Early Detection of Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction Using Perioperative Data Among Noncardiac Surgical Patients: A Machine-Learning Approach

Revolutionizing Cardiac Care: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Heart Failure Management

Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) have revolutionized the diagnosis, risk assessment, and treatment of heart failure (HF). AI models have demonstrated superior performance in distinguishing healthy individuals from those at risk of congestive HF by analyzing heart rate variability data. In addition, AI clinical decision support systems exhibit high concordance rates with HF experts, enhancing diagnostic precision. For HF with reduced as well as preserved ejection fraction, AI-powered algorithms help detect subtle irregularities in electrocardiograms and other related predictors. AI also aids in predicting HF risk in diabetic patients, using complex data patterns to enhance understanding and management. Moreover, AI technologies help forecast HF-related hospital admissions, enabling timely interventions to reduce readmission rates and improve patient outcomes. Continued innovation and research are crucial to address challenges related to data privacy and ethical considerations and ensure responsible implementation in healthcare.

Integrating StEP-COMPAC definition and enhanced recovery after surgery status in a machine-learning-based model for postoperative pulmonary complications in laparoscopic hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) contribute to high mortality rates and impose significant financial burdens. In this study, a machine learning-based prediction model was developed to identify patients at high risk of developing PPCs following laparoscopic hepatectomy.

METHODS

Data were collected from 1022 adult patients who underwent laparoscopic hepatectomy at two centres between January 2015 and February 2021. The dataset was divided into a development set and a temporal external validation set based on the year of surgery. A total of 42 factors were extracted for pre-modelling, including the implementation status of Enhanced Recovery after Surgery (ERAS). Feature selection was performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The model with the best performance was externally validated using temporal data.

RESULTS

The incidence of PPCs was 8.7%. Lambda.1se was selected as the optimal lambda for LASSO feature selection. For implementation of ERAS, serum gamma-glutamyl transferase levels, malignant tumour presence, total bilirubin levels, and age-adjusted Charleston Comorbidities Index were the selected factors. Seven models were developed. Among them, logistic regression demonstrated the best performance, with an AUC of 0.745 in the internal validation set and 0.680 in the temporal external validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the most recent definition, a machine learning model was employed to predict the risk of PPCs following laparoscopic hepatectomy. Logistic regression was identified as the best-performing model. ERAS implementation was associated with a reduction in the number of PPCs.

Machine Learning Models and Applications for Early Detection

From the various perspectives of machine learning (ML) and the multiple models used in this discipline, there is an approach aimed at training models for the early detection (ED) of anomalies. The early detection of anomalies is crucial in multiple areas of knowledge since identifying and classifying them allows for early decision making and provides a better response to mitigate the negative effects caused by late detection in any system. This article presents a literature review to examine which machine learning models (MLMs) operate with a focus on ED in a multidisciplinary manner and, specifically, how these models work in the field of fraud detection. A variety of models were found, including Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machines (SVMs), decision trees (DTs), Random Forests (RFs), naive Bayesian classifier (NB), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNNs), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), among others. It was identified that MLMs operate as isolated models, categorized in this article as Single Base Models (SBMs) and Stacking Ensemble Models (SEMs). It was identified that MLMs for ED in multiple areas under SBMs' and SEMs' implementation achieved accuracies greater than 80% and 90%, respectively. In fraud detection, accuracies greater than 90% were reported by the authors. The article concludes that MLMs for ED in multiple applications, including fraud, offer a viable way to identify and classify anomalies robustly, with a high degree of accuracy and precision. MLMs for ED in fraud are useful as they can quickly process large amounts of data to detect and classify suspicious transactions or activities, helping to prevent financial losses.

Applying AI and Guidelines to Assist Medical Students in Recognizing Patients With Heart Failure: Protocol for a Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into clinical practice is transforming both clinical practice and medical education. AI-based systems aim to improve the efficacy of clinical tasks, enhancing diagnostic accuracy and tailoring treatment delivery. As it becomes increasingly prevalent in health care for high-quality patient care, it is critical for health care providers to use the systems responsibly to mitigate bias, ensure effective outcomes, and provide safe clinical practices. In this study, the clinical task is the identification of heart failure (HF) prior to surgery with the intention of enhancing clinical decision-making skills. HF is a common and severe disease, but detection remains challenging due to its subtle manifestation, often concurrent with other medical conditions, and the absence of a simple and effective diagnostic test. While advanced HF algorithms have been developed, the use of these AI-based systems to enhance clinical decision-making in medical education remains understudied.

