Clinical parameters predictive for sphincter-preserving surgery and prognostic outcome in patients with locally advanced low rectal cancer

Margin matters: analyzing the impact of circumferential margin involvement on survival and recurrence after incomplete total mesorectal excision for rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Incomplete mesorectal excision during rectal cancer surgery often leads to positive circumferential margins, with uncertain prognostic impacts. This study examines whether negative margins can mitigate the poorer prognosis typically associated with incomplete total mesorectal excision (TME) in rectal cancer surgery, thus potentially challenging the prevailing emphasis on complete mesorectal excision.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent proctectomy for rectal adenocarcinoma with incomplete TME at a single center from 2010 to 2022. Patients were stratified by margin status as determined by pathologic analysis into three groups: involved, not involved with closest margin distance ≤ 2 mm, and not involved with closest margin distance > 2 mm. Outcomes included recurrence and survival. Effects of neoadjuvant therapy protocols on margin status were also assessed.

RESULTS

From 2010 to 2022, 7941 patients underwent proctectomy for rectal cancer, with 236 (3%) having incomplete TME. The median age of these patients was 64 years, and 63% were male. Overall, margin involvement was observed in 54 (23%) patients. The median tumor size was 3.05 cm (interquartile range (IQR): 2-6) for the whole group. Involved margins (23.2%) had reduced overall survival (60.5 months versus 87.3 months, p < 0.001), increased local recurrence (20.4% versus 9.4%, p = 0.024), and lower disease-free survival (45.2 versus 58.9 months, p = 0.006) versus uninvolved margins. Margin involvement was prognostic for decreased survival even after adjusting for confounders (p < 0.05). Among uninvolved margins, distance (> 2 mm versus ≤ 2 mm) did not affect outcomes. Total neoadjuvant therapy (versus standard chemoradiation) was associated with lower involved margins (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Positive margins retain negative prognostic impact with incomplete TME. Optimization of surgical resection remains vital. Total neoadjuvant therapy was associated with a lower rate of margin involvement.

CLIP-based multimodal endorectal ultrasound enhances prediction of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy response in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Forecasting the patient's response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) is crucial for managing locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). This study investigates whether a predictive model using image-text features extracted from endorectal ultrasound (ERUS) via Contrastive Language-Image Pretraining (CLIP) can predict tumor regression grade (TRG) before nCRT.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 577 LARC patients who received nCRT followed by surgery was conducted from January 2018 to December 2023. ERUS scans and TRG were used to assess nCRT response, categorizing patients into good (TRG 0) and poor (TRG 1-3) responders. Image and text features were extracted using the ResNet50+RBT3 (RN50) and ViT-B/16+RoBERTa-wwm (VB16) components of the Chinese-CLIP model. LightGBM was used for model construction and comparison. A subset of 100 patients from each responder group was used to compare the CLIP method with manual radiomics methods (logistic regression, support vector machines, and random forest). SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) technique was used to analyze feature contributions.

RESULTS

The RN50 and VB16 models achieved AUROC scores of 0.928 (95% CI: 0.90-0.96) and 0.900 (95% CI: 0.86-0.93), respectively, outperforming manual radiomics methods. SHAP analysis indicated that image features dominated the RN50 model, while both image and text features were significant in the VB16 model.

CONCLUSIONS

The CLIP-based predictive model using ERUS image-text features and LightGBM showed potential for improving personalized treatment strategies. However, this study is limited by its retrospective design and single-center data.

