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Jin F, Liu W, Qiao X, Shi J, Xin R, Jia HQ. Nomogram prediction model of postoperative pneumonia in patients with lung cancer: A retrospective cohort study. Front Oncol 2023; 13:1114302. [PMID: 36910602 PMCID: PMC9996165 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1114302] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2022] [Accepted: 02/06/2023] [Indexed: 02/25/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The prediction model of postoperative pneumonia (POP) after lung cancer surgery is still scarce. Methods Retrospective analysis of patients with lung cancer who underwent surgery at The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from September 2019 to March 2020 was performed. All patients were randomly divided into two groups, training cohort and validation cohort at the ratio of 7:3. The nomogram was formulated based on the results of multivariable logistic regression analysis and clinically important factors associated with POP. Concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the nomogram. Results A total of 1252 patients with lung cancer was enrolled, including 877 cases in the training cohort and 375 cases in the validation cohort. POP was found in 201 of 877 patients (22.9%) and 89 of 375 patients (23.7%) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The model consisted of six variables, including smoking, diabetes mellitus, history of preoperative chemotherapy, thoracotomy, ASA grade and surgery time. The C-index from AUC was 0.717 (95%CI:0.677-0.758) in the training cohort and 0.726 (95%CI:0.661-0.790) in the validation cohort. The calibration curves showed the model had good agreement. The result of DCA showed that the model had good clinical benefits. Conclusion This proposed nomogram could predict the risk of POP in patients with lung cancer surgery in advance, which can help clinician make reasonable preventive and treatment measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fan Jin
- Department of Anesthesiology, The Fourth hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.,Department of Anesthesiology, Zhuji People's Hospital, Shaoxing, Zhejiang, China
| | - Wei Liu
- Department of Anesthesiology, The Fourth hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
| | - Xi Qiao
- Department of Anesthesiology, The Fourth hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
| | - Jingpu Shi
- Department of Anesthesiology, The Fourth hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
| | - Rui Xin
- Department of Anesthesiology, The Fourth hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
| | - Hui-Qun Jia
- Department of Anesthesiology, The Fourth hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
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Song Y, Liu J, Lei M, Wang Y, Fu Q, Wang B, Guo Y, Mi W, Tong L. An External-Validated Algorithm to Predict Postoperative Pneumonia Among Elderly Patients With Lung Cancer After Video-Assisted Thoracoscopic Surgery. Front Oncol 2022; 11:777564. [PMID: 34970491 PMCID: PMC8712479 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.777564] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/15/2021] [Accepted: 11/09/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
The aim of the study was to develop an algorithm to predict postoperative pneumonia among elderly patients with lung cancer after video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery. We analyzed 3,009 patients from the Thoracic Perioperative Database for Geriatrics in our hospital and finally enrolled 1,585 elderly patients (age≧65 years) with lung cancer treated with video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery. The included patients were randomly divided into a training group (n = 793) and a validation group (n = 792). Patients in the training group were used to develop the algorithm after screening up to 30 potential risk factors, and patients in the validation group were used to internally validate the algorithm. External validation of the algorithm was achieved in the external validation dataset after enrolling 165 elderly patients with lung cancer treated with video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery from two hospitals in China. Of all included patients, 9.15% (145/1,585) of patients suffered from postoperative pneumonia in the Thoracic Perioperative Database for Geriatrics, and 10.30% (17/165) of patients had postoperative pneumonia in the external validation dataset. The algorithm consisted of seven variables, including sex, smoking, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), surgery duration, leukocyte count, intraoperative injection of colloid, and intraoperative injection of hormone. The C-index from the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was 0.70 in the training group, 0.67 in the internal validation group, and 0.71 in the external validation dataset, and the corresponding calibration slopes were 0.88 (95% confident interval [CI]: 0.37–1.39), 0.90 (95% CI: 0.46–1.34), and 1.03 (95% CI: 0.24–1.83), respectively. The actual probabilities of postoperative pneumonia were 5.14% (53/1031) in the low-risk group, 15.07% (71/471) in the medium-risk group, and 25.30% (21/83) in the high-risk group (p < 0.001). The algorithm can be a useful prognostic tool to predict the risk of developing postoperative pneumonia among elderly patients with lung cancer after video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanping Song
- Anesthesia and Operation Center, The First Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Beijing, China.,Department of Anesthesia, 922 Hospital of People's Liberation Army (PLA), Hengyang, China
| | - Jingjing Liu
- Anesthesia and Operation Center, The First Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Beijing, China.,Department of Anesthesia, Beijing Corps Hospital of Chinese People's Armed Police Force, Beijing, China