OBJECTIVE

This research protocol is to demonstrate our study design, systematic procedures for selecting surgical cases from electronic health records, and interventions. The primary objective of this study is to measure the effectiveness of interventions aimed at improving HF recognition before surgery, the second objective is to evaluate the impact of inaccurate AI recommendations, and the third objective is to explore the relationship between the inclination to accept AI recommendations and their accuracy.

METHODS

Our study used a 3 × 2 factorial design (intervention type × order of prepost sets) for this randomized trial with medical students. The student participants are asked to complete a 30-minute e-learning module that includes key information about the intervention and a 5-question quiz, and a 60-minute review of 20 surgical cases to determine the presence of HF. To mitigate selection bias in the pre- and posttests, we adopted a feature-based systematic sampling procedure. From a pool of 703 expert-reviewed surgical cases, 20 were selected based on features such as case complexity, model performance, and positive and negative labels. This study comprises three interventions: (1) a direct AI-based recommendation with a predicted HF score, (2) an indirect AI-based recommendation gauged through the area under the curve metric, and (3) an HF guideline-based intervention.

RESULTS

As of July 2023, 62 of the enrolled medical students have fulfilled this study's participation, including the completion of a short quiz and the review of 20 surgical cases. The subject enrollment commenced in August 2022 and will end in December 2023, with the goal of recruiting 75 medical students in years 3 and 4 with clinical experience.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated a study protocol for the randomized trial, measuring the effectiveness of interventions using AI and HF guidelines among medical students to enhance HF recognition in preoperative care with electronic health record data.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

DERR1-10.2196/49842.

Artificial intelligence in anesthesiology

Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly evolving and gaining attention in the medical world. Our aim is to provide readers with insights into this quickly changing medical landscape and the role of clinicians in the middle of this popular technology. In this review, our aim is to explain some of the increasingly frequently used AI terminology explicitly for physicians. Next, we give a summation, an overview of currently existing applications, future possibilities for AI in the medical field of anesthesiology and thoroughly highlight possible problems that could arise from implementing this technology in daily practice. Therefore, we conducted a literature search, including all types of articles published between the first of January 2010 and the 1st of May 2023, written in English, and having a free full text available. We searched Pubmed, Medline, and Embase using “artificial intelligence”, “machine learning”, “deep learning”, “neural networks” and “anesthesiology” as MESH terms. To structure these findings, we divided the results into five categories: preoperatively, perioperatively, postoperatively, AI in the intensive care unit and finally, AI used for teaching purposes. In the first category, we found AI applications for airway assessment, risk prediction, and logistic support. Secondly, we made a summation of AI applications used during the operation. AI can predict hypotensive events, delivering automated anesthesia, reducing false alarms, and aiding in the analysis of ultrasound anatomy in locoregional anesthesia and echocardiography. Thirdly, namely postoperatively, AI can be applied in predicting acute kidney injury, pulmonary complications, postoperative cognitive dysfunction and can help to diagnose postoperative pain in children. At the intensive care unit, AI tools discriminate acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) from pulmonary oedema in pleural ultrasound, predict mortality and sepsis more accurately, and predict survival rates in severe Coronavirus-19 (COVID-19). Finally, AI has been described in training residents in spinal ultrasound, simulation, and plexus block anatomy. Several concerns must be addressed regarding the use of AI. Firstly, this software does not explain its decision process (i.e., the ‘black box problem’). Secondly, to develop AI models and decision support systems, we need big and accurate datasets, unfortunately with potential unknown bias. Thirdly, we need an ethical and legal framework before implementing this technology. At the end of this paper, we discuss whether this technology will be able to replace the clinician one day. This paper adds value to already existing literature because it not only offers a summation of existing literature on AI applications in anesthesiology but also gives clear definitions of AI itself and critically assesses implementation of this technology.

