Early tumor shrinkage after first-line medical treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis.
Int J Clin Oncol 2019;
24:231-240. [PMID:
30719690 DOI:
10.1007/s10147-019-01405-1]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2018] [Accepted: 01/23/2019] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Early tumor shrinkage (ETS) is a response-related endpoint of clinical trials of chemotherapy (CHT) of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). It identifies a dimensional reduction of tumor size by at least 20-30% after 6-8 weeks of CHT.
METHODS
A literature search of randomized trials of systemic treatment including CHT with or without antiangiogenics or anti-EGFR inhibitors in patients with mCRC has been conducted, and studies reporting the results of the relationship of ETS with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were selected.
RESULTS
Twelve trials, including 3117 patients, have been included; all data were retrospective and only 72% of the enrolled patients have been evaluated for ETS. Two meta-analyses, each including 20 study cohorts from the selected 12 trials, reported a strong relationship of ETS with OS (HR 0.62; CIs 0.55-0.69) and of ETS with PFS (HR 0.66; CIs 0.60-0.73). However, both meta-analyses displayed a high level of heterogeneity. Among nine possible moderators, three variables (median age, surgery of metastases, and publication year) were able to explain at least a part of this heterogeneity.
CONCLUSION
ETS is a simple and interesting intermediate endpoint for clinical practice and future trials of medical treatments of patients with mCRC, but a large prospective analysis and validation are mandatory.
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