Automated machine learning model for predicting anastomotic strictures after esophageal cancer surgery: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic strictures (AS) frequently occurs in patients following esophageal cancer surgery, significantly affecting their long-term quality of life. This study aims to develop a machine learning model to predict high-risk AS, enabling early intervention and precise management.

METHODS

A total of 1549 patients underwent radical esophageal cancer surgery and were split into a training set (1084) and a validation set (465). Adaptive Synthetic Sampling (ADASYN) handled class imbalance, while Boruta and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) with cross-validation refined key features. High-correlation features (r > 0.8) were assessed using variance inflation factors (VIFs) and clinical relevance. Machine learning models were trained and evaluated using area under curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis improved model interpretability.

RESULTS

Seven critical variables were finalized, including anastomotic leakage (AL), neoadjuvant therapy (NCRT), suture method (SM), endoscopic assistance (EA), white blood cell count (WBC), albumin (Alb), and Suture site (SS). The Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) model achieved the highest AUC, with 0.886 in the training set and 0.872 in the validation set. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis indicated that AL, SM, and NCRT were the most significant variables for model predictions.

CONCLUSION

The GBM machine learning model constructed in this study can effectively identify high-risk patients for AS following esophageal cancer surgery, offering strong support for earlier postoperative detection and precise clinical management.

Initial reduction of the primary tumor or lymph nodes: which is the better prognostic factor in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery?

BACKGROUND

Early response of the primary tumor (PT) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is considered a potential predictor of postoperative prognosis. However, the role of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) remains poorly understood. This study aimed to compare the predictive value of early response in PT and LNs for postoperative prognosis.

METHODS

We enrolled 124 consecutive patients who received NAC-docetaxel, cisplatin, 5-fluorouracil (DCF) followed by surgery for ESCC between April 2010 and March 2020. Initial tumor reduction of the PT (ITR-PT) and LN (ITR-LN), defined as the percentage decrease in tumor shorter diameter after the first course of NAC-DCF, was evaluated using computed tomography. The optimal cut-off values of ITRs were determined using receiver operating characteristic curves and Cox regression models, and their relationship with recurrence-free survival (RFS) was analyzed.

RESULTS

The median ITR-PT and ITR-LN were 21.77% and -0.88%, respectively. The optimal cut-off values for predicting prognosis were approximately 10% for ITR-PT (hazard ratio [HR], 3.23; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.84-5.64) and -10% for ITR-LN (HR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.27-3.80). ITR-PT showed a greater impact on RFS (3-year RFS: ITR-PT ≥ 10%, 66.1%; ITR-PT < 10%, 18.4%; log-rank P < 0.001) compared with ITR-LN (3-year RFS: ITR-LN ≥ -10%, 64.1%; ITR-PT < -10%, 34.3%; log-rank P = 0.004). Multivariate analysis of RFS identified ypN, ITR-PT, and ITR-LN as independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Both ITR-PT and ITR-LN are promising predictors of survival in patients with ESCC who underwent NAC-DCF plus surgery. ITR-PT may be a stronger prognostic factor than ITR-LN.

Real-world safety and efficacy of neoadjuvant docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil therapy for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with docetaxel, cisplatin plus 5-FU (DCF) has become the new standard of care for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). In a real-world setting, the efficacy, recurrence, and adverse events (AEs) remain unclear.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 86 patients who received neoadjuvant DCF followed by esophagectomy for resectable ESCC.

RESULTS

Following neoadjuvant DCF treatment, 75 patients underwent R0 curative resection. At the median follow-up of 19.2 months, the median disease-free survival (DFS)/recurrence-free survival (RFS) was not yet reached, with estimated 3-year DFS/RFS rates of 65.2%, respectively. The incidence of primary tumor regression grading (TRG) grade 1a and pathological complete response (pCR) were 21.3% (16/75) and 14.7% (11/75), respectively. The estimated 1-year DFS/RFS rates were 93.8% for primary TRG grade 1a and 100% for pCR. Baseline elevated serum SCC-antigen levels were inversely associated with achieving primary TRG grade 1a or pCR. In 64 patients who did not achieve pCR, residual tumor cells in the lymph nodes (ypN; HR, 16.96; 95% CI, 2.11-136.12; P < 0.01) and Glasgow prognostic score (GPS; HR, 8.34; 95% CI, 1.73-40.31; P < 0.01) were independent predictors of shorter DFS/RFS. The most common grade ≥ 3 AEs were neutropenia (61.6%) and febrile neutropenia (26.7%), which were not associated with clinicopathological factors. The most common non-hematological AEs were appetite loss (9.3%), pulmonary embolism (8.1%), diarrhea (7.0%), and nausea (2.3%). Nine patients discontinued neoadjuvant DCF due to toxicities.

CONCLUSIONS

Neoadjuvant DCF was effective and well-tolerated in real-world ESCC patients. Primary TRG grade 1a or pCR showed a favorable DFS/RFS, while positive ypN and GPS were independent risk factors for worse DFS/RFS.