| | - Mingxing Lei
- The National Clinical Research Center for Orthopedics, Sports Medicine & Rehabilitation, The First Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Beijing, China.,Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Hainan Hospital of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Sanya, China.,Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Medical School, Beijing, China
| | - Yanfeng Wang
- Department of Anesthesia, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Qiang Fu
- Anesthesia and Operation Center, The First Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Bailin Wang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Hainan Hospital of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Sanya, China
| | - Yongxin Guo
- Anesthesia and Operation Center, The First Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Weidong Mi
- Anesthesia and Operation Center, The First Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Li Tong
- Anesthesia and Operation Center, The First Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Beijing, China
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Mpody C, Hayes S, Rusin N, Tobias JD, Nafiu OO. Risk Assessment for Postoperative Pneumonia in Children Living With Neurologic Impairments. Pediatrics 2021; 148:peds.2021-050130. [PMID: 34349030 DOI: 10.1542/peds.2021-050130] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Approximately one-third of all pediatric hospital charges are attributable to the care for children living with neurologic comorbidities. These children often require various surgical procedures and may have an elevated risk of lower respiratory infections because of poor neuromuscular coordination, poor cough, uncoordinated swallowing, and poor oral hygiene. Our objective was to evaluate the risk of pneumonia in children presenting with neurologic comorbidities. METHODS We performed a retrospective study of children (<18 years) who underwent inpatient surgery between 2012 and 2018 in hospitals participating in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Our primary outcome was the time to incident pneumonia within the 30 days after surgery. RESULTS We identified 349 163 children, of whom 2191 developed pneumonia (30-day cumulative incidence: 0.6%). The presence of a preoperative neurologic comorbidity conferred approximately twofold higher risk of postoperative pneumonia (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.91, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.73-2.11). We explored the risk of pneumonia conferred by the components of neurologic comorbidity: cerebral palsy (HR: 3.92, 95% CI: 3.38-4.56), seizure disorder (HR: 2.93, 95% CI: 2.60-3.30), neuromuscular disorder (HR: 2.63, 95% CI: 2.32-2.99). The presence of a neurologic comorbidity was associated with a longer length of hospital stay (incidence rate ratio: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.25-1.28). CONCLUSIONS The risk of postoperative pneumonia was almost twofold higher in children with neurologic comorbidity. The magnitude of these associations underscores the need to identify areas of research and preventive strategies to reduce the excess risk of pneumonia in children with preoperative neurologic conditions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christian Mpody
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, Ohio
| | - Seth Hayes
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, Ohio
| | - Nathan Rusin
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, Ohio
| | - Joseph D Tobias
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, Ohio
| | - Olubukola O Nafiu
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, Ohio
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Dexter EU, Yendamuri S. ASO Author Reflections: To Med or Not to Med? That is the Question. Ann Surg Oncol 2018; 25:966-967. [PMID: 30421051 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-018-7040-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2018] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- E U Dexter
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, NY, USA.,Department of Surgery, Jacobs School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Buffalo, NY, USA
| | - S Yendamuri
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, NY, USA. .,Department of Surgery, Jacobs School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Buffalo, NY, USA.
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Yendamuri S, Attwood K. Reply to "Association Between Concomitant Mediastinoscopy and Postoperative Pneumonia After Pulmonary Lobectomy". Ann Surg Oncol 2018; 25:4048. [PMID: 29671141 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-018-6477-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2018] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Sai Yendamuri
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, NY, USA.
| | - Kris Attwood
- Department of Biostatistics, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, NY, USA
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Yu JJ, Li JD, Yang T. Association between Concomitant Mediastinoscopy and Postoperative Pneumonia After Pulmonary Lobectomy. Ann Surg Oncol 2018; 25:4047. [PMID: 29671137 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-018-6476-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2018] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Jiong-Jie Yu
- Department of Hepatic Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.,Department of Clinical Medicine, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Ju-Dong Li
- Department of Hepatic Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.,Department of Clinical Medicine, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Tian Yang
- Department of Hepatic Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
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