Hepatic resection for "BCLC stage A" hepatocellular carcinoma. The prognostic role of alpha-fetoprotein

Changes in the Epidemiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Carinthia, Austria, 2012-2023

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths and remains a major burden on healthcare systems worldwide. The incidence of HCC continues to rise globally, despite preventative efforts being made.

AIMS

This study aimed to investigate epidemiological changes observed in the etiology and survival outcomes of HCC patients at Klinikum Klagenfurt am Wörthersee between 2012 and 2023.

METHODS

This was a retrospective, single-center cohort study. Two time-periods (2012-2017 and 2018-2023) were created to enable comparison between the respective intervals. IBM SPSS was used to analyze statistical data.

RESULTS

More patients were diagnosed with HCC during the second time period (n = 128, n = 148). The median age of diagnosis was 72.5 years (SD 8.6). Patients were on average 2 years younger in the second time period compared to the first (p = 0.042). Alcohol remained the leading underlying etiology of HCC and no statistically significant change was seen over time (p = 0.353). Nevertheless, a clear upward trend in the number of NASH cases was evident over time (n = 15, n = 28, respectively). Nearly half of the patient population had a normal AFP (<7 µg/L) level at the time of diagnosis (n = 116, 42.6%). The survival time for HCC patients remained similar between time periods, with a median overall survival time of 20.5 months (95% CI 16.8-24.2, p = 0.841), despite improvements in management strategies and the availability of new systemic treatments. More advanced-stage HCC cases were documented in the second period (BCLC-C, n = 23 to n = 46, p = 0.051). An increased number of HCC patients without liver cirrhosis were identified during the second time period (n = 22, n= 47, respectively, p = 0.005). NASH was the most common underlying etiology in patients without liver cirrhosis (50%) compared to alcohol use in being the primary cause in cirrhotic patients (65%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

HCC continues to be an important health concern in our society. The number of HCC patients without liver cirrhosis is steadily increasing, with NAFLD/NASH, due to underlying lifestyle diseases playing an important etiological role. Continued efforts should be made to prevent HCC and to screen at-risk population groups. Preventative strategies and screening techniques should be adjusted in light of the changing epidemiological landscape of HCC, where more focus will have to be placed on detecting HCC in patients without underlying cirrhosis.

TAC score better predicts survival than the BCLC following resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Heterogeneity in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still exists within the Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) subcategories. We developed a simple model to better discriminate and predict prognosis following resection.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for HCC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Predictive factors of survival were identified to develop TAC (tumor burden score [TBS], alpha-fetoprotein [AFP], Child-Pugh CP]) score.

RESULTS

Among 1435 patients, median TBS was 5.1 (interquartile range [IQR]: 3.2-8.1), median AFP was 18.3 ng/ml (IQR 4.0-362.5), and 1391 (96.9%) patients were classified as CP-A. Factors associated with overall survival (OS) included TBS (low: referent; medium: HR 2.26, 95% CI: 1.73-2.96; high: HR = 3.35, 95% CI: 2.22-5.07), AFP (<400 ng/ml: referent; >400 ng/ml: HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.27-1.92), and CP (A: referent; B: HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.12-2.92) (all p < 0.05). A simplified risk score demonstrated superior concordance index, Akaike information criteria, homogeneity, and area under the curve versus BCLC (0.620 vs. 0.541; 5484.655 vs. 5536.454; 60.099 vs. 16.194; 0.62 vs. 0.55, respectively), and further stratified patients within BCLC groups relative to OS (BCLC 0, very low: 86.8%, low: 47.8%) (BCLC A, very low: 79.7%, low: 68.1%, medium: 52.5%, high: 35.6%) (BCLC B, low: 59.8%, medium: 43.7%, high: N/A).

CONCLUSION

TAC is a simple, holistic score that consistently outperformed BCLC relative to discrimination power and prognostication following resection of HCC.

Preoperative risk score (PreopScore) to predict overall survival after resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to develop a holistic risk score incorporating preoperative tumor, liver, nutritional, and inflammatory markers to predict overall survival (OS) after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using an international multi-institutional database. Preoperative predictors associated with OS were selected and a prognostic risk score model (PreopScore) was developed and validated using cross-validation.

RESULTS

A total of 1676 patients were included. On multivariable analysis, preoperative parameters associated with OS included α-feto protein (hazard ratio [HR]1.17, 95%CI 1.03-1.34), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (HR2.62, 95%CI 1.30-5.30), albumin (HR0.49, 95%CI 0.34-0.70), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (HR1.00, 95%CI 1.00-1.00), as well as vascular involvement (HR3.52, 95%CI 2.10-5.89) and tumor burden score (medium, HR3.49, 95%CI 1.62-7.58; high, HR3.21, 95%CI 1.40-7.35) on preoperative imaging. A weighted PreopScore was devised and made available online (https://yutaka-endo.shinyapps.io/PrepoScore_Shiny/). Patients with a PreopScore 0-2, 2-3.5, and >3.5 had incrementally worse 5-year OS of 85.8%, 70.7%, and 52.4%, respectively (p < 0.001). The c-index of the test and validation cohort were 0.75 and 0.71, respectively. The PreopScore outperformed individual parameters and previous HCC staging systems.