Unraveling variations and enhancing prediction of successful sphincter-preserving resection for low rectal cancer: a post hoc analysis of the multicentre LASRE randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of successful sphincter-preserving resection (SSPR) for low rectal cancer enables peer institutions to scrutinize their own performance and potentially avoid unnecessary permanent colostomy. The aim of this study is to evaluate the variation in SSPR and present the first artificial intelligence (AI) models to predict SSPR in low rectal cancer patients.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective post hoc analysis of a multicenter, non-inferiority randomized clinical trial (LASRE, NCT01899547) conducted in 22 tertiary hospitals across China. A total of 604 patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by radical resection of low rectal cancer were included as the study cohort, which was then split into a training set (67%) and a testing set (33%). The primary end point of this post hoc analysis was SSPR, which was defined as meeting all the following criteria: (1) sphincter-preserving resection; (2) complete or nearly complete TME, (3) a clear CRM (distance between margin and tumour of 1 mm or more), and (4) a clear DRM (distance between margin and tumour of 1 mm or more). Seven AI algorithms, namely, support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), light gradient boosting (LGB), decision tree classifier (DTC), random forest (RF) classifier, and multilayer perceptron (MLP), were employed to construct predictive models for SSPR. Evaluation of accuracy in the independent testing set included measures of discrimination, calibration, and clinical applicability.

RESULTS

The SSPR rate for the entire cohort was 71.9% (434/604 patients). Significant variation in the rate of SSPR, ranging from 37.7 to 94.4%, was observed among the hospitals. The optimal set of selected features included tumour distance from the anal verge before and after CRT, the occurrence of clinical T downstaging, post-CRT weight and clinical N stage measured by magnetic resonance imaging. The seven different AI algorithms were developed and applied to the independent testing set. The LR, LGB, MLP and XGB models showed excellent discrimination with area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) values of 0.825, 0.819, 0.819 and 0.805, respectively. The DTC, RF and SVM models had acceptable discrimination with AUROC values of 0.797, 0.766 and 0.744, respectively. LR and LGB showed the best discrimination, and all seven AI models had superior overall net benefits within the range of 0.3-0.8 threshold probabilities. Finally, we developed an online calculator based on the LGB model to facilitate clinical use.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of SSPR exhibits substantial variation, and the application of AI models has demonstrated the ability to predict SSPR for low rectal cancers with commendable accuracy.

Efficacy and safety of sequential neoadjuvant chemotherapy and short-course radiation therapy followed by delayed surgery in locally advanced rectal cancer: a single-arm phase II clinical trial with subgroup analysis between the older and young patients

Purpose

This study was performed to investigate the efficacy and safety of short-course radiation therapy (SCRT) and sequential chemotherapy followed by delayed surgery in locally advancer rectal cancer with subgroup analysis between the older and young patients.

Materials and Methods

In this single-arm phase II clinical trial, eligible patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (T3–4 and/or N1–2) were enrolled. All the patients received a median three sequential cycles of neoadjuvant CAPEOX (capecitabine + oxaliplatin) chemotherapy. A total dose of 25 Gy in five fractions during 1 week was prescribed to the gross tumor and regional lymph nodes. Surgery was performed about 8 weeks following radiotherapy. Pathologic complete response rate (pCR) and grade 3–4 toxicity were compared between older patients (≥65 years) and younger patients (<65 years).

Results

Ninety-six patients with locally advanced rectal cancer were enrolled. There were 32 older patients and 64 younger patients. Overall pCR was 20.8% for all the patients. Older patients achieved similar pCR rate (18.7% vs. 21.8; p = 0.795) compared to younger patients. There was no statistically significance in terms of the tumor and the node downstaging or treatment-related toxicity between older patients and younger ones; however, the rate of sphincter-saving surgery was significantly more frequent in younger patients (73% vs. 53%; p=0.047) compared to older ones. All treatment-related toxicities were manageable and tolerable among older patients.

Conclusion

Neoadjuvant SCRT and sequential chemotherapy followed by delayed surgery was safe and effective in older patients compared to young patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

Can Pre-Treatment Inflammatory Parameters Predict the Probability of Sphincter-Preserving Surgery in Patients with Locally Advanced Low-Lying Rectal Cancer?

