Prognostic score in gastric cancer: the importance of a conjoint analysis of clinical, pathologic, and therapeutic factors

Development of an alarm symptom-based risk prediction score for localized oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma (VIOLA score)

BACKGROUND

Gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma is a major contributor to global disease burden with poor prognosis even in resectable, regionally limited stages. Feasible prognostic tools are crucial to improve patient management, yet scarce.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Disease-related symptoms, patient, tumour, treatment as well as laboratory parameters at initial diagnosis and overall survival (OS) of patients with stage II and III gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma, who were treated between 1990 and 2020 at the Medical University of Vienna, were evaluated in a cross-validation model to develop a feasible risk prediction score.

RESULTS

In total, 628 patients were included in this single-centre analysis. The final score ranked from 0 to 10 and included the factors sex (female +1), age, years (30-59 +1, >60 +2), underweight classified by body mass index (+2), location of the tumour (stomach +1), stage (III +2), stenosis in endoscopy (+1) and weight loss (+1). The score was grouped into low- (0-3), medium- (4-6) and high-risk (7+) subgroups. The median OS were 70.3 [95% confidence interval (CI) 51.2-111.8], 23.4 (95% CI 21.2-26.7) and 12.6 (7.0-16.1) months, respectively. The 1-year survival probabilities were 0.88 (95% CI 0.83-0.93), 0.75 (95% CI 0.70-0.79) and 0.54 (95% CI 0.39-0.74), whereas the 5-year survival probabilities were 0.57 (95% CI 0.49-0.66), 0.24 (95% CI 0.20-0.28) and 0.09 (95% CI 0.03-0.28), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The VIennese risk prediction score for Oesophagogastric Localized Adenocarcinoma (VIOLA) risk prediction score poses a feasible tool for the estimation of OS in patients with regionally limited gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma and, thus, may improve patient management in clinical routine. Prospective analyses should be carried out to confirm our findings.

Influential factors on survival in gastric cancer: A single-center study

Background:

Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the conspicuous causes of cancer-related death worldwide. Considering the mounting incidence of this cancer in developing countries such as Iran, determining the influential factors on the survival of involved patients is noteworthy. Hence, we aimed to ascertain the survival rates and the prognostic factors in our GC patients.

Materials and Methods:

In this retrospective cohort study, data of 314 patients with GC in a referral cancer center in Hamadan province of Iran were studied. The outcome of our study was survival time and the influential factors were gender, age at diagnosis, tumor history, tumor grade, surgery history, radiotherapy history, stage of disease, metastasis history, and lymph node involvement. Kaplan − Meier method and log-rank test were used for the calculation and comparing the survival curves and Cox-proportional hazard model was used for the multivariable analysis of prognostic factors.

Results:

In a total of 314 GC patients, the median age at the diagnosis was 63 years (range: 21–92) with most patients (74.84%) being males. The median follow-up time was 2.42 years, and the median survival time was 2 years. The multivariable cox analysis of overall survival (OS) indicated that having distant metastasis increased the hazard of death by about 2.5 times (P < 0.0001, heart rates [HR]: 2.53, 95% confidence interval [CI]: [1.71, 3.75]), and receiving surgery as treatment, decreased the hazard of death up to 36% (P = 0.02, HR: 0.64, 95%CI: [0.46–0.89]). The other variables did not have any significant effects on the OS.

Conclusion:

The results of this study showed that lower survival (greater hazard of death) strongly and significantly associated with having distant metastasis in patients with GC and receiving surgery could significantly decrease the hazard of death in these patients instead.

Evaluating the Impact of Incentives on Clinical Trial Participation: Protocol for a Mixed Methods, Community-Engaged Study

BACKGROUND

Monetary incentives in research are frequently used to support participant recruitment and retention. However, there are scant empirical data regarding how researchers decide upon the type and amount of incentives offered. Likewise, there is little guidance to assist study investigators and institutional review boards (IRBs) in their decision-making on incentives. Monetary incentives, in addition to other factors such as the risk of harm or other intangible benefits, guide individuals' decisions to enroll in research studies. These factors emphasize the need for evidence-informed guidance for study investigators and IRBs when determining the type and amount of incentives to provide to research participants.

OBJECTIVE

The specific aims of our research project are to (1) characterize key stakeholders' views on and assessments of incentives in biomedical HIV research; (2) reach consensus among stakeholders on the factors that are considered when choosing research incentives, including consensus on the relative importance of such factors; and (3) pilot-test the use of the guidance developed via aims 1 and 2 by presenting stakeholders with vignettes of hypothetical research studies for which they will choose corresponding incentive types.

METHODS

Our 2-year study will involve monthly, active engagement with a stakeholder advisory board of people living with HIV, researchers, and IRB members. For aim 1, we will conduct a nationwide survey (N=300) among people living with HIV to understand their views regarding the incentives used in HIV research. For aim 2, we will collect qualitative data by conducting focus groups with people living with HIV (n=60) and key informant interviews with stakeholders involved in HIV research (people living with HIV, IRB members, and biomedical HIV researchers: n=36) to extend and deepen our understanding of how incentives in HIV research are perceived. These participants will also complete a conjoint analysis experiment to gain an understanding of the relative importance of key HIV research study attributes and the impact that these attributes have on study participation. The data from the nationwide survey (aim 1) will be triangulated with the qualitative and conjoint analysis data (aim 2) to create 25 vignettes that describe hypothetical HIV research studies. Finally, individuals from each stakeholder group will select the most appropriate incentive that they feel should be used in each of the 25 vignettes (aim 3).

RESULTS

The stakeholder advisory board began monthly meetings in March 2021. All study aims are expected to be completed by December 2022.

CONCLUSIONS

By studying the role of incentives in HIV clinical trial participation, we will establish a decision-making paradigm to guide the choice of incentives for HIV research and, eventually, other types of similar research and facilitate the ethical recruitment of clinical research participants.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04809636; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04809636.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

DERR1-10.2196/33608.

