The Marsden Morbidity Index: the derivation and validation of a simple risk index scoring system using cardiopulmonary exercise testing variables to predict morbidity in high-risk patients having major cancer surgery

Ventilatory efficiency as a prognostic factor for postoperative complications in patients undergoing elective major surgery: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Major surgery is associated with high complication rates. Several risk scores exist to assess individual patient risk before surgery but have limited precision. Novel prognostic factors can be included as additional building blocks in existing prediction models. A candidate prognostic factor, measured by cardiopulmonary exercise testing, is ventilatory efficiency (VE/VCO2). The aim of this systematic review was to summarise evidence regarding VE/VCO2 as a prognostic factor for postoperative complications in patients undergoing major surgery.

METHODS

A medical library specialist developed the search strategy. No database-provided limits, considering study types, languages, publication years, or any other formal criteria were applied to any of the sources. Two reviewers assessed eligibility of each record and rated risk of bias in included studies.

RESULTS

From 10,082 screened records, 65 studies were identified as eligible. We extracted adjusted associations from 32 studies and unadjusted from 33 studies. Risk of bias was a concern in the domains 'study confounding' and 'statistical analysis'. VE/VCO2 was reported as a prognostic factor for short-term complications after thoracic and abdominal surgery. VE/VCO2 was also reported as a prognostic factor for mid- to long-term mortality. Data-driven covariable selection was applied in 31 studies. Eighteen studies excluded VE/VCO2 from the final multivariable regression owing to data-driven model-building approaches.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review identifies VE/VCO2 as a predictor for short-term complications after thoracic and abdominal surgery. However, the available data do not allow conclusions about clinical decision-making. Future studies should select covariables for adjustment a priori based on external knowledge.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW PROTOCOL

PROSPERO (CRD42022369944).

A retrospective analysis of the association of effort-independent cardiopulmonary exercise test variables with postoperative complications in patients who underwent elective colorectal surgery

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the association of effort-independent variables derived from the preoperative cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) with 30-day postoperative complications after elective colorectal surgery.

METHODS

A multicenter (n=4) retrospective explorative study was performed using data of patients who completed a preoperative CPET and underwent elective colorectal surgery. The preoperative slope of the relation between minute ventilation and carbon dioxide production (VE/VCO2-slope) and the oxygen uptake efficiency slope (OUES), as well as 30-day postoperative complications, were assessed. Multivariable logistic regression analyses and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to investigate the prognostic value of the relationship between these preoperative CPET-derived effort-independent variables and postoperative complications.

RESULTS

Data from 102 patients (60.1% males) with a median age of 72.0 (interquartile range 67.8-77.4) years were analyzed. Forty-four patients (43.1%) had one or more postoperative complications (of which 52.3% general and 77.3% surgical complications). Merely 10 (9.8%) patients had a general complication only. In multivariate analysis adjusted for surgical approach (open versus minimally invasive surgery), the VE/VCO2-slope (odds ratio (OR) 1.08, confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.16) and OUES (OR 0.94, CI 0.89-1.00) were statistically significant associated with the occurrence of 30-day postoperative complications.

CONCLUSION

The effort-independent VE/VCO2-slope and OUES might be used to assist in future preoperative risk assessment and could especially be of added value in patients who are unable or unwilling to deliver a maximal cardiorespiratory effort. Future research should reveal the predictive value of these variables individually and/or in combination with other prognostic (CPET-derived) variables for postoperative complications.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05331196.

Multimodal prehabilitation for major surgery in elderly patients to lower complications: protocol of a randomised, prospective, multicentre, multidisciplinary trial (PREHABIL Trial)

INTRODUCTION

The global volume of surgery is growing and the population ageing, and economic pressure is rising. Major surgery is associated with relevant morbidity and mortality. Postoperative reduction in physiological and functional capacity is especially marked in the elderly, multimorbid patient with low fitness level, sarcopenia and malnutrition. Interventions aiming to optimise the patient prior to surgery (prehabilitation) may reduce postoperative complications and consequently reduce health costs.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a multicentre, multidisciplinary, prospective, 2-arm parallel-group, randomised, controlled trial with blinded outcome assessment. Primary outcome is the Comprehensive Complications Index at 30 days. Within 3 years, we aim to include 2×233 patients with a proven fitness deficit undergoing major surgery to be randomised using a computer-generated random numbers and a minimisation technique. The study intervention consists of a structured, multimodal, multidisciplinary prehabilitation programme over 2-4 weeks addressing deficits in physical fitness and nutrition, diabetes control, correction of anaemia and smoking cessation versus standard of care.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The PREHABIL trial has been approved by the responsible ethics committee (Kantonale Ethikkomission Bern, project ID 2020-01690). All participants provide written informed consent prior to participation. Participant recruitment began in February 2022 (10 and 8 patients analysed at time of submission), with anticipated completion in 2025. Publication of the results in peer-reviewed scientific journals are expected in late 2025.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04461301.