Prognostic Performance of Alternative Lymph Node Classification Systems for Patients with Medullary Thyroid Cancer: A Single Center Cohort Study

Application and subgroup analysis of competing risks model based on different lymph node staging systems in differentiated thyroid cancer

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the most common endocrine malignancy, with a rising incidence worldwide. Accurate prognostic models are essential for effective patient management. This study evaluates the prognostic value of various lymph node staging systems in DTC using a competing risks model. We used SEER database records (1998-2016) of 16,527 DTC patients, analyzing N stage, positive lymph node numbers (PLNNs), metastatic lymph node ratio (MLNR), log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), and log odds of the negative lymph node (NLN)/T stage ratio (LONT). Univariate and multivariate analyses in a competing risks model were performed, along with subgroup analyses based on demographic and clinical characteristics. In this study of 16,527 patients with DTC, different lymph node staging systems showed different prognostic correlations in univariate and multivariate analyses. In particular, PLNNs showed significant prognostic correlations in several subgroups. Additionally, PLNNs were more suitable as a lymph node staging system for DTC than LODDS and MLNR in N1 stage subgroups, with an optimal cut-off of 13. Receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves and nomograms improved the clinical utility of the prognostic model based on PLNNs. Using competing risks model and subgroup analyses, we found that PLNNs had the best prognostic discriminatory efficacy for patients with DTC, especially those with N1 stage disease, and had an optimal cut-off value of 13.

Disease-free survival and the prognostic factors affecting disease-free survival in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma: a multicenter cohort study

PURPOSE

Despite several factors that may have been associated with poor disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC), only a few studies have evaluated the prognostic factors affecting DFS in MTC patients. Therefore, this study evaluated the prognostic factors affecting DFS, in a large number of patients with MTC.

METHODS

Patients treated for MTC were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were stratified as having persistent/recurrent disease and no evidence of disease (NOD) at the last follow-up. The factors affecting DFS after the initial therapy and during the follow-up period were investigated.

RESULTS

This study comprised 257 patients [females 160 (62.3%), hereditary disease 48 (18.7%), with a mean follow-up time of 66.8 ± 48.5 months]. Persistent/recurrent disease and NOD were observed in 131 (51%) and 126 (49%) patients, respectively. In multivariate analysis, age > 55 (HR: 1.65, p = 0.033), distant metastasis (HR: 2.41, p = 0.035), CTN doubling time (HR: 2.7, p = 0.031), and stage III vs. stage II disease (HR 3.02, p = 0.048) were independent predictors of persistent/recurrent disease. Although 9 (8%) patients with an excellent response after the initial therapy experienced a structural recurrence, the absence of an excellent response was the strongest predictor of persistent/recurrent disease (HR: 5.74, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The absence of an excellent response after initial therapy is the strongest predictor of a worse DFS. However, a significant proportion of patients who achieve an excellent response could experience a structural recurrence. Therefore, careful follow-up of patients, including those achieving an excellent response is essential.

Prognostic Impact of Mesenteric Lymph Node Status on Digestive Resection Specimens During Cytoreductive Surgery for Ovarian Peritoneal Metastases

BACKGROUND

The most common mode of ovarian cancer (OC) spread is intraperitoneal dissemination, with the peritoneum as the primary site of metastasis. Cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with chemotherapy is the primary treatment. When necessary, a digestive resection can be performed, but the role of mesenteric lymph nodes (MLNs) in advanced OC remains unclear, and its significance in treatment and follow-up evaluation remains to be determined. This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of MLN involvement in patients who underwent digestive resection for OC peritoneal metastases (PM) and to investigate its potential prognostic value.

METHODS

This retrospective, descriptive study included patients who underwent CRS with curative intent for OC with PM between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2020. The study assessed MLN status and other clinicopathologic features to determine their prognostic value in relation to overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

The study enrolled 159 women with advanced OC, 77 (48.4%) of whom had a digestive resection. For 61.1% of the patients who underwent digestive resection, MLNs were examined and found to be positive in 56.8%. No statistically significant associations were found between MLN status and OS (p = 0.497) or PFS ((p = 0.659).

CONCLUSIONS

In anatomopathologic studies, MLNs are not systematically investigated but are frequently involved. In the current study, no statistically significant associations were found between MLN status and OS or PFS. Further prospective studies with a systematic and standardized approach should be performed to confirm these findings.

Competing-risks model for predicting the prognostic value of lymph nodes in medullary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is an infrequent form malignant tumor with a poor prognosis. Because of the influence of competitive risk, there may suffer from bias in the analysis of prognostic factors of MTC.

METHODS

By extracting the data of patients diagnosed with MTC registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 1998 to 2016, we established the Cox proportional-hazards and competing-risks model to retrospectively analyze the impact of related factors on lymph nodes statistically.