Is there still a place for conventional histopathology in the age of molecular medicine? Laurén classification, inflammatory infiltration and other current topics in gastric cancer diagnosis and prognosis

Gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth most common cancer and the third cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. In western countries, more than half of GC patients are diagnosed at advanced stages and 5-year survival rates range between 20-30%. The only curative treatment is surgery, and despite recent advances in oncological therapies, GC prognosis is still poor. The main prognostic tool for patient categorization and treatment selection is the TNM classification, but its limitations are being increasingly recognized. Early recurrences may occur in early-stage disease, and patients at the same stage show heterogeneous outcomes. Thus, there is a need to improve GC stratification and to identify new prognostic factors, which may allow us to select drug-susceptible populations, refine patient grouping for clinical trials and discover new therapeutic targets. Molecular classifications have been developed, but they have not been translated to the clinical practice. On the other hand, histological assessment is cheap and widely available, and it is still a mainstay in the era of molecular medicine. Furthermore, histological features are acquiring new roles as reflectors of the genotype-phenotype correlation, and their potential impact on patient management is currently being analyzed. The aim of this literature review is to provide a modern overview of the histological assessment of GC. In this study, we discuss recent topics on the histological diagnosis of GC, focusing on the current role of Laurén classification and the potential value of new histological features in GC, such as inflammatory infiltration and tumor budding.

Proposal for a clinicopathological prognostic score for resected gastric cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Factors other than pTNM stage have been associated with gastric cancer (GC) prognosis, and several alternative prognostic scores have been constructed. Our aims are to identify prognostic factors in western GC patients and to build clinicopathological prognostic models for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

METHODS

A Retrospective study of 204 cases of GC resected during the years 2000 to 2014 was conducted in our hospital. Clinicopathological features were assessed, univariate and multivariate analysis were performed and prognostic scores were constructed.

RESULTS

Most patients were diagnosed at pTNM stages II and III (36.9% and 48.1%, respectively). According to Laurén classification, tumors were intestinal (55.8%), diffuse (35.2%) and mixed (9%). During follow-up, 43.5% of patients had tumor recurrence, and 28.6% died due to tumor. Univariate analysis showed that patient age, Laurén subtype, signet-ring cell morphology, pTNM stage, tumor grade, perineural invasion, growth pattern, intratumoral inflammation, adjuvant therapy, and desmoplasia were significantly related to tumor progression or death. Multivariate analysis showed that Laurén subtype, pT stage, and lymph node ratio (LNR) were significantly and independently associated with GC recurrence. Laurén subtype and LNR were significantly related to patient survival. Prognostic scores for tumor progression and death were developed and patients were classified into four prognostic groups which showed good prognostic performance.

CONCLUSION

A prognostic model comprising histological features such as Laurén subtype can be easily applied in clinical practice, and provides more prognostic information than pTNM stage alone. These models can further stratify resected GC patients and have the potential to aid in the individualization of patient management.

Update, validation and comparison of three different clinicopathological scores for patients with resected gastric cancer: A western experience

INTRODUCTION

Gastric cancer (GC) is a multifactorial disease. Several prognostic scores have been proposed for refining the prognostic information provided by the TNM classification. Our aim is to validate and compare the prognostic performance of different clinicopathological scores in a western cohort of patients (Marubini, Haraguchi and Kologlu scores).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective study of all cases of GC resected in a western tertiary center (N = 377). Clinicopathological features were collected, scores were applied and statistical analyses were performed.

RESULTS

315 cases were finally included. According to Marubini, Haraguchi and Kologlu scores, patients were stage I (18.5%, 13.3% and 49%), II (29.3%, 47.2% and 29.5%) and III (52.2%, 39.5% and 21.5%, respectively). All classifications were significantly associated with lymphovascular invasion, perineural infiltration, lymph node involvement, patient progression and death due to GC. All scores showed good patient stratification by Kaplan-Meier analyses, but OS and DFS curves depending on Haraguchi score were less evenly spaced. Kologlu classification showed prognostic superiority over Haraguchi and Marubini classifications by ROC analysis. AUC values for OS and DFS were 0.654 and 0.647 (Marubini), 0.626 and 0.618 (Haraguchi) and 0.724 and 0.709 (Kologlu). Kologlu and Marubini classifications were independent factors for both OS and DFS, but Haraguchi classification was independently associated only with DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinicopathological scores can be easily validated and are cost-effective. Kologlu score is the most thorough classification, and it showed the best prognostic performance for both DFS and OS in our study. More studies are needed to validate its value in other populations.

Prognostic factors in patients with gastric adenocarcinoma using competing-risk analysis: a study of cases in the SEER database

Background: Accurate prognostic factors for gastric adenocarcinoma are still lacking in clinical practice, which contributes to inappropriate treatment. Applying the widely used Cox-proportional hazards model to describe survival trends and identify prognostic factors has limitations that result in a risk of bias. A competing-risk model was therefore adopted in this study to identify the significant prognostic factors and evaluate the cumulative incidence of cause-specific death for gastric adenocarcinoma, which can be used to guide clinical treatments. Methods: All of the cases analyzed in this study were extracted from the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database. Using the competing risk approach, we calculated the cumulative incidence function (CIF) for cause-specific death and death from other causes at each time point. The Fine and Gray's proportional subdistribution hazard model was then applied in the univariate analysis and multivariate analysis to test the differences in CIF between different groups and obtain independent prognostic factors. Results: The univariate analysis showed that patients with characteristics of advanced pathology grade, lymph node involvement, and metastasis, were at risk of increasing cancer-specific mortality. Primary-site surgery, radiation with surgery, and chemotherapy, were associated with decreased cancer-specific mortality. The multivariate analysis showed that pathology grade, primary-site surgery, radiation with surgery, and chemotherapy, could significantly affect the cancer-specific mortality and were independent prognostic factors in patients with gastric adenocarcinoma. Conclusions: Using a competing-risk model, this study obtained more-accurate estimates for the cumulative incidence of cancer-specific death and identified the prognostic factors more accurately for gastric adenocarcinoma.

Influence of Prognostic Factors for Recurrence of Adenocarcinoma of the Stomach

Introduction:

Gastric cancer is the second most important neoplasm in the world. Surgical resection is the treatment of choice for gastric cancer, and recognized by the International Union against Cancer (International Union Against Cancer – UICC) TNM classification of the parameters of the tumor and lymph node. Prognostic factors related to characteristics of the tumor by histopathologic findings have an impact on the planning of the operation. According to the results of most studies it is possible to predict survival and recurrence based on histological type and TNM classification of tumors on the one hand and the surgical procedure on the other.

Aim:

The aim of the research was to analyze prognostic factors that influenced the frequency of recurrence in gastric surgery patients.

Patients and methods:

The five year study covered a population of 100 treated patients of adenocarcinoma of the stomach at the Department of Surgery, University Clinical Center Tuzla. The first group were characteristics of tumors in patients with gastric adenocarcinoma. Lymphadenectomy and splenectomy, types of surgery were the second group of prognostic factors.

Results:

Histological type and TNM stage of tumor as prognostic factors had a significant impact on local tumor recurrence. The type of surgery had no statistically significant value for tumor recurrence (p = 0.7520).