Nutritional management during chemotherapy and chemoradiotherapy for advanced esophageal cancer

Advanced esophageal cancer is treated by chemotherapy, radiation therapy, chemoradiotherapy, and immunotherapy. However, the stenosis caused by the tumor and cancer-related chronic inflammation leads to inadequate food intake, weight loss, and nutrition problems. Given that poor pre-treatment nutritional status increases the risks of treatment-related adverse events and a poor prognosis, the nutrition guidelines recommend a pre-treatment nutritional assessment. When malnutrition is present, nutritional interventions, such as dietary guidance and enteral nutrition supplements, provided by the medical team may reduce treatment-related adverse events. However, whether nutritional intervention improves the prognosis is a topic for future research, including randomized controlled trials. This review discusses the literature on nutritional management in patients undergoing chemotherapy and chemoradiotherapy for advanced esophageal cancer.

Feasibility and safety of interventional radiology-guided biopsy for esophageal stenosis

BACKGROUND

Endoscopic clamp biopsy is generally performed to confirm the pathological diagnosis of esophageal stenosis. However, it might be challenging in patients with severe esophageal stenosis. Hence, we aimed to investigate the feasibility and safety of interventional radiology-guided clamp biopsy under fluoroscopy for diagnosing esophageal stenosis.

METHODS

The clinical data of 81 patients aged 39-89 (mean age 67.4 ± 10.5) years with esophageal stenosis whose pathological tissues were obtained by interventional radiology-guided forceps biopsy at our treatment center were retrospectively analyzed; 35.8% (29/81) patients had esophageal space-occupying stenosis and 64.2% (52/81) had esophagogastric anastomotic stenosis. The detection rate of esophageal stenosis, and operation-related complications were analyzed.

RESULTS

About 75.3% (61/81) patients could not tolerate or refused endoscopic examination; the remaining 24.7% (20/81) underwent endoscopic examination, but their pathological specimens could not be obtained through the stenosis segment. The technical success rate of interventional radiology-guided clamp biopsy was 100%, and the mean duration of operation was 7.8 ± 4.2 minutes. No serious operation-related complications were observed. Histological examination showed that 35.8% (29/81) patients had malignant tumor and 64.2% (52/81) had benign tumor. Interventional radiology-guided biopsy had a better detection rate compared with gastroscopic biopsy (P < 0.001, χ2 = 64.64).

CONCLUSION

Interventional radiology-guided clamp biopsy is a new esophageal biopsy technique that is minimally invasive, safe, and rapid, with a low rate of missed diagnosis and low requirements regarding the patients' condition. Thus, it is a complementary or auxiliary diagnostic method in cases where the traditional endoscopic approach fails.

Predictive factors for failure of neoadjuvant docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil therapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Recently, neoadjuvant chemotherapy comprising docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil showed promising efficacy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. However, some patients do not achieve curative resection despite neoadjuvant chemotherapy using these drugs. This study aimed to clarify the pretherapeutic characteristics of these patients. We included 113 patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy with docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil for potentially resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and compared the clinical characteristics between patients who achieved curative resection (curative group) and those who failed to achieve curative resection after planned neoadjuvant chemotherapy (noncurative group). Moreover, we determined the factors predicting noncurative outcomes. Ninety-one (81%) and 22 patients (19%) were in the curative and noncurative groups, respectively. The noncurative group had significantly more tumors located in the upper third of the esophagus, larger-sized tumors, and borderline resectable tumors than the curative group (P = 0.003, 0.049, and <0.001, respectively). Moreover, the noncurative group had significantly higher serum squamous cell carcinoma antigen concentrations than the curative group (P = 0.008). Multivariable analysis identified tumor location in the upper third of the esophagus (odds ratio 7.31, P = 0.002), tumor size ≥50 mm (odds ratio 4.71, P = 0.037), and borderline resectable tumors (odds ratio 6.65, P = 0.003) as independent predictors for noncurative outcomes. Tumor location in the upper third of the esophagus, larger-sized tumors, and borderline resectable tumors might be significant predictors for noncurative outcomes in patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy with docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil.

Prognostic impact of dysphagia scores in patients with advanced resectable esophageal cancer who underwent radical esophagectomy after preoperative treatment

BACKGROUND

Dysphagia caused by tumor strictures is a major symptom in patients with advanced esophageal cancer. However, the prognostic effect of dysphagia in resectable cases is insufficiently investigated. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of dysphagia scores in resectable advanced esophageal cancer who underwent radical esophagectomy after preoperative treatment.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 302 consecutive patients with advanced resectable esophageal cancer who received preoperative treatment. The preoperative dysphagia score was used to assess the relationship between tumor stricture and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Almost half of the patients had dysphagia scores of 2 to 4 (n = 152 [50.3%]). Lower body mass index, circumferential tumors, and noncurative resection were significantly more common as dysphagia scores worsened. Patients with dysphagia had significantly more advanced ypT stage and worse histopathologic response than those without dysphagia. The 5-year disease-free survival and overall survival (OS) rates for dysphagia scores of 0 to 1, 2 to 3, and 4 were 52.9%, 35.3%, and 26.7% and 60.7%, 40.4%, and 26.7%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified dysphagia score as an independent factor of OS, similar to surgical curability and ypN stage. The postoperative recurrence rate was significantly higher among patients with dysphagia scores of 2 to 3 (56%) and 4 (67%) than among those with dysphagia scores of 0 to 1 (36%) (P < .001 and P = .037, respectively). Furthermore, distant recurrence in dysphagia scores of 2 to 3 and 4 was higher than in dysphagia scores of 0 to 1 (26%, 46%, and 42%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The dysphagia score before initial treatment is associated with postoperative survival in patients with resectable advanced esophageal cancer.