DISCUSSION

The PreopScore can be used as a better guide to preoperatively identify patients and individualize pre-/post-operative strategies.

Correlation of Clinicopathological Profile, Prognostic Factors, and Survival Outcomes with Baseline Alfa-Fetoprotein Levels in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Biomarker that is Bruised but Not Broken

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The role of Alfa-fetoprotein (AFP) in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still debated, with differences in recommendations between international guidelines. We analyzed the relationship of the clinicopathological profile, prognostic features, and survival outcomes with baseline serum AFP levels in patients with HCC.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of a prospectively accrued dataset of consecutive HCC patients was done.

RESULTS

508 treatment naive patients were included in the analysis. AFP at presentation was normal (<10 ng/ml) in 18% patients. Patients with very high AFP (>400 ng/ml) had poor hepatic reserves (higher mean serum bilirubin, AST, ALT, INR, and lower mean albumin) and advanced disease at presentation (higher incidence of extrahepatic metastasis, and less proportion of patients with well-differentiated tumors). AFP >400 ng/ml was an independent predictor for presence of portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) (OR, 4.08; 95% CI, 2.34-7.12; P < 0.001), higher tumor size (OR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.36-3.54, P = 0.001) and advanced BCLC stage (OR, 4.19; 95% CI, 2.51-7.03; P < 0.001). Two-third of patients with small HCC (MTD <3 cm) and more than half with early-stage HCC (BCLC stage 0/A) had elevated AFP levels. No significant relationship was seen between overall survival (OS) and baseline AFP in patients who underwent surgery, but median OS in patients subjected to nonsurgical therapies was 19.4,10.5 and 5.7 months in patients having AFP <10 ng/ml, 10-400 ng/ml and >400 ng/ml respectively (P = 0.003). AFP >400 ng/ml was an independent predictor of survival in patients receiving any form of therapy (HR = 2.23; 95% CI = 1.19-4.18, P = 0.012).

CONCLUSION

AFP as a biomarker still has a significant role to play in the management of HCC patients and is here to stay till the search for an ideal biomarker in HCC is over.

Argentinian clinical practice guideline for surveillance, diagnosis, staging and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

The A.A.E.E.H has developed this guideline for the best care of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from Argentina. It was done from May 2018 to March 2020. Specific clinical research questions were systematically searched. The quality of evidence and level of recommendations were organized according to GRADE. HCC surveillance is strongly recommended with abdominal ultrasound (US) every six months in the population at risk for HCC (cirrhosis, hepatitis B or hepatitis C); it is suggested to add alpha-feto protein (AFP) levels in case of inexeperienced sonographers. Imaging diagnosis in patients at risk for HCC has high specificity and tumor biopsy is not mandatory. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer algorithm is strongly recommended for HCC staging and treatment-decision processes. Liver resection is strongly recommended for patients without portal hypertension and preserved liver function. Composite models are suggested for liver transplant selection criteria. Therapies for HCC with robust clinical evidence include transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and first to second line systemic treatment options (sorafenib, lenvatinib, regorafenib, cabozantinib and ramucirumab). Immunotherapy with nivolumab and pembrolizumab has failed to show statistical benefit but the novel combination of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab has recently shown survival benefit over sorafenib in frontline.

Elevated serum alpha-fetoprotein levels are associated with poor prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma after surgical resection: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

The relationship between the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level and the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgical resection remains unknown. This study aims to assess this relationship.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

PubMed and Web of Science were systematically utilised. Meta-analysis was conducted for the outcomes of the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and the overall survival (OS) by comparing the high AFP group with the low AFP group.

RESULTS

The studies included 61 manuscripts with 35,461 patients. The summary hazard ratio (HR) for RFS was 1.501 (95% CI 1.355-1.662; Z = 7.81, P < 0.00001) when comparing the high AFP group with the low AFP group. Sensitivity analysis only included adjusted HRs, with the summary HR being 1.563 (95% CI 1.381-1.768; Z = 7.10, P < 0.00001). The summary HR for OS was 1.565 (95% CI 1.439-1.701; Z = 10.52, P < 0.00001) when comparing two AFP groups. Sensitivity analysis showed that the summary HR was 1.611 (95% CI 1.456-1.782; Z = 9.24, P < 0.00001).

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis indicated that elevated serum AFP levels are associated with poor prognosis of HCC after surgical resection.

The prognostic value of aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy: A propensity-score matched analysis

BACKGROUND

An elevated preoperative aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) may predict poor survival in various cancers. However, the prognostic value of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains to be determined.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted among 983 patients with HCC in our hospital from February 2007 to March 2016. A propensity-score matching (PSM) was performed to correct the selection bias and confounding factors. The risk of death and recurrence was plotted over aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) using the locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS)-smoothed fit curve. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan-Meier method analysis was utilized to the role of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) in HCC. Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify independent prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

With the increase of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI), the risk of recurrence and death in HCC patients increases. In time-dependent ROC analysis, the AUC of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) for predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year OS were 0.668 (95% CI: 0.596-0.740), 0.605 (95% CI: 0.560-0.649) and 0.613 (95% CI: 0.570-0.656), respective. The AUC of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) for predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year RFS were 0.598 (95% CI: 0.555-0.641), 0.590 (95% CI: 0.552-0.628) and 0.604 (95% CI: 0.562-0.646), respectively. HCC patients with high aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) had a poor overall survival. Moreover, cox regression analysis revealed that aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) was an independent factor affecting the prognosis of HCC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated preoperative aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) is a noninvasive, simple, and effective predictor in the prognosis of patients with HCC.

