Postoperative Adjuvant Anastrozole for 10 or 5 Years in Patients With Hormone Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer: AERAS, a Randomized Multicenter Open-Label Phase III Trial

Validation of late recurrence prediction by gene expression profiles and clinicopathological factors in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The mechanism of late recurrence (LR) of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer remains unclear, as previous studies have separately investigated "gene expression profiles" and "clinicopathological factors." Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the predictive capability of LR by combining the two independent factors of gene expression profiles (42-gene classifier: 42GC) and clinicopathological factors (Clinical Treatment Score post-5 years: CTS5) in multiple large cohorts.

METHODS

We analyzed microarray CEL file data downloaded from public databases of 28 global cohorts. A total of 2,454 patients with ER-positive breast cancer were analyzed for 42GC, and 1,263 of these, with complete clinicopathological data were analyzed for CTS5.

RESULTS

In the analysis of recurrent patients, the 42GC LR and CTS5 low-risk group tended to have LR. Notably, in the analysis of patients with and without recurrence, the highest LR rate beyond 5 years was observed in the CTS5 high-risk group. The combination of the 42GC and CTS5 high-risk groups showed the highest LR rate (16.9%), significantly exceeding that of the 42GC non-LR (NLR) and CTS5 low-risk combination (5.41%) (p = 0.038, odds ratio = 3.53). Furthermore, incorporating a third factor, 95GC, potentially reduced the number of patients prioritized for extended hormonal therapy for approximately one-quarter of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Results confirmed that the two factors, gene expression profiles and clinicopathological factors, affect the time of recurrence. It also showed that the biological predisposition for LR (CTS5 low-risk) differed from the high LR rate (CTS5 high-risk). In clinical practice, patients with the 42GC LR and CTS5 high-risk combination should be prioritized for extended hormonal therapy. The addition of CTS5 and 95GC to 42GC allows for better risk classification of LR.

Validation of CTS5 Model in Large-scale Breast Cancer Population and Combination of CTS5 and Ki-67 Status to Develop a Novel Nomogram for Prognosis Prediction

BACKGROUND

More than half of patients with early-stage estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer relapse after completing 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy, so it is important to determine which patients are candidates for extended endocrine therapy. The clinical treatment score after 5 years (CTS5) is a prognostic tool developed based on postmenopausal ER+ breast cancer to assess the risk of late distant recurrence (LDR) after 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy for breast cancer. We aimed to externally validate the prognostic value of CTS5 in premenopausal and postmenopausal patients and combined with Ki-67 to develop a new model to improve the ability of prognosis prediction.

METHODS

We included a total of 516 patients with early-stage ER+ breast cancer who had received 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy and were recurrence-free for 5 years after surgery. According to menopausal status, we divided the study population into 2 groups: premenopausal and postmenopausal women. The CTS5 of each patient was calculated using a previously published formula, and the patients were divided into low, intermediate, and high CTS5 risk groups according to their CTS5 values. Based on the results of the univariate analysis ( P <0.01), a multivariate COX proportional hazards regression analysis was conducted to establish a nomogram with significant variables ( P <0.05). The discriminative power and accuracy of the nomograms were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated by bootstrapping 1000 times. Finally, we utilized decision curve analysis to assess the performance of our novel predictive model in comparison to the CTS5 scoring system with regard to their respective benefits and advantages.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 7 years (6 to 9 years). The 516 women were categorized by CTS5 as follows: 246(47.7%) low risk, 179(34.7%) intermediate risk, and 91(17.6%) high risk. Using the CTS5 score as a continuous variable, patients' risk score was significantly positively associated with recurrence risk in both premenopausal and postmenopausal subgroups. For HER2- premenopausal patients and HER2+ postmenopausal patients, the CTS5 score was positively correlated with LDR risk. Patients with a Ki-67≥20% had a higher risk of LDR regardless of menopausal status. Using the CTS5 score as a categorical variable, the high-risk group of HER2- premenopausal patients had a higher risk of LDR. However, the CTS5 model could not distinguish the risk of LDR in different risk groups for HER2+ postmenopausal patients. In the high-risk group, patients with Ki-67≥20% had a higher risk of LDR, regardless of menopausal status. We developed a new nomogram model by combining the CTS5 model with Ki-67 levels. The C-indexes premenopausal and postmenopausal cohorts were 0.731 and 0.713, respectively. The nomogram model was well calibrated, and the time-dependent ROC curves indicated good specificity and sensitivity. Furthermore, decision curve analysis demonstrated that the new model had a wider and practical range of threshold probabilities, resulting in an increased net benefit compared with the CTS5 model.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that the CTS5 model can effectively predict the risk of LDR in early-stage ER+ breast cancer patients in both premenopausal and postmenopausal patients. Extended endocrine therapy is recommended for patients with Ki-67≥20% in the CTS5 high-risk group, as well as premenopausal patients with HER2-. Compared with CTS5, the new nomogram model has better identification and calibration capabilities, and further research is required to validate its efficacy in large-scale, multicenter, and prospective studies.