There is evidence suggesting that pre-treatment clinical parameters can predict the probability of sphincter-preserving surgery in rectal cancer; however, to date, data on the predictive role of inflammatory parameters on the sphincter-preservation rate are not available. The aim of the present cohort study was to investigate the association between inflammation-based parameters and the sphincter-preserving surgery rate in patients with low-lying locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). A total of 848 patients with LARC undergoing radiotherapy from 2004 to 2019 were retrospectively reviewed in order to identify patients with rectal cancer localized ≤6 cm from the anal verge, treated with neo-adjuvant radiochemotherapy (nRCT) and subsequent surgery. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to investigate the role of pre-treatment inflammatory parameters, including the C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) for the prediction of sphincter preservation. A total of 363 patients met the inclusion criteria; among them, 210 patients (57.9%) underwent sphincter-preserving surgery, and in 153 patients (42.1%), an abdominoperineal rectum resection was performed. Univariable analysis showed a significant association of the pre-treatment CRP value (OR = 2.548, 95% CI: 1.584–4.097, p < 0.001) with sphincter preservation, whereas the pre-treatment NLR (OR = 1.098, 95% CI: 0.976–1.235, p = 0.120) and PLR (OR = 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000–1.005, p = 0.062) were not significantly associated with the type of surgery. In multivariable analysis, the pre-treatment CRP value (OR = 2.544; 95% CI: 1.314–4.926; p = 0.006) was identified as an independent predictive factor for sphincter-preserving surgery. The findings of the present study suggest that the pre-treatment CRP value represents an independent parameter predicting the probability of sphincter-preserving surgery in patients with low-lying LARC.

The Elevated Pre-Treatment C-Reactive Protein Predicts Poor Prognosis in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Treated with Neo-Adjuvant Radiochemotherapy

The aim of the present study was to investigate the association of the pre-treatment C-reactive protein (CRP) plasma level with survival outcomes in a cohort of 423 consecutive patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neo-adjuvant radiochemotherapy followed by surgical resection. To evaluate the prognostic value of the CRP level for clinical endpoints recurrence-free survival (RFS), local-regional control (LC), metastases-free survival (MFS), and overall survival (OS), uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses were applied, and survival rates were calculated using Kaplan–Meier analysis. The median follow-up time was 73 months. In univariate analyses, the pre-treatment CRP level was a significant predictor of RFS (hazard ratio (HR) 1.015, 95% CI 1.006–1.023; p < 0.001), LC (HR 1.015, 95% CI 1.004–1.027; p = 0.009), MFS (HR 1.014, 95% CI 1.004–1.023; p = 0.004), and OS (HR 1.016, 95% CI 1.007–1.024; p < 0.001). Additionally, univariate analysis identified the MRI circumferential resection margin (mrCRM) and pre-treatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) as significant predictor of RFS (HR 2.082, 95% CI 1.106–3.919; p = 0.023 and HR 1.005, 95% CI 1.002–1.008; p < 0.001). Univariate analysis also revealed a significant association of the mrCRM (HR 2.089, 95% CI 1.052–4.147; p = 0.035) and CEA (HR 1.006, 95% CI 1.003–1.008; p < 0.001) with MFS. Age and CEA were prognostic factors for OS (HR 1.039, 95% CI 1.013–1.066; p = 0.003 and HR 1.005, 95% CI 1.002–1.008; p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis that included parameters with a p-level < 0.20 in univariate analysis, the pre-treatment CRP remained a significant prognostic factor for RFS (HR 1.013, 95%CI 1.001–1.025; p = 0.036), LC (HR 1.014, 95% CI 1.001–1.027; p = 0.031), and MFS (HR 1.013, 95% CI 1.000–1.027; p = 0.046). The results support the hypothesis that an elevated pre-treatment CRP level is a predictor of poor outcome. If confirmed by additional studies, this easily measurable biomarker could contribute to the identification of patients who might be candidates for more aggressive local or systemic treatment approaches or the administration of anti-inflammatory drugs.