Daily decrease of post-operative alpha-fetoprotein by 9% discriminates prognosis of HCC: A multicenter retrospective study

Background: Mixed evidence challenges preoperative alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) as an independent prognostic factor for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy.

Results: Daily post-operative decrease of AFP by 9% as compared to the preoperative level (A09) were selected as the Cut-off. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that A09 was significantly different for OS (P=0.043) and RFS (P=0.03). A decrease in risk by 54% was observed for OS and 32% for RFS in the at-risk population (A09>9%). A better concordance was observed after adding A09 into TNM and BCLC staging systems. Moreover, a consistent concordance was observed in the internal (FDZS5:0.63; FDZS3:0.608) and external (FDZS5:0.85; FDZS3:0.762) validation cohorts, suggesting its prognostic value in HCC population with elevated AFP.

Conclusions: Decrease in perioperative serum AFP rather than preoperative AFP is an independent prognostic factor for HCC patients after hepatectomy. Cut-off A09 significantly discriminates overall and recurrence-free survival and could be interpret into TNM and BCLC staging systems to improve the stratification power for HCC patients with elevated AFP.

Methods: Kaplan-Meier curve depicted the differences of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Nomogram and concordance were employed to evaluate the superiority of the current staging system.

Clinical predictors of small solitary hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma microinvasion

BACKGROUND

Microinvasion serves as a reliable indicator of poor prognosis after hepatectomy or transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, microinvasion is difficult to detect with current imaging modalities and is usually diagnosed histopathologically. The aim of this study is to identify the preoperative clinical predictors of microinvasion of small solitary hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC.

METHODS

From January 2000 to December 2009, 110 patients with HBV-related small primary solitary HCC (tumour diameter ≤3.0 cm) who underwent hepatectomy at Chinese PLA General Hospital were enrolled. The independent predictors of microinvasion, such as microvascular invasion and microscopic satellite nodules, were analysed. The prognosis of patients with microinvasion was compared with that of patients without microinvasion.

RESULTS

Of the 110 patients, 31 (28.2%) exhibited microinvasion. Among them, 16 (51.6%) had microvascular invasion with microscopic satellite nodules, five (16.1%) had microscopic satellite nodules without microvascular invasion and 10 (32.3%) had microvascular invasion without microscopic satellite nodules. Two independent predictors of microinvasion were identified: serum alpha-fetoprotein >20 ng/mL and a viral load of >10⁴ copies/mL. Patients without microinvasion exhibited a significantly better prognostic outcome compared with those with microinvasion.

CONCLUSION

Regarding HBV-related small HCC, patients presenting with alpha-fetoprotein levels >20 ng/mL and a high viral load (HBV-DNA >104 copies/mL) are at substantial risk for microinvasion.

Comparison of macrovascular invasion-free survival in early-intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma after different interventions: A propensity score-based analysis

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to compare macrovascular invasion (MVI)-free survival (MFS) at the three-year follow-up in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent hepatic resection (HR), transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE), or TACE combined with radiofrequency ablation (TACE-RFA).

Materials and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 828 patients who were diagnosed with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A or stage B HCC. Of these patients, 116 underwent HR, 395 underwent TACE-RFA, 239 underwent TACE, and 78 patients received conservative treatment (control group). A validation cohort of 158 patients was included. The MFS and overall survival (OS) before and after propensity score (PS) matching were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

Results: The baseline characteristics between the control and TACE groups were comparable. MFS was higher in the TACE group than in the control group at the three-year follow-up (p = 0.0091), and OS was similar in the two groups (p = 0.0549). PS matching was used to generate 68 pairs of patients in the control versus HR group and 74 pairs of patients in the control versus TACE-RFA group (1-to-1 matched). MFS was significantly higher in the HR or TACE-RFA groups than in the control group (p < 0.0001 (HR versus control) and p = 0.0001 (TACE-RFA versus control), respectively). Furthermore, for patients in the HR versus TACE-RFA versus TACE groups that were generated by PS matching, the Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that MFS and OS were higher with HR or TACE-RFA than with TACE at three years. In the study, similar results were obtained in the validation cohort.

Conclusions: MFS and OS were higher with HR or TACE-RFA than with TACE for HCC patients without MVI.

Surgical Resection vs. Ablative Therapies Through a Laparoscopic Approach for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: a Comparative Study

BACKGROUND

When compatible with the liver functional reserve, laparoscopic hepatic resection remains the treatment of choice for hepatocellular carcinoma while laparoscopic ablation therapies appear as a promising less invasive alternative. The aim of the study is to compare two homogeneous groups of patients submitted to either hepatic resection or thermoablation for the treatment of single hepatocellular carcinoma (≤ 3 cm).

METHODS

We enrolled 264 cirrhotic patients out of 905 cases consecutively evaluated for hepatocellular carcinoma. We performed 59 hepatic resections and 205 thermoablations through a laparoscopic approach, and they were then followed for similar follow-up (41.7 ± 31.5 months for laparoscopic hepatic resection vs. 38.7±32.3 for laparoscopic ablation therapy). Outcomes included short- and long-term morbidities, tumoral recurrence, and overall survival.