Conclusion:

Statistical analysis of prognostic factors related to histopathologic characteristics of tumors and the type of surgery gave the results that had an impact on recurrence in gastric surgery patients. The most important prognostic factors were TNM stage of tumor and histological type of tumor that influenced the incidence of recurrence.

Validation of an assessment tool: Estimation of Postoperative Overall Survival for Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

Benchmarking of long-term surgical outcomes has rarely been attempted. We previously devised a prediction model for assessing the outcome of late survival after surgery, termed the Estimation of Postoperative Overall Survival for Gastric Cancer (EPOS-GC). This study was undertaken to validate EPOS-GC in an external data set.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted in 11 cancer care hospitals in Japan, analyzing a consecutive series of patients who underwent elective gastric cancer resection between April 2007 and March 2009. EPOS-GC consists of three tumor-related variables and three physiological variables. The primary endpoint was postoperative overall survival. The observed-to-expected (O/E) ratio of 5-year survival rates was defined as a metric of quality of care. The sample size for O/E was determined as 42.

RESULTS

We included 2045 patients for analysis. The median (95% confidence interval) follow-up time was 5.1 (1.2-6.8) years for censored patients. Although EPOS-GC demonstrated a good discriminative power (Harrell's C-index, 95% confidence interval: 0.80, 0.79-0.83), the calibration plot revealed that EPOS-GC underestimated 5-year survival rates in the high-risk group. Therefore, we recalibrated the model with Cox's regression analysis. The recalibrated EPOS-GC showed a good calibration, preserving the high discriminative power (C-index, 95% confidence interval: 0.80, 0.78-0.82). The O/E among hospitals according to the recalibrated EPOS-GC ranged between 0.87 and 1.27. The O/E correlated with hospital volumes (Spearman's correlation = 0.76, n = 11, p = .006).

CONCLUSION

EPOS-GC with recalibration can convey risk-adjusted quality assurance regarding late survival following gastric cancer resection.

Role of patient-, tumor- and systemic inflammatory response-related factors in predicting survival of patients with node-negative gastric cancer

It is currently unclear as to which patients with node-negative gastric cancer can benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. This study aimed to develop a prognostic model based on patient-, tumor-, and host-related factors to stratify high-risk patients eligible for adjuvant therapy. Correlations of clinicopathological and hematological features with overall survival were analyzed using a Cox model. A score to identify risk classes was derived from hazard ratios in multivariate analysis. In all, 436 patients with node-negative gastric cancer (stage pT1-4aN0M0) were analyzed in this study. Multivariate analysis showed that age, depth of invasion, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio were independent prognostic indicators of overall survival, and a prognostic model was developed using these significant factors. Patients were stratified into three risk groups with significant differences in the 3-year survival rates (98.5%, 91.6%, and 70.7%, respectively; p < 0.001) according to their scores. The prognostic model improved the predictive accuracy of postoperative 3-year survival rate by 7% when compared with the pathological T stage. A model based on age, depth of invasion, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio is more effective than traditional staging systems in predicting the prognosis of node-negative gastric cancer. High-risk patients could be considered for adjuvant therapy.

Clinical assessment to determine the risk of bowel cancer using Symptoms, Age, Mass and Iron deficiency anaemia (SAMI)

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to identify characteristics with independent predictive value for bowel cancer for use in the clinical assessment of patients attending colorectal outpatient clinics.

METHODS

This was a 22-year (1986-2007) retrospective cohort analysis of data collected prospectively from patients who attended colorectal surgical outpatient clinics in Portsmouth. The data set was split randomly into two groups of patients to generate and validate a predictive model. Multivariable logistic regression was used to create and validate a system to predict outcome. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Hosmer-Lemeshow test were used to evaluate the model's predictive capability. The likelihood of bowel cancer was expressed as the odds ratio (OR).

RESULTS

Data from 29 005 patients were analysed. Discrimination of the model for bowel cancer was high in the development (C-statistic 0·87, 95 per cent c.i. 0·85 to 0·88) and validation (C-statistic 0·86, 0·84 to 0·87) groups. The most important co-variables in the final model were: age (OR 3·17-27·10), rectal (OR 31·48) or abdominal (OR 1·83-8·45) mass, iron deficiency anaemia (IDA) (OR 4·42-8·38), rectal bleeding and change in bowel habit in combination (OR 5·37), change in bowel habit without rectal bleeding, with or without abdominal pain (OR 2·12-2·52), and rectal bleeding with no perianal symptoms and without change in bowel habit (OR 2·91). Some 91·5 per cent of bowel cancers presented with these characteristics, 40·4 per cent with a mass and/or IDA. In patients with at least one of these characteristics the overall risk of having cancer was 10·0 (range 6·5-50·4) per cent, compared with 1·1 (0·3-2·3) per cent in patients without them.

CONCLUSION

A clinical assessment that systematically identifies or excludes four symptom-age combinations, a mass and IDA (SAMI) stratifies patients as having a low and higher risk of having bowel cancer. This could improve patient selection for referral and investigation.

Prognostic impact and implications of extracapsular lymph node spread in Borrmann type IV gastric cancer

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between extracapsular lymph node spread (ECS) and clinicopathology and its influence on the prognosis in patients with Borrmann type IV gastric cancer. Between 2002 and 2014, clinical data were reviewed from 486 patients with Borrmann type IV gastric cancer who underwent curative resection. Of the 486 patients, lymph node metastasis was found in 456. ECS was detected in 213 (46.7%) patients with lymph node metastasis. A positive lymph node with ECS was significantly correlated with the N category, lymphatic/venous invasion, tumor location, and TNM stage. For the whole patients, the mean OS was 34.7 months, and the 5-year OS rate was 15.5%. The 5-year OS rate of node-negative patients was 48%, for node-positive patients without ECS 18.7%, and for node-positive patients with ECS 5.7% (P = 0.000). In a multivariate analysis, adjusted for tumor location, lymphatic/venous invasion, body mass index (BMI), and TNM stages, ECS remained an independent prognostic factor. For patients with the same N category and TNM stage, those with ECS still had a worse survival rate. Recurrent sites were confirmed in 367 patients. The most frequent recurrent site was the peritoneum. There was a significant difference between ECS+ (N = 150) and ECS- (N = 142) patients (P = 0.008). Our results suggested that ECS was an independent prognostic value for Borrmann type IV gastric cancer patients with curative resection and a subgroup indicated a significantly worse long-term survival for patients with the same N or TNM stages. ECS+ was an adverse factor for peritoneal metastasis.

Comparison of clinicopathological and prognostic characteristics in patients with mucinous carcinoma and signet ring cell carcinoma of the stomach

AIM

To determine whether there are any clinicopathological or prognostic differences between mucinous gastric carcinoma (MGC) and signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC).