Artificial Intelligence for Perioperative Medicine: Perioperative Intelligence

The anesthesiologist's role has expanded beyond the operating room, and anesthesiologist-led care teams can deliver coordinated care that spans the entire surgical experience, from preoperative optimization to long-term recovery of surgical patients. This expanded role can help reduce postoperative morbidity and mortality, which are regrettably common, unlike rare intraoperative mortality. Postoperative mortality, if considered a disease category, will be the third leading cause of death just after heart disease and cancer. Rapid advances in technologies like artificial intelligence provide an opportunity to build safe perioperative practices. Artificial intelligence helps by analyzing complex data across disparate systems and producing actionable information. Using artificial intelligence technologies, we can critically examine every aspect of perioperative medicine and devise innovative value-based solutions that can potentially improve patient safety and care delivery, while optimizing cost of care. In this narrative review, we discuss specific applications of artificial intelligence that may help advance all aspects of perioperative medicine, including clinical care, education, quality improvement, and research. We also discuss potential limitations of technology and provide our recommendations for successful adoption.

Preoperative echocardiography predictive analytics for postinduction hypotension prediction

PURPOSE

Hypotension is a risk factor for adverse perioperative outcomes. Preoperative transthoracic echocardiography has been extended for preoperative risk assessment before noncardiac surgery. This study aimed to develop a machine learning model to predict postinduction hypotension risk using preoperative echocardiographic data and compared it with conventional statistic models. We also aimed to identify preoperative echocardiographic factors that cause postinduction hypotension.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, we extracted data from electronic health records of patients aged >18 years who underwent general anesthesia at a single tertiary care center between April 2014 and September 2019. Multiple supervised machine learning classification techniques were used, with postinduction hypotension (mean arterial pressure <55 mmHg from intubation to the start of the procedure) as the primary outcome and 95 transthoracic echocardiography measurements as factors influencing the primary outcome. Based on the mean cross-validation performance, we used 10-fold cross-validation with the training set (70%) to select the optimal hyperparameters and architecture, assessed ten times using a separate test set (30%).

RESULTS

Of 1,956 patients, 670 (34%) had postinduction hypotension. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve using the deep neural network was 0.72 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.67-0.76), gradient boosting machine was 0.54 (95% CI = 0.51-0.59), linear discriminant analysis was 0.56 (95% CI = 0.51-0.61), and logistic regression was 0.56 (95% CI = 0.51-0.61). Variables of high importance included the ascending aorta diameter, transmitral flow A wave, heart rate, pulmonary venous flow S wave, tricuspid regurgitation pressure gradient, inferior vena cava expiratory diameter, fractional shortening, left ventricular mass index, and end-systolic volume.

CONCLUSION

We have created developing models that can predict postinduction hypotension using preoperative echocardiographic data, thereby demonstrating the feasibility of using machine learning models of preoperative echocardiographic data for produce higher accuracy than the conventional model.

A Century of Technology in Anesthesia & Analgesia

Technological innovation has been closely intertwined with the growth of modern anesthesiology as a medical and scientific discipline. Anesthesia & Analgesia, the longest-running physician anesthesiology journal in the world, has documented key technological developments in the specialty over the past 100 years. What began as a focus on the fundamental tools needed for effective anesthetic delivery has evolved over the century into an increasing emphasis on automation, portability, and machine intelligence to improve the quality, safety, and efficiency of patient care.

Application of Combined Detection of Echocardiography and Serum NT-ProBNP in the Diagnosis of Diastolic Heart Failure and Its Effect on Left Ventricular Morphology and Diastolic Function

Objective

This study is to assess the application of combined detection of echocardiography and serum N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-ProBNP) in the diagnosis of diastolic heart failure (DHF) and its effect on left ventricular morphology and diastolic function.

Methods

Thirty patients with DHF with enrolled in our hospital between January 2019 and January 2021 were included in the experimental group, and thirty healthy individuals during the same period were included in the control group. The blood pressure, heart rate (HR), left ventricular morphology, diastolic function, and serum NT-ProBNP levels were compared between the two groups.

Results

DHF was associated with higher levels of diastolic blood pressure (DBP), systolic blood pressure (SBP), HR, left ventricular diameter (LVD), interventricular septum thickness (IVST), left ventricular posterior wall thickness (LVPWT), left atrial volume index (LAVI), left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), serum NT-ProBNP, maximum early ventricular filling velocity/early diastolic velocity of the mitral annulus (E/Ea) ratio, and aortic regurgitation (AR) and lower levels of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), flow propagation velocity (VP), and systolic/diastolic (S/D) ratio versus healthy subjects (all at P < 0.05).

