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Siu DHW, Lin FPY, Cho D, Lord SJ, Heller GZ, Simes RJ, Lee CK. Framework for the Use of External Controls to Evaluate Treatment Outcomes in Precision Oncology Trials. JCO Precis Oncol 2024; 8:e2300317. [PMID: 38190581 DOI: 10.1200/po.23.00317] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2023] [Revised: 09/03/2023] [Accepted: 10/13/2023] [Indexed: 01/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Advances in genomics have enabled anticancer therapies to be tailored to target specific genomic alterations. Single-arm trials (SATs), including those incorporated within umbrella, basket, and platform trials, are widely adopted when it is not feasible to conduct randomized controlled trials in rare biomarker-defined subpopulations. External controls (ECs), defined as control arm data derived outside the clinical trial, have gained renewed interest as a strategy to supplement evidence generated from SATs to allow comparative analysis. There are increasing examples demonstrating the application of EC in precision oncology trials. The prospective application of EC in conducting comparative studies is associated with distinct methodological challenges, the specific considerations for EC use in biomarker-defined subpopulations have not been adequately discussed, and a formal framework is yet to be established. In this review, we present a framework for conducting a prospective comparative analysis using EC. Key steps are (1) defining the purpose of using EC to address the study question, (2) determining if the external data are fit for purpose, (3) developing a transparent study protocol and a statistical analysis plan, and (iv) interpreting results and drawing conclusions on the basis of a prespecified hypothesis. We specify the considerations required for the biomarker-defined subpopulations, which include (1) specifying the comparator and biomarker status of the comparator group, (2) defining lines of treatment, (3) assessment of the biomarker testing panels used, and (4) assessment of cohort stratification in tumor-agnostic studies. We further discuss novel clinical trial designs and statistical techniques leveraging EC to propose future directions to advance evidence generation and facilitate drug development in precision oncology.
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Affiliation(s)
- Derrick H W Siu
- National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia
- Department of Medical Oncology, Illawarra Cancer Care Centre, Wollongong, NSW, Australia
| | - Frank P Y Lin
- National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia
- Kinghorn Centre for Clinical Genomics, Garvan Institute of Medical Research, Darlinghurst, NSW, Australia
- School of Clinical Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Doah Cho
- National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia
| | - Sarah J Lord
- National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia
- School of Medicine, University of Notre Dame, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Gillian Z Heller
- National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia
- Mathematics and Statistics, Macquarie University, Macquarie Park, NSW, Australia
| | - R John Simes
- National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia
| | - Chee Khoon Lee
- National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia
- Cancer Care Centre, St George Hospital, Kogarah, NSW, Australia
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Araki K, Matsumoto N, Togo K, Yonemoto N, Ohki E, Xu L, Hasegawa Y, Satoh D, Takemoto R, Miyazaki T. Developing Artificial Intelligence Models for Extracting Oncologic Outcomes from Japanese Electronic Health Records. Adv Ther 2023; 40:934-950. [PMID: 36547809 PMCID: PMC9988800 DOI: 10.1007/s12325-022-02397-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2022] [Accepted: 12/01/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION A framework that extracts oncological outcomes from large-scale databases using artificial intelligence (AI) is not well established. Thus, we aimed to develop AI models to extract outcomes in patients with lung cancer using unstructured text data from electronic health records of multiple hospitals. METHODS We constructed AI models (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers [BERT], Naïve Bayes, and Longformer) for tumor evaluation using the University of Miyazaki Hospital (UMH) database. This data included both structured and unstructured data from progress notes, radiology reports, and discharge summaries. The BERT model was applied to the Life Data Initiative (LDI) data set of six hospitals. Study outcomes included the performance of AI models and time to progression of disease (TTP) for each line of treatment based on the treatment response extracted by AI models. RESULTS For the UMH data set, the BERT model exhibited higher precision accuracy compared to the Naïve Bayes or the Longformer models, respectively (precision [0.42 vs. 0.47 or 0.22], recall [0.63 vs. 0.46 or 0.33] and F1 scores [0.50 vs. 0.46 or 0.27]). When this BERT model was applied to LDI data, prediction accuracy remained quite similar. The Kaplan-Meier plots of TTP (months) showed similar trends for the first (median 14.9 [95% confidence interval 11.5, 21.1] and 16.8 [12.6, 21.8]), the second (7.8 [6.7, 10.7] and 7.8 [6.7, 10.7]), and the later lines of treatment for the predicted data by the BERT model and the manually curated data. CONCLUSION We developed AI models to extract treatment responses in patients with lung cancer using a large EHR database; however, the model requires further improvement.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenji Araki
- Patient Advocacy Center, University of Miyazaki Hospital, Miyazaki, Japan
| | - Nobuhiro Matsumoto
- Division of Respirology, Rheumatology, Infectious Diseases, and Neurology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Miyazaki, Miyazaki, Japan
| | - Kanae Togo
- Health & Value, Pfizer Japan Inc., Tokyo, Japan.
| | | | - Emiko Ohki
- Oncology Medical Affairs, Pfizer Japan Inc, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Linghua Xu
- Health & Value, Pfizer Japan Inc., Tokyo, Japan
| | | | - Daisuke Satoh
- Research and Development Headquarters, NTT DATA Corporation, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Ryota Takemoto
- Manufacturing IT Innovation Sector, NTT DATA Corporation, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Taiga Miyazaki
- Division of Respirology, Rheumatology, Infectious Diseases, and Neurology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Miyazaki, Miyazaki, Japan
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Araki K, Matsumoto N, Togo K, Yonemoto N, Ohki E, Xu L, Hasegawa Y, Inoue H, Yamashita S, Miyazaki T. Real-world treatment response in Japanese patients with cancer using unstructured data from electronic health records. HEALTH AND TECHNOLOGY 2023. [DOI: 10.1007/s12553-023-00739-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/17/2023]
Abstract
Abstract
Purpose
We generated methods for evaluating clinical outcomes including treatment response in oncology using the unstructured data from electronic health records (EHR) in Japanese language.
