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Zyoud SH, Shakhshir M, Abushanab AS, Koni A, Shahwan M, Jairoun AA, Abu Taha A, Al-Jabi SW. Unveiling the hidden world of gut health: Exploring cutting-edge research through visualizing randomized controlled trials on the gut microbiota. World J Clin Cases 2023; 11:6132-6146. [PMID: 37731574 PMCID: PMC10507538 DOI: 10.12998/wjcc.v11.i26.6132] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2023] [Revised: 08/12/2023] [Accepted: 08/18/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The gut microbiota plays a crucial role in gastrointestinal and overall health. Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) play a crucial role in advancing our knowledge and evaluating the efficacy of therapeutic interventions targeting the gut microbiota. AIM To conduct a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of the literature on RCTs involving the gut microbiota. METHODS Using bibliometric tools, a descriptive cross-sectional investigation was conducted on scholarly publications concentrated on RCTs related to gut microbiota, spanning the years 2003 to 2022. The study used VOSviewer version 1.6.9 to examine collaboration networks between different countries and evaluate the frequently employed terms in the titles and abstracts of the retrieved publications. The primary objective of this analysis was to identify key research areas and focal points associated with RCTs involving the gut microbiota. RESULTS A total of 1061 relevant articles were identified from the 24758 research articles published between 2003 and 2022. The number of publications showed a notable increase over time, with a positive correlation (R2 = 0.978, P < 0.001). China (n = 276, 26.01%), the United States (n = 254, 23.94%), and the United Kingdom (n = 97, 9.14%) were the leading contributing countries. Københavns Universitet (n = 38, 3.58%) and Dankook University (n = 35, 3.30%) were the top active institutions. The co-occurrence analysis shows current gut microbiota research trends and important topics, such as obesity interventions targeting the gut microbiota, the efficacy and safety of fecal microbiota transplantation, and the effects of dietary interventions on humans. CONCLUSION The study highlights the rapid growth and importance of research on RCTs that involve the gut microbiota. This study provides valuable insight into research trends, identifies key players, and outlines potential future directions in this field. Additionally, the co-occurrence analysis identified important topics that play a critical role in the advancement of science and provided insights into future research directions in this field.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sa’ed H Zyoud
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
- Clinical Research Centre, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Muna Shakhshir
- Department of Nutrition, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Amani S Abushanab
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Amer Koni
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
- Division of Clinical Pharmacy, Hematology and Oncology Pharmacy Department, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Moyad Shahwan
- College of Pharmacy and Health Sciences, Ajman University, Ajman 346, United Arab Emirates
| | - Ammar Abdulrahman Jairoun
- Department of Health and Safety, Dubai Municipality, Dubai 67, United Arab Emirates
- Discipline of Clinical Pharmacy, School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM), Pulau Pinang 11500, Malaysia
| | - Adham Abu Taha
- Department of Pathology, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus 44839, Palestine
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Samah W Al-Jabi
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
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Al-Jabi SW. Global research trends and mapping knowledge structure of depression in dialysis patients. World J Psychiatry 2023; 13:593-606. [PMID: 37701544 PMCID: PMC10494777 DOI: 10.5498/wjp.v13.i8.593] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2023] [Revised: 06/27/2023] [Accepted: 07/14/2023] [Indexed: 08/17/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Depression is one of the most common and important psychological issues faced by dialysis patients. It can make it more difficult for them to adhere to their treatment regimen, which, in turn, can worsen their physical symptoms and lead to poorer health outcomes. AIM To examine the evolution and growth of publications related to dialysis and depression. The objectives were to identify the number of publications, the top active countries, the contributed institutions, funding agencies and journals, as well as to perform citation and research theme analysis. METHODS The search was conducted using the Scopus database for publications related to dialysis and depression between 1970 and 2022. Subsequently, bibliometric analysis was carried out on the data obtained using VOSviewer software, version 1.6.9. This analysis included visualization analysis, co-occurrence analysis and examination of publication trends in dialysis and depression. RESULTS We identified 800 publications that met the search criteria. The number of publications related to dialysis and depression has increased significantly in the past two decades. The USA led the way with 144 publications, which is 18% of all publications on this topic. Turkey came second with 88 publications (11%), followed by China with 55 publications (6.88%) and Iran with 52 publications (6.5%). Analysis of the research theme identified three main clusters related to gender differences in prevalence, identification of depression as a risk factor, and effective interventions to relieve depression. Future research direction analysis shows a shift toward effective interventions to relieve depression in dialysis patients. CONCLUSION This study provides a comprehensive overview of growth, trends and research themes related to dialysis and depression that could help researchers identify gaps in the literature and develop future research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samah W Al-Jabi