Conclusion

The combined detection of echocardiography and serum NT-ProBNP yields a high clinical value in the diagnosis of DHF deficiency, as it can accurately evaluate the patient's left heart morphology and diastolic function, so it is worthy of clinical promotion and application.

Artificial intelligence in perioperative medicine - a narrative review

Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have enabled the development of accurate prediction models using clinical big data. AI models for perioperative risk stratification, intraoperative event prediction, biosignal analyses, and intensive care medicine have been developed in the field of perioperative medicine. Some of these models have been validated using external datasets and randomized controlled trials. Once these models are implemented in electronic health record systems or software medical devices, they could help anesthesiologists improve clinical outcomes by accurately predicting complications and suggesting optimal treatment strategies in real-time. This review provides an overview of the AI techniques used in perioperative medicine and a summary of the studies that have been published using these techniques. Understanding these techniques will aid in their appropriate application in clinical practice.

Opportunities Beyond the Anesthesiology Department: Broader Impact Through Broader Thinking

Ensuring a productive clinical and research workforce requires bringing together physicians and communities to improve health, by strategic targeting of initiatives with clear and significant public health relevance. Within anesthesiology, the traditional perspective of the field's health impact has focused on providing safe and effective intraoperative care, managing critical illness, and treating acute and chronic pain. However, there are limitations to such a framework for anesthesiology's public health impact, including the transient nature of acute care episodes such as the intraoperative period and critical illness, and a historical focus on analgesia alone-rather than the complex psychosocial milieu-for pain management. Due to the often episodic nature of anesthesiologists' interactions with patients, it remains challenging for anesthesiologists to achieve their full potential for broad impact and leadership within increasingly integrated health systems. To unlock this potential, anesthesiologists should cultivate new clinical, research, and administrative roles within the health system-transcending traditional missions, seeking interdepartmental collaborations, and taking measures to elevate anesthesiologists as dynamic and trusted leaders. This special article examines 3 core themes for how anesthesiologists can enhance their impact within the health care system and pursue new collaborative health missions with nonanesthesiologist clinicians, researchers, and administrative leaders. These themes include (1) reframing of traditional anesthesiologist missions toward a broader health system-wide context; (2) leveraging departmental and institutional support for professional career development; and (3) strategically prioritizing leadership attributes to enhance system-wide anesthesiologist contributions to improving overall patient health.

Machine Learning Model for Predicting Acute Respiratory Failure in Individuals With Moderate-to-Severe Traumatic Brain Injury

Background: There is a high incidence of acute respiratory failure (ARF) in moderate or severe traumatic brain injury (M-STBI), worsening outcomes. This study aimed to design a predictive model for ARF.

Methods: Adult patients with M-STBI [3 ≤ Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) ≤ 12] with a definite history of brain trauma and abnormal head on CT images, obtained from September 2015 to May 2017, were included. Patients with age >80 years or <18 years, multiple injuries with TBI upon admission, or pregnancy (in women) were excluded. Two models based on machine learning extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) or logistic regression, respectively, were developed for predicting ARF within 48 h upon admission. These models were evaluated by out-of-sample validation. The samples were assigned to the training and test sets at a ratio of 3:1.

Results: In total, 312 patients were analyzed including 132 (42.3%) patients who had ARF. The GCS and the Marshall CT score, procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) on admission significantly predicted ARF. The novel machine learning XGBoost model was superior to logistic regression model in predicting ARF [area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) = 0.903, 95% CI, 0.834–0.966 vs. AUROC = 0.798, 95% CI, 0.697–0.899; p < 0.05].

Conclusion: The XGBoost model could better predict ARF in comparison with logistic regression-based model. Therefore, machine learning methods could help to develop and validate novel predictive models.

Artificial intelligence and anesthesia: A narrative review

Rapid advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) have led to diagnostic, therapeutic, and intervention-based applications in the field of medicine. Today, there is a deep chasm between AI-based research articles and their translation to clinical anesthesia, which needs to be addressed. Machine learning (ML), the most widely applied arm of AI in medicine, confers the ability to analyze large volumes of data, find associations, and predict outcomes with ongoing learning by the computer. It involves algorithm creation, testing and analyses with the ability to perform cognitive functions including association between variables, pattern recognition, and prediction of outcomes. AI-supported closed loops have been designed for pharmacological maintenance of anesthesia and hemodynamic management. Mechanical robots can perform dexterity and skill-based tasks such as intubation and regional blocks with precision, whereas clinical-decision support systems in crisis situations may augment the role of the clinician. The possibilities are boundless, yet widespread adoption of AI is still far from the ground reality. Patient-related “Big Data” collection, validation, transfer, and testing are under ethical scrutiny. For this narrative review, we conducted a PubMed search in 2020-21 and retrieved articles related to AI and anesthesia. After careful consideration of the content, we prepared the review to highlight the growing importance of AI in anesthesia. Awareness and understanding of the basics of AI are the first steps to be undertaken by clinicians. In this narrative review, we have discussed salient features of ongoing AI research related to anesthesia and perioperative care.

What can machines learn about heart failure? A systematic literature review

This paper presents a systematic literature review with respect to application of data science and machine learning (ML) to heart failure (HF) datasets with the intention of generating both a synthesis of relevant findings and a critical evaluation of approaches, applicability and accuracy in order to inform future work within this field. This paper has a particular intention to consider ways in which the low uptake of ML techniques within clinical practice could be resolved. Literature searches were performed on Scopus (2014-2021), ProQuest and Ovid MEDLINE databases (2014-2021). Search terms included ‘heart failure’ or ‘cardiomyopathy’ and ‘machine learning’, ‘data analytics’, ‘data mining’ or ‘data science’. 81 out of 1688 articles were included in the review. The majority of studies were retrospective cohort studies. The median size of the patient cohort across all studies was 1944 (min 46, max 93260). The largest patient samples were used in readmission prediction models with the median sample size of 5676 (min. 380, max. 93260). Machine learning methods focused on common HF problems: detection of HF from available dataset, prediction of hospital readmission following index hospitalization, mortality prediction, classification and clustering of HF cohorts into subgroups with distinctive features and response to HF treatment. The most common ML methods used were logistic regression, decision trees, random forest and support vector machines. Information on validation of models was scarce. Based on the authors’ affiliations, there was a median 3:1 ratio between IT specialists and clinicians. Over half of studies were co-authored by a collaboration of medical and IT specialists. Approximately 25% of papers were authored solely by IT specialists who did not seek clinical input in data interpretation. The application of ML to datasets, in particular clustering methods, enabled the development of classification models assisting in testing the outcomes of patients with HF. There is, however, a tendency to over-claim the potential usefulness of ML models for clinical practice. The next body of work that is required for this research discipline is the design of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) with the use of ML in an intervention arm in order to prospectively validate these algorithms for real-world clinical utility.

Application of a machine learning algorithm for detection of atrial fibrillation in secondary care

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Machine learning algorithms can accurately identify undiagnosed atrial fibrillation in patients.

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Algorithms developed in primary care can be used in secondary care with reasonable performance.

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An appreciable proportion of patients with undiagnosed AF could be detected in secondary care.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained heart arrhythmia and significantly increases risk of stroke. Opportunistic AF testing in high-risk patients typically requires frequent electrocardiogram tests to capture the arrhythmia. Risk-prediction algorithms may help to more accurately identify people with undiagnosed AF and machine learning (ML) may aid in the diagnosis of AF. Here, we applied an AF-risk prediction algorithm to secondary care data linked to primary care data in the DISCOVER database in order to evaluate changes in model performance, and identify patients not previously detected in primary care. We identified an additional 5,444 patients who had an AF diagnosis only in secondary care during the data extraction period. 2,696 (49.5%) were accepted by the algorithm and the algorithm correctly assigned 2,637 (97.8%) patients to the AF cohort. Using a risk threshold of 7.4% in patients aged ≥ 30 years, algorithm sensitivity and specificity was 38% and 95%, respectively. Approximately 15% of AF patients assigned to the AF cohort by the algorithm had a secondary care diagnosis with no record of AF in primary care. These additional patients did not substantially alter algorithm performance. The additional detection of previously undiagnosed AF patients in secondary care highlights unexpected potential utility of this ML algorithm.