. Overall, rhTM improved the mortality caused by septic peritonitis. The possible mechanisms are most likely anti-inflammatory and anticoagulant effects, which lead to the prevention of ALI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hiroshi Kono
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Naohiro Hosomura
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Hidetake Amemiya
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Hiromichi Kawaida
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Shinji Furuya
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Katsutoshi Shoda
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Hidenori Akaike
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Yoshihiko Kawaguchi
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
| | - Daisuke Ichikawa
- First Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Yamanashi, Yamanashi, Japan
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Tindal EW, Armstead BE, Monaghan SF, Heffernan DS, Ayala A. Emerging therapeutic targets for sepsis. Expert Opin Ther Targets 2021; 25:175-189. [PMID: 33641552 PMCID: PMC8122062 DOI: 10.1080/14728222.2021.1897107] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2020] [Accepted: 02/25/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Introduction: Sepsis is characterized by a dysregulated host response to infection. Sepsis-associated morbidity/mortality demands concerted research efforts toward therapeutic interventions which are reliable, broadly effective, and etiologically based. More intensive and extensive investigations on alterations in cellular signaling pathways, gene targeting as a means of modifying the characteristic hyper and/or hypo-immune responses, prevention through optimization of the microbiome, and the molecular pathways underlying the septic immune response could improve outcomes.] Areas covered: The authors discuss key experimental mammalian models and clinical trials. They provide an evaluation of evolving therapeutics in sepsis and how they have built upon past and current treatments. Relevant literature was derived from a PubMed search spanning 1987-2020.Expert opinion: Given the complex nature of sepsis and the elicited immune response, it is not surprising that a single cure-all therapeutic intervention, which is capable of effectively and reliably improving patient outcomes has failed to emerge. Innovative approaches seek to address not only the disease process but modify underlying patient factors. A true improvement in sepsis-associated morbidity/mortality will require a combination of unique therapeutic modalities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elizabeth W Tindal
- Division of Surgical Research, Department of Surgery, Brown University, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI, USA
| | - Brandon E Armstead
- Division of Surgical Research, Department of Surgery, Brown University, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI, USA
| | - Sean F Monaghan
- Division of Surgical Research, Department of Surgery, Brown University, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI, USA
| | - Daithi S Heffernan
- Division of Surgical Research, Department of Surgery, Brown University, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI, USA
| | - Alfred Ayala
- Division of Surgical Research, Department of Surgery, Brown University, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI, USA
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Recombinant Human Thrombomodulin Has Additive Effects in Septic Patients Undergoing Continuous Hemodiafiltration Due to Intestinal Perforation. Shock 2021; 56:374-383. [PMID: 33595258 DOI: 10.1097/shk.0000000000001750] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is associated with high mortality in patients with severe sepsis. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of recombinant human thrombomodulin (rhTM) in septic patients undergoing continuous hemodiafiltration (CHDF). Furthermore, effects of rhTM in acute lung injury, the first target organ in sepsis, were investigated using a sepsis model in rats. METHODS Clinical laboratory data, and the DIC, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), and Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scores were compared between patients undergoing CHDF alone (rhTM- group; n = 23 cases) and patients undergoing CHDF treated with rhTM (rhTM+ group; n = 21 cases). Rats underwent cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) treated with or without rhTM, and acute lung injury (ALI) was analyzed. Production of TNF-α by isolated tissue macrophages (Mfs) was assessed. RESULTS The numbers of leukocytes, and C-reactive protein and D-dimer levels were significantly suppressed, and platelet counts recovered significantly faster in the rhTM+ group compared with the rhTM- group. The DIC score was reduced in both groups. The SOFA and APACHE II scores gradually reduced in the rhTM+ group. The CHDF treatment and ICU admission periods were shortened in the rhTM+ group compared with the rhTM- group. Treatment of rhTM was an independent factor for CHDF treatment period by multivariate analyses. CLP-induced ALI was significantly improved by rhTM. Increased TNF-α production by tissue Mfs was significantly suppressed by rhTM in vivo and in vitro. CONCLUSION Additive effects of rhTM treatment were observed in septic patients undergoing CHDF.
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Abou-Ismail MY, Diamond A, Kapoor S, Arafah Y, Nayak L. The hypercoagulable state in COVID-19: Incidence, pathophysiology, and management. Thromb Res 2020; 194:101-115. [PMID: 32788101 PMCID: PMC7305763 DOI: 10.1016/j.thromres.2020.06.029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 445] [Impact Index Per Article: 89.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2020] [Revised: 06/13/2020] [Accepted: 06/17/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
The 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) presents with a large variety of clinical manifestations ranging from asymptomatic carrier state to severe respiratory distress, multiple organ dysfunction and death. While it was initially considered primarily a respiratory illness, rapidly accumulating data suggests that COVID-19 results in a unique, profoundly prothrombotic milieu leading to both arterial and venous thrombosis. Consistently, elevated D-dimer level has emerged as an independent risk factor for poor outcomes, including death. Several other laboratory markers and blood counts have also been associated with poor prognosis, possibly due to their connection to thrombosis. At present, the pathophysiology underlying the hypercoagulable state is poorly understood. However, a growing body of data suggests that the initial events occur in the lung. A severe inflammatory response, originating in the alveoli, triggers a dysfunctional cascade of inflammatory thrombosis in the pulmonary vasculature, leading to a state of local coagulopathy. This is followed, in patients with more severe disease, by a generalized hypercoagulable state that results in macro- and microvascular thrombosis. Of concern, is the observation that anticoagulation may be inadequate in many circumstances, highlighting the need for alternative or additional therapies. Numerous ongoing studies investigating the pathophysiology of the COVID-19 associated coagulopathy may provide mechanistic insights that can direct appropriate interventional strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mouhamed Yazan Abou-Ismail
- University Hospitals, Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, OH, United States of America; Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, United States of America.