RESULTS

Short-term morbidity was significantly higher in the resection group (but the two groups had similar rates for severe complications) while, during follow-up, recurrence was more frequent in patients treated with thermoablation, with a clear disadvantage in terms of survival. At multivariate analysis, only the type of surgical treatment was an independent predictor of disease recurrence, while plasmatic alpha-fetoprotein and Hb values, model for end-stage liver disease score, time to recurrence, and the type of surgical treatment were independent predictors of overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Our data ultimately support some therapeutic advantages for hepatic resection in patients with a single nodule and preserved liver function. However, thermoablation is an adequate alternative in patients with nodules that would require complex surgical resections or imply a poor prognosis that might therefore better tolerate a less invasive procedure.

Hepatic resection or transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma within Milan criteria: A propensity score matching analysis

This study aimed to compare the long-term survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria who underwent hepatic resection (HR) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).Medical records were retrospectively analyzed for HCC patients within the Milan criteria treated at Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Guangxi Medical University between March 2003 and March 2008, 159 of whom underwent HR and 42 of whom underwent TACE. Long-term overall survival (OS) was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method before and after propensity score matching. Cox proportional hazard modeling was used to identify possible predictors of OS.Propensity score matching was used to generate 32 pairs of patients, for which OS was significantly higher after HR than TACE at 1 year, 96.6% versus 84.4%; 3 years, 75.4% versus 53.1%; 5 years, 48.8% versus 29.7%, respectively (P = .038). Among all patients with multinodular HCC (2-3 tumors ≤3 cm), HR was also associated with significantly higher OS than TACE at 1 year, 95.2% versus 72.7%; 3 years, 71.4% versus 9.1%; 5 years, 35.1% versus 0%, respectively (P < .001). By contrast, among all patients with a single HCC tumor ≤5 cm, HR and TACE were associated with similar OS at 1 year, 85.9% versus 90.3%; 3 years, 62.0% versus 61.3%; 5 years, 42.1% versus 33.2%, respectively (P = .332).HR provides survival benefit over TACE in HCC patients within the Milan criteria, especially patients with multinodular HCC involving 2 to 3 tumors ≤3 cm. However, HR and TACE appear to be similarly effective for patients with single-tumor HCC ≤5 cm.

The prognostic utility of baseline alpha-fetoprotein for hepatocellular carcinoma patients

INTRODUCTION

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) has a valuable role in postoperative surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence. The utility of pretreatment or baseline AFP remains controversial. The present study hypothesized that elevated baseline AFP levels are associated with worse overall survival in HCC patients.

METHODS

Adult HCC patients were identified using the National Cancer Database (2004-2013). Patients were stratified according to baseline AFP measurements into the following groups: Negative (<20), Borderline (20-199), Elevated (200-1999), and Highly Elevated (>2000). The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), which was analyzed by log-rank test and graphed using Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate regression modeling was used to determine hazard ratios (HR) for OS.

RESULTS

Of 41 107 patients identified, 15 809 (33.6%) were Negative. Median overall survival was highest in the Negative group, followed by Borderline, Elevated, and Highly Elevated (28.7 vs 18.9 vs 8.8 vs 3.2 months; P < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, overall survival hazard ratios for the Borderline, Elevated, and Highly Elevated groups were 1.18 (P = 0.267), 1.94 (P < 0.001), and 1.77 (P = 0.007), respectively (reference Negative).

CONCLUSION

Baseline AFP independently predicted overall survival in HCC patients regardless of treatment plan. A baseline AFP value is a simple and effective method to assist in expected survival for HCC patients.

Prophylactic liver transplantation for high-risk recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second most common cause of cancer-related death in the world. Radical treatment of HCC in early stages results in a long disease-free period and improved overall survival. The choice of optimal management strategy for HCC mainly depends on the severity of the underlying liver disease. For patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and HCC within Milan criteria (MC), liver transplant (LT) is the choice of treatment. However, for patients with good residual liver reserve and HCC within MC, selection of other curative treatments such as liver resection (LR) or radiofrequency ablation may be a reasonable alternative. For patients without cirrhosis, LR can result in an overall survival similar to that provided by LT. Therefore, it is an accepted alternative to LT especially in areas with organ shortage. However, the cumulative 5-year recurrence rate of HCC post LR might be as high as 70%. For initial transplant-eligible (within MC) patients with recurrent HCC post LR, salvage liver transplant (SLT) was first proposed in 2000. However, most patients with recurrent HCC considered for SLT are untransplantable cases due to HCC recurrence beyond MC or comorbidity. Thus, the strategy of opting for SLT results in the loss of the opportunity of LT for these patients. Some authors proposed the concept of “de principe liver transplant” (i.e., prophylactic LT before HCC recurrence) to prevent losing the chance of LT for these potential candidates. Factors associated with the failure of SLT will be dissected and discussed in three parts: Patient, tumor, and underlying liver disease. Regarding patient-related factors, the rate of transplantability depends on patient compliance. Patients without regular follow-up tend to develop HCC recurrence beyond MC at the time of tumor detection. Advancing age is another factor related to severe comorbidities when LT is considered for HCC recurrence, and these elderly candidates become ineligible as time goes by. Regarding tumor-related factors, histopathological features of the resected specimen are used mostly for determining the prognosis of early HCC recurrences. Such prognostic factors include the presence of microvascular invasion, poor tumor differentiation, the presence of microsatellites, the presence of multiple tumors, and the presence of the gene-expressing signature associated with aggressive HCC. These prognostic factors might be used as a selection tool for SLT or prophylactic LT, while remaining mindful of the fact that most of them are also prognostic factors for post-transplant HCC recurrence. Regarding underlying liver disease-related factors, progression of chronic viral hepatitis and high viral load may contribute to the development of late (de novo) HCC recurrence as a consequence of sustained inflammatory reaction. However, correlation between the severity of liver fibrosis and tumor recurrence is still controversial. Some prognostic scoring systems that integrate these three factors have been proposed to predict recurrence patterns after LR for HCC. Theoretically, after excluding patients with high risk of post-transplant HCC recurrence, either by observation of a cancer-free period or by measurement of biological factors (such as alpha fetoprotein), prophylactic LT following curative resection of HCC could be considered for selected patients with high risk of recurrence to provide longer survival.