Efficacy and Safety of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Combination Therapy for Dysphagia in Patients with Advanced Esophageal Cancer

Background/Objectives: Recently, pembrolizumab plus 5-fluorouracil and cisplatin (FP), nivolumab plus FP, and nivolumab plus ipilimumab have become the first-line treatments for patients with advanced esophageal cancer. However, the treatment efficacy in primary tumors has not been reported. We assessed the outcomes of these treatments in advanced esophageal cancer, specifically focusing on esophageal dysphagia improvements and the primary tumor response. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted between October 2021 and November 2023. We investigated 23 patients with esophageal cancer and dysphagia who received an immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) plus FP or nivolumab plus ipilimumab. Results: The median progression-free survival (PFS) was 10.6 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 9.0-12.5), and the median overall survival was not reached (95%CI: 13.0-NA). Improvement in dysphagia was observed in 19/23 (82.6%) patients, with a median time to improvement of 26 days (range: 15-77 days) and a median dysphagia PFS of 12.6 months (range: 8.1-NA months). Ten patients experienced immune-related adverse events (irAEs): seven had interstitial pneumonia, and three had thyroid dysfunction, pituitary dysfunction, and rash, respectively. Conclusions: Although there was a high frequency of irAEs, ICI for esophageal cancer achieved high response rates and prolonged survival. The observed improvement in dysphagia suggests the potential efficacy of the treatment against primary tumors.

Utility of Initial Tumor Reduction as a Prognostic Factor in Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Patients Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Followed by Surgery : A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

While a neoadjuvant chemotherapy regimen using docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (NAC-DCF) is considered the standard treatment for locally advanced esophageal cancer (EC) in Japan, a reliable marker for early prediction of treatment efficacy remains unclear. We investigated the utility of the tumor response after a first course of NAC-DCF as a post-surgery survival predictor in patients with EC.

METHODS

We enrolled 150 consecutive patients who underwent NAC-DCF followed by surgery for EC between September 2009 and January 2019. The initial tumor reduction (ITR), defined as the percentage decrease in the shorter diameter of the tumor after the first course of NAC-DCF, was evaluated using computed tomography. We analyzed the relationship between ITR, clinicopathological parameters, and survival.

RESULTS

The median ITR was 21.07% (range -11.45 to 50.13%). The optimal cut-off value for ITR for predicting prognosis was 10% (hazard ratio [HR] 3.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.98-5.51), based on univariate logistic regression analyses for recurrence-free survival (RFS). Compared with patients with ITR <10%, patients with ITR ≥10% showed a significantly higher proportion of ypM0 (80.0% vs. 92.5%) and responders in terms of overall clinical response (50.0% vs. 80.8%). Multivariate analysis for RFS revealed that ypN2-3 (HR 2.78, 95% CI 1.67-4.62), non-response in terms of overall clinical response (HR 1.87, 95% CI 1.10-3.18), and ITR <10% (HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.42-4.32) were independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor response after the first course of NAC-DCF may be a good predictor of survival in patients with EC who underwent NAC-DCF plus surgery.

Doublet chemotherapy, triplet chemotherapy, or doublet chemotherapy combined with radiotherapy as neoadjuvant treatment for locally advanced oesophageal cancer (JCOG1109 NExT): a randomised, controlled, open-label, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant therapy is the standard treatment for patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). However, the prognosis remains poor and more intensive neoadjuvant treatment might be needed to improve patient outcomes. We therefore aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant doublet chemotherapy, triplet chemotherapy, and doublet chemotherapy plus radiotherapy in patients with previously untreated locally advanced OSCC.

METHODS

In this randomised, open-label, phase 3 trial, patients aged 20-75 years with previously untreated locally advanced OSCC and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 or 1 were recruited from 44 centres across Japan. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1:1) centrally via a web-based system to receive neoadjuvant doublet chemotherapy (two courses of fluorouracil [800 mg/m2 per day intravenously on days 1-5] and cisplatin [80 mg/m2 per day on day 1] separated by an interval of 3 weeks [NeoCF]), triplet chemotherapy (three courses of fluorouracil [750 mg/m2 per day on days 1-5], cisplatin [70 mg/m2 per day on day 1], and docetaxel [70 mg/m2 per day on day 1] repeated every 3 weeks [NeoCF+D]), or doublet chemotherapy (two courses of fluorouracil [1000 mg/m2 per day on days 1-4] and cisplatin [75 mg/m2 per day on day 1] separated by an interval of 4 weeks) plus 41·4 Gy radiotherapy [NeoCF+RT]) followed by oesophagectomy with regional lymph node dissection. Randomisation was stratified by T stage and institution. Participants, investigators, and those assessing outcomes were not masked to group assignment. The primary endpoint was overall survival, analysed by intention to treat. Analysis of safety included all patients who received at least one course of chemotherapy, and analysis of surgical complications included those who also underwent surgery. This study is registered with the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials, jRCTs031180202, and the trial is complete.