| | - Akiva Diamond
- University Hospitals, Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, OH, United States of America; Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, United States of America
| | - Sargam Kapoor
- Alaska Native Medical Center, Anchorage, AK, United States of America
| | - Yasmin Arafah
- University Hospitals, Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, OH, United States of America; Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, United States of America
| | - Lalitha Nayak
- University Hospitals, Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, OH, United States of America; Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, United States of America.
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Cavaillon J, Singer M, Skirecki T. Sepsis therapies: learning from 30 years of failure of translational research to propose new leads. EMBO Mol Med 2020; 12:e10128. [PMID: 32176432 PMCID: PMC7136965 DOI: 10.15252/emmm.201810128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 195] [Impact Index Per Article: 39.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2018] [Revised: 02/12/2020] [Accepted: 02/17/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Sepsis has been identified by the World Health Organization (WHO) as a global health priority. There has been a tremendous effort to decipher underlying mechanisms responsible for organ failure and death, and to develop new treatments. Despite saving thousands of animals over the last three decades in multiple preclinical studies, no new effective drug has emerged that has clearly improved patient outcomes. In the present review, we analyze the reasons for this failure, focusing on the inclusion of inappropriate patients and the use of irrelevant animal models. We advocate against repeating the same mistakes and propose changes to the research paradigm. We discuss the long-term consequences of surviving sepsis and, finally, list some putative approaches-both old and new-that could help save lives and improve survivorship.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Mervyn Singer
- Bloomsbury Institute of Intensive Care MedicineUniversity College LondonLondonUK
| | - Tomasz Skirecki
- Laboratory of Flow Cytometry and Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care MedicineCentre of Postgraduate Medical EducationWarsawPoland
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Sungurlu S, Kuppy J, Balk RA. Role of Antithrombin III and Tissue Factor Pathway in the Pathogenesis of Sepsis. Crit Care Clin 2020; 36:255-265. [PMID: 32172812 DOI: 10.1016/j.ccc.2019.12.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
The pathobiology of the septic process includes a complex interrelationship between inflammation and the coagulations system. Antithrombin (AT) and tissue factor are important components of the coagulation system and have potential roles in the production and amplification of sepsis. Sepsis is associated with a decrease in AT levels, and low levels are also associated with the development of multiple organ failure and death. Treatment strategies incorporating AT replacement therapy in sepsis and septic shock have not resulted in an improvement in survival or reversal of disseminated intravascular coagulation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah Sungurlu
- Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, Rush Medical College and Rush University Medical Center, 1725 West Harrison Street, Suite 054, Chicago, IL 606012, USA
| | - Jessica Kuppy
- Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, Rush Medical College and Rush University Medical Center, 1725 West Harrison Street, Suite 054, Chicago, IL 606012, USA
| | - Robert A Balk
- Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, Rush Medical College and Rush University Medical Center, 1725 West Harrison Street, Suite 054, Chicago, IL 606012, USA.
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Mori S, Ai T, Sera T, Ochiai K, Otomo Y. Human Soluble Recombinant Thrombomodulin, ART-123, Resolved Early Phase Coagulopathies, but Did Not Significantly Alter the 28 Day Outcome in the Treatment of DIC Associated with Infectious Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndromes. J Clin Med 2019; 8:jcm8101553. [PMID: 31569648 PMCID: PMC6832475 DOI: 10.3390/jcm8101553] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2019] [Revised: 09/09/2019] [Accepted: 09/23/2019] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is a catastrophic systemic disorder of coagulation, resulting in uncontrollable bleeding, multiple organ failure, and death. Sepsis is one of the common causes of DIC. Despite many attempts to correct these coagulation pathologies, no adjunctive treatments have been shown to improve the mortality of DIC associated with sepsis. Although some clinical studies showed a recently developed human recombinant thrombomodulin, ART-123, might be effective in the treatment of DIC, few randomized, placebo-controlled studies have been conducted. In this study, we treated 60 DIC patients associated with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) using ART-123 (n = 29) or saline as a placebo (n = 31). The basal clinical characteristics were similar in both groups. We compared clinical severity scores and DIC score in acute phase, and 28 day mortality between the two groups. Our study demonstrated the DIC score improved a few days earlier in the ART-123 group than the placebo group, and there were no major life-threatening adverse events in both groups. The overall survival rate at day 28 was not significantly altered. In conclusion, ART-123 can be used safely in DIC associated with infectious SIRS patients; however, its true efficacy in the treatment of DIC needs to be further investigated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shusuke Mori
- Trauma and Acute Critical Care Center, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8510, Japan.
| | - Tomohiko Ai
- Trauma and Acute Critical Care Center, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8510, Japan
| | - Toshiki Sera
- Trauma and Acute Critical Care Center, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8510, Japan
| | - Kanae Ochiai
- Trauma and Acute Critical Care Center, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8510, Japan
| | - Yasuhiro Otomo
- Trauma and Acute Critical Care Center, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8510, Japan
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