The Effectiveness of Multiple Electrode Radiofrequency Ablation in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Lesions More than 3 cm in Size and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage A to B2

Outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) lesions >3.0 cm in size including Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with a single electrode remain unsatisfactory. This study aimed to investigate the outcomes of RFA with multiple electrodes (ME-RFA) for HCC tumors 3.1-7.0 cm in size and BCLC stage B. This retrospective study included 70 consecutive patients with 58 medium- (3.1-5.0 cm) and 17 large- (5.1-7.0 cm) sized HCCs after ME-RFA using a controller. Outcomes in terms of complete response, primary technique effectiveness, local tumor progression, and overall survival were investigated. After 1-4 applications of ME-RFA, the rates of complete response and PTE in medium-sized tumors were 79.3% and 91.4%, respectively, and in large tumors were 76.5% and 94.1%, respectively. Overall, the major complication rate was 5.7%. After a median 21-month follow-up period, both two- and three-year estimated overall survival rates were above 80%. There were no significant differences in overall survival and local tumor progression rates between medium- and large-size tumors and among BCLC stages A, B1 and B2. A complete response to ME-RFA was the only significant factor associated with improved survival (p=0.008). In conclusion, ME-RFA can effectively treat 3.1-7.0-cm sized HCCs with a comparable outcome between medium- and large-size tumors and among BCLA stages A to B2.

Laparoscopic ablation therapies or hepatic resection in cirrhotic patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system recommends radiofrequency ablation as treatment of choice for patients with "small" (up to 2 cm in size) hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIMS

Aim of the study was to assess whether laparoscopic ablation therapies or hepatic resection could be proposed as alternative option if percutaneous approach is not feasible.

METHODS

Overall survival and tumour recurrence rate were compared in a retrospective cohort of 176 consecutive patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma on cirrhosis treated by laparoscopic ablation therapies or surgery. To balance the covariates between the two groups, a propensity case-matched analysis was developed to generate a matched sample, which included 76 patients in each arm.

RESULTS

Local tumour progression (p=0.005), intra-segmental recurrence (p=0.0001), and 5-year recurrence rates (80% vs. 60%; p=0.0014) were significantly higher in the ablation therapies group. The 5-year survival rate were 48% after ablation therapies and 69% after hepatic resection (p=0.0006). Multivariate analysis showed that MELD score, alpha-fetoprotein value, procedure category and intraoperative restaging were associated with survival, while the surgery was the only independent predictor of intra-hepatic recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study suggests that, if percutaneous ablation is not feasible, hepatic resection may be considered as a sound option in the treatment of small hepatocellular carcinoma.

A prognosis model for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and portal vein tumor thrombus following hepatic resection

The present study aimed to identify the risk factors influencing the survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) affected by portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT), following hepatic resection, and to establish a prognostic model. Between March 2001 and May 2008, 234 cases of HCC with PVTT that underwent hepatic resection were randomly divided into experimental or validation groups. The association between the clinicopathological factors and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was analyzed, and the significant factors involved were used to establish a prognostic model, which was then validated. Tumor rupture, number of tumors and macroscopic vascular invasion were observed to be independent risk factors of DFS and OS. In the prognostic model, the DFS and OS of low-, medium- and high-risk patients in the experimental group were observed to be significantly different, compared to those in the validation group. In conclusion, the present study established a prognostic model for patients with HCC affected by PVTT following hepatectomy, and demonstrated that the model may be used to guide the treatment of these patients and predict their prognosis.

Long-term outcome of laparoscopic ablation therapies for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: a single European center experience of 426 patients

BACKGROUND

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is widely used as a first-line option in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, since percutaneous approach of RFA may be, in some cases, unfeasible by the tumor size and its location, laparoscopic ablation therapies (LATs) were used as an alternative. Objective of the present study was to assess the efficacy of laparoscopic ultrasound examination in addition to LATs in the treatment of HCC in patients not eligible for percutaneous RFA or surgical resection.