FINDINGS

A total of 601 patients (529 male individuals and 72 female individuals) were randomly assigned between Dec 5, 2012, and July 20, 2018, with 199 patients in the NeoCF group, 202 patients in the NeoCF+D group, and 200 patients in the NeoCF+RT group. Compared with the NeoCF group, during a median follow-up period of 50·7 months (IQR 23·8-70·7), the 3-year overall survival rate was significantly higher in the NeoCF+D group (72·1% [95% CI 65·4-77·8] vs 62·6% [55·5-68·9]; hazard ratio [HR] 0·68, 95% CI 0·50-0·92; p=0·006) but not in the NeoCF+RT group (68·3% [61·3-74·3]; HR 0·84, 0·63-1·12; p=0·12). Grade 3 or higher febrile neutropenia occurred in two (1%) of 193 patients in the NeoCF group, 32 (16%) of 196 patients in the NeoCF+D group, and nine (5%) of 191 patients in the NeoCF+RT group. Treatment-related adverse events leading to termination of neoadjuvant therapy were more common in the NeoCF+D group (18 [9%] of 202 participants) than in the NeoCF+RT group (12 [6%] of 200) and NeoCF group (eight [4%] of 199). There were three (2%) treatment-related deaths during neoadjuvant therapy in the NeoCF group, four (2%) deaths in the NeoCF+D group, and two (1%) deaths in the NeoCF+RT group. Grade 2 or higher postoperative pneumonia, anastomotic leak, and recurrent laryngeal nerve paralysis were reported in 19 (10%), 19 (10%), and 28 (15%) of 185 patients, respectively, in the NeoCF group; 18 (10%), 16 (9%), and 19 (10%) of 183 patients, respectively, in the NeoCF+D group; and 23 (13%), 23 (13%), and 17 (10%) of 178 patients, respectively, in the NeoCF+RT group. The in-hospital deaths following surgery included three deaths in the NeoCF group, two deaths in the NeoCF+D group, and one in the NeoCF+RT group.

INTERPRETATION

Neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy followed by oesophagectomy resulted in a statistically significant overall survival benefit compared with doublet chemotherapy and might be the new standard of care for locally advanced OSCC who are in good condition in Japan. Neoadjuvant doublet chemotherapy plus radiotherapy did not show significant improvement of survival compared with doublet chemotherapy.

FUNDING

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development and National Cancer Center Research and Development Fund.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy or Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Chemotherapy and chemoradiation have become essential adjuncts to improve the survival of patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in the perioperative period. Although preoperative treatment plus surgery is commonly used, controversy remains regarding the optimal treatment strategy for patients with locally advanced ESCC.

METHODS

A retrospective review of clinical stage II and III ESCC patients who underwent esophagectomy at Henan Cancer Hospital between October 2014 and October 2017 was performed. The patients were divided into a neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) group and an adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) group. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to exclude confounders. Survival was estimated using Kaplan‒Meier analysis and compared by the log-rank test. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used for both the univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 684 patients were enrolled, including 365 (53.4%) patients in the NAC group. After PSM, 294 pairs of patients were left. NAC prolonged the OS (not reached versus 57.3 months, P = 0.002) and DFS (57.2 vs. 36.4 months, P = 0.010) and decreased the total rate of recurrence (50.1% vs. 59.2%, P = 0.025) and local recurrence (27.9% vs. 36.7%, P = 0.022) compared with AC. The multivariable analyses showed that NAC plus surgery modality was an independent predictor for improved OS (HR: 0.582, 95% CI: 0.467-0.786, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

NAC plus surgery prolonged OS and DFS, and significantly decreased the total rate of recurrence compared with surgery plus AC in patients with clinical stage II and III ESCC.

Neoadjuvant Triplet Chemotherapy with Docetaxel, Cisplatin plus 5-Fluorouracil versus Docetaxel, Cisplatin plus S-1 for Advanced Esophageal Squamous cell Carcinoma: Propensity Score Matched Analysis

INTRODUCTION

This study examines whether neoadjuvant docetaxel, cisplatin plus S-1 (DCS) therapy is superior to docetaxel, cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (DCF) therapy for resectable advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with resectable advanced ESCC at our hospital between January 2010 and December 2019 underwent either neoadjuvant DCF therapy or DCS therapy, followed by radical esophagectomy. Prior to August 2014, we usually used neoadjuvant DCF therapy; we then completely transitioned to using neoadjuvant DCS therapy.