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
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Son HJ, Kim M, Kim DH, Kang CN. Incidence and treatment trends of infectious spondylodiscitis in South Korea: A nationwide population-based study. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0287846. [PMID: 37384614 PMCID: PMC10309630 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0287846] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2023] [Accepted: 06/13/2023] [Indexed: 07/01/2023] Open
Abstract
The incidence of infectious spondylodiscitis (IS) has increased in recent years due to an increase in the numbers of older patients with chronic diseases, as well as patients with immunocompromise, steroid use, drug abuse, invasive spinal procedures, and spinal surgeries. However, research focusing on IS in the general population is lacking. This study investigated the incidence and treatment trends of IS in South Korea using data obtained from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. A total of 169,244 patients (mean age: 58.0 years) diagnosed from 2010 to 2019 were included in the study. A total of 10,991 cases were reported in 2010 and 18,533 cases in 2019. Hence, there was a 1.5-fold increase in incidence rate per 100,000 people from 22.90 in 2010 to 35.79 in 2019 (P < 0.05). The incidence rate of pyogenic spondylodiscitis per 100,000 people increased from 15.35 in 2010 to 33.75 in 2019, and that of tuberculous spondylodiscitis decreased from 7.55 in 2010 to 2.04 in 2019 (P < 0.05, respectively). Elderly individuals ≥ 60 years of age accounted for 47.6% (80,578 patients) of all cases of IS. The proportion of patients who received conservative treatment increased from 82.4% in 2010 to 85.8% in 2019, while that of patients receiving surgical treatment decreased from 17.6% to 14.2% (P < 0.05, respectively). Among surgical treatments, the proportions of corpectomy and anterior fusion declined, while proportion of incision and drainage increased (P < 0.05, respectively). The total healthcare costs increased 2.9-fold from $29,821,391.65 in 2010 to $86,815,775.81 in 2019 with a significant increase in the ratio to gross domestic product. Hence, this population-based cohort study demonstrated that the incidence rate of IS has increased in South Korea. The conservative treatment has increased, while the surgical treatment has decreased. The socioeconomic burden of IS has increased rapidly.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hee Jung Son
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Nowon Eulji Medical Center, Eulji University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Myongwhan Kim
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Nowon Eulji Medical Center, Eulji University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Dong Hong Kim
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Chang-Nam Kang
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
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Zyoud SH, Shakhshir M, Abushanab AS, Koni A, Shahwan M, Jairoun AA, Al-Jabi SW. Bibliometric mapping of the landscape and structure of nutrition and depression research: visualization analysis. JOURNAL OF HEALTH, POPULATION, AND NUTRITION 2023; 42:33. [PMID: 37061731 PMCID: PMC10105358 DOI: 10.1186/s41043-023-00378-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2023] [Accepted: 04/11/2023] [Indexed: 04/17/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Numerous epidemiological studies have examined the relationship between dietary intake of specific foods or nutrients and the incidence of depression and have noted that nutrition has a significant impact on mental health. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to assess the state of research, the frontiers of research, and development trends in the field of nutrition and depression using bibliometric and visual analysis. METHODS We collected publications on the topic of nutrition and depression from Scopus between 2002 and 2021. Subsequently, we utilized VOSviewer 1.6.18 and Microsoft Excel 2013 to perform bibliometric analysis and visualization. Bibliometric analysis involves retrieving documents from a singular database, such as SciVerse Scopus or Web of Knowledge, and subjecting them to quantitative and qualitative analysis. Notably, gray literature is not considered in bibliometric analysis. RESULTS A total of 2171 publications on nutrition and depression were found between 2002 and 2021, namely 1855 (85.44%) original articles, 190 (8.75%) reviews, 38 (1.75%) letters, and 88 (4.05%) other types of publications. The most productive country was found to be the USA (n = 726; 33.44%), followed by Australia (n = 172; 7.92%), the United Kingdom (n = 158; 7.28%), China (n = 132; 6.08%), and Canada (n = 131; 6.03%). The remaining publications were from other countries (n = 852; 39.25%). According to the citation analysis, the retrieved papers were cited on an average of 26.6 times and had an h-index of 105 with 57,781 citations. The most frequent terms on the map include those related to (a) fatty acid links to depression and brain inflammation, (b) depression and eating disorders, and finally, (c) adherence to the Mediterranean diet and risk of depression. CONCLUSIONS The current study was the first novel bibliometric analysis of nutrition and depression research that used data extracted from Scopus for visualization network mapping. In recent years, the theme "Mediterranean diet adherence and risk of depression" has been identified more frequently, indicating that studies in this field have garnered considerable attention and reflect the most recent scientific advances. Researchers should continue to investigate nutrition and depression, and we believe this study provides significant information for researchers, nutritionists, and clinicians.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sa'ed H Zyoud
- Poison Control and Drug Information Center (PCDIC), College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus, 44839, Palestine.