METHODS

Four hundred and twenty-six patients who underwent LATs were analyzed. Laparoscopic approach was offered to patients fulfilling at least one of the following criteria: (a) patients with a single nodule or up to three nodules smaller than 3 cm not suitable for liver transplantation or not eligible for HR because of severe portal hypertension, impaired liver function, or coexistent comorbidities; (b) patients not suitable for percutaneous RFA because of inconvenient tumor location; and (c) short-term recurrence of HCC (<3 months).

RESULTS

Technical success was achieved in one session in 396 patients (93 %). One-month mortality and morbidity rates were 0.23 % (1 patient) and 25 % (106 patients), respectively. During a median follow-up of 37.2 months (range 2-193) in the remaining 425 patients, 276 (65 %) developed intra-hepatic recurrence: It appeared as a local tumor progression in 65 cases (15 %). Patients median survival was 39 months (95 % CI 34.8-47.2), while overall survivals at 1, 3, and 5 years were 88, 55, and 34 %, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In the treatment of HCC, LATs proved to be a safe and effective technique, as they permit to treat with low-morbidity-rate lesions not manageable by percutaneous approach. Moreover, they allow achieving a more accurate staging of the disease in one-fifth of patients, thus better redefining the prognosis of such individuals.

Comparison of long-term survival of patients with solitary large hepatocellular carcinoma of BCLC stage A after liver resection or transarterial chemoembolization: a propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to compare the long-term outcome of patients with a solitary large (> 5 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A who received liver resection (LR) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

Our study examined 128 patients treated by LR and 90 treated by TACE. To reduce bias in patient selection, we conducted propensity score analysis in the present study and 54 pairs of patients after propensity score matching were generated, their long-term survival was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. Independent predictors of survival were identified by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Long-term survival was significantly better for the LR group by log-rank test (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, tumor size, serum ALT level and TACE independently predicted survival. Despite similar baseline characteristics after propensity score matching, LR group still had significantly better survival (1 year, 68.5 vs. 55.0%; 3 years, 47.6 vs. 21.2%; 5 years, 41.3 vs. 18.5%; P = 0.007) than TACE group. The LR and TACE groups had comparable 30- and 90-day post-treatment mortality. Multivariate analysis showed that serum ALT level, serum AFP level and TACE independently predicted survival by multivariate analysis after propensity score matching.

CONCLUSION

Our propensity-score-matched study suggested that LR provided significantly better long-term survival than TACE for a solitary large HCC of the BCLC stage A, regardless of tumor size.

Comparison of long-term survival of patients with solitary large hepatocellular carcinoma of BCLC stage A after liver resection or transarterial chemoembolization: a propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to compare the long-term outcome of patients with a solitary large (> 5 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A who received liver resection (LR) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

Our study examined 128 patients treated by LR and 90 treated by TACE. To reduce bias in patient selection, we conducted propensity score analysis in the present study and 54 pairs of patients after propensity score matching were generated, their long-term survival was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. Independent predictors of survival were identified by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Long-term survival was significantly better for the LR group by log-rank test (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, tumor size, serum ALT level and TACE independently predicted survival. Despite similar baseline characteristics after propensity score matching, LR group still had significantly better survival (1 year, 68.5 vs. 55.0%; 3 years, 47.6 vs. 21.2%; 5 years, 41.3 vs. 18.5%; P = 0.007) than TACE group. The LR and TACE groups had comparable 30- and 90-day post-treatment mortality. Multivariate analysis showed that serum ALT level, serum AFP level and TACE independently predicted survival by multivariate analysis after propensity score matching.

CONCLUSION

Our propensity-score-matched study suggested that LR provided significantly better long-term survival than TACE for a solitary large HCC of the BCLC stage A, regardless of tumor size.

Comparison of survival of patients with BCLC stage A hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection or transarterial chemoembolization: a propensity score-based analysis

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether hepatic resection (HR) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is associated with better outcomes for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A. The present study compared survival for patients with BCLC stage A HCC treated by HR or TACE.

METHODS

Our study examined 360 patients treated by HR and 221 treated by TACE. To reduce bias in patient selection, 152 pairs of propensity-score-matched patients were generated, and their long-term survival was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. Independent predictors of survival were identified using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Among propensity-score-matched pairs of patients with Child-Pugh A liver function who were treated by HR or TACE, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were 75.5, 44.8, and 30.2 % after HR and 64.5, 24.1, and 13.7 % after TACE (P < 0.001). Serum AST level, serum AFP level, tumor size, and TACE independently predicted survival in Cox regression analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our propensity-score-matched study confirmed that HR was associated with higher survival rates than was TACE in patients with BCLC stage A HCC.

The postresection alpha-fetoprotein in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. An independent predictor of outcome

BACKGROUND

The postresection alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may predict overall survival (OS) and recurrence beyond Milan criteria (MC) among the subgroup of initially transplantable patients.

METHODS

All patients with cirrhosis resected for HCC between January 1990 and December 2010 in a single institution and presenting a serum AFP value > 15 ng/ml at diagnosis were included. The postresection AFP was analyzed as a dichotomized variable: normalization (norm + group) or not (norm - group) within the 90-day postresection period.