RESULTS

A total of 144 patients received one of these triplet regimens as neoadjuvant chemotherapy: DCF therapy to 67 patients and DCS therapy to 77 patients. After propensity score matching, 55 patients in each group were selected as matched cohorts. There was no significant difference between the groups in complete response (DCF = 7.3%, DCS = 9.1%) or in partial response (DCF = 45.4%, DCS = 52.7%). The pathological response rate was 23.8% for grade 2 and 18.2% for grade 3 in the DCF group, compared with 30.9% and 14.5% in the DCS group. Independent predictive factors for recurrence-free survival were poor clinical response and pathological response ≤1b. Independent prognostic factors for overall survival were poor clinical response, anastomotic leakage, and pathological response ≤1b. Duration of hospital stays in the DCS group was significantly shorter than those of the DCF group (6.0 vs. 15.0 days, p < 0.001). Expenses of drug and hospitalization for the neoadjuvant chemotherapy in the DCS group were also significantly lower than those of the DCF group (265.7 vs. 550.3 USD, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Neoadjuvant DCS therapy for resectable advanced ESCC did not result in significantly higher clinical and pathological response than neoadjuvant DCF therapy. However, neoadjuvant DCS therapy for resectable ESCC required comparatively shorter hospital stays and incurred lower costs, making it an attractive therapeutic option.

Survival After Diagnosis of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Malawi

PURPOSE

Esophageal cancer (EC) is the second most common cancer in Malawi, with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) representing >90% of all ECs. Despite significant morbidity and mortality, little is known about disease outcomes. In this study, we assess survival after ESCC diagnosis in Malawi.

METHODS

We report on ESCC cases enrolled in a case-control study at Kamuzu Central Hospital in Lilongwe from August 2017 to April 2020. Suspected cases completed a questionnaire interview; provided blood, urine, and saliva specimens; and underwent a tumor biopsy for histologic confirmation. Cases were followed up by phone biweekly from enrollment to the study end date (December 31, 2020), date of death, or loss to follow-up. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test. We also examined associations between treatment and ESCC mortality using Cox regression models.

RESULTS

There were 300 patients with ESCC enrolled in this study, of whom 290 (97%) had known vital status at the end of follow-up and 10 (3%) were lost to follow-up. Among the 290 patients, 282 (97%) died during follow-up. The median age at enrollment was 55 years (IQR, 48-66), and the median time to death was 106 days (95% CI, 92 to 127). The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year survival rates were 11% (95% CI, 8 to 15), 3% (95% CI, 1 to 6), and 0.9% (95% CI, 0.8 to 4), respectively. Palliative chemotherapy significantly improved the overall survival of patients with ESCC (Plog-rank = .038) and was significantly associated with reduced mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.51 to 0.99]). No significant association was observed between tobacco use, alcohol consumption, or HIV status and mortality.

CONCLUSION

Survival after diagnosis of ESCC was poor in Malawi. Although palliative chemotherapy was associated with improved survival, prevention and earlier detection remain key priorities to improve ESCC mortality at a population level.

Long-term survival and prognostic factors associated with curative conversion surgery for ct4b esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: Analysis of 200 consecutive cases

BACKGROUND

The optimal treatment strategy for cT4b esophageal cancer has not been established yet. Although curative surgery is sometimes performed after induction treatments, the prognostic factor of cT4b esophageal cancer cases who underwent R0 resection remains unknown.

METHODS

A total of 200 patients with cT4b esophageal cancer who underwent R0 resection after induction treatments between 2001 and 2020 in our institute were included in the present study. The relationship between clinicopathological factors and patient survival is evaluated to identify useful prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The median and 2-year overall survival were 40.1 months and 62.8%, respectively. Disease recurrence occurred in 98 (49%) patients after surgery. Compared to induction chemotherapy alone, chemoradiation-based induction treatments were associated with decreased locoregional recurrence (34.0% vs 60.8%, P = .0077) but increased pulmonary metastases (27.7% vs 9.8%, P = .0210) and dissemination (19.1% vs 3.9%, P = .0139) after surgery. Multivariate analysis of overall survival identified the preoperative C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (hazard ratio 1.7957, P = .0031), response to induction treatments (hazard ratio 2.9663, P = .0009), postoperative pneumonia (hazard ratio 2.3784, P = .0010), and pN (2-3) (hazard ratio 1.5693, P = .0355) as independent prognostic factors. Preoperative C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (hazard ratio 1.6760, P = .0068) and postoperative pneumonia (hazard ratio 1.8365, P = .0200) were also independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSION

Curative surgery after induction therapy for cT4b esophageal cancer achieved favorable survival. Preoperative C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, postoperative pneumonia, response to induction treatments, and pN were useful prognostic factors.

The Impact of Pretreatment Esophageal Stenosis on Survival of Esophageal Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the survival impacts of pretreatment cancerous stenosis on patients with esophageal carcinoma (EC).

METHODS

The clinicopathologic characteristics of patients who underwent surgery for EC between January 2010 and December 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Esophageal stenosis was defined as present when a thin endoscope could not be passed through the tumor site. The impacts of stenosis on overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were evaluated using Cox hazards analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 496 EC patients in this study, 51 (10.3 %) had pretreatment esophageal stenosis. Stenosis was associated with lower body mass index (P < 0.001) and higher pStage (P < 0.001). The 3-year OS rate for the patients with stenosis was significantly poorer than for the patients without stenosis (40.2 % vs 69.6 %; hazard ratio [HR], 2.19; P < 0.001). The survival outcomes, especially CSS, for the patients with stenosis were significantly poorer than for the patients without stenosis for both pStage II-III (P = 0.009) and pStage IV (P = 0.006) disease. The OS and CSS curves were well stratified by the presence of stenosis even in early-stage (pStage II) patients (P = 0.04 and P < 0.01, respectively). Multivariable analysis showed esophageal stenosis, pStage III-IV disease, and non-curative resection to be independently associated with poor OS (HR, 1.61; P = 0.02) and poor CSS (HR,1.67; P = 0.02). Higher pStage was an independent predictor of poor CSS for patients without stenosis, but not for those with stenosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Esophageal carcinoma patients with pretreatment stenosis had significantly poorer survival outcomes, especially poorer CSS, than those without stenosis in both early- and advanced-stage diseases.

