Survival risk prediction model for patients with pT1-3 N0M0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after R0 esophagectomy with two-field lymphadenectomy for therapeutic purposes

Efficacy and safety of camrelizumab in combination with neoadjuvant chemotherapy for ESCC and its impact on esophagectomy

Background

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the most common type of esophageal cancer in China. The use of neoadjuvant immunotherapy for the treatment of ESCC is gradually increasing. Camrelizumab is one such immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) used for treatment. In this retrospective study, we explored the efficacy, safety, and short-term perioperative prognosis of camrelizumab in combination with neoadjuvant chemotherapy for ESCC.

Materials and Methods

A total of 254 Chinese patients with ESCC were enrolled in the study; 48 received camrelizumab in combination with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (C-NC group), and 206 received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NC group). All patients underwent surgery after the completion of 2 cycles of neoadjuvant therapy.

Results

Twenty patients (20/48, 41.7%) in the C-NC group and 22 patients (22/206, 10.7%) in the NC group achieved a pathologic complete response (pCR) (p<0.001). Twenty-nine patients (29/48, 60.4%) in the C-NC group and 56 patients (56/206, 27.2%) in the NC group achieved major pathologic remission (MPR) (p<0.001). There was a lower incidence of myelosuppression during neoadjuvant therapy in patients in the C-NC group (33/48, 68.8%) than in the NC group (174/206, 84.5%, p=0.012). The total incidence of adverse reactions during neoadjuvant therapy was also lower in the C-NC group (37/48, 77.1%) than in the NC group (189/206, 91.7%, p=0.003). Patients in the C-NC group had more lymph nodes cleared during surgery than those in the NC group (34 vs.30, p<0.001). The logistic model showed that the treatment regimen, age, and presence of lymph node metastasis were influential factors for achieving a pCR in these patients (p<0.001). Regarding other adverse events and surgery-related data, there were no significant differences observed between the two groups.

Conclusion

Camrelizumab in combination with neoadjuvant chemotherapy is an efficacious neoadjuvant regimen with an acceptable safety profile and does not increase the difficulty of surgery or the incidence of complications. A pCR is more likely to be achieved in patients treated with camrelizumab in combination with neoadjuvant chemotherapy, in younger patients, or in those without lymph node metastases.

A Nomogram Model to Predict Post-Progression Survival in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients With Recurrence After Radical Resection

Background

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is characterized clinically by frequent recurrence, leading to a poor prognosis after radical surgery. The aim of this study was to identify a prognostic nomogram to predict the post-progression survival (PPS) of ESCC patients based on the features of primary tumor and recurrence.

Methods

A total of 234 ESCC patients who underwent recurrence after radical surgery were enrolled in this study. The independent prognostic factors screened by the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were subsequently used to construct a nomogram. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated with the concordance index (C-index), decision curve, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and validated in two validation cohorts. The Kaplan-Meier curves of different recurrence patterns were analyzed.

Results

The prognostic nomogram of PPS was established by integrating independent prognostic factors, including age, body mass index, number of lymph node dissection, recurrence pattern, and recurrence treatment. The nomogram demonstrated good performance, with C-index values of 0.756, 0.817, and 0.730 for the training and two validation cohorts. The 1-year AUC values were 0.773, 0.798, and 0.735 and 3-year AUC values were 0.832, 0.871, and 0.791, respectively. Furthermore, we found that patients with bone metastasis displayed the worst PPS compared to other isolated recurrence patterns.

Conclusion

We constructed a nomogram to reliably predict PPS, which would be valuable to provide individual managements for ESCC patients after radical surgery.