RESULTS

Among 271 resected patients, 141 patients (52%) had a level of serum AFP ≥ 15 ng/ml at diagnosis. Five-year OS and median survival were 42% and 52 months in group norm + versus 20% and 23 months in the group norm - (P = 0.009). On multivariate analysis, the absence of AFP normalization was an independent factor of poor OS as well as microvascular invasion, and satellites nodules. Among theoretically transplantable patients, independent predictors of recurrence beyond MC were the absence of AFP normalization (risk ratio (RR) 5.02 [1.53-16.34]) and microvascular invasion (RR 4.76 [1.42-15.34]).

CONCLUSION

The postresection AFP has an independent prognostic value. Transplantable patients resected for HCC without 90-day AFP normalization should be discussed for early liver transplantation.

Prognostic value of hepatocyte nuclear factors 4α and 1α identified by tissue microarray in resectable hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of expression of hepatocyte nuclear factors (HNFs) involved in hepatic gene transcription in patients undergoing curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We performed immunohistochemical analyses on microarrays of the tumors and matched adjacent tissue using antibodies against HNF1α, HNF1β, HNF4α, and α-fetoprotein (AFP). We evaluated the prognostic value of biomarker expression using Cox regression and the Kaplan-Meier method in a training cohort of 220 patients and conducted an independent validation in 232 patients. We also determined whether measurement of HNFs improved risk prediction beyond the use of established factors, using net reclassification improvement (NRI).

RESULTS

Post-surgical recurrence and hepatic death were predicted by intratumoral HNF4α underexpression in both cohorts. In the training cohort they were also predicted by peritumoral HNF1α positivity. A pooled cohort analysis showed that these predictors were independently associated with early but not late-phase recurrence, and resultant mortality. Intratumoral expression levels of HNF4α were correlated with those of HNF1α, HNF1β, and AFP (P < 0.05). Similarly, HNF1α expression in peritumoral tissue was correlated with that of other markers (P < 0.05). There was no significant correlation between expression of HNF4α in tumors and HNF1α in peritumoral tissue. Adding combinations of intratumoral HNF4α and peritumoral HNF1α to 2-year recurrence and 5-year mortality models including known clinicopathological prognostic factors significantly improved the NRI indexes (39% and 44%, respectively; P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Immunohistological activation of intratumoral HNF4α and depletion of peritumoral HNF1α have prognostic significance for delayed recurrence and death after HCC resection.

Resection and transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: factors influencing surgical options

ABSTRACT: 

The management of hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria and with well-compensated cirrhosis is a topic of debate. Recent surveillance programs in patients with hepatitis C and cirrhosis have allowed some patients to be diagnosed with early, potentially curable, disease via liver resection (LR), liver transplantation (LT) or liver ablation. LT has excellent outcomes with 5–year survival rates >70% for patients within the Milan criteria. However, its utilization is limited by increasing organ shortages. LR is also effective with 5–year survival outcomes between 50–70% and safe in light of advances in surgical technique, preresection optimization and patient selection. Patients with solitary tumors and well-preserved liver function are good candidates for LR, whereas LT is best reserved for patients with compromised liver function and multifocal disease. LT and LR should not be viewed as competing tools but as complementary tools in the current armamentarium to treat early hepatocellular carcinoma.

Prognostic significance of tumor-associated trypsin inhibitor (TATI) and human chorionic gonadotropin-β (hCGβ) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth most common cancer and the third most frequent cause of cancer death worldwide. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of serum tumor-associated trypsin inhibitor (TATI) and the free β subunit of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCGβ) in patients with HCC.

METHODS

The serum concentrations of TATI and hCGβ were determined by time-resolved immunofluorometric assays (IFMA) in pretreatment serum samples from 144 patients with HCC. Clinical data were retrieved from patient records and survival data obtained from Statistics Finland.

RESULTS

The overall cumulative disease-specific survival was 69% at 1 year, 50% at 2 years and 33% at 5 years. Disease-specific median survival time was 26 months. The overall survival in patients with low serum concentrations of TATI or hCGβ was statistically significantly better than in patients with elevated concentrations (p = 0.003 and 0.003, respectively). In multivariate analysis, both serum TATI and serum hCGβ were independent prognostic markers.

CONCLUSION

The results imply that elevated serum concentrations of TATI and hCGβ are predictors of adverse prognosis in patients with HCC and appear to be useful adjuncts in predicting prognosis in patients with HCC.

Long-term outcomes after curative resection for patients with macroscopically solitary hepatocellular carcinoma without macrovascular invasion and an analysis of prognostic factors

The long-term outcome and prognostic factors after curative in patients with single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) without macrovascular invasion are still unclear. The objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of curative resection on survival and analyze the prognostic clinicopathologic factors, especially the presence of microvascular invasion (MVI), in these patients. Two hundred and sixty consecutive patients with single HCC without macrovascular invasion who underwent curative resection from December 2004 to December 2007 were retrospectively reviewed in this study. Survival rates were calculated by using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses of 14 clinicopathologic factors were performed to determine the significant prognostic factors. No patient died within 1 month after the operation. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates after curative resection were 96.54, 83.46, and 74.01%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that only the presence of MVI was an independent negative prognostic factor affecting overall survival. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year disease-free survival rates were 79.62, 62.69, and 56.01%, respectively. The presence of MVI was the only independent unfavorable prognostic factor for disease-free survival. According to our analysis, patients with single HCC without macrovascular invasion after curative resection can be expected to have considerable long-term survival. The presence of MVI was an independent negative prognostic factor for both overall survival and disease-free survival. To improve the prognosis, these patients should be followed up more carefully and might be good candidates for adjuvant therapy.