Low pretherapy skeletal muscle mass index is associated with an increased risk of febrile neutropenia in patients with esophageal cancer receiving docetaxel + cisplatin + 5-fluorouracil (DCF) therapy

PURPOSE

Docetaxel + cisplatin + 5-fluorouracil (DCF) therapy, a frequently prescribed regimen for esophageal cancer, is associated with a high risk of febrile neutropenia (FN). This study investigated whether a low skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) is an independent risk factor for FN.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational study investigated the SMI of patients with esophageal cancer who received DCF therapy between March 2018 and July 2020. Based on the Asian sarcopenia criteria, patients were divided into two groups: high and low SMI (SMI of < 7.0 and 5.7 kg/m2 for males and females, respectively). The incidence of FN was then compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Thirty-nine patients (20 and 19 in the high- and low-SMI groups, respectively) were included in this study. The incidence of FN was significantly higher in the low-SMI group (63.2% vs. 20.0%, P = 0.006). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed that a low SMI was an independent risk factor for FN (odds ratio, 7.178; 95% confidence interval, 1.272-40.507; P = 0.026). In addition, the frequency of dose reduction in DCF therapy was significantly higher in the low-SMI group (68.4% vs. 35.0%, P = 0.037).

CONCLUSION

Low SMI is an independent risk factor for FN in patients with esophageal cancer receiving DCF therapy.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio after neoadjuvant chemotherapy as an independent prognostic factor in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Studies have shown that neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by surgical resection improves the survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) nay be a prognostic biomarker in various types of cancer. Despite the noTable changes in the tumor and its microenvironment during NAC, it remains unclear how the NLR changes and which values (before or after NAC) best predict prognosis. The present study aimed to analyze changes in the NLR before and after NAC, and to determine which was a better prognostic factor. This study retrospectively analyzed 338 consecutive patients with ESCC who received NAC followed by curative resection. NLRs before (pre-NLR) and after (post-NLR) NAC were calculated, after which the impact of NAC on NLR, overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), as well as the relationship between hematological toxicities and NLR, was evaluated. Cutoff values for pre- and post-NLR were 3.7 and 2.5, respectively. Patients with high post-NLR had a worse OS (P=0.0001) and 3-year RFS (P=0.03) than those with low post-NLR. Multivariate analysis identified high post-NLR, pN1 and clinical response as independent prognostic factors. In conclusion, post-NLR was revealed as a better prognostic factor than pre-NLR for patients receiving NAC followed by surgical resection.

Multicenter randomised trial of two versus three courses of preoperative cisplatin and fluorouracil plus docetaxel for locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The optimal number of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) cycles remains to be established for treating oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We compared two versus three courses of NAC for treating locally advanced ESCC in a multi-institutional, randomised, Phase II trial.

METHODS

We randomly assigned 180 patients with locally advanced ESCC at 6 institutions to either two (N = 91) or three (N = 89) courses of DCF (docetaxel 70 mg/m², cisplatin 70 mg/m² i.v. on day 1, fluorouracil 700 mg/m² continuous infusion for 5 days) every 3 weeks, prior to surgery. The primary endpoint was 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) with an intention-to-treat analysis.

RESULTS

Patient background parameters were well-balanced. The R0 resection rates were 98.9 and 96.5% in the two- and three-course groups, respectively (P = 0.830). In resected cases, the two- and three-course groups had comparable pN0 rates (P = 0.225) and histological responses (P = 0.898). The 2-year PFS rate was also comparable between the two groups (71.4 vs. 71.1%, P = 0.669). Among subgroups based on baseline characteristics, only patients aged under 65 years old showed a tendency for better survival with the three-course treatment (hazard ratio = 2.612, 95% confidence interval: 1.012-7.517).

CONCLUSIONS

Two courses of a DCF regimen showed potential as an optional NAC treatment for locally advanced ESCC.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry of Japan (identification number UMIN 000015788).

Pathological Regression of Lymph Nodes Better Predicts Long-term Survival in Esophageal Cancer Patients Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Followed by Surgery

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate pathological response to NAC in metastatic LNs, and assess its clinical prognostic significance in patients with EC.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

The pathological response to preoperative treatment is commonly evaluated in the PT. However, LN metastases strongly correlate with systemic micro-metastases. Thus, pathological evaluation of LN response could more accurately predict prognosis in EC patients undergoing NAC before surgery.