RESULTS

A total of 2,435 patients were included in the analysis, of which 198 died of MTC. The results of the multifactor competing-risk model showed that the number of total lymph nodes (19-89), positive lymph nodes (1-10,11-75) and positive lymph node ratio (25%-53%,>54%), age (46-60,>61), chemotherapy, mode of radiotherapy (others), tumor size(2-4cm,>4cm), number of lesions greater than 1 were poor prognostic factors for MTC. For the number of total lymph nodes, unlike the multivariate Cox proportional-hazards model results, we found that it became an independent risk factor after excluding competitive risk factors. Competitive risk factors have little effect on the number of positive lymph nodes. For the proportion of positive lymph nodes, we found that after excluding competitive risk factors, the Cox proportional-hazards model overestimates its impact on prognosis. The competitive risk model is often more accurate in analyzing the effects of prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

After excluding the competitive risk, the number of lymph nodes, the number of positive and the positive proportion are the poor prognostic factors of medullary thyroid cancer, which can help clinicians more accurately evaluate the prognosis of patients with medullary thyroid cancer and provide a reference for treatment decision-making.

A proposed grading scheme for predicting recurrence in medullary thyroid cancer based on the Ki67 index and metastatic lymph node ratio

PURPOSE

The Ki67 index and lymph node ratio (LNR) have been proposed as components of alternative pathological classification schemes, but the most appropriate classification for patients with medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) remains unknown. The aim of the present study was to examine the usefulness of a new grading system combining the Ki67 index and LNR as a predictor of prognostic and disease-free survival (DFS) in MTC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of patients with MTC who were registered at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, P. R. China from June 2003 to October 2021. The DFS rates were assessed using risk-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression modeling to explore the relationship among pathological features, nutritional status and DFS. The Ki67 index (cutoff value: 5% and 10%) and LNR (cutoff value: 0.2 and 0.3) were combined to create a new grading system.

RESULTS

In total, 101 matched patients were assessed. The integrated grading system showed better separation of Kaplan Meier (KM) curves for DFS. As the grading stage progressed, there was a significant stepwise decrease in DFS, which was better than Ki67, LNR and N staging alone. According to the grading system, the high-risk group had a worse prognosis.

CONCLUSION

The proposed grading scheme demonstrated a better prognostic performance in MTC patients than the Ki67, LNR and N staging alone. However, larger scale studies are needed to further verify our findings.

Lymph node ratio is a superior predictor in surgically treated early-onset pancreatic cancer

Background

The prognostic performance of four lymph node classifications, the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) N stage, lymph node ratio (LNR), log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), and examined lymph nodes (ELN) in early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC) remains unclear.

Methods

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was searched for patients with EOPC from 2004 to 2016. 1048 patients were randomly divided into training (n = 733) and validation sets (n = 315). The predictive abilities of the four lymph node staging systems were compared using the Akaike information criteria (AIC), receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC), and C-index. Multivariate Cox analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors. A nomogram based on lymph node classification with the strongest predictive ability was established. The nomogram’s precision was verified by the C-index, calibration curves, and AUC. Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank tests were used to compare differences in survival at each stage of the nomogram.

Results

Compared with the 8th N stage, LODDS, and ELN, LNR had the highest C-index and AUC and the lowest AIC. Multivariate analysis showed that N stage, LODDS, LNR were independent risk factors associated with cancer specific survival (CSS), but not ELN. In the training set, the AUC values for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS of the nomogram were 0.663, 0.728, and 0.760, respectively and similar results were observed in the validation set. In addition, Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed that the nomogram was also an important factor in the risk stratification of EOPC.

Conclusion

We analyzed the predictive power of the four lymph node staging systems and found that LNR had the strongest predictive ability. Furthermore, the novel nomogram prognostic staging mode based on LNR was also an important factor in the risk stratification of EOPC.

N, LNR or LODDS: Which Is the Most Appropriate Lymph Node Classification Scheme for Patients with Radically Resected Pancreatic Cancer?

Simple Summary

To date, no data are available regarding the most appropriate alternative LN classification system with respect to prognostic power and discriminative ability in cases with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We compared different lymph node classification systems with regard to accurate evaluation of overall survival in 319 patients with resected PDAC. One LNR and one LODDS classification scheme were found to out-perform the N category in distinct patient subgroups. Only the LODDS classification exhibited statistically significant, gradually increasing HRs of their subcategories and, at the same time, significantly better discriminative potential in the subgroups of patients with PDAC of the head or corpus and in patients with tumor-free resection margins or M0 status, respectively.

Abstract

Background: Even though numerous novel lymph node (LN) classification schemes exist, an extensive comparison of their performance in patients with resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has not yet been performed. Method: We investigated the prognostic performance and discriminative ability of 25 different LN ratio (LNR) and 27 log odds of metastatic LN (LODDS) classifications by means of Cox regression and C-statistic in 319 patients with resected PDAC. Regression models were adjusted for age, sex, T category, grading, localization, presence of metastatic disease, positivity of resection margins, and neoadjuvant therapy. Results: Both LNR or LODDS as continuous variables were associated with advanced tumor stage, distant metastasis, positive resection margins, and PDAC of the head or corpus. Two distinct LN classifications, one LODDS and one LNR, were found to be superior to the N category in the complete patient collective. However, only the LODDS classification exhibited statistically significant, gradually increasing HRs of their subcategories and at the same time significantly higher discriminative potential in the subgroups of patients with PDAC of the head or corpus and in patients with tumor free resection margins or M0 status, respectively. On this basis, we built a clinically helpful nomogram to estimate the prognosis of patients after radically resected PDAC. Conclusion: One LNR and one LODDS classification scheme were found to out-perform the N category in terms of both prognostic performance and discriminative ability, in distinct patient subgroups, with reference to OS in patients with resected PDAC.