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus, 44839, Palestine.
- Clinical Research Centre, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus, 44839, Palestine.
| | - Muna Shakhshir
- Department of Nutrition, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus, 44839, Palestine.
| | - Amani S Abushanab
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus, 44839, Palestine
| | - Amer Koni
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus, 44839, Palestine
- Division of Clinical Pharmacy, Hematology and Oncology Pharmacy Department, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus, 44839, Palestine
| | - Moyad Shahwan
- College of Pharmacy and Health Sciences, Ajman University, Ajman, United Arab Emirates
| | - Ammar A Jairoun
- Health and Safety Department, Dubai Municipality, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
| | - Samah W Al-Jabi
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus, 44839, Palestine
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Zyoud SH, Shakhshir M, Abushanab AS, Koni A, Shahwan M, Jairoun AA, Al-Jabi SW. Global research trends on the links between insulin resistance and obesity: a visualization analysis. TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE COMMUNICATIONS 2022; 7:18. [DOI: 10.1186/s41231-022-00124-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2022] [Accepted: 07/16/2022] [Indexed: 12/01/2023]
Abstract
AbstractBackgroundObesity increases the chance of developing insulin resistance. Numerous inflammatory markers have been linked to an increased risk of insulin resistance in obese individuals. Therefore, we performed a bibliometric analysis to determine global research activity and current trends in the field of obesity and insulin resistance.MethodsScopus was used between 2002 and 2021 to retrieve publications related to terms related to obesity and insulin resistance. Data were exported to Microsoft Excel. Additionally, we use VOSviewer software to create visualization maps that describe international collaborations and research hotspots.ResultsWe identified 6626 publications, including 5754 journal articles, 498 review articles, and 109 letters to the editor. The most productive countries were the United States (n = 995, 30.11%), followed by China (n = 650, 9.81%), Italy (n = 412, 6.22%) and Spain (n = 386, 5.83%). Previously to 2012, this field was mainly focused on ‘adipocyte dysfunctions that link obesity with insulin resistance”; and ‘relationship between obesity, insulin resistance, and risk of cardiovascular disease’. ‘Supplements improve insulin sensitivity‘, and ‘obesity-induced inflammation and insulin resistance’ were found more recently (after 2014), indicating that research in this field has acquired significant interest and emphasis in recent years.ConclusionsThis is the first bibliometric study to focus on publications related to insulin resistance and obesity at the global level. Our reporting of quantifiable knowledge in this field may be useful in providing evidence and direction for future research, clinical practice, and educational initiatives.
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Zyoud SH, Shakhshir M, Koni A, Abushanab AS, Shahwan M, Jairoun AA, Al Subu R, Abu Taha A, Al-Jabi SW. Mapping the global research landscape on insulin resistance: Visualization and bibliometric analysis. World J Diabetes 2022; 13:786-798. [PMID: 36188144 PMCID: PMC9521436 DOI: 10.4239/wjd.v13.i9.786] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2022] [Revised: 05/04/2022] [Accepted: 08/05/2022] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Insulin resistance is a risk factor for metabolic syndromes and is associated with a wide variety of metabolic illnesses, including obesity, type 2 diabetes, and cardiovascular disease.
AIM To investigate and map global insulin resistance studies.
METHODS A bibliometric methodology was applied to the literature retrieved from the Scopus database and Reference Citation Analysis (https://www.referencecitationanalysis.com) by using a validated search strategy. The study period was limited from 2002 to 2021. Bibliometric indicators and mapping were presented.