METHODS

We enrolled 371 consecutive patients who underwent triplet NAC followed by surgery for EC between January 2010 and December 2016. Pathological LN regression grade was defined by the proportion of viable tumor area within the whole tumor bed area for all metastatic LNs: grade I, >50%; II, 10%-50%; III, <10%; and IV, 0%. We analyzed the correlation of grade with clinico-pathological parameters.

RESULTS

Among 319 patients with clinically positive LNs, pathological LN regression grades were I/II/III/IV in 115/51/58/95 patients, and 191 patients (59.9%) showed discordance between the PT and LN pathological regression grades. LN regression grade significantly correlated with cN positive number, ypTNM, lymphovascular invasion, and clinical/pathological PT response. Multivariate analysis for recurrence-free survival revealed that LN regression grade [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.25, P < 0.001], ypT (HR = 1.65, P = 0.005), and ypT (HR = 1.62, P = 0.004) were independent prognostic factors, but not pathological PT regression grade (P = 0.67).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to PT response, pathological LN response better predicted long-term survival in EC patients who received NAC plus curative surgery.

The Trajectory of Cancer-Related Fatigue and Its Associating Factors in Patients with Esophageal Cancer Receiving Treatments: A Prospective Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND

Cancer-related fatigue (CRF) is the most distressing symptom in the overall cancer population. For patients with esophageal cancer, CRF may even be harder to predict and control due to its complicated and prolonged treatment. Moreover, communication difficulties due to disease progression or treatment may further diminish esophageal cancer patients' ability to communicate about CRF. However, little research has addressed the trajectory and associating factors of CRF in this population, especially during the active treatment phase. The purpose of this study was (1) to evaluate and compare the level of CRF at three time points, namely before treatment, a month after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT), and a week after surgery, and (2) to identify associated factors of CRF.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study used a questionnaire to evaluate esophageal cancer patients' CRF at three time points. Repeated measures ANOVA and linear regression were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

This study included 73 participants. The severity of all CRF aspects intensified significantly over the course of treatment, reaching the highest level after surgery (P < 0.001). Worries of physician invalidation at baseline (P < 0.05) and marital status associated with CRF after CCRT and after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to demonstrate the relationship between CRF and physician invalidation. Clinicians must be aware of the intensifying trend of CRF and provide timely intervention when caring for patients with esophageal cancer during cancer treatment. Reducing the worries of physician invalidation may alleviate CRF.

Multicenter Randomized Phase 2 Trial Comparing Chemoradiotherapy and Docetaxel Plus 5-Fluorouracil and Cisplatin Chemotherapy as Initial Induction Therapy for Subsequent Conversion Surgery in Patients With Clinical T4b Esophageal Cancer: Short-term Results

OBJECTIVE

We conducted a multicenter randomized prospective phase 2 trial of chemoradiotherapy (CRT) versus chemotherapy (CT) as initial induction therapy for conversion surgery (CS) in clinical T4b esophageal cancer. We compared treatment effects and adverse events (AEs).

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Although induction followed by CS is potentially curative for T4b esophageal cancer, the optimal initial induction treatment is unclear.

METHODS

Ninety-nine patients with T4b esophageal cancer were randomly allocated to chemoradiotherapy (Group A, n = 49) or CT (Group B, n = 50) as initial induction treatment. CRT consisted of radiation (50.4 Gy) with cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil. CT consisted of 2 cycles of docetaxel plus cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil (DCF). CRT or CT was followed by CS if resectable. If unresectable, the patient received the other treatment as secondary treatment. CS was performed if resectable after secondary treatment. The primary end point was 2-year overall survival.

RESULTS

In Group A, CS was performed in 34 (69%) and 7 patients (14%) after initial and secondary treatment. In Group B, CS was performed in 25 (50%) and 17 patients (34%) after initial and secondary treatment. The R0 resection rate after initial and secondary treatment was similar (78% vs 76%, P = 1.000). AEs including leukopenia, neutropenia, febrile neutropenia, and diarrhea were significantly more frequent in Group B. Group A had better histological complete response of the primary tumor (40% vs 17%, P = 0.028) and histological nodal status (P = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

Upfront CRT was superior to upfront CT in terms of pathological effects and AEs. The Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (s051180164).

Two versus three courses of preoperative cisplatin and fluorouracil plus docetaxel for treating locally advanced esophageal cancer: short-term outcomes of a multicenter randomized phase II trial

OBJECTIVE

To compare short-term outcomes between two- vs. three courses of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) to clarify the optimal treatment for esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) in a multicenter, randomized, phase II trial.

BACKGROUND

An optimal number of NAC cycles remains to be established for locally advanced ESCC.

METHODS

Patients with locally advanced ESCC were randomly assigned to either two (N = 91) or three (N = 89) courses of DCF (70 mg/m² intravenous docetaxel and 70 mg/m² intravenous cisplatin on day 1, and a continuous 700 mg/m² fluorouracil infusion for 5 days) every 3 weeks followed by surgery. We compared the two groups for perioperative parameters, adverse events, and the response to NAC.