[Effects of extended aromatase inhibitors in women with hormone-dependent breast cancer who have already received five years of adjuvant hormone therapy: A systematic review and meta-analysis]

INTRODUCTION

Evaluating the benefits and risks of prolonged hormonal treatment with aromatase inhibitors (AIs) for treating hormone-dependent breast cancer.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted. Studies reporting on randomized clinical trials concerning prolongating hormonal therapy with AIs as compared to a placebo or no prolongation, after an initial five years of hormonal therapy, were eligible.

RESULTS

Seven clinical trials were included. Prolonged AI therapy was associated with a statistically significant improvement in disease-free survival (RR=0.70, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.80). A statistically significant increase was observed for osteoporosis (RR=1.17, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.33), hot flushes/flashes (RR=1.27, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.49), myalgia (RR=1.23, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.39), fractures (RR=1.26, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.45) and arthralgia (RR=1.17, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.25). However, no statistically significant association was observed between prolonged AI therapy and overall survival, cardiovascular events, and bone pain.

DISCUSSION

Prolonged AI therapy has significant benefits in terms of disease-free survival in women with hormone-dependent breast cancer. However, adverse effects and a lack of evidence for a benefit on overall survival must be considered in the decision-making process regarding adjuvant hormone therapy extension.

Updates in the treatment of HR+HER2- breast cancer

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Breast cancer (BC) is the most common cancer among women in the United States and the second leading cause of cancer death. BC research, diagnostics, drug development, and expansion of therapies for novel indications advances so rapidly that BC treatment standards change month-by-month. Herein we discuss notable advancements in the past year for hormone receptor positive (HR+) HER2 negative (HER2-) BC.

RECENT FINDINGS

Radiolabeled estradiol imaging and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) have changed our approach to metastatic BC (mBC) detection. Amongst an abundance of therapy options, treatment de-escalation to avoid toxicities is a priority. Promising results with CDK4/6 inhibitors in the curative setting have been demonstrated even as we await final data for use in the metastatic setting. Several novel endocrine therapies are expected to gain FDA-approval in the near future. Antibody-drug conjugates have expanded from other mBC types to HR+HER2- mBC. The PROMISE trial helped define disease recurrence outcomes for premenopausal women seeking pregnancy.

SUMMARY

The diagnostic and treatment landscape for HR+HER2- BC continues to rapidly evolve on multiple fronts.

10 years or less of extended adjuvant endocrine therapy for postmenopausal breast cancer patients: A systematic review and network meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Adjuvant hormonal therapy, with or without prior chemotherapy, has been widely recognised as the preferred treatment strategy for resected breast cancer (BC) for a minimum duration of 5 years. If the effectiveness of therapy beyond a 5-year period has been established, there is still ongoing debate regarding the optimal duration for this prolonged period. A network meta-analysis (NMA) was conducted to ascertain the optimal duration of extended therapy for resected BC in postmenopausal women.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A comprehensive search was conducted on online databases, including MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, to identify all randomised trials on extended duration of endocrine therapy. The search was limited to trials that had been published before 30th April 2023. The study focused on evaluating disease-free survival (DFS) as the primary outcome, with overall survival (OS) as the secondary endpoint. Under the Bayesian framework, NMA was performed using the GeMTC package. The relative rankings of the treatments were determined by utilising surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) p scores. A network meta-regression analysis was employed to ascertain the impact of the baseline characteristics of the disease and the initial treatments administered.

RESULTS

In the overall population, increasing the duration by 5 years did not result in a significantly better DFS compared to durations of 2-3 and 3-4 more years (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.88-1.08] and HR = 0.87, 95% CI [0.72-1.06]). This effect was independent of adjuvant chemotherapy and nodal status. However, the effect of 5 more years of AI was significantly better in node-positive BC and in those who received some years of tamoxifen instead of aromatase inhibitors (AIs) as initial adjuvant therapy. OS was not affected by the administration of extended endocrine therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that an extended course of AI lasting 2-3 years, following an initial 5-year treatment, may be considered an appropriate regimen for achieving DFS benefits. In node-positive BC cases, it has been observed that a duration of 10 years provides a greater advantage compared to shorter durations, especially when tamoxifen is administered initially. Therefore, it is suggested that a longer duration is a potential standard of care in these cases.

Recommandations francophones pour la pratique clinique concernant la prise en charge des cancers du sein de Saint-Paul-de-Vence 2022-2023

With more than 60,000 new cases of breast cancer in mainland France in 2023 and 8% of all cancer deaths, breast cancer is the leading cancer in women in terms of incidence and mortality. While the number of new cases has almost doubled in 30 years, the percentage of patients at all stages alive at 5 years (87%) and 10 years (76%) testifies to the major progress made in terms of screening, characterisation and treatment. However, this progress, rapid as it is, needs to be evaluated and integrated into an overall strategy, taking into account the characteristics of the disease (stage and biology), as well as those of the patients being treated. These are the objectives of the St Paul-de-Vence recommendations for clinical practice. We report here the summary of the votes, discussions and conclusions of the Saint-Paul-de-Vence 2022-2023 RPCs.