External validation of a simplified BCLC staging system for early hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The aim was to externally validate the capability of a simplified Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (s-BCLC) staging system in allocating patients to hepatic resection (HR) and the effect on survival: S-BCLC was defined by only 2 groups: AA included BCLC A1 + A2 classes with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≤ 20 ng/ml and AB included A1 + A2 with AFP > 20 ng/ml plus A3 + A4 subgroups.

METHODS

This study compared a training group (TG) with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) submitted to hepatic resection (HR) in Milan with another group of patients, the validation group (VG) in Creteil. All patients underwent ultrasound-guided anatomical resection (<3 segments).

RESULTS

Overall survival got worse from A1 to A4 (p = 0.0271) in TG (n = 132), as well as in VG (n = 100) (p = 0.0044) with a more important overlapping of each curves. According s-BCLC classification, the survival curves of TG (p = 0.0001) and VG (p = 0.0250) showed a definitive separation in two different staging groups. The s-BCLC provided the best predictive accuracy and it also presented the highest separability index and C-statistics in both TG and VG. On the other hand, in the evaluation of discriminatory ability for death, measured by ROC curve areas, the s-BCLC system gave better results than the others.

CONCLUSION

This experience stressed the high value of BCLC system in staging of HCC, but the s-BCLC system seems to be more useful for therapeutic decision making.

Is serum alpha-fetoprotein useful for predicting recurrence and mortality specific to hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy? A test based on propensity scores and competing risks analysis

BACKGROUND

Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is frequently used to predict posthepatectomy outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its predictive value is still not established. Therefore, we assessed the prognostic significance of AFP status.

METHODS

Of 525 patients undergoing curative hepatectomy for HCC, 290 had preoperative AFP levels of ≥20 ng/mL (AFP-positive group) and 235 had AFP levels of <20 ng/mL (AFP-negative group). We compared the 2 groups with respect to time-to-recurrence, using the inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) for the entire cohort and propensity score matching, and the cumulative incidence of HCC-specific mortality using competing risks regression.

RESULTS

During follow-up (median duration 64 months, range 2-137 months), HCC recurred in 54.9 % of the AFP-negative group and 52.4 % of the AFP-positive group; there was no death without recurrence. After IPTW adjustment, time-to-recurrence did not differ in the 2 groups (hazard ratio [HR] 0.86, 95 % confidence interval [95 % CI] 0.66-1.12; P = 0.28). In a propensity-score matched cohort (152 pairs), time-to-recurrence data were similar to those obtained by IPTW adjustment (HR 0.91, 95 % CI 0.65-1.25; P = 0.55). There was no difference in recurrence pattern (site and stage) or treatment between the 2 groups even after propensity-score matching. The adjusted HR evaluating the impact of AFP positivity on the risk of HCC-specific mortality was 0.77 (95 % CI 0.54-1.08; P = 0.13) A multivariable competing risks analysis also failed to reveal a significant correlation between baseline AFP level and HCC-specific mortality in the AFP-positive group.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative AFP levels are not useful for predicting recurrence or survival endpoints following curative hepatectomy for HCC.

Perioperative dynamic alterations in peripheral regulatory T and B cells in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Intratumoral and circulating regulatory T cells (Tregs) have been shown to be critical in the pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However there is limited knowledge on the alterations of regulatory B cells (Bregs). We here investigated perioperative dynamic alterations of peripheral circulating Tregs and Bregs in HCC patients to reveal the relationship between regulatory lymphocytes and its clinical implications.

Methods

36 patients with HCC, 6 with chronic hepatitis B infection and 10 healthy donors were enrolled for this study. Frequencies of peripheral Tregs and Bregs were measured by flow cytometry with antibodies against CD4, CD25, CD127, CD19 and IL-10 before, and after radical surgery. Then, clinical informatics of HCC patients was achieved through Digital Evaluation Score System (DESS) for the assessment of disease severity. Finally, we analysed correlations between digitalized clinical features and kinetics of circulating regulatory lymphocytes.

Results

Level of circulating CD4⁺CD25⁺CD127^- Tregs in HCC patients was significantly lower than that in healthy donors and patients with chronic hepatitis B infection before surgery, but was increased after surgery. Preoperative level of CD19⁺ IL-10⁺ Bregs in HCC patients was also significantly lower than the other groups. However it dramatically was elevated right after surgery and remained elevated compared to controls (about 7 days after surgery, P = 0.04). Frequency of circulating Tregs was correlated with circulating leukocytes, ferritin, and clinical features suggesting tumor aggressiveness including portal vein thrombosis, hepatic vein involvement and advanced clinical stages. Frequency of circulating Bregs was associated with Hepatitis B e Antigen (HBeAg) and Hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA copy number. In addition, DESS was significantly and positively correlated with other staging systems.

Conclusion

Frequencies of peripheral Tregs and Bregs in HCC patients increased after surgery. These results suggest that a postoperative combination of therapies against Tregs and Bregs may be beneficial for better outcome of HCC patients after resection.