METHODS

Pathological parameters, clinical parameters, and treatment efficacy were compared in patients with MGC and SRCC.

RESULTS

In total, 193 patients (51 with MGC and 142 with SRCC) were included in this study. Patients with SRCC in particular had notably higher lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, rate of Borrmann types III and IV, and stage III-IV cancer (according to its TNM stage) compared with patients with MGC. However, tumor size was larger in patients with MGC (tumor size ≥5 cm). Median overall survival (OS) was 29.8 months in the MGC group and 16.6 months in the SRCC group (p = .04). The median OS in stage I-III patients was 59.9 and 42.5 months in the MGC and SRCC groups, respectively (p = .35). Comparing OS between MGC and SRCC stage IV patients revealed that the median OS was 10.1 and 8.8 months, respectively (p = .96). Multivariate analysis of the entire patient group revealed that the presence of weight loss at diagnosis, distant metastasis, and lymph node involvement were significantly related to OS. Multivariate analysis also revealed that weight loss at the diagnosis and T3-4 tumors were significant factors influencing OS in the stage I-III group.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with SRCC had generally poorer prognosis and lower survival rates compared with patients with MGC. Further studies on the prognosis and treatment plan based on the pathological subtypes of SRCC and MGC are still needed.

Predicting recurrence after curative resection for gastric cancer: External validation of the Italian Research Group for Gastric Cancer (GIRCG) prognostic scoring system

BACKGROUND

Most nomograms for Gastric Cancer (GC) were developed to predict overall survival (OS) after curative resection. The Italian Research Group for Gastric Cancer (GIRCG) prognostic scoring system (PSS) was designed to predict the recurrence risk after curative treatment based on pathologic tumor stage and treatment performed (D1-D2/D3 lymphadenectomy). This study was carried out to externally validate the GIRCG's PSS.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Adopting the same criteria used by GIRCG to build the PSS, 185 patients with GC operated with curative intention were selected. The median follow-up period was 77.8 months (1.93-150.8) for all patients and 102.5 months (60.9-150.8) for patients free of disease. The NRI (net reclassification improvement) was calculated to estimate the overall improvement in the reclassification of patients using the PSS in place of the TNM stage system.

RESULTS

GC recurrence occurred in 70 (37.8%) patients. The mean time to recurrence was 22.2 (range 1.9-98.1) months. For patients with recurrence, the gain in the proportion of reclassification was 0.257 (p < 0.001), indicating an improvement of 26%. For patients without recurrence, the gain in the proportion of reclassification was -0.122 (p < 0.001), indicating a worsening of 12%. The NRI calculated was 0.135 (p = 0.0527).

CONCLUSION

The GIRCG's PSS, which predicts the likelihood of recurrence after radical surgical treatment for GC, is more accurate than TNM system to predict recurrence mainly for high-risk patients. Yet, the PSS does not have the same effectiveness for low-risk patients, overestimating the chance of recurrence occurs even for disease-free patients.

A comparison of the prognostic value of preoperative inflammation-based scores and TNM stage in patients with gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

People's Republic of China is one of the countries with the highest incidence of gastric cancer, accounting for 45% of all new gastric cancer cases in the world. Therefore, strong prognostic markers are critical for the diagnosis and survival of Chinese patients suffering from gastric cancer. Recent studies have begun to unravel the mechanisms linking the host inflammatory response to tumor growth, invasion and metastasis in gastric cancers. Based on this relationship between inflammation and cancer progression, several inflammation-based scores have been demonstrated to have prognostic value in many types of malignant solid tumors.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the prognostic value of inflammation-based prognostic scores and tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage in patients undergoing gastric cancer resection.

METHODS

The inflammation-based prognostic scores were calculated for 207 patients with gastric cancer who underwent surgery. Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and prognostic index (PI) were analyzed. Linear trend chi-square test, likelihood ratio chi-square test, and receiver operating characteristic were performed to compare the prognostic value of the selected scores and TNM stage.

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, preoperative serum C-reactive protein (P<0.001), serum albumin (P<0.001), GPS (P<0.001), PLR (P=0.002), NLR (P<0.001), PI (P<0.001), PNI (P<0.001), and TNM stage (P<0.001) were significantly associated with both overall survival and disease-free survival of patients with gastric cancer. In multivariate analysis, GPS (P=0.024), NLR (P=0.012), PI (P=0.001), TNM stage (P<0.001), and degree of differentiation (P=0.002) were independent predictors of gastric cancer survival. GPS and TNM stage had a comparable prognostic value and higher linear trend chi-square value, likelihood ratio chi-square value, and larger area under the receiver operating characteristic curve as compared to other inflammation-based prognostic scores.

CONCLUSION

The present study indicates that preoperative GPS and TNM stage are robust predictors of gastric cancer survival as compared to NLR, PLR, PI, and PNI in patients undergoing tumor resection.

Prognostic Model Based on Systemic Inflammatory Response and Clinicopathological Factors to Predict Outcome of Patients with Node-Negative Gastric Cancer

Prognostic models are generally used to predict gastric cancer outcomes. However, no model combining patient-, tumor- and host-related factors has been established to predict outcomes after radical gastrectomy, especially outcomes of patients without nodal involvement. The aim of this study was to develop a prognostic model based on the systemic inflammatory response and clinicopathological factors of resectable gastric cancer and determine whether the model can improve prognostic accuracy in node-negative patients. We reviewed the clinical, laboratory, histopathological and survival data of 1397 patients who underwent radical gastrectomy between 2007 and 2013. Patients were split into development and validation sets of 1123 and 274 patients, respectively. Among all 1397 patients, 545 had node-negative gastric cancer; 440 were included in the development set, 105 were included in the validation set. A prognostic model was constructed from the development set. The scoring system was based on hazard ratios in a Cox proportional hazard model. In the multivariate analysis, age, tumor size, Lauren type, depth of invasion, lymph node metastasis, and the neutrophil--lymphocyte ratio were independent prognostic indicators of overall survival. A prognostic model was then established based on the significant factors. Patients were categorized into five groups according to their scores. The 3-year survival rates for the low- to high-risk groups were 98.9%, 92.8%, 82.4%, 58.4%, and 36.9%, respectively (P < 0.001). The prognostic model clearly discriminated patients with stage pT1-4N0M0 tumor into four risk groups with significant differences in the 3-year survival rates (P < 0.001). Compared with the pathological T stage, the model improved the predictive accuracy of the 3-year survival rate by 5% for node-negative patients. The prognostic scores also stratified the patients with stage pT4aN0M0 tumor into significantly different risk groups (P = 0.004). Furthermore, the predictive value of this model was validated in an independent set of 274 patients. This model, which included the systemic inflammatory markers and clinicopathological factors, is more effective in predicting the prognosis of node-negative gastric cancer than traditional staging systems. Patients in the high-risk group might be good candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy.