RESULTS A total of 26808 articles on the topic of insulin resistance were included in the Scopus database. The articles included research articles (n = 21918; 81.76%), review articles (n = 2641; 9.85%), and letters (n = 653; 2.44%). During the study period, 136 countries contributed to the research on insulin resistance. The highest number of articles was from the United States (n = 7360; 27.45%), followed by China (n = 3713; 13.85%), Japan (n = 1730, 6.45%), Italy (n = 1545; 5.54%), and the United Kingdom (n = 1484; 5.54%). The retrieved articles identified two main research themes: “inflammatory mechanisms in the regulation of insulin resistance” and “mechanisms linking obesity to insulin resistance”.
CONCLUSION Our data show that insulin resistance has steadily gained interest from researchers, as evidenced by the number of citations and yearly publications. Publications have grown significantly in the last decade, while low-income countries with greater burdens continue to produce fewer publications in this field. This approach might assist researchers in choosing new research areas and recognizing research hotspots and frontiers. In the future, perhaps high-quality clinical evidence will be acquired.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sa’ed H Zyoud
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
- Poison Control and Drug Information Center, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
- Clinical Research Centre, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Muna Shakhshir
- Department of Nutrition, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Amer Koni
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
- Division of Clinical Pharmacy, Department of Hematology and Oncology Ph-armacy, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Amani S Abushanab
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Moyad Shahwan
- Department of Pharmacy, Ajman University, Ajman 346, United Arab Emirates
- Centre of Medical and Bio Allied Health Sciences Research, Ajman University, Ajman 346, United Arab Emirates
| | | | - Rand Al Subu
- Department of Medicine, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Adham Abu Taha
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
- Department of Pathology, An-Najah National University Hospital, Nablus 44839, Palestine
| | - Samah W Al-Jabi
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, Palestine
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Al-Jabi SW. Current global research landscape on COVID-19 and depressive disorders: Bibliometric and visualization analysis. World J Psychiatry 2021; 11:253-264. [PMID: 34168972 PMCID: PMC8209539 DOI: 10.5498/wjp.v11.i6.253] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2021] [Revised: 04/02/2021] [Accepted: 05/24/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has affected daily life globally dramatically over the last year. The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on mental health is expected to be immense and likely to be long-lasting, raising a range of global problems that need to be addressed accordingly.
AIM To analyze the Scopus-based depression research and COVID-19, explain the advancement of research nowadays, and comment on the possible hotspots of depression research and COVID-19 to obtain a more global perspective.
METHODS In this report, bibliometric analysis and visualization are used to explain COVID-19's global research status on depression and provide researchers with a guide to identify future research directions. Relevant studies on depression and COVID-19 were retrieved from the Scopus database. Visualization maps were produced using the VOSviewer software, including research collaboration.
RESULTS At the time of data collection (November 18, 2020), 77217 documents were released by Scopus to COVID-19 in all areas of research. By limiting the search to depression and COVID-19 (January 2020 up until November 18, 2020), there are 1274 published articles on depression and COVID-19 in the Scopus. The great majority of which are original articles (n = 1049, 82.34%), followed by 118 review articles (9.26%), 66 letters (5.18%). The United States had the highest number of publications at 282 (22.14%), followed by China (19.07%) at 243 and Italy at 121 (9.5%). The major two clusters are signified by mental health outcomes among the general population and mental health outcomes among health care workers.