Methods
This retrospective analysis used medical record database and administrative data of University of Miyazaki Hospital in Japan of patients with lung/breast cancer. Treatment response (objective response [OR], stable disease [SD] or progressive disease [PD]) was adjudicated by two evaluators using clinicians’ progress notes, radiology reports and pathological reports of 15 patients with lung cancer (training data set). For assessing key terms to describe treatment response, natural language processing (NLP) rules were created from the texts identified by the evaluators and broken down by morphological analysis. The NLP rules were applied for assessing data of other 70 lung cancer and 30 breast cancer patients, who were not adjudicated, to examine if any difference in using key terms exist between these patients.
Results
A total of 2,039 records in progress notes, 131 in radiology reports and 60 in pathological reports of 15 patients, were adjudicated. Progress notes were the most common primary source data for treatment assessment (60.7%), wherein, the most common key terms with high sensitivity and specificity to describe OR were “reduction/shrink”, for SD were “(no) remarkable change/(no) aggravation)” and for PD were “(limited) effect” and “enlargement/grow”. These key terms were also found in other larger cohorts of 70 patients with lung cancer and 30 patients with breast cancer.
Conclusion
This study demonstrated that assessing response to anticancer therapy using Japanese EHRs is feasible by interpreting progress notes, radiology reports and Japanese key terms using NLP.
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Kehl KL, Riely GJ, Lepisto EM, Lavery JA, Warner JL, LeNoue-Newton ML, Sweeney SM, Rudolph JE, Brown S, Yu C, Bedard PL, Schrag D, Panageas KS. Correlation Between Surrogate End Points and Overall Survival in a Multi-institutional Clinicogenomic Cohort of Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung or Colorectal Cancer. JAMA Netw Open 2021; 4:e2117547. [PMID: 34309669 PMCID: PMC8314138 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.17547] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Contemporary observational cancer research requires associating genomic biomarkers with reproducible end points; overall survival (OS) is a key end point, but interpretation can be challenging when multiple lines of therapy and prolonged survival are common. Progression-free survival (PFS), time to treatment discontinuation (TTD), and time to next treatment (TTNT) are alternative end points, but their utility as surrogates for OS in real-world clinicogenomic data sets has not been well characterized. OBJECTIVE To measure correlations between candidate surrogate end points and OS in a multi-institutional clinicogenomic data set. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS A retrospective cohort study was conducted of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) or colorectal cancer (CRC) whose tumors were genotyped at 4 academic centers from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2017, and who initiated systemic therapy for advanced disease. Patients were followed up through August 31, 2020 (NSCLC), and October 31, 2020 (CRC). Statistical analyses were conducted on January 5, 2021. EXPOSURES Candidate surrogate end points included TTD; TTNT; PFS based on imaging reports only; PFS based on medical oncologist ascertainment only; PFS based on either imaging or medical oncologist ascertainment, whichever came first; and PFS defined by a requirement that both imaging and medical oncologist ascertainment have indicated progression. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was the correlation between candidate surrogate end points and OS. RESULTS There were 1161 patients with NSCLC (648 women [55.8%]; mean [SD] age, 63 [11] years) and 1150 with CRC (647 men [56.3%]; mean [SD] age, 54 [12] years) identified for analysis. Progression-free survival based on both imaging and medical oncologist documentation was most correlated with OS (NSCLC: ρ = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.73-0.79; CRC: ρ = 0.73; 95% CI, 0.69-0.75). Time to treatment discontinuation was least associated with OS (NSCLC: ρ = 0.45; 95% CI, 0.40-0.50; CRC: ρ = 0.13; 95% CI, 0.06-0.19). Time to next treatment was modestly associated with OS (NSCLC: ρ = 0.60; 0.55-0.64; CRC: ρ = 0.39; 95% CI, 0.32-0.46). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE This cohort study suggests that PFS based on both a radiologist and a treating oncologist determining that a progression event has occurred was the surrogate end point most highly correlated with OS for analysis of observational clinicogenomic data.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenneth L. Kehl
- Department of Medical Oncology, Division of Population Sciences, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Gregory J. Riely
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York
| | - Eva M. Lepisto
- Department of Medical Oncology, Division of Population Sciences, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Jessica A. Lavery
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York
| | - Jeremy L. Warner
- Department of Medicine, Division of Hematology/Oncology, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee
| | | | - Shawn M. Sweeney
- American Association for Cancer Research, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Julia E. Rudolph
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York
| | - Samantha Brown
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York
| | - Celeste Yu
- Division of Medical Oncology & Hematology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre/University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Philippe L. Bedard
- Division of Medical Oncology & Hematology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre/University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Deborah Schrag
- Department of Medical Oncology, Division of Population Sciences, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
- Associate Editor, JAMA
| | - Katherine S. Panageas
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York
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Warner JL, Klemm JD. Informatics Tools for Cancer Research and Care: Bridging the Gap Between Innovation and Implementation. JCO Clin Cancer Inform 2020; 4:784-786. [PMID: 32870722 DOI: 10.1200/cci.20.00086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | - Juli D Klemm
- National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD
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