Preliminary study of surgical audit for overall survival following gastric cancer resection

BACKGROUND

Previous studies for surgical audit have focused on short-term outcomes, such as perioperative mortality. There has been no gold standard how to evaluate quality of care for long-term outcomes in surgical oncology. This preliminary study aims to propose a method for surgical audit targeting long-term outcome following gastrectomy for gastric cancer.

METHODS

We prospectively investigated a set of variables relating to physiologic conditions, tumor characteristics and operations in patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer between June 2005 and July 2008 in 18 referral hospitals in Japan. Overall survival (OS) is the endpoint. Cox hazard regression analysis was used to generate a model to predict OS. The calibration and discrimination power of the model were assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test and area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC), respectively. The ratio of observed-to-estimated 5-year OS rates (OE ratio) was defined as a measure of quality.

RESULTS

Among 762 patients analyzed, 697 (91%) completed the 5-year follow-up. The constructed model for OS exhibited a good discrimination power (AUC, 95% confidence interval 0.89, 0.86-0.91), which was significantly better than that for the UICC stage (0.81, 0.77-0.84). This model also demonstrated a good calibration power (H-L: χ(2) = 27.2, df = 8, P = 0.77). The OE ratios among the participating hospitals revealed no significant variation between 0.74 and 1.1.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study suggests the possibility of surgical audit for postoperative OS in gastric cancer. Further studies including high-volume centers will be necessary to validate this idea.

Node-extranodal soft tissue stage based on extranodal metastasis is associated with poor prognosis of patients with gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of Node-Extranodal soft tissue (pNE) stage based on Extranodal Metastasis (EM) on recurrence and survival in patients with gastric cancer (GC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 642 patients were divided into two groups according to statue of EM. Clinicopathologic features were compared among the two groups, the log-rank test was used to assess statistical differences between the groups. Independent prognostic factors were identified by the Cox proportional hazards regression model. According to the number of EMs, EM was incorporated into the pN stage of gastric carcinoma. The 5-y overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) rates were 48.1% and 17.4%, 44.5% and 14.3% between the two groups. Patients with EM had a deeper tumor invasion and more number of lymph node metastases. Peritoneal dissemination and distant metastasis were more frequent with EM. EM is an independent risk factor for distance recurrence (odds ratio = 1.605), and it is the highest risk factor for peritoneal recurrence (odds ratio = 2.448). Multivariate analysis showed that depth of tumor invasion (P = 0.025), lymph node metastasis (P <0.001), and EM (P = 0.006) were independent factors associated with OS. Furthermore, EM (P = 0.0039) was also an independent prognostic factor for DFS. The differences in prognostic prediction between the seventh edition of the pN classification and the pNE classification were directly compared. We found the pNE classification (hazard ratio = 1.730, P <0.001) was more appropriate for predicting the OS of GC patients after curative surgery, and the -2 loglikehood of the pNE staging (4533.991) is smaller than the value of pN.

CONCLUSIONS

EM was closely associated with cancer aggressiveness and the presence of EM was a significant independent predictor of reduced DFS and OS in GC patients. EM is an independent risk factor for distance recurrence, especially for peritoneal recurrence, the selection of postoperative adjuvant therapy in systemic (intravenous or intra-arterial) and regional (intraperitoneal) based on EM may be a reasonable approach. The lymph node imaging techniques such as injecting nanocarbon during surgery should be applied. As an important prognostic factor, EM should be incorporated into N stage according to its number retrieved in postoperative samples.

Perioperative chemotherapy for gastroesophageal cancer in British Columbia: a multicentre experience

BACKGROUND

In 2006, perioperative epirubicin, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (ecf), compared with surgery alone, demonstrated a significant survival benefit in resectable gastroesophageal cancers. We report the results of our experience with that protocol.

METHODS

The BC Cancer Agency (bcca) is a multicentre institution that treats most oncology patients for the province. Characteristics of the 83 bcca patients with localized gastric, gastroesophageal junction, or lower esophageal cancer who initiated perioperative chemotherapy either ecf or epirubicin, cisplatin, and capecitabine (ecx) from 2008 to 2011 were abstracted to an anonymous database and analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 83 patients in the cohort [66 men; median age: 62 years (range: 37-79 years)], 87.9% completed 3 cycles of perioperative chemotherapy, and 93.9% (n = 78) underwent an attempt at surgery (2 patients died of chemotherapy toxicities, 1 refused surgery, and 2 developed disease progression before surgery). In 11 of the surgeries (14.1%), tumours could not be resected because of unresectability (n = 1), liver metastasis (n = 1), and peritoneal carcinomatosis (n = 9). One patient died of surgical complications. The 6 patients (7.2%) who achieved a pathologic complete response are all alive and recurrence-free. Of 46 patients (55.4%) who subsequently began postoperative chemotherapy, 44.5% completed 3 cycles. Estimated median survival was 40.3 months. Weight loss was the only significant prognostic factor for worse overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Our multicentre experience confirmed the feasibility of the magic protocol in a real-world scenario and showed that ecx is also an adequate regimen in the perioperative setting. Weight loss was the only significant prognostic factor for worse overall survival. All patients who achieved a pathologic complete response are recurrence-free after a median follow-up of 40.3 months.

Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy after d2-lymphadenectomy for gastric cancer: the role of n-ratio in patient selection. results of a single cancer center

Background

Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy is part of a multimodality treatment approach in order to improve survival outcomes after surgery for gastric cancer. The aims of this study are to describe the results of gastrectomy and adjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients treated in a single institution, and to identify prognostic factors that could determine which individuals would benefit from this treatment.

Methods

This retrospective study included patients with pathologically confirmed gastric adenocarcinoma who underwent surgical treatment with curative intent in a single cancer center in Brazil, between 1998 and 2008. Among 327 patients treated in this period, 142 were selected. Exclusion criteria were distant metastatic disease (M1), T1N0 tumors, different multimodality treatments and tumors of the gastric stump. Another 10 individuals were lost to follow-up and there were 3 postoperative deaths. The role of several clinical and pathological variables as prognostic factors was determined.