CONCLUSION The evidence from this study found that many articles focused on mental health outcomes among the general population and health care workers. With adequate psychological support offered by the government or community agencies, mental health in various communities should be put within the local and global public health agenda. This changing situation involves the scientific community's collaborative efforts to contribute to population monitoring during quarantine and COVID-19 outbreaks and to examine the short- and long-term adverse effects on psychological well-being.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samah W Al-Jabi
- Department of Clinical and Community Pharmacy, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus 44839, West Bank, Palestine
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Sweileh WM. Global Research Activity on E-Learning in Health Sciences Education: a Bibliometric Analysis. MEDICAL SCIENCE EDUCATOR 2021; 31:765-775. [PMID: 33680569 PMCID: PMC7920637 DOI: 10.1007/s40670-021-01254-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/16/2021] [Indexed: 05/04/2023]
Abstract
Objective Progress in electronic learning (e-learning) and health sciences education is an indicator of the national and international efforts to achieve sustainable development goals regarding good health and quality education. The objective of the current study was to describe research volume and trends on e-learning in the health sciences education. Methods A bibliometric methodology was adopted. The study period was from database inception until December 31, 2020. The data was downloaded from Scopus as a "csv" file. The data was analyzed to reveal prominent contributing countries, institution, authorship patterns, the degree of collaboration, international research collaboration, prominent sources for publications, frequent author keywords, the impact of research in terms of citations, and healthcare groups targeted in research. Results In total, 4576 records were retrieved. The analysis revealed an increasing growth in number of publications with time. There was a sharp peak in 2020. Recent literature on e-learning in health education included keywords such as flipped classroom, mobile learning, blended learning, and COVID-19. Countries in the European region and the region of the Americas have the highest contribution while countries in the African and the South-East Asian region have the least contribution. There was an increasing trend in the degree of author collaboration with time. However, the extent of international research collaboration was inadequate. The USA had the least percentage of documents with international authors (18%) while Sweden had the highest (70.6%). Documents published from Canada had the highest number of citations per document. The Karolinska Institute, based in Sweden, was the most active institution. The Medical Teacher journal ranked first in the number of publications while documents published in the Academic Medicine journal received the highest number of citations per document. The bulk of the retrieved literature was about medical or nursing education. The retrieved documents had an average of 12.7 citations per document and an H-index of 81. Conclusion Data presented can be used to develop and enhance e-learning in health sciences education in regions with poor research contribution. Policies regarding open access publications, international research collaboration, and adoption of e-learning methodologies in low- and middle-income countries need to be endorsed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Waleed M. Sweileh
- Department of Physiology, Pharmacology/Toxicology, Division of Biomedical Sciences, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, An-Najah National University, Nablus, Palestine
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Zhang Y, Duan Y, Ma J, Huang Y, Chen X, Zheng ZJ. State fragility and the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic: an ecologic analysis of data from 146 countries. GLOBAL HEALTH JOURNAL 2021; 5:18-23. [PMID: 33585049 PMCID: PMC7866846 DOI: 10.1016/j.glohj.2021.02.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2020] [Revised: 12/16/2020] [Accepted: 01/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Global spread and impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic are determined to a large extent, by resistance to the pandemic and public response of all countries in the world; while a country's resistance and response are in turn determined by its political and socio economic conditions. To inform future disease prevention and control, we analyzed global data to exam the relationship between state vulnerabilities and COVID-19 incidences and deaths. METHODS Vulnerability was measured using the Fragile States Index (FSI). FSI is created by the Fund for Peace to assess levels of fragility for individual countries. Total FSI score and scores for 12 specific indicators were used as the predictor variables. Outcome variables were national cumulative COVID-19 cases and deaths up to September 16, 2020, derived from the World Health Organization. Cumulative incidence rates were computed using 2019 National population derived from the World Bank, and case fatality rates were computed as the ratio of deaths/COVID-19 cases. Countries with incomplete data were excluded, yielding a final sample of 146 countries. Multivariate regression was used to examine the association between the predictor and the outcome measures. RESULTS There were dramatic cross-country variations in both FSI and COVID-19 epidemiological measurements. FSI total scores were negatively associated with both COVID-19 cumulative incidence rates (β = -0.0135, P < 0.001) and case fatality rates (β = -0.0147, P < 0.05). Of the 12 FSI indicators, three negatively associated with COVID-19 incidences were E1(Economic Decline and Poverty), E3 (Human Flight and Brain Drain), and S2 (Refugees and Internally Displaced Persons); two positively associated were P1 (State Legitimacy) and X1 (External Intervention). With regard to association with case fatality rates, C1 (Security Apparatus) was positive, and P3 (Human Rights and Rule of Law) and X1 was negative. CONCLUSION With FSI measures by the Fund of Peace, overall, more fragile countries are less likely to be affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, and even if affected, death rates were lower. However, poor in state legitimacy and lack of external intervention are risk for COVID-19 infection and lack of security apparatus is risky for COVID-19 death. Implications of the study findings are discussed and additional studies are needed to examine the mechanisms underpinning these relationships.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yuqi Duan
- Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
- Institute for Global Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Junxiong Ma
- Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
- Institute for Global Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Yangmu Huang
- Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
- Institute for Global Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Xinguang Chen
- Department of Epidemiology, College of Public Health and Health Professions and College of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA
| | - Zhi-Jie Zheng
- Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
- Institute for Global Health, Peking University, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
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