RESULTS

The two- and three-course groups showed similar completion rates and overall NAC dose reductions. Although the two-course group showed significantly lower overall grades 3-4 leukopenia and anemia compared to the three-course group, the two groups had similar overall toxicity rates. Postoperative complications were not significantly different between the two groups, except arrhythmia (13 vs. 0%, P = 0.0007). Only two postoperative in-hospital deaths occurred in the three-course group, due to sepsis following severe pneumonia. Compared to the two-course group, the three-course group was associated with a significantly better clinical response (42.9 vs. 65.2%, P = 0.0027) and a relatively higher rate of pathological complete response (9.1 vs. 15.3%, P = 0.212).

CONCLUSION

Both two- and three-course DCF regimens in the NAC setting seemed to be equally feasible in locally advanced ESCC patients. Additional DCF courses led to a better NAC response without increasing the incidence of adverse events or postoperative morbidity.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry of Japan (Identification Number UMIN 000015788).

Quantity and Quality of Skeletal Muscle as an Important Predictor of Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Esophageal Cancer Undergoing Esophagectomy after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia was previously linked to clinical outcomes for several cancer types, including esophageal cancer (EC), but most studies only measured the quantity of skeletal muscle mass. We aim to assess the clinical significance of evaluating the quantity and quality of skeletal muscle in patients with EC who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by esophagectomy.

METHODS

We included 333 consecutive patients with EC who underwent NAC followed by esophagectomy. The psoas muscle index (PMI) and intracellular muscle adipose tissue content (IMAC) were measured by computed tomography. We defined low PMI combined with high IMAC as severe sarcopenia, and assessed its impact on clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Thirty-seven patients (11.1%) had severe sarcopenia. Compared with patients without severe sarcopenia, those with severe sarcopenia showed a significantly worse NAC response rate (54.1% vs 74.7%; P = 0.008), worse pathological response rate (24.3% vs 40.2%, P = 0.061), higher morbidity rate (67.6% vs 38.5%; P = 0.001), particularly for pneumonia (32.4% vs 14.9% P = 0.007) and expectoration disorder (37.8% vs 13.5% P < 0.001), and unfavorable survival (3-year overall survival rate: 54.1% vs 66.6% P = 0.027). Multivariable analysis of overall survival showed that severe sarcopenia (HR 1.68, P = 0.025) and cT (HR 1.52, P = 0.032) were independent prognostic factors of poor outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

PMI combined with IMAC represents a new criterion for sarcopenia that might be useful for predicting NAC response, postoperative complications, and long-term survival in patients with EC undergoing multidisciplinary treatments.

Chemotherapy and dysphagia: the good, the bad, the ugly

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Dysphagia is a debilitating, depressing and potentially life-threatening complication in cancer patients that is likely underreported. The purpose of this review is to critically synthesize the current knowledge regarding the impact of chemotherapeutic regimens on swallowing function.

RECENT FINDINGS

Those patients with cancers involving the aerodigestive tract, head and neck cancer and oesophageal cancer are at highest risk of developing dysphagia. The most common dysphagia causing toxicity of chemotherapeutic agents is mucositis/stomatitis. The use of cisplatin is correlated with increased incidence of mucositis. Similarly, the addition of melphalan is also associated with worsening mucositis and dysphagia. In some cases of oesophageal cancer, thyroid cancer, metastatic lung or breast cancer the use of chemotherapy can improve swallow function as obstructive lesions are reduced.

SUMMARY

There is limited literature regarding the role of chemotherapy in the development or treatment of dysphagia. Most dysphagia that occurs during cancer treatment is attributable to radiation or the synergistic effect of radiation and chemotherapy. Patients with disordered swallowing prior to treatment have the greatest risk of developing posttreatment dysphagia. Studies are needed to determine whether acute inflammation associated with oropharyngeal mucositis predisposes for late dysphagia.

Peritumoral Lymphatic Vessels Associated with Resistance to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Unfavorable Survival in Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Peri- or intra-tumor lymphangiogenesis is induced in several types of cancer. However, the significance of peritumoral lymphatic vessels (LVs) in esophageal cancer (EC) remains to be clarified.

METHODS

This study included 162 eligible EC patients with or without neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). The numbers of non-tumoral and peritumoral LVs were counted in resected specimens based on podoplanin immunostaining. The association between peritumoral LV number and clinicopathologic parameters, including tumor heterogeneity as measured by positron emission tomography, NAC response, and patient survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

In non-NAC patients, the number of peritumoral LVs was highest in the lamina propria mucosa (LPM), followed by non-tumoral LVs in the LPM, peritumoral LVs in the submucosa (SM), and non-tumoral LVs in the SM. The patients with a low number of peritumoral LVs in the LPM versus those with a high number constituted a larger fraction of the NAC patients (67.8% vs. 50.0%; P = 0.022) and had a poorer pathologic response to NAC (grades 0-1a: 68.8% vs. 47.2%; P = 0.035), as well as greater tumor heterogeneity and worse survival (5-year overall survival: 50.6% vs. 72.8%; P = 0.0097). The number of peritumoral LVs in the LPM was identified as an independent prognostic factor with the highest hazard ratio (HR) of overall survival (HR 2.06; P = 0.0049) in the multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

For EC patients, peritumoral LVs in the LPM layer are associated with tumor heterogeneity, response to NAC, and unfavorable survival.