Results

D2-lymphadenectomy was performed in 90.8% of the patients, who had 5-year overall and disease-free survival of 58.9% and 55.7%. The interaction of N-category and N-ratio, extended resection and perineural invasion were independent prognostic factors for overall and disease-free survival. Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy was not associated with a significant improvement in survival. Patients with node-positive disease had improved survival with adjuvant chemoradiotherapy, especially when we grouped patients with N1 and N2 tumors and a higher N-ratio. These individuals had worse disease-free (30.3% vs. 48.9%) and overall survival (30.9% vs. 71.4%).

Conclusion

N-category and N-ratio interaction, perineural invasion and extended resections were prognostic factors for survival in gastric cancer patients treated with D2-lymphadenectomy, but adjuvant chemoradiotherapy was not. There may be some benefit with this treatment in patients with node-positive disease and higher N-ratio.

Using conjoint analysis to measure the acceptability of rectal microbicides among men who have sex with men in four South American cities

Conjoint Analysis (CJA), a statistical market-based technique that assesses the value consumers place on product characteristics, may be used to predict acceptability of hypothetical products. Rectal Microbicides (RM)-substances that would prevent HIV infection during receptive anal intercourse-will require acceptability data from potential users in multiple settings to inform the development process by providing valuable information on desirable product characteristics and issues surrounding potential barriers to product use. This study applied CJA to explore the acceptability of eight different hypothetical RM among 128 MSM in Lima and Iquitos, Peru; Guayaquil, Ecuador; and Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Overall RM acceptability was highest in Guayaquil and lowest in Rio. Product effectiveness had the greatest impact on acceptability in all four cities, but the impact of other product characteristics varied by city. This study demonstrates that MSM from the same region but from different cities place different values on RM characteristics that could impact uptake of an actual RM. Understanding specific consumer preferences is crucial during RM product development, clinical trials and eventual product dissemination.

Prediction of response and prognosis by a score including only pretherapeutic parameters in 410 neoadjuvant treated gastric cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy is an independent prognostic factor in locally advanced gastric cancer. However, no prospectively tested pretherapeutic parameters predicting response and/or survival in gastric cancer are available in clinical routine.

METHODS

We evaluated the prognostic significance of various clinical pathologic parameters in 410 patients who were treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by gastrectomy. Clinical and histopathologic response evaluation was performed by using standardized criteria. A prognostic score was created on the basis of the variables identified in the multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Three pretherapeutic parameters were identified as positive predictive factors for response and prognosis: tumor localization in the middle third of the stomach (P=0.001), well-differentiated tumors (P=0.001), and intestinal tumor type according to Laurén classification (P=0.03). A prognostic index was constructed, dividing the patients into three risk groups: low (n=73), intermediate (n=274), and high (n=63). The three groups had significantly different clinical (P=0.007) and histopathologic response rates (P=0.001) and survival times, with a median survival time that was not reached in the low-risk group, 39.2 months in the intermediate-risk group, and 20.5 months in the high-risk group. The corresponding 5-year survival rates were 65.3, 41.2, and 21.2% (P<0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A simple scoring system based on three clinicopathologic parameters accurately predicts response and prognosis in neoadjuvant treated gastric cancer. This system provides additional useful information that could be applied to select gastric cancer patients pretherapeutically for different treatment approaches. Prospective testing of the score in an independent patient cohort is warranted.

Prediction of response and prognosis by a score including only pretherapeutic parameters in 410 neoadjuvant treated gastric cancer patients

INTRODUCTION

Response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is an independent prognostic factor in locally advanced gastric cancer. However, no prospectively tested pretherapeutic parameters predicting response and/or survival in gastric cancer are available in clinical routine.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We evaluated the prognostic significance of various clinicopathologic parameters in 410 patients who were treated with NAC followed by gastrectomy. Clinical and histopathological response evaluation was performed using standardized criteria. A prognostic score was created on the basis of the variables identified in the multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis identified three pretherapeutic parameters as positive predictive factors for response and prognosis: tumor localization in the middle third of the stomach (p = 0.001), well differentiated tumors (p = 0.001) and intestinal tumor type according to Laurén's classification (p = 0.03). From the obtained data a prognostic index was constructed, dividing the patients into three risk groups: low (n = 73), intermediate (n = 274), and poor (n = 63). The three groups had significantly different clinical (p = 0.007) and histopathological response rates (p = 0.001) and survival times, with a median survival time that was not reached in the low-risk group, 39.2 months in the intermediate-risk group and 20.5 months in the poor-risk group. The corresponding 5-year survival rates were 65.3, 41.2, and 21.2 % (p < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

A simple scoring system based on three clinicopathologic parameters, accurately predicts response and prognosis in neoadjuvant treated gastric cancer. This system provides additional useful information that could be applied to select gastric cancer patients pretherapeutically for different treatment approaches. Prospective testing of the score in an independent patient cohort is warranted.

A risk score system to preoperatively predict TNM stages in gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

To improve the estimation of tumor status and facilitate the stage-dependent treatment planning, we developed a reliable and easy-to-use risk score for prediction of tumor-node-metastasis stages in gastric cancer.

METHODS

Clinicopathological data were collected prospectively from 108 curatively resected patients with gastric cancer. The risk score was established on the basis of independent predictive factors for tumor stages, and its performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

The following 4 independent factors were included in our score: serum albumin levels, tumor size, T and N categories determined by helical computed tomography. Using ROC analysis, we chose a score at 7 as the optimal cut point for differentiating the more advanced disease (stage III/IV) from the less advanced one (stage I/II). With the defined cut point, our score allowed predicting stage III/IV with sensitivity of 79.6%, specificity of 85.2%, and accuracy of 82.4%. The discriminative ability of this score was good (the area under the ROC curve, 0.861-0.965).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk score may be helpful to preoperative gastric cancer staging. It probably assists surgeons in deciding the extent of surgery and in choosing the appropriate perioperative adjuvant therapies.

Palliative gastrectomy and other factors affecting overall survival in stage IV gastric adenocarcinoma patients receiving chemotherapy: a retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVE

Most patients with gastric cancer present with locally advanced or metastatic disease and usually receive palliative therapy. We sought to identify factors influencing overall survival in patients with stage IV gastric cancer receiving palliative chemotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The records of 311 patients with histological diagnosis of gastric adenocarcinoma were retrospectively reviewed and 17 clinicopathological and therapeutic parameters were evaluated for their influence on overall survival.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis nine factors were found to independently influence survival: no previous palliative gastrectomy [Hazard ratio (HR, 12; CI 7.969-18.099)], single agent chemotherapy instead of combination chemotherapy (HR, 1.35; CI 1.068-1.721), histological grade III (HR, 1.39; 95% CI 1.098-1.782), the presence of hepatic (HR, 1.6; 95% CI 1.246-2.073) and abdominal metastasis (HR, 1.33; 95% CI 1.039-1.715), CA 72-4 > 7 U/L (HR, 1.39; 95% CI 1.026-1.887), LDH > 225 U/L (HR, 1.72; 95% CI 1.336-2.236], need for blood transfusions (HR, 1.58; 95% CI 1.213-2.082), and weight loss > 5% (HR, 1.96; 95% CI 1.352-2.853) at the time of initial diagnosis. Patients were stratified as low (0-2 factors), intermediate (3-6 factors) and high (7-9 factors) risk and the median survival was 76, 40 and 11 weeks, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Nine clinical and laboratory factors that adversely affect survival in patients with stage IV gastric cancer who receive chemotherapy were identified. Their concurrent presence seems to have an additive effect as patients with seven to nine factors have the worse prognosis. Palliative gastrectomy and combination chemotherapy appear to be associated with improved survival.

Long-term results of tailored D(2) lymph node dissection after R(0) surgery for gastric cancer

Implementation of extended lymph node dissection for gastric cancer in western non-specialized centers through tailoring its extent upon disease stage and patient comorbidities was suggested as a wise policy to reduce morbidity and mortality rates, albeit with a potential for undertreatment in elderly and/or comorbid patients. Current definition of R(0) resection for gastric cancer lacks consideration of treatment-related variables such as extended lymph node dissection. Few studies to date have tried to fill this gap in such a clinical context. A retrospective evaluation of factors influencing long-term results after R(0) surgery was done in a prospective series of a non-specialized western surgical unit during the implementation of D(2) lymphadenectomy. Univariate and multivariate analysis of 22 variables were performed on a prospective database of 233 consecutive R(0) resections performed by ten different surgeons in 10 years. Endpoint was disease-free survival calculated at 5 and at 10 years. Disease-free survival rates were independently influenced by age, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) status and lymph node ratio. Subset analysis of the status at censor stratified for age and ASA status failed to identify any significant difference in disease recurrence rates. Lymph node ratio was the only treatment-related independent prognostic factor for long-term results after R(0) surgery for gastric cancer in the setting of a non-specialized western unit, where the extent of lymph node dissection needs to be tailored on the presence of comorbidities (ASA status).

Lymph node examination among patients with gastric cancer: variation between departments of pathology and prognostic impact of lymph node ratio

INTRODUCTION

At least 15 lymph nodes should be retrieved for proper TNM-staging in gastric cancer. We evaluated nodal harvest and examined its relation to stage distribution and survival at a population-based level, including the value of N-ratio (metastatic/evaluated) as a staging modality.

METHODS

All patients resected for primary M0 gastric cancer diagnosed in 1999-2007 in the Dutch Eindhoven Cancer Registry area were included (N = 880). Determinants of lymph node evaluation and their relationship with stage and survival were assessed in multivariable regression analyses. N-ratio categories were determined (N-ratio 0, 0%; N-ratio 1, 0.1%-19%; N-ratio 2, 20%-29%; N-ratio 3, ≥30%)

RESULTS

The median number of lymph nodes examined was 7, dependent on N-category (N0: 7; N+: 8). It varied between departments of pathology from 5 to 9. This variation remained after adjustment for relevant patient- and tumour factors. Stage distribution differed between pathology departments (proportion N0 ranging from 14% to 21%, p = 0.003). Among resected patients with N0M0 disease and <7 nodes examined, 5-year survival was 56%, compared to 69% among patients with ≥7 nodes examined (p = 0.012). Five-year survival for N-ratio 0 was 58%, N-ratio 1 50%, N-ratio 2 18% and N-ratio 3 11% (p < 0.0001), while 5-year survival ranged from 58% for N0, 17% for N1, and 11% for N2/3 (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In this series of patients with a relatively low number of evaluated lymph nodes, a high prognostic accuracy of N-ratio was found. However, improvement in nodal assessment is mandatory.

The interaction between N-category and N-ratio as a new tool to improve lymph node metastasis staging in gastric cancer: results of a single cancer center in Brazil

BACKGROUND

Depth of tumor invasion (T-category) and the number of metastatic lymph nodes (N-category) are the most important prognostic factors in patients with gastric cancer. Recently, the ratio between metastatic and dissected lymph nodes (N-ratio) has been established as one. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of N-ratio and its interaction with N-category as a prognostic factor in gastric cancer.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study in which we reviewed clinical and pathological data of 165 patients who had undergone curative surgery at our institution through a 9-year period. The exclusion criteria included metastases, gastric stump tumors and gastrectomy with less than 15 lymph nodes dissected.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 63 years and most of them were male. Total gastrectomy was the most common procedure and 92.1% of the patients had a D2-lymphadenectomy. Their 5-year overall survival was 57.7%. T-category, N-category, extended gastrectomy, and N-ratio were prognostic factors in overall and disease-free survival in accordance with univariate analysis. In accordance with TNM staging, N1 patients who have had NR1 had 5-year survival in 75.5% whereas in the NR2 group only 33% of the cases had 5-year survival. In the multivariate analysis, the interaction between N-category and N-ratio was an independent prognostic factor.

CONCLUSION

Our findings confirmed the role of N-ratio as prognostic factor of survival in patients with gastric cancer surgically treated with at least 15 lymph nodes dissected. The relationship between N-category and N-ratio is a better predictor than lymph node metastasis staging.

Trends in incidence, treatment and survival of gastric adenocarcinoma between 1990 and 2007: a population-based study in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

Survival of gastric cancer in the Western world remains poor. We conducted a retrospective population-based study to evaluate trends in incidence, treatment and outcome of gastric adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

All patients diagnosed with gastric adenocarcinoma during 1990-2007 in the Dutch Eindhoven Cancer Registry area were included (n=4,797). Trend analyses were conducted for incidence, mortality, tumour and patient characteristics, treatment and crude overall survival, according to tumour location (cardia versus non-cardia). Temporal changes in the odds of undergoing surgery and the risk of death were analysed by means of multivariable regression methods.

RESULTS

Age-standardised incidence decreased among males (24-12 per 100,000 inhabitants) and females (10-6); mortality rates decreased at a similar pace. The proportion of cardia tumours remained stable. Stage distribution worsened over time among patients with cardia (stages I and II: 32% in 1990-1993 and 22% in 2006-2007, p=0.005) and non-cardia (stage IV: 33% in 1990-1993 and 40% in 2006-2007, p=0.0003) cancer. Chemotherapy rates increased in all settings. Five-year survival worsened over time for patients with non-cardia tumours. Age and stage had significant influence on survival after stratification for tumour localisation. After adjustments for relevant factors (i.e. stage), the risk of death decreased since the late 90s for patients with a cardia tumour (hazard ratio 0.8, p=0.01).

CONCLUSION

The absence of improvement in survival rates indicates the need for earlier detection and prospective studies to evaluate new therapy regimens with standardised surgery and pathology.

Ratio of metastatic to resected lymph nodes for prediction of survival in patients with inadequately staged gastric cancer

Background

Staging is inadequate in up to 70 per cent of patients with gastric cancer in Western countries owing to the small number of lymph nodes dissected during surgery. The aim was to determine whether using the ratio of metastatic to resected lymph nodes (LNR) might improve accuracy.

Methods

Data were analysed from patients with gastric cancer who had gastrectomy in several centres between 1986 and 1998, with dissection of 15 or fewer lymph nodes. LNRs and other prognostic factors were evaluated.

Results

From a total of 738 patients, the median number of resected nodes was 8 (range 1–15) and median LNR was 42·8 per cent. The number of metastatic nodes significantly affected survival only in univariable analysis. In a Cox proportional hazards model, patient age, depth of tumour infiltration, tumour location, and LNR were identified as independent prognostic factors. Compared with node-negative patients, the hazard ratio for an LNR of 0·1–40·0 per cent was 1·85 (P &lt; 0·001), increasing to 2·93 (P &lt; 0·001) when the LNR exceeded 40·0 per cent.

Conclusion

The LNR cannot be used as a substitute for staging with adequate lymphadenectomy. It may help to stratify patients in terms of prognosis when the number of resected lymph nodes is limited.

Dietary folate and vitamin B12 intake before diagnosis decreases gastric cancer mortality risk among susceptible MTHFR 677TT carriers

OBJECTIVE

To assess gastric cancer survival in relation to dietary intake of methyl donors and the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase 677C>T (MTHFR 677C>T) polymorphism.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of 257 incidental, histologically confirmed gastric cancer cases was assembled in January 2004 and followed until June 2006. Patients were recruited from the main oncology and/or gastroenterology units in Mexico City and were queried regarding their sociodemographic information, clinical history, and dietary habits 3 y before the onset of their symptoms. The intake of methyl donors was estimated with a food-frequency questionnaire and the MTHFR 677C>T polymorphisms were determined by polymerase chain reaction/restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis. Cox's multivariate regression models were used to estimate the mortality risk of gastric cancer.

RESULTS

MTHFR 677TT carriers with low folate and vitamin B12 intakes had the lowest survival rate in cases of gastric cancer. High intakes of folate and vitamin B12 before diagnosis was associated with decreased gastric cancer mortality risk in susceptible MTHFR 677TT carriers (mortality risk for folate 0.14, 95% confidence interval 0.04-0.46, P for trend=0.001; mortality risk for vitamin B12 0.23, 95% confidence interval 0.08-0.66, P for trend=0.008).

CONCLUSION

Folate and related B vitamins may be used as an intervention strategy to improve the survival outcome of gastric cancer.

Cancer of the esophagus and stomach

Upper gastrointestinal tumors involving the esophagus and the stomach are a serious public health problem worldwide. The West has seen a dramatic increase in the incidence of gastroesophageal cancers in the past 2 decades. Although Barrett esophagus has been well characterized, the exact pathway to developing frank malignancy remains undefined. Current treatments for locoregional disease include surgery, chemotherapy, radiation therapy, or some combination thereof. Clinical trials are currently investigating biologic agents that target signaling pathways in carcinogenesis. Whether this research translates into an improved therapeutic index remains to be seen. This review provides a comprehensive update to physicians and residents who contribute to the care of these patients. Studies in the English language were identified searching PubMed (January 1, 1980, through February 29, 2008) using the terms esophagus, gastric, carcinoma, adenocarcinoma, squamous cell, radiation, chemotherapy, surgery, esophagectomy, and targeted therapy.

Role of symptoms in diagnosis and outcome of gastric cancer

Gastric cancer is one of the most common cancers and the second most common cause of cancer deaths worldwide. Apart from Japan, where screening programmes have resulted in early diagnosis in asymptomatic patients, in most countries the diagnosis of gastric cancers is invariably made on account on dyspeptic and alarm symptoms, which may also be of prognostic significance when reported by the patient at diagnosis. However, their use as selection criteria for endoscopy seems to be inconsistent since alarm symptoms are not sufficiently sensitive to detect malignancies. In fact, the overall prevalence of these symptoms in dyspeptic patients is high, while the prevalence of gastro-intestinal cancer is very low. Moreover, symptoms of early stage cancer may be indistinguishable from those of benign dyspepsia, while the presence of alarm symptoms may imply an advanced and often inoperable disease. The features of dyspeptic and alarm symptoms may reflect the pathology of the tumour and be of prognostic value in suggesting site, stage and aggressiveness of cancer. Alarm symptoms in gastric cancer are independently related to survival and an increased number, as well as specific alarm symptoms, are closely correlated to the risk of death.Dysphagia, weight loss and a palpable abdominal mass appear to be major independent prognostic factors in gastric cancer, while gastro-intestinal bleeding, vomiting and also duration of symptoms, do not seem to have a relevant prognostic impact on survival in gastric cancer.

Prognostic model to predict survival following first-line chemotherapy in patients with metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study was to devise a prognostic model for metastatic gastric cancer patients undergoing first-line chemotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis was carried out on 1455 gastric cancer patients, who received first-line chemotherapy from September 1994 to February 2005.

RESULTS

At multivariate level, poor prognostic factors were no previous gastrectomy [P = 0.003; relative risk (RR), 1.191; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.061-1.338], albumin < 3.6 g/dl (P = or <0.001; RR, 1.245; 95% CI 1.106-1.402), alkaline phosphatase > 85 U/l (P = or <0.001; RR, 1.224; 95% CI 1.092-1.371), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of two or more (P = or <0.001; RR, 1.690; 95% CI 1.458-1.959), the presence of bone metastases (P = 0.001; RR, 1.460; 95% CI 1.616-1.836), and the presence of ascites (P = or < 0.001; RR, 1.452; 95% CI 1.295-1.628). Of 1434 patients, 489 patients (34.1%) were categorized as low-risk group (zero to one factors), 889 patients (62.0%) as intermediate-risk group (two to four factors), and 56 patients (3.9%) as high-risk group (five to six factors). Median survival durations for low, intermediate, and high-risk groups were 12.5 months, 7.0 months, and 2.7 months, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This model should facilitate the individual patient risk stratification and thus, more appropriate therapies for each metastatic